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Trainer profile

Laura Hourigan

154 runners in the lifetime window · 13 individual horses
As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 13 days ago 95% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
16–154
Wins / Runs
10.4%
Strike rate
n=154
33 (21%)
Placed
1.65
n=154 · 1.29 incl. margin
−24.50
£1 level stake
n=154 at SP · −15.9%
£138k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
11.1%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.65). With a claiming rider up the record reads 13% (72 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 154 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 12 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 12.5%
The read

The record is strongest at Dundalk (AW) (28.3%, n=46), clear of the yard's 10.4% baseline. The yard also reads well on Standard (AW) going (27.1%, n=48). The record reads poorly on Good going — 2.1% over 47 runners, 8.3pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Notforalongtime (GB) — 7 wins from 56 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4.3%−6.1
n=23 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −13.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−10.4
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−10.4
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
100%+89.6
n=2 · A/E 10.90 · £1 +14.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
8.3%−2.1
n=12 · A/E 3.21 · £1 +22.00
When favourite
60%
n=5 · A/E 2.85 · £1 +5.50
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
12.5%+2.1
n=72 · A/E 1.78 · £1 +5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Dundalk (AW) 28.3% vs 10.4% · n=46
On Standard (AW) going 27.1% vs 10.4% · n=48
With C&D winners 24.4% vs 10.4% · n=41
On Good going 2.1% vs 10.4% · n=47
On Soft going 2.9% vs 10.4% · n=34
With a new jockey booking 6.3% vs 10.4% · n=63
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 146 16 11% −16.50
Hurdle 7 0 0% −7.00
NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 48 13 27.1% +55.00
Good 47 1 2.1% −39.00
Soft 34 1 2.9% −24.00
Heavy 14 0 0% −14.00
Good to Soft 7 0 0% −7.00
Good to Firm 4 1 25% +4.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 46 13 28.3% +57.00
Curragh 17 0 0% −17.00
Cork 15 1 6.7% −7.00
Leopardstown 14 1 7.1% −5.50
Limerick 11 0 0% −11.00
Listowel 9 0 0% −9.00
Galway 7 1 14.3% +3.00
Gowran Park 5 0 0% −5.00
Tipperary 4 0 0% −4.00
Roscommon 4 0 0% −4.00
Killarney 4 0 0% −4.00
Fairyhouse 3 0 0% −3.00
Naas 3 0 0% −3.00
Ballinrobe 3 0 0% −3.00
Sligo 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 9 4 44.4% 2.39 +5.50
2nd–3rd fav 17 5 29.4% 2.34 +14.00
4th–6th fav 38 5 13.2% 1.58 +0.00
7th+ in betting 90 2 2.2% 0.73 −44.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Notforalongtime (GB)from Michael Hourigan 56 7 14 9 Sep 26
Unterberg (IRE)from G M Lyons 33 7 11 30 Oct 26
Pimstrel (IRE)from Jarlath P Fahey · then G A Kingston 13 1 3 15 May 24
She's On The Ball (IRE)from Clive Cox 9 1 3 15 Oct 26
Ask Phil (IRE) 5 0 0 11 Aug 25
Chagall (IRE)from Michael Hourigan · then Jack Jones 5 0 0 7 Sep 22
Run Forrest Run (IRE)from Thomas Coyle 4 0 0 29 Sep 26
Monty Man (IRE)from K R Burke 3 0 0 6 Jul 23
Certosa (IRE)then W J O'Doherty 2 0 0 24 Oct 25
All 13 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 13 horses listed, 11 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Michael Hourigan (2) and Richard John O'Brien (2); 2 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard; 10 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
203033000701552722
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Rory Mulligan 26 4 15.4% −5.50
Mark Enright 19 3 15.8% +5.00
Robbie Colgan 14 1 7.1% −2.00
Wayne Hassett 12 3 25% +35.50
W. M. Lordan 8 1 12.5% +0.00
Oisin McSweeney 8 4 50% +9.50
Seamie Heffernan 7 0 0% −7.00
Rory Cleary 7 0 0% −7.00
James Ryan 6 0 0% −6.00
Leigh Roche 6 0 0% −6.00
Phillip Enright 5 0 0% −5.00
Conor Stone-Walsh 4 0 0% −4.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2021→
16
Archived wins
£138k
Prize money
2025
Best season · 5 wins
Unterberg (IRE) — Dundalk Stadium Winter Series Awards Day Handicap Dundalk (AW) · Mar 2026
£8,835
Unterberg (IRE) — Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap Dundalk (AW) · Feb 2026
£7,670
Unterberg (IRE) — Irish Champions Festival Handicap (0-60) Leopardstown · Jul 2025
£7,080

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Paco Boy (IRE) 12.5% · 7–56
Progeny have won 9.2% of 3,451 runs since 2014 (269 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.9% from 103.
New Bay (GB) 21.2% · 7–33
Progeny have won 14.3% of 4,007 runs since 2020 (426 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.8% from 102.
Archipenko (USA) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 11.3% of 2,751 runs since 2013 (203 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 127.
Elusive Pimpernel (USA) 7.7% · 1–13
Progeny have won 7.7% of 3,158 runs since 2015 (317 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 10.7% from 384.
Blue Point (IRE) 11.1% · 1–9
Progeny have won 14% of 3,455 runs since 2023 (419 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 10.4% from 212.
Teofilo (IRE) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 12.5% of 10,092 runs since 2011 (908 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.2% from 628.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 154 · newest first

The latest 50 of 154 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 November 2021 to 30 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Unterberg (IRE)J: Rory Mulligan DNG Excellence Handicap9f · Yielding To Soft · 19 ran 8th 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 15 Oct 2026: fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 15 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Laura Hourigan's strike rate?
Laura Hourigan has won 16 of 154 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.4% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Laura Hourigan do best at?
Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 13 wins from 46 runners (28.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Laura Hourigan in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Laura Hourigan's Fair A/E?
1.65, from 154 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 12 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).