What is Jonathan Portman's strike rate?

Jonathan Portman has won 415 of 4,788 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.7% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Jonathan Portman do best at?

Bath by strike rate: 36 wins from 305 runners (11.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Jonathan Portman?

Rob Hornby, with 995 runners since 2008 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 102 (10.3%).

Is Jonathan Portman in form?

In the last 14 days: 17 runners, 1 winner, a strike rate of 5.9%. That is in line with the baseline of 8.7% since 2008.

What is Jonathan Portman's Fair A/E?

0.99, from 4,760 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Jonathan Portman

4,788 runners in the lifetime window · 481 individual horses

As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 1.4% of 289 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 4 Nov 2026.

Runners today 95% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

415–4,788

Wins / Runs

8.7%

Strike rate

n=4,788

1,277 (27%)

Placed

0.99

Fair A/E

n=4,760 · 0.84 incl. margin

−914.41

£1 level stake

n=4,788 at SP · −19.1%

£4.57m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 250 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 9% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.99). In Group and Graded company the record reads 11% (97 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 4,788 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 4 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jun–Jul 30% when favourite Rob Hornby: 10.3% from 995 New recruits: 10.6% Group/Graded: 11.3% Sends off the favourite in 6% of races

The read

Debutants struggle at 4.3% (n=414, Fair A/E 1.37). Rob Hornby rides 21% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (10.3%, A/E 1.06) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly in Hurdle races — 1.8% over 166 runners, 6.9pts below the baseline. 11 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Weatherbys Super Sprint at Newbury (Jul 2016, £122,925). The stable star of the record: Russian Rumour (IRE) — 10 wins from 64 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jun–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.7% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

8.1%−0.6

n=667 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −44.22

New recruits · first run for the yard

10.6%+1.9

n=47 · A/E 1.73 · £1 +8.50

Debutants · first career start

4.3%−4.4

n=414 · A/E 1.37 · £1 +27.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

5.5%−3.2

n=182 · A/E 0.80 · £1 +14.05

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

7.3%−1.4

n=55 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −26.50

When favourite

30%

n=293 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −21.61

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.8%−0.9

n=1,099 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −139.43

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

11.3%+2.6

n=97 · A/E 1.61 · £1 −0.67

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 15.8% vs 8.7% · n=398

With Joe Leavy 19.4% vs 8.7% · n=36

In Hurdle races 1.8% vs 8.7% · n=166

With horses switching code 1.9% vs 8.7% · n=104

With Pat Cosgrave 1.7% vs 8.7% · n=59

With debutants 4.3% vs 8.7% · n=414

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 4,552 407 8.9% −769.91

Hurdle 166 3 1.8% −131.00

Chase 41 3 7.3% −4.00

NH Flat 29 2 6.9% −9.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 1,597 134 8.4% −108.56

Good to Firm 1,117 111 9.9% −346.86

Good 962 81 8.4% −277.52

Good to Soft 464 28 6% −159.44

Soft 421 40 9.5% −1.42

Heavy 121 8 6.6% −22.00

Firm 106 13 12.3% +1.39

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 635 37 5.8% −156.91

Windsor 458 32 7% −206.48

Newbury 381 31 8.1% −69.47

Lingfield 380 32 8.4% +60.92

Wolverhampton (AW) 350 38 10.9% +12.49

Bath 305 36 11.8% −31.66

Salisbury 249 18 7.2% −71.25

Goodwood 219 20 9.1% −1.92

Chepstow 190 12 6.3% −105.06

Leicester 138 15 10.9% +24.10

Lingfield 137 15 10.9% −35.16

Sandown 136 15 11% −5.76

Chelmsford (AW) 134 14 10.4% −28.38

Brighton 121 14 11.6% −10.14

Nottingham 96 9 9.4% −49.04

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 1,811 162 8.9% −311.19

Class 6 1,468 132 9% −152.06

Class 4 917 73 8% −359.47

Class 3 260 20 7.7% −103.32

Class 2 222 17 7.7% +25.30

Class 1 97 11 11.3% −0.67

Class 7 11 0 0% −11.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 363 107 29.5% 1.14 −11.74

