What is Evan Williams's strike rate?

Evan Williams has won 1,068 of 8,733 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 12.2% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Evan Williams do best at?

Exeter by strike rate: 37 wins from 241 runners (15.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Evan Williams?

Adam Wedge, with 2,744 runners since 2008 — 31% of the total. That pairing has won 348 (12.7%).

What is Evan Williams's Fair A/E?

0.97, from 8,710 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Evan Williams

8,733 runners in the lifetime window · 847 individual horses

As at 3 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 2.9% of 278 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 3 Nov 2026.

Last runner 242 days ago 98% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

1,068–8,733

Wins / Runs

12.2%

Strike rate

n=8,733

2,555 (29%)

Placed

0.97

Fair A/E

n=8,710 · 0.85 incl. margin

−1,984.41

£1 level stake

n=8,733 at SP · −22.7%

£12.1m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

6.9%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 460 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 12% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.97). New recruits from other yards win at 15% first time out (362 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 8,733 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 3 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires May–Jul 35.8% when favourite Adam Wedge: 12.7% from 2,744 New recruits: 14.9% Headgear returns: 14.7% Sends off the favourite in 10% of races

The read

In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 7.9% (n=391, Fair A/E 1.08). A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run are the standout value angle: 14.7% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.30 and +26.93 to a £1 stake over 348 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Adam Wedge rides 31% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (12.7%, A/E 1.01) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (20.8%, n=308). 33 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Hennessy Cognac Handicap Chase at Newbury (Nov 2006, £85,530). The stable star of the record: Deep Purple (GB) — 12 wins from 28 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires May–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.2% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

12.1%−0.1

n=2,014 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −378.78

New recruits · first run for the yard

14.9%+2.7

n=362 · A/E 1.25 · £1 −39.21

Debutants · first career start

8.3%−3.9

n=421 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −129.20

First-time headgear · true-first definition

9.1%−3.1

n=296 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −101.55

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

14.7%+2.5

n=348 · A/E 1.30 · £1 +26.93

When favourite

35.8%

n=902 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −61.89

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

10%−2.2

n=2,920 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −943.68

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

7.9%−4.3

n=391 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −47.37

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With A P McCoy 32.4% vs 12.2% · n=68

On last-time-out winners 20% vs 12.2% · n=1,092

With Leighton Aspell 26.2% vs 12.2% · n=42

Off a 0-7-day break 20.8% vs 12.2% · n=308

With Conor Ring 5.9% vs 12.2% · n=927

With Jody McGarvey 0% vs 12.2% · n=32

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 4,854 567 11.7% −1,080.15

Chase 3,342 450 13.5% −705.29

NH Flat 393 39 9.9% −122.38

Flat 144 12 8.3% −76.59

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 2,949 364 12.3% −797.93

Soft 2,084 221 10.6% −574.58

Good to Soft 1,778 202 11.4% −345.52

Heavy 1,078 145 13.5% −104.88

Good to Firm 754 124 16.4% −119.03

Standard (AW) 59 5 8.5% −34.59

Firm 31 7 22.6% −7.88

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Ffos Las 1,305 158 12.1% −244.74

Ludlow 790 110 13.9% −263.52

Chepstow 785 89 11.3% −67.92

Hereford 465 45 9.7% −159.47

Newton Abbot 443 66 14.9% −131.61

Taunton 410 48 11.7% −95.47

Uttoxeter 376 43 11.4% −34.24

Worcester 314 43 13.7% −24.55

Stratford 292 36 12.3% −113.22

Cheltenham 275 22 8% −48.92

Southwell 266 24 9% −118.44

Fontwell 257 33 12.8% −100.89

Exeter 241 37 15.4% −6.19

Bangor-on-Dee 208 18 8.7% −117.06

Haydock 164 17 10.4% +23.75

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 3,757 486 12.9% −906.45

Class 5 1,997 265 13.3% −436.56

Class 3 1,629 199 12.2% −336.49

Class 2 636 56 8.8% −162.07

Class 1 525 40 7.6% −87.24

Class 6 185 22 11.9% −51.60

Class 7 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 1,067 358 33.6% 1.02 −88.83

2nd–3rd fav 2,387 410 17.2% 0.97 −356.58

4th–6th fav 2,960 232 7.8% 0.96 −533.00

7th+ in betting 2,319 68 2.9% 0.86 −1,006.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m5f – 2m 3,257 393 12.1% −790.63

