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Trainer profile

Harriet Brown

158 runners in the last 5 seasons · 33 individual horses
As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 168 days ago 100% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2014→)
from 1 Jan 2022
6–158
Wins / Runs
3.8%
Strike rate
n=158
23 (15%)
Placed
0.66
Fair A/E
n=158 · 0.57 incl. margin
−76.00
£1 level stake
n=158 at SP · −48.1%
£77,844
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
6.7%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.66).

Deterministic profile computed from 158 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 21 Oct 2026
The read

The yard also reads well off a 8-14-day break (10.8%, n=37). The market has consistently overbet the yard in Chase races: Fair A/E 0.50 across 58 runners (5.2% strike, −34.25 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−3.8
n=27 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −27.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−3.8
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−3.8
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−3.8
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−3.8
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
When favourite
66.7%
n=3 · A/E 1.92 · £1 +1.50
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.8%+0.0
n=80 · A/E 0.64 · £1 −17.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 8-14-day break 10.8% vs 3.8% · n=37
With Ben Godfrey 0% vs 3.8% · n=34
On Good going 1.7% vs 3.8% · n=60
In Chase races 5.2% vs 3.8% · n=58 · A/E 0.50
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 87 3 3.4% −28.75
Chase 58 3 5.2% −34.25
NH Flat 13 0 0% −13.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 60 1 1.7% −45.00
Good to Soft 57 3 5.3% −5.25
Soft 25 1 4% −12.00
Heavy 13 1 7.7% −10.75
Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00
Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Fontwell 28 2 7.1% −17.25
Taunton 21 1 4.8% −6.00
Wincanton 20 1 5% −17.75
Exeter 20 1 5% +21.00
Worcester 11 0 0% −11.00
Hereford 8 0 0% −8.00
Ffos Las 8 0 0% −8.00
Warwick 7 0 0% −7.00
Chepstow 7 1 14.3% +6.00
Plumpton 5 0 0% −5.00
Newton Abbot 4 0 0% −4.00
Lingfield 4 0 0% −4.00
Kempton 3 0 0% −3.00
Newbury 2 0 0% −2.00
Stratford 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 80 3 3.8% −54.25
Class 4 69 3 4.3% −12.75
Class 3 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 2 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 4 2 50% 1.54 +0.50
2nd–3rd fav 18 0 0% 0.00 −18.00
4th–6th fav 38 2 5.3% 0.77 −16.50
7th+ in betting 98 2 2% 0.94 −42.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
77.9% completed · 145 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 58 82.8% 1 1 8 0 0
Hurdle 87 74.7% 1 1 19 0 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Valirann Gold (IRE)from C W J Farrell · then H Brown 40 3 13 6 May 26
Joyful Kit (IRE)from Toby Lawes 20 0 3 4 Nov 24
Whatmakes Honey B (IRE) 11 1 1 21 Apr 26
Dannystory (IRE) 10 0 0 20 Jul 23
Always Force It (IRE)from Gavin Cromwell 7 0 0 1 Jul 24
The Swede (GB) 6 0 0 1 Sep 23
Tiger Blade (GB)from Tom Weston 5 0 0 15 May 24
Message Man (IRE) 5 0 0 16 May 22
Pour Une Raison (FR)from Richard Mitchell 4 0 0 19 Dec 24
By Jove (GB)from Michael Appleby · then Brian Barr 4 0 0 10 Jul 22
Takoda (IRE)from Ralph J Smith · then Syd Hosie 4 0 0 22 Feb 22
Inspector Maigret (GB) 3 0 0 24 Apr 24
All 33 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 33 horses listed, 20 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Ralph J Smith (7) and Max Young (2); 13 had their first archived run for this yard.