2nd–3rd fav 894 127 14.2% 0.89 −226.67

4th–6th fav 1,539 117 7.6% 0.97 −223.00

7th+ in betting 1,992 64 3.2% 1.03 −453.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 1,590 122 7.7% −397.88

1m2f – 1m4f 1,231 106 8.6% −392.24

1m – 1m1f 1,104 109 9.9% +31.98

1m5f – 2m 383 26 6.8% −175.11

Under 6f 341 44 12.9% +79.09

2m1f – 2m4f 83 6 7.2% −24.25

2m5f – 3m 51 2 3.9% −31.00

Over 3m 5 0 0% −5.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 194 13 6.7% +18.25

2009 221 11 5% −48.12

2010 227 11 4.8% −122.75

2011 279 23 8.2% −84.00

2012 254 20 7.9% −61.37

2013 232 15 6.5% −50.00

2014 254 21 8.3% −61.25

2015 222 21 9.5% +137.93

2016 225 22 9.8% −51.51

2017 200 15 7.5% +49.69

2018 243 33 13.6% +42.73

2019 267 22 8.2% −123.32

2020 285 21 7.4% −145.17

2021 280 18 6.4% −152.43

2022 277 31 11.2% −80.38

2023 283 20 7.1% −96.55

2024 277 25 9% −83.56

2025 292 45 15.4% +20.96

2026 276 28 10.1% −23.56

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 3,152 315 10% −613.09

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 1,651 152 9.2% −313.07

11-13 runners 1,555 107 6.9% −304.87

5-7 runners 771 101 13.1% −71.44

14-16 runners 610 39 6.4% −147.87

17+ runners 147 4 2.7% −78.50

2-4 runners 54 12 22.2% +1.34

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Joe Packet (GB) 66 7 20 5 Sep 17

Russian Rumour (IRE) 64 10 22 4 Nov 26

Sweet Reward (IRE) 61 9 20 18 Sep 26

Way Of Life (GB) 59 9 30 1 Aug 26

Hellavapace (GB) 58 3 27 25 Jul 25

Mrembo (GB) 54 6 20 5 Oct 26

Two Tempting (IRE) 51 9 21 23 Sep 26

Broad Appeal (GB) 50 5 17 25 Feb 26

Strike (GB) 47 5 19 7 Oct 26

Russian Rave (GB) 45 5 15 27 Oct 12

Balmoral Castle (GB) 44 8 20 12 Sep 19

Ashazuri (GB) 43 6 14 16 Dec 20

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 481 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 18 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 5 arrived from another yard in our archive; 55 had their first archived run for this yard.

9 have since run for another yard; 51 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Steady

1 from 17 5.9% · −2.8pts vs baseline

Last 14 days5.9%

Lifetime base8.7%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

598119101087796

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderRob Hornby

21% of all rides
10.3% SR · A/E 1.06

RiderRWSR£1

Rob Hornby 995 102 10.3% −174.99

Richard Kingscote 322 37 11.5% −4.85

Tyler Saunders 171 18 10.5% −42.62

Olivia Tubb 167 23 13.8% +6.86

James Doyle 98 9 9.2% +7.50

Trevor Whelan 97 8 8.2% −49.37

Matthew Lawson 96 6 6.3% −21.00

Jim Crowley 93 6 6.5% −32.25

Hector Crouch 89 12 13.5% −22.50

Luke Morris 88 4 4.5% −53.00

Danny Brock 78 9 11.5% +168.00

Stephen Craine 77 7 9.1% −12.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

453

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£4.88m

Prize money

2025

Best season · 45 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Mrs Danvers (GB) — Weatherbys Super Sprint Newbury · Jul 2016 · Class 2

£122,925

Spanish Bounty (GB) — toteswinger Heritage Handicap Newmarket · Jul 2008 · Class 2

£62,310

Rumstar (GB) — Coral Charge (Group 3) (Registered As The Sprint Stakes) Sandown · Jul 2026 · Group 3

£53,875

Notable horses

Russian Rumour (IRE) Sweet Reward (IRE) Way Of Life (GB) Two Tempting (IRE) Balmoral Castle (GB) Ickymasho (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Lethal Force (IRE) 11.4% · 13–114

Progeny have won 10.7% of 4,269 runs since 2017 (268 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.1% from 358.

