What is Liz Doyle's strike rate?

Liz Doyle has won 188 of 2,495 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.5% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Liz Doyle do best at?

Thurles by strike rate: 16 wins from 131 runners (12.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Liz Doyle?

Sean Flanagan, with 448 runners since 2008 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 36 (8%).

Is Liz Doyle in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Liz Doyle's Fair A/E?

0.95, from 2,495 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Liz Doyle

2,495 runners in the lifetime window · 298 individual horses

As at 2 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 8 days ago 90% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

188–2,495

Wins / Runs

7.5%

Strike rate

n=2,495

635 (26%)

Placed

0.95

Fair A/E

n=2,495 · 0.75 incl. margin

−728.70

£1 level stake

n=2,495 at SP · −29.2%

£2.66m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

4.5%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 130 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.95).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,495 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 2 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Sep–Oct Fresh horses: 8.3% 22.7% when favourite Sean Flanagan: 8% from 448 New recruits: 8.3% Sends off the favourite in 6% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Ballinrobe (13.6%, n=44) and Thurles (12.2%, n=131) — all clear of the yard's 7.5% baseline. A horse in first-time headgear are the standout value angle: 8.8% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.41 and +26.58 to a £1 stake over 136 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Sean Flanagan rides 18% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (8%, A/E 1.03) — the market has that partnership priced right. 13 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Pierse Hurdle at Leopardstown (Jan 2009, £66,000). The stable star of the record: Ballybawn Belter (IRE) — 6 wins from 30 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Sep–Oct.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.5% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

8.3%+0.8

n=565 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −151.37

New recruits · first run for the yard

8.3%+0.8

n=48 · A/E 1.94 · £1 −5.00

Debutants · first career start

8.1%+0.6

n=234 · A/E 1.23 · £1 −8.75

First-time headgear · true-first definition

8.8%+1.3

n=136 · A/E 1.41 · £1 +26.58

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

5.5%−2.0

n=91 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −53.55

When favourite

22.7%

n=154 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −50.49

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.3%−0.2

n=1,293 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −373.75

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

8.5%+1.0

n=141 · A/E 1.17 · £1 +2.17

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Donagh Meyler 17.5% vs 7.5% · n=63

With M P Fogarty 17.9% vs 7.5% · n=39

With A P Heskin 17.4% vs 7.5% · n=46

With Mr M M O'Connor 0% vs 7.5% · n=30

At Ballinrobe 13.6% vs 7.5% · n=44

At Thurles 12.2% vs 7.5% · n=131

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,368 95 6.9% −429.92

Chase 569 47 8.3% −152.34

NH Flat 307 32 10.4% −25.94

Flat 251 14 5.6% −120.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 968 79 8.2% −103.11

Heavy 587 51 8.7% −194.45

Good 558 38 6.8% −262.30

Good to Soft 238 13 5.5% −112.84

Good to Firm 78 5 6.4% −8.00

Standard (AW) 61 2 3.3% −43.00

Firm 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Punchestown 233 15 6.4% −69.52

Tramore 178 18 10.1% −22.23

Fairyhouse 178 10 5.6% −66.92

Limerick 169 11 6.5% −85.70

Cork 162 9 5.6% −58.50

Clonmel 154 13 8.4% −16.25

Thurles 131 16 12.2% +23.31

Gowran Park 125 11 8.8% +0.00

Navan 124 6 4.8% −89.85

Wexford 114 10 8.8% −48.82

Naas 96 10 10.4% +24.00

Kilbeggan 93 6 6.5% −48.80

Leopardstown 89 8 9% +19.00

Down Royal 85 9 10.6% −7.75

Tipperary 61 2 3.3% −51.67

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 144 12 8.3% −0.83

Class 2 3 0 0% −3.00

Class 3 2 0 0% −2.00

Class 4 2 0 0% −2.00

Class 5 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 189 42 22.2% 0.92 −55.24

2nd–3rd fav 450 51 11.3% 0.79 −174.46

4th–6th fav 732 60 8.2% 1.13 −69.00

7th+ in betting 1,124 35 3.1% 1.00 −430.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m1f – 2m4f 889 79 8.9% −181.15

1m5f – 2m 886 69 7.8% −193.85

2m5f – 3m 518 31 6% −245.70

6f – 7f 56 4 7.1% +1.00

Over 3m 54 1 1.9% −48.00

1m – 1m1f 44 3 6.8% −18.00

1m2f – 1m4f 41 1 2.4% −36.00

Under 6f 7 0 0% −7.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 113 4 3.5% −40.00

2009 111 6 5.4% −20.17

2010 86 6 7% −28.75

2011 97 4 4.1% −61.75

2012 105 7 6.7% −36.17

2013 139 12 8.6% +26.75

2014 147 27 18.4% +105.18

2015 164 16 9.8% −25.25

2016 179 19 10.6% −40.31

2017 183 13 7.1% −98.09

2018 159 10 6.3% −63.55

2019 194 11 5.7% −92.25

2020 131 12 9.2% −41.00

2021 134 6 4.5% −93.12

2022 154 14 9.1% +3.50

2023 135 10 7.4% −54.25

2024 99 3 3% −85.59

2025 99 5 5.1% −55.00

2026 66 3 4.5% −28.88

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,235 82 6.6% −306.92

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

14-16 runners 737 51 6.9% −240.81

17+ runners 608 29 4.8% −147.42

11-13 runners 603 39 6.5% −266.39

8-10 runners 417 50 12% −68.72

5-7 runners 122 16 13.1% −2.50

2-4 runners 8 3 37.5% −2.86

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

86.2% completed · 1,937 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 569 77.7% 37 23 59 4 4

Hurdle 1,368 89.7% 28 10 96 4 3

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Scalor (FR) 40 2 8 18 Oct 23

Flash De Touzaine (FR) 34 4 11 25 May 26

Fox Le Bel (FR) 34 0 13 17 Jan 26

On Your Way (GB) 34 1 5 27 Apr 11

Nipper John (IRE)then Peter Fahey 32 1 9 10 Feb 11

Borolee (IRE)then Ferdy Murphy 31 3 4 17 Mar 13

Ballybawn Belter (IRE) 30 6 13 5 Oct 26

Bois De Clamart (FR) 30 5 11 24 Feb 24

Clody Valley (IRE) 29 2 10 9 Jun 23

Penny's Bill (IRE) 29 3 8 21 Jul 13

Cayd Boy (FR) 28 3 10 9 Nov 25

Reality Dose (IRE) 28 2 5 1 Mar 15

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 298 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 14 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 4 arrived from another yard in our archive; 56 had their first archived run for this yard.

20 have since run for another yard, most often for John Flint (2); 40 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 1

Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

781176257111367

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderSean Flanagan

18% of all rides
8% SR · A/E 1.03

RiderRWSR£1

Sean Flanagan 448 36 8% −99.38

Sean O'Keeffe 185 9 4.9% −75.50

Brian O'Connell 166 14 8.4% +17.78

Mr Finian Maguire 114 10 8.8% −72.31

Richard Deegan 110 10 9.1% −5.00

James O'Sullivan 95 6 6.3% −46.75

Donagh Meyler 63 11 17.5% −3.67

Adam Short 53 4 7.5% −10.30

Mark Walsh 52 4 7.7% −35.00

Declan Bates 48 4 8.3% −18.50

Kevin Sexton 48 5 10.4% +28.33

A P Heskin 46 8 17.4% +17.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

199

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.80m

Prize money

2014

Best season · 27 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Penny's Bill (IRE) — Pierse Hurdle (Extended Handicap (0-145) Leopardstown · Jan 2009 · Grade B

£66,000

Ballybawn Belter (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms Ebf Paddy Mullins Mares Handicap Hurdle (grade B) Leopardstown · Feb 2023 · Grade B

£59,000

Last Goodbye (IRE) — Chanelle Pharma Handicap Chase (Grade A) Leopardstown · Feb 2018 · Grade A

£59,000

Notable horses

Ballybawn Belter (IRE) Last Goodbye (IRE) Penny's Bill (IRE) Bois De Clamart (FR) Flash De Touzaine (FR) Burlesque Queen (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Martaline (GB) 14.4% · 14–97

Progeny have won 14.2% of 7,347 runs since 2008 (723 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.4% from 128. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10% from 120.

Luso (GB) 3.5% · 3–85

Progeny have won 6.7% of 3,516 runs since 2008 (389 horses).

Westerner (GB) 9.9% · 7–71

Progeny have won 12.2% of 11,851 runs since 2009 (943 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.

Craigsteel (GB) 4.9% · 3–61

Progeny have won 10.1% of 3,393 runs since 2008 (262 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.5% from 291. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.9% from 763.

