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Trainer profile

M M Rice

217 runners in the lifetime window · 23 individual horses
As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 6 days ago
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
8–217
Wins / Runs
3.7%
Strike rate
n=217
30 (14%)
Placed
0.80
n=217 · 0.64 incl. margin
−119.55
£1 level stake
n=217 at SP · −55.1%
£99,519
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.80).

Deterministic profile computed from 217 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 5 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 3.8%
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=44, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 3.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.81 and −53.25 to a £1 stake over 133 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. The yard also reads well off a 8-14-day break (8.6%, n=35) and over 2m1f – 2m4f (8.1%, n=37). The record reads poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 0% over 34 runners, 3.7pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−3.7
n=44 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −44.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−3.7
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−3.7
n=20 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −20.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−3.7
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−3.7
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
When favourite
11.1%
n=9 · A/E 0.57 · £1 −5.25
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.8%+0.1
n=133 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −53.25

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With horses switching code 9.4% vs 3.7% · n=32
Off a 8-14-day break 8.6% vs 3.7% · n=35
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 8.1% vs 3.7% · n=37
Over 1m5f – 2m 0% vs 3.7% · n=34
Off a 61-180-day break 0% vs 3.7% · n=33
With C&D winners 6.5% vs 3.7% · n=31
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 145 5 3.4% −63.25
Hurdle 44 2 4.5% −35.30
Chase 19 1 5.3% −12.00
NH Flat 9 0 0% −9.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 79 4 5.1% −6.25
Good 47 2 4.3% −33.50
Soft 43 2 4.7% −31.80
Good to Soft 23 0 0% −23.00
Heavy 23 0 0% −23.00
Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 79 4 5.1% −6.25
Down Royal 20 2 10% −8.50
Navan 19 0 0% −19.00
Fairyhouse 15 0 0% −15.00
Leopardstown 13 0 0% −13.00
Punchestown 12 1 8.3% −3.00
Naas 10 0 0% −10.00
Downpatrick 8 0 0% −8.00
Gowran Park 7 0 0% −7.00
Bellewstown 7 0 0% −7.00
Kilbeggan 7 1 14.3% −2.80
Limerick 4 0 0% −4.00
Sligo 3 0 0% −3.00
Ayr 3 0 0% −3.00
Galway 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 10 1 10% 0.52 −6.25
2nd–3rd fav 17 2 11.8% 0.83 −8.30
4th–6th fav 35 4 11.4% 1.72 −1.00
7th+ in betting 155 1 0.6% 0.30 −104.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Picpoul (IRE) 43 3 12 24 Aug 25
Jinxs Link (IRE) 27 2 5 24 Apr 26
Proleek Prince (IRE) 25 2 5 7 Jun 26
My Vonnie (IRE) 21 0 1 16 Oct 26
Gimmieminnie (IRE)then Daragh Bourke 15 0 1 17 Dec 25
Siofra Beag (IRE) 7 0 0 6 Jun 26
Glenfane (IRE) 7 0 0 6 Jun 14
Brohatna (IRE) 6 0 0 24 Jul 26
Lough Alina (IRE) 6 0 0 16 May 24
Thistle Cross (IRE) 5 0 0 20 Jun 26
Menhir (IRE) 4 0 0 6 Jul 24
All 23 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 23 horses listed, 3 arrived from another yard in our archive; 20 had their first archived run for this yard.

2 have since run for another yard; 21 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
50000041160134
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Rory Mulligan 19 1 5.3% −9.00
Robert Whearty 14 2 14.3% −2.25
Dylan Browne McMonagle 13 1 7.7% −4.00
Dillon Maxwell 12 1 8.3% −5.00
P J O'Hanlon 10 0 0% −10.00
J J Slevin 10 2 20% −1.30
Aleesha McArdle 9 0 0% −9.00
Jack Kearney 8 0 0% −8.00
Wesley Joyce 8 0 0% −8.00
Sean Bird 5 0 0% −5.00
Adam Caffrey 5 0 0% −5.00
Sean O'Keeffe 5 0 0% −5.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→
8
Archived wins
£99,519
Prize money
2024
Best season · 3 wins
Proleek Prince (IRE) — William Hill Top Price Guarantee Handicap (50-80) Dundalk (AW) · Nov 2024
£7,080
Proleek Prince (IRE) — William Hill Offers Proper Prices Handicap (50-75) Punchestown · Sep 2024
£6,490
Jinxs Link (IRE) — Kerry Foods Handicap Hurdle (80-109) Down Royal · Aug 2024
£6,490

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Gale Force Ten (GB) 7% · 3–43
Progeny have won 9.9% of 1,129 runs since 2018 (74 horses).
Dylan Thomas (IRE) 6.1% · 2–33
Progeny have won 10.5% of 7,493 runs since 2011 (533 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17.7% from 192.
Millkom (GB) 3.6% · 1–28
Progeny have won 9.6% of 415 runs since 2008 (43 horses).
Palavicini (USA) 8% · 2–25
Progeny have won 4.5% of 269 runs since 2015 (16 horses).
Make Believe (GB) 0% · 0–21
Progeny have won 11.1% of 3,624 runs since 2019 (298 horses).
Kuroshio (AUS) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 7.4% of 1,311 runs since 2018 (120 horses). Weakest on Good going: 3.8% from 288.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 217 · newest first

The latest 50 of 217 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 10 October 2013 to 30 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
22 May 26 Downpatrick Brohatna (IRE)J: J J Slevin Randox Maiden Hurdle19f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 5th 22/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 19 Oct 2026: top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · to 19 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is M M Rice's strike rate?
M M Rice has won 8 of 217 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 3.7% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does M M Rice do best at?
Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 4 wins from 79 runners (5.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is M M Rice in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is M M Rice's Fair A/E?
0.80, from 217 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 5 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).