Josh Halley
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 10 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.96).
The record is strongest at Dundalk (AW) (7.9%, n=38), clear of the yard's 4.6% baseline. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=36, Fair A/E 0.00). Andrew Slattery rides 23% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (6%, A/E 1.78) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well over 2m1f – 2m4f (8.3%, n=36) and on Standard (AW) going (7.9%, n=38). The record reads poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 0% over 35 runners, 4.6pts below the baseline.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 4.6% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2022→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 216 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 216 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 8 July 2022 to 1 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 7 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · to 7 Oct 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Josh Halley's strike rate?
- Josh Halley has won 10 of 216 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.6% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Josh Halley do best at?
- Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 3 wins from 38 runners (7.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Josh Halley?
- Andrew Slattery, with 50 runners since 2008 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (6%).
- Is Josh Halley in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Josh Halley's Fair A/E?
- 0.96, from 215 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.