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Trainer profile

Harriet Brown

184 runners in the lifetime window · 43 individual horses
As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 182 days ago 100% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2014→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
6–184
Wins / Runs
3.3%
Strike rate
n=184
26 (14%)
Placed
0.60
Fair A/E
n=184 · 0.52 incl. margin
−102.00
£1 level stake
n=184 at SP · −55.4%
£83,800
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
6.7%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.60).

Deterministic profile computed from 184 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 4 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Feb
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=33, Fair A/E 0.00). The yard also reads well off a 8-14-day break (10%, n=40). The record reads poorly off a 31-60-day break — 0% over 30 runners, 3.3pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard on Good going: Fair A/E 0.50 across 68 runners (1.5% strike, −53.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. Seasonally, the yard fires Jan–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−3.3
n=33 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −33.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−3.3
n=25 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −25.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−3.3
n=18 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −18.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−3.3
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−3.3
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
When favourite
50%
n=4 · A/E 1.57 · £1 +0.50
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.3%+0.0
n=91 · A/E 0.59 · £1 −28.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 8-14-day break 10% vs 3.3% · n=40
With Ben Godfrey 0% vs 3.3% · n=34
Off a 31-60-day break 0% vs 3.3% · n=30
On Good going 1.5% vs 3.3% · n=68 · A/E 0.50
On Good to Soft going 4.5% vs 3.3% · n=67 · A/E 0.78
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 100 3 3% −41.75
Chase 67 3 4.5% −43.25
NH Flat 17 0 0% −17.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 68 1 1.5% −53.00
Good to Soft 67 3 4.5% −15.25
Soft 29 1 3.4% −16.00
Heavy 15 1 6.7% −12.75
Good to Firm 4 0 0% −4.00
Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wincanton 29 1 3.4% −26.75
Fontwell 28 2 7.1% −17.25
Exeter 23 1 4.3% +18.00
Taunton 21 1 4.8% −6.00
Worcester 11 0 0% −11.00
Hereford 10 0 0% −10.00
Warwick 10 0 0% −10.00
Chepstow 8 1 12.5% +5.00
Ffos Las 8 0 0% −8.00
Plumpton 7 0 0% −7.00
Newton Abbot 5 0 0% −5.00
Lingfield 4 0 0% −4.00
Kempton 3 0 0% −3.00
Cheltenham 3 0 0% −3.00
Newbury 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 85 3 3.5% −28.75
Class 5 85 3 3.5% −59.25
Class 3 8 0 0% −8.00
Class 2 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 6 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 5 2 40% 1.31 −0.50
2nd–3rd fav 18 0 0% 0.00 −18.00
4th–6th fav 46 2 4.3% 0.66 −24.50
7th+ in betting 115 2 1.7% 0.85 −59.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
76% completed · 167 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 67 82.1% 1 1 10 0 0
Hurdle 100 72% 3 1 23 0 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Valirann Gold (IRE)from C W J Farrell · then H Brown 40 3 13 6 May 26
Joyful Kit (IRE)from Toby Lawes 20 0 3 4 Nov 24
Whatmakes Honey B (IRE) 11 1 1 21 Apr 26
Dannystory (IRE) 10 0 0 20 Jul 23
Always Force It (IRE)from Gavin Cromwell 7 0 0 1 Jul 24
Message Man (IRE) 7 0 0 16 May 22
The Swede (GB) 6 0 0 1 Sep 23
Towtheline (GB) 6 0 0 30 Jan 22
Tiger Blade (GB)from Tom Weston 5 0 0 15 May 24
Takoda (IRE)from Ralph J Smith · then Syd Hosie 5 0 0 22 Feb 22
Pour Une Raison (FR)from Richard Mitchell 4 0 0 19 Dec 24
By Jove (GB)from Michael Appleby · then Brian Barr 4 0 0 10 Jul 22
All 43 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 43 horses listed, 25 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Ralph J Smith (8) and Max Young (2); 18 had their first archived run for this yard.

