Henk Grewe
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 14% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.16). New recruits from other yards win at 27% first time out (62 runs).
The record is strongest at Deauville (FR) (18.7%, n=123), clear of the yard's 14.1% baseline. New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 27.4% (n=62, Fair A/E 2.38), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 5.1% (n=79, Fair A/E 0.69). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 14.7% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.29 and +4.35 to a £1 stake over 136 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. A Hamelin rides 14% of the entries and beats the yard's average (22.7% vs 14.1%, A/E 2.04) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 5.1% over 79 runners, 9pts below the baseline. 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Shadwell Prix Daphnis at Deauville (FR) (Aug 2020, £26,695). Seasonally, the yard fires Nov–Dec.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 14.1% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 14.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2014→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 481 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 481 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 30 August 2014 to 28 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Henk Grewe's strike rate?
- Henk Grewe has won 68 of 481 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 14.1% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Henk Grewe do best at?
- Deauville (FR) by strike rate: 23 wins from 123 runners (18.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Henk Grewe?
- A Hamelin, with 66 runners since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 15 (22.7%).
- Is Henk Grewe in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Henk Grewe's Fair A/E?
- 1.16, from 472 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.