2m1f – 2m4f 2,755 362 13.1% −487.06

2m5f – 3m 2,071 250 12.1% −447.47

Over 3m 556 57 10.3% −199.16

1m2f – 1m4f 49 3 6.1% −26.50

1m – 1m1f 24 3 12.5% −12.59

6f – 7f 15 0 0% −15.00

Under 6f 6 0 0% −6.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 499 68 13.6% −108.25

2009 586 75 12.8% −189.00

2010 576 83 14.4% +12.41

2011 575 82 14.3% −136.26

2012 569 75 13.2% −122.51

2013 484 58 12% −111.70

2014 380 60 15.8% −11.74

2015 439 75 17.1% +30.48

2016 416 50 12% −107.98

2017 505 54 10.7% −167.39

2018 509 54 10.6% −107.52

2019 481 43 8.9% −208.18

2020 376 50 13.3% −90.27

2021 444 46 10.4% −163.67

2022 424 48 11.3% −49.18

2023 399 41 10.3% −50.03

2024 456 37 8.1% −167.65

2025 470 59 12.6% −171.05

2026 145 10 6.9% −64.92

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 5,725 661 11.5% −1,193.48

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 2,718 312 11.5% −660.90

5-7 runners 2,553 386 15.1% −577.47

11-13 runners 1,773 175 9.9% −467.98

14-16 runners 888 80 9% −45.50

2-4 runners 442 100 22.6% −57.19

17+ runners 359 15 4.2% −175.37

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

83.8% completed · 8,196 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 3,342 77.2% 185 105 460 4 8

Hurdle 4,854 88.4% 116 52 377 9 8

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Still Believing (IRE) 71 11 24 25 Mar 21

Lava Lamp (GER)from Geoffrey Harker 58 8 16 19 Mar 17

Voodoo Doll (IRE) 54 5 14 25 Jul 24

Buck Mulligan (GB)from T M Walsh 51 6 24 26 May 16

Court Minstrel (IRE) 49 11 19 26 Oct 18

Oxwich Bay (IRE) 48 5 22 5 Dec 22

Court Royale (IRE) 47 6 16 13 Mar 23

Firebird Flyer (IRE)from James Daniel Dullea 44 7 17 27 May 19

Dantari (IRE)from M Halford 44 4 14 26 Aug 13

John Constable (IRE)from A P O'Brien 43 4 10 23 Mar 21

Tornado In Milan (IRE)from Eoin Doyle 43 10 23 26 Nov 18

Sublime Talent (IRE)from D K Weld 43 5 14 31 May 16

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 847 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 28 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 20 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from James Daniel Dullea (2) and John M Oxx (2); 40 had their first archived run for this yard.

12 have since run for another yard, most often for Mrs C Williams (7); 48 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

111012101315151212141313

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderAdam Wedge

31% of all rides
12.7% SR · A/E 1.01

RiderRWSR£1

Adam Wedge 2,744 348 12.7% −453.11

Paul Moloney 2,225 330 14.8% −317.19

Conor Ring 927 55 5.9% −493.36

Isabel Williams 719 78 10.8% −244.84

D P Fahy 380 54 14.2% +19.05

Mitchell Bastyan 158 16 10.1% −56.14

Christian Williams 142 13 9.2% −49.61

Miss Eleanor Williams 114 5 4.4% −71.50

Mr Lewis Gordon 89 13 14.6% +23.83

A P McCoy 68 22 32.4% −12.30

Ellis Collier 67 5 7.5% −32.00

Tom O'Brien 63 11 17.5% +16.88

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

1,247

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£13.5m

Prize money

2010

Best season · 83 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

State of Play (GB) — Hennessy Cognac Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Newbury · Nov 2006 · Grade 3

£85,530

Secret Reprieve (IRE) — Coral Welsh Grand National Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (GBB Race) Chepstow · Jan 2021 · Grade 3

£85,425

Demi Beau (GB) — Carey Group Handicap Chase Ascot · Nov 2006 · Class 2

£74,364

Notable horses

Deep Purple (GB) Still Believing (IRE) Court Minstrel (IRE) Tornado In Milan (IRE) Mickmacmagoole (IRE) Barizan (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Oscar (IRE) 16.5% · 37–224

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

Court Cave (IRE) 16% · 34–212

Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,949 runs since 2008 (552 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 937.