18 have since run for another yard, most often for Syd Hosie (9) and Colin Tizzard (4); 15 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
7714000000000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderBen Godfrey
22% of all rides
0% SR · A/E 0.00
RiderRWSR£1
Ben Godfrey 34 0 0% −34.00
Shane Quinlan 32 1 3.1% −19.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2014→
6
Archived wins
£83,800
Prize money
2022
Best season · 2 wins
Valirann Gold (IRE) — Cazoo Handicap Chase Chepstow · Jan 2023 · Class 4
£5,809
Trump Lady (IRE) — Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap Hurdle Exeter · Jan 2022 · Class 4
£5,065
Whatmakes Honey B (IRE) — DragonBet 'Hands And Heels' Handicap Hurdle (Conditionals/Amateurs) Taunton · Mar 2025 · Class 5
£4,753
Notable horses
Valirann Gold (IRE) Whatmakes Honey B (IRE) Trump Lady (IRE) Plenty Of Time (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Valirann (FR) 7.5% · 3–40
Progeny have won 10.2% of 1,437 runs since 2008 (157 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7% from 341.
Getaway (GER) 0% · 0–20
Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,914 runs since 2008 (1,026 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.7% from 131.
Workforce (GB) 5.6% · 1–18
Progeny have won 9.1% of 747 runs since 2008 (100 horses).
Arcadio (GER) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 9.2% of 3,977 runs since 2008 (375 horses).
Great Pretender (IRE) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 13.1% of 3,536 runs since 2008 (410 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 16.5% from 728. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6.6% from 151.
Doyen (IRE) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 11.5% of 7,349 runs since 2008 (605 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 184 · newest first

The latest 50 of 184 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 30 April 2014 to 6 May 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
06 May 26 Fontwell Blackmore Jack (GB)J: Bryan Carver Best of British Sporting Lunches Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 17.5f · Good · 9 ran 9th 300/1
06 May 26 Fontwell Valirann Gold (IRE)J: Ben Godfrey KSR Lighting Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 26f · Good · 11 ran 5th 9/2
21 Apr 26 Ffos Las Whatmakes Honey B (IRE)J: Ben Godfrey SWRSL - Dan Ward Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 7 ran 6th 28/1
21 Apr 26 Ffos Las Valirann Gold (IRE)J: Ned Fox South West Rail Solutions Ltd Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 11/1
08 Apr 26 Fontwell Valirann Gold (IRE)J: Ned Fox Southern Contract Lifting Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 4th 9/4
01 Apr 26 Wincanton Blackmore Jack (GB)J: Ben Godfrey Visit Bridles Care Home Wincanton Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 15f · Good · 8 ran 8th 150/1
27 Mar 26 Fontwell Valirann Gold (IRE)J: Ned Fox betstgeorge.com Top Prices On English Events Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21.5f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 1st 15/2
24 Mar 26 Taunton Whatmakes Honey B (IRE)J: Ben Godfrey Experience The Thrill With HotToTrot Racing Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24f · Good · 10 ran 6th 25/1
14 Mar 26 Fontwell Valirann Gold (IRE)J: Ben Godfrey tigerbet.co.uk Money Back Specials Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 18f · Soft · 4 ran 4th 4/1
06 Mar 26 Exeter Valirann Gold (IRE)J: Gavin Sheehan Klargester Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 19f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 3rd 9/1
25 Feb 26 Wincanton Whatmakes Honey B (IRE)J: Chad Bament Cheltenham Preview 5th March At Wincanton Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good To Soft · 9 ran PU 9/1
14 Feb 26 Wincanton Valirann Gold (IRE)J: Ben Godfrey No One's As Vegas As BetMGM Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Heavy · 7 ran PU 11/1
03 Feb 26 Taunton Whatmakes Honey B (IRE)J: Chad Bament www.ledorneyvillascornwall.co.uk Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19f · Heavy · 10 ran 4th 25/1
17 Jan 26 Taunton Valirann Gold (IRE)J: Sean Bowen Gaynor Carr Memorial Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 5th 7/2
09 Jan 26 Exeter Whatmakes Honey B (IRE)J: Chad Bament Bet On PricedUp Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 9th 40/1
18 Dec 25 Exeter Valirann Gold (IRE)J: Ned Fox Download The PricedUp App Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 19f · Heavy · 9 ran 2nd 4/1
05 Dec 25 Exeter Dreamfyre Dancer (GB)J: Ned Fox Ludo Sports & Live Lounge Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16.5f · Soft · 15 ran 13th 300/1
23 Nov 25 Exeter Valirann Gold (IRE)J: Ned Fox Pencarrie Derby Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 6th 10/1
07 Nov 25 Fontwell Whatmakes Honey B (IRE)J: Bryan Carver Southern Cranes And Access Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 17.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran PU 50/1
07 Nov 25 Fontwell Valirann Gold (IRE)J: Bryan Carver Bob And Liz Clark Silver Wedding Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 3rd 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Harriet Brown's strike rate?
Harriet Brown has won 6 of 158 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 3.8% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Harriet Brown's Fair A/E?
0.66, from 158 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 21 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).