M M Rice
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 10 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.80).
Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=44, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 3.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.81 and −53.25 to a £1 stake over 133 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. The yard also reads well off a 8-14-day break (8.6%, n=35) and over 2m1f – 2m4f (8.1%, n=37). The record reads poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 0% over 34 runners, 3.7pts below the baseline.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 3.7% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2013→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 217 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 217 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 10 October 2013 to 30 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 19 Oct 2026: top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · to 19 Oct 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is M M Rice's strike rate?
- M M Rice has won 8 of 217 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 3.7% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does M M Rice do best at?
- Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 4 wins from 79 runners (5.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Is M M Rice in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is M M Rice's Fair A/E?
- 0.80, from 217 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.