21 have since run for another yard, most often for Syd Hosie (9) and Colin Tizzard (5); 22 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
7713000000000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderShane Quinlan
20% of all rides
2.8% SR · A/E 0.61
RiderRWSR£1
Shane Quinlan 36 1 2.8% −23.00
Ben Godfrey 34 0 0% −34.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2014→
6
Archived wins
£83,800
Prize money
2022
Best season · 2 wins
Valirann Gold (IRE) — Cazoo Handicap Chase Chepstow · Jan 2023 · Class 4
£5,809
Trump Lady (IRE) — Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap Hurdle Exeter · Jan 2022 · Class 4
£5,065
Whatmakes Honey B (IRE) — DragonBet 'Hands And Heels' Handicap Hurdle (Conditionals/Amateurs) Taunton · Mar 2025 · Class 5
£4,753
Notable horses
Valirann Gold (IRE) Whatmakes Honey B (IRE) Trump Lady (IRE) Plenty Of Time (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Valirann (FR) 7.5% · 3–40
Progeny have won 10.2% of 1,446 runs since 2018 (158 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7% from 343.
Getaway (GER) 0% · 0–20
Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,979 runs since 2016 (1,029 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.
Workforce (GB) 5.6% · 1–18
Progeny have won 9.1% of 757 runs since 2021 (101 horses).
Arcadio (GER) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 9.2% of 3,979 runs since 2011 (375 horses).
Doyen (IRE) 12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 11.5% of 7,374 runs since 2009 (605 horses).
Great Pretender (IRE) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 13.1% of 3,550 runs since 2010 (410 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 16.5% from 728. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6.6% from 151.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 184 · newest first

The latest 50 of 184 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 30 April 2014 to 6 May 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
06 May 26 Fontwell Blackmore Jack (GB)J: Bryan Carver Best of British Sporting Lunches Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 17.5f · Good · 9 ran 9th 300/1
06 May 26 Fontwell Valirann Gold (IRE)J: Ben Godfrey KSR Lighting Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 26f · Good · 11 ran 5th 9/2
21 Apr 26 Ffos Las Whatmakes Honey B (IRE)J: Ben Godfrey SWRSL - Dan Ward Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 7 ran 6th 28/1
21 Apr 26 Ffos Las Valirann Gold (IRE)J: Ned Fox South West Rail Solutions Ltd Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 11/1
08 Apr 26 Fontwell Valirann Gold (IRE)J: Ned Fox Southern Contract Lifting Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 4th 9/4
01 Apr 26 Wincanton Blackmore Jack (GB)J: Ben Godfrey Visit Bridles Care Home Wincanton Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 15f · Good · 8 ran 8th 150/1
27 Mar 26 Fontwell Valirann Gold (IRE)J: Ned Fox betstgeorge.com Top Prices On English Events Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21.5f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 1st 15/2
24 Mar 26 Taunton Whatmakes Honey B (IRE)J: Ben Godfrey Experience The Thrill With HotToTrot Racing Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24f · Good · 10 ran 6th 25/1
14 Mar 26 Fontwell Valirann Gold (IRE)J: Ben Godfrey tigerbet.co.uk Money Back Specials Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 18f · Soft · 4 ran 4th 4/1
06 Mar 26 Exeter Valirann Gold (IRE)J: Gavin Sheehan Klargester Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 19f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 3rd 9/1
25 Feb 26 Wincanton Whatmakes Honey B (IRE)J: Chad Bament Cheltenham Preview 5th March At Wincanton Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good To Soft · 9 ran PU 9/1
14 Feb 26 Wincanton Valirann Gold (IRE)J: Ben Godfrey No One's As Vegas As BetMGM Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Heavy · 7 ran PU 11/1
03 Feb 26 Taunton Whatmakes Honey B (IRE)J: Chad Bament www.ledorneyvillascornwall.co.uk Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19f · Heavy · 10 ran 4th 25/1
17 Jan 26 Taunton Valirann Gold (IRE)J: Sean Bowen Gaynor Carr Memorial Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 5th 7/2
09 Jan 26 Exeter Whatmakes Honey B (IRE)J: Chad Bament Bet On PricedUp Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 9th 40/1
18 Dec 25 Exeter Valirann Gold (IRE)J: Ned Fox Download The PricedUp App Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 19f · Heavy · 9 ran 2nd 4/1
05 Dec 25 Exeter Dreamfyre Dancer (GB)J: Ned Fox Ludo Sports & Live Lounge Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16.5f · Soft · 15 ran 13th 300/1
23 Nov 25 Exeter Valirann Gold (IRE)J: Ned Fox Pencarrie Derby Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 6th 10/1
07 Nov 25 Fontwell Whatmakes Honey B (IRE)J: Bryan Carver Southern Cranes And Access Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 17.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran PU 50/1
07 Nov 25 Fontwell Valirann Gold (IRE)J: Bryan Carver Bob And Liz Clark Silver Wedding Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 3rd 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Harriet Brown's strike rate?
Harriet Brown has won 6 of 184 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 3.3% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Harriet Brown's Fair A/E?
0.60, from 184 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 4 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).