Milan (GB) 15.5% · 32–206

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,869 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).

King's Theatre (IRE) 16.7% · 28–168

Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.

Presenting (GB) 7% · 10–143

Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Kalanisi (IRE) 21.3% · 30–141

Progeny have won 10.5% of 6,749 runs since 2008 (648 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.1% from 355.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 3 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 10,080 · newest first

The latest 50 of 10,080 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 6 March 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

06 Mar 26 Exeter Can You Call (GB)J: Ben Jones Unibet Middle Distance Series Veterans' Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 19f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 8th 9/2

02 Mar 26 Southwell Dino Moon (FR)J: Conor Ring Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Soft · 7 ran 4th 8/1

02 Mar 26 Southwell Model Approach (IRE)J: Conor Ring Join Southwell Golf Club Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16f · Soft · 3 ran 3rd 18/1

01 Mar 26 Ffos Las Francky Blue (FR)J: Conor Ring Amroth Bay Caravan Park Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Heavy · 6 ran 1st 17/2

01 Mar 26 Ffos Las Ionity (FR)J: Ben Jones 3A's Horsebox Hire And Sales Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Heavy · 5 ran 2nd 11/10F

01 Mar 26 Ffos Las Followango (IRE)J: Miss Eleanor Williams Paned At 3A's Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 19.5f · Heavy · 6 ran 4th 10/3

01 Mar 26 Ffos Las Frankie Faulkner (IRE)J: Isabel Williams Amroth Bay Static Caravan Sales Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24f · Heavy · 7 ran 7th 16/1

27 Feb 26 Doncaster Elusive Knight (IRE)J: Conor Ring Virgin Bet Supports Safe Gambling Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 19f · Good · 5 ran 4th 12/1

27 Feb 26 Doncaster Pooroldmackley (IRE)J: Miss Eleanor Williams Virgin Bet Doncaster Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran F 40/1

26 Feb 26 Ludlow Jukebox Joker (IRE)J: Isabel Williams RacingTV Club Day Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 8th 11/4

26 Feb 26 Ludlow Everyonesacritic (IRE)J: Isabel Williams 1985 Lager Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 5th 7/2

26 Feb 26 Ludlow Minella Blueway (IRE)J: Isabel Williams Forbra Gold Cup (Sponsored By Flowfit) (Handicap Chase) (GBB Race)Class 3 · 24f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 7th 11/2

25 Feb 26 Wincanton Walkinthewoods (IRE)J: Osian Radford Cheltenham Preview 5th March At Wincanton Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 6th 11/1

25 Feb 26 Wincanton Viva Vincente (IRE)J: Conor Ring Happy 18th Birthday James Dunford Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 15f · Good To Soft · 18 ran 15th 300/1

22 Feb 26 Hereford Wewillgowithplanb (IRE)J: Conor Ring DragonBet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19f · Soft · 5 ran 2nd 8/1

22 Feb 26 Hereford Devon Dude (GB)J: Conor Ring Claim Your DragonBet Welcome Offer Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21.5f · Soft · 7 ran PU 13/2

22 Feb 26 Hereford Malinaero (IRE)J: Conor Ring DragonBet Cheltenham Infernoboosts Back For Roar Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Soft · 7 ran 5th 100/1

21 Feb 26 Chepstow Massimass (GB)J: Ellis Collier Pertemps Network Maiden NH Flat Race (Conditional/Amateurs) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Soft · 8 ran 7th 28/1

21 Feb 26 Chepstow Kings Order (IRE)J: Conor Ring Pertemps Network EMEA Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19.5f · Soft · 12 ran 11th 100/1

21 Feb 26 Chepstow L'astroboy (GER)J: Kielan Woods Pertemps Network EMEA Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 16f · Soft · 9 ran 9th 22/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Evan Williams's strike rate?: Evan Williams has won 1,068 of 8,733 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 12.2% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Evan Williams do best at?: Exeter by strike rate: 37 wins from 241 runners (15.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Evan Williams?: Adam Wedge, with 2,744 runners since 2008 — 31% of the total. That pairing has won 348 (12.7%).
What is Evan Williams's Fair A/E?: 0.97, from 8,710 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.