No Risk At All (FR) 9.1% · 5–55

Progeny have won 14.4% of 3,142 runs since 2016 (438 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 17.5% from 949.

Kapgarde (FR) 11.1% · 6–54

Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,628 runs since 2008 (725 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 2 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,727 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,727 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 January 2005 to 25 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

25 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Leni's Law (IRE)J: Richard Deegan Brasserie On The Corner Handicap Steeplechase18f · Soft To Heavy · 13 ran 5th 22/1

14 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Manu Reva (FR)J: Mr B T Stone Matchbook €50,000 Graduation Series Flat Race16.5f · Good · 11 ran 1st 28/1

13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Cinnabar Moth (IRE)J: Philip Donovan William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (Div I)20f · Good · 15 ran 8th 18/1

08 Oct 26 Tramore (IRE) Long Goodbye (FR)J: Miss Georgie Benson Copper Coast (Ladies Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Yielding · 8 ran 1st 85/40F

05 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Gypsy Poet (IRE)J: Harry Sexton Fairyhouse Racecourse Handicap Hurdle24f · Good · 14 ran PU 100/30F

05 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Ballybawn Belter (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Spin Southwest Maiden11f · Soft · 7 ran 1st 4/1

03 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Leni's Law (IRE)J: Sean Flanagan SIS Supporting Irish Racing Beginners Steeplechase20f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 4th 125/1

28 Sep 26 Roscommon (IRE) Madison Twist (FR)J: Mr B Doyle Murphy GavinLynchRacing.com Flat Race15.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 7th 100/1

21 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Ballybawn Belter (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Eric Browne Memorial Maiden12f · Yielding · 11 ran 6th 17/2

19 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Mister Moon (IRE)J: Mr B Doyle Murphy BAR 1 Betting 'Best Odds Guaranteed Overnight' Flat Race16f · Good · 13 ran 13th 66/1

19 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Cinnabar Moth (IRE)J: Sean Flanagan Millbrook Food Group 100 Years Celebration Handicap Hurdle (Div I)19f · Good · 15 ran 10th 28/1

07 Sep 26 Galway (IRE) Elusive Moon (IRE)J: Mr B Doyle Murphy Kenny Developments Irish EBF Mares Flat Race16.5f · Soft · 18 ran 6th 33/1

07 Sep 26 Galway (IRE) Gypsy Poet (IRE)J: Simon Torrens WTW Willis Handicap Hurdle (Div I)22.5f · Yielding · 19 ran 4th 14/1

01 Sep 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Ballybawn Belter (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Racing Again September 19th Maiden14f · Yielding · 13 ran 2nd 28/1

28 Aug 26 Down Royal (IRE) Gypsy Poet (IRE)J: Josh Williamson Tayto Group Limited Handicap Hurdle24f · Good · 15 ran 7th 8/1

16 Aug 26 Tramore (IRE) Marv Michael (IRE)J: Harry Sexton McCarthy's Irish Bar Lexington Handicap Steeplechase22f · Good · 10 ran 8th 12/1

14 Aug 26 Tramore (IRE) Ryan's Son (IRE)J: Eoghan Finegan Comeragh Veterinary Kilmackthomas Handicap Hurdle21f · Good · 10 ran 7th 7/1

14 Aug 26 Tramore (IRE) Cinnabar Moth (IRE)J: Charlie O'Dwyer John Fairbrother Memorial Mares Handicap Hurdle16.5f · Good · 9 ran 4th 16/1

31 Jul 26 Galway (IRE) Ballybawn Belter (IRE)J: Harry Cobden Guinness Galway Blazers Handicap Steeplechase22.5f · Good · 20 ran PU 14/1

23 Jul 26 Wexford (IRE) Cinnabar Moth (IRE)J: Richard Deegan Park Run At Wexford Saturday Mornings Handicap Hurdle (Div I)16.5f · Good · 12 ran 9th 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 5 Oct 2026: fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 1) · to 5 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Liz Doyle's strike rate?: Liz Doyle has won 188 of 2,495 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.5% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Liz Doyle do best at?: Thurles by strike rate: 16 wins from 131 runners (12.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Liz Doyle?: Sean Flanagan, with 448 runners since 2008 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 36 (8%).
Is Liz Doyle in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Liz Doyle's Fair A/E?: 0.95, from 2,495 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.