Acclamation (GB) 11.1% · 12–108

Progeny have won 10% of 19,711 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 195.

Hellvelyn (GB) 7.5% · 8–106

Progeny have won 7.1% of 1,952 runs since 2014 (162 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 11.7% from 256.

Havana Gold (IRE) 13% · 13–100

Progeny have won 9.5% of 5,063 runs since 2017 (402 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.2% from 118. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13% from 523. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.2% from 177.

New Bay (GB) 16.8% · 16–95

Progeny have won 14.3% of 3,995 runs since 2020 (426 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.8% from 102.

Footstepsinthesand (GB) 10.3% · 9–87

Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,804 runs since 2009 (937 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 320.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 5,334 · newest first

The latest 50 of 5,334 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 4 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

04 Nov 26 Kempton (AW) Head Girl (GB)J: Callum Hutchinson Try Unibet's Smartview Racecards Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard / Slow · 14 ran 13th 66/1

04 Nov 26 Nottingham Russian Rumour (IRE)J: Olivia Tubb Racedays For £9 At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 13 ran 5th 25/1

04 Nov 26 Nottingham Personal Best (GB)J: Rob Hornby Racedays For £9 At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 13 ran 3rd 4/1F

04 Nov 26 Nottingham Campenaerts (GB)J: Rob Hornby Ladies Day 8th May On Sale Now Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Soft · 10 ran 1st 5/1

02 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Past Passion (GB)J: Rob Hornby AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 11/4F

31 Oct 26 Newmarket Highland Frost (GB)J: Rob Hornby Idee 158. German Derby In Hamburg Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 9f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 9th 14/1

29 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Box Clever (GB)J: Rob Hornby Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 11f · Standard · 7 ran 7th 33/1

29 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Forever Faithfull (GB)J: Rob Hornby ARC All Weather Bonus Is Back Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 8th 40/1

29 Oct 26 Bath Thunderous Love (GB)J: Olivia Tubb Oakenson Ltd Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5.5f · Soft · 12 ran 7th 7/2

29 Oct 26 Bath Sarfraj (GB)J: Hector Crouch David Cole Memorial EBF Novice Stakes (Div II) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Soft · 10 ran 8th 40/1

28 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Fifth Amendment (IRE)J: Callum Hutchinson Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 9 ran 3rd 66/1

28 Oct 26 Nottingham Campenaerts (GB)J: Rob Hornby Halloween Spooktacular Fireworks 31st Oct Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Soft · 9 ran 2nd 22/1

27 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Newfangled (IRE)J: Billy Loughnane Midnite It's Actually Pretty Good Handicap StakesClass 4 · 9.5f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 5/1

27 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Taran Bolta (GB)J: Rob Hornby AWC Season 14 Has Begun Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 8.5f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 16/1

27 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) True Impact (IRE)J: Harry Davies AWC Season 14 Has Begun Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 8.5f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 150/1

24 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Splintered (GB)J: Rob Hornby AWC Season 14 Has Begun EBF Maiden Stakes (Div I) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 150/1

23 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Holliesthedollie (GB)J: Harry Davies Awc Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 9th 25/1

20 Oct 26 Yarmouth Thunderous Love (GB)J: Rob Hornby Brandford Restaurants & Bar Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 6f · Soft · 9 ran 5th 9/1

19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Cubbie's Dream (GB)J: Harry Davies Download The At The Races App Nursery Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 50/1

19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Better Nature (GB)J: Clifford Lee Download The At The Races App Nursery Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 1st 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 3 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 5 runs (won 1, 1 did not run) · to 2 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Jonathan Portman's strike rate?: Jonathan Portman has won 415 of 4,788 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.7% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Jonathan Portman do best at?: Bath by strike rate: 36 wins from 305 runners (11.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Jonathan Portman?: Rob Hornby, with 995 runners since 2008 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 102 (10.3%).
Is Jonathan Portman in form?: In the last 14 days: 17 runners, 1 winner, a strike rate of 5.9%. That is in line with the baseline of 8.7% since 2008.
What is Jonathan Portman's Fair A/E?: 0.99, from 4,760 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.