What is M Seror's strike rate?

M Seror has won 264 of 3,042 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.7% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does M Seror do best at?

Fontainebleau by strike rate: 8 wins from 64 runners (12.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for M Seror?

L Philipperon, with 279 runners since 2008 — 9% of the total. That pairing has won 33 (11.8%).

In the last 14 days: 40 runners, 6 winners, a strike rate of 15%. That is above the baseline of 8.7% since 2008.

What is M Seror's Fair A/E?

0.99, from 2,996 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

M Seror

3,042 runners in the lifetime window · 688 individual horses

As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 2.3% of 642 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 5 Nov 2026.

In form — 6 winners last 14 days Last runner yesterday

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2010→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

264–3,042

Wins / Runs

8.7%

Strike rate

n=3,042

814 (27%)

Placed

0.99

Fair A/E

n=2,996 · 0.82 incl. margin

−473.63

£1 level stake

n=3,027 at SP · −15.6%

£13.0m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10.7%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 160 runners a season, winning with 9% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.99). The yard is in form now — 6 winners in the last fortnight, above its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 3,042 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 5 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Apr–May 26.8% when favourite L Philipperon: 11.8% from 279 Sends off the favourite in 7% of races

The read

It is weakest at Enghien (FR) (3.1% over 228 runners) — the widest gap in the record. The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 6.2% strike, Fair A/E 0.78 and −315.90 to a £1 stake over 809 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Right now the yard is firing: 6 winners from 40 runners in the last 14 days (15%, 6.3pts above the 8.7% baseline). L Philipperon rides 9% of the entries and edges the yard's average (11.8% vs 8.7%, A/E 1.31) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well on Good to Soft going (13.9%, n=137) and in Class 3 (15.4%, n=39). 41 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix du President de la Republique Handicap) at Auteuil (FR) (Apr 2026, £91,957). The stable star of the record: Le Roi David (FR) — 6 wins from 37 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Apr–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.7% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

6.2%−2.5

n=809 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −315.90

New recruits · first run for the yard

6.4%−2.3

n=281 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −81.40

Debutants · first career start

6%−2.7

n=414 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −71.10

First-time headgear · true-first definition

8.1%−0.6

n=283 · A/E 1.03 · £1 +15.80

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

8.2%−0.5

n=97 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −49.75

When favourite

26.8%

n=224 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −41.31

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.8%−0.9

n=735 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −215.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

6.4%−2.3

n=641 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −256.30

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Pierre-Charles Boudot 16.7% vs 8.7% · n=84

With Gregory Adam 0% vs 8.7% · n=41

At Enghien (FR) 3.1% vs 8.7% · n=228

On last-time-out winners 14.1% vs 8.7% · n=241

On Good to Soft going 13.9% vs 8.7% · n=137

In Class 3 15.4% vs 8.7% · n=39

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,860 140 7.5% −468.46

Chase 672 71 10.6% −77.60

Flat 505 53 10.5% +77.43

NH Flat 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 1,651 160 9.7% −225.91

Heavy 1,020 64 6.3% −316.25

Standard (AW) 169 14 8.3% +31.58

Good to Soft 137 19 13.9% +56.35

Good 62 6 9.7% −24.40

Good to Firm 3 1 33.3% +5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Auteuil (FR) 1,583 129 8.1% −406.11

Compiegne 398 40 10.1% +4.80

Enghien (FR) 228 7 3.1% −113.00

Clairefontaine 131 11 8.4% −13.30

Chantilly 127 9 7.1% +18.40

Saint-Cloud (FR) 101 11 10.9% −10.40

Deauville (FR) 98 7 7.1% −29.42

Longchamp (FR) 73 7 9.6% +57.80

Fontainebleau 64 8 12.5% +14.55

Dieppe 55 6 10.9% +4.60

Cagnes-Sur-Mer 42 5 11.9% +3.10

Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 29 6 20.7% +30.30

Lyon Parilly 23 3 13% −15.50

Strasbourg 19 7 36.8% +13.65

Pau (FR) 10 0 0% −10.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 653 45 6.9% −189.80

Class 3 39 6 15.4% +5.88

Class 4 25 4 16% −1.40

Class 2 23 2 8.7% −6.50

Class 5 8 0 0% −8.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 241 62 25.7% 0.99 −52.01

2nd–3rd fav 593 80 13.5% 0.89 −151.32

4th–6th fav 886 66 7.4% 0.92 −204.60

7th+ in betting 1,307 55 4.2% 1.30 −65.70

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m1f – 2m4f 1,991 170 8.5% −476.56

1m5f – 2m 373 34 9.1% −11.95

2m5f – 3m 235 17 7.2% −60.35

1m2f – 1m4f 158 16 10.1% +27.13

1m – 1m1f 142 11 7.7% +22.50

6f – 7f 131 15 11.5% +28.10

Over 3m 6 0 0% −6.00

Under 6f 6 1 16.7% +3.50

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2010 27 0 0% −27.00

2011 62 1 1.6% −28.00

2012 85 4 4.7% −33.90

2013 137 3 2.2% −88.70

2014 140 8 5.7% −56.00

2015 132 6 4.5% −60.70

2016 107 6 5.6% −5.90

2017 90 12 13.3% +26.20

2018 107 11 10.3% −2.30

2019 129 14 10.9% +29.40

2020 166 15 9% +56.60

2021 164 16 9.8% −3.30

2022 194 18 9.3% −64.70

2023 266 33 12.4% −19.80

2024 320 25 7.8% −117.00

2025 345 31 9% −41.50

2026 571 61 10.7% −37.03

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,048 91 8.7% −170.70

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

11-13 runners 834 74 8.9% +15.33

8-10 runners 831 87 10.5% −47.57

14-16 runners 729 39 5.3% −327.15

5-7 runners 334 44 13.2% −63.94

17+ runners 287 16 5.6% −69.00

2-4 runners 27 4 14.8% +18.70

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

81% completed · 2,526 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 670 81.8% 46 9 60 2 5

Hurdle 1,856 80.7% 74 9 264 0 12

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Le Roi David (FR) 37 6 13 26 Sep 26

Golden Park (FR) 36 5 7 23 Sep 25

Kipour'son (FR)then J-L Bertin 34 0 11 14 Jun 17

Lovely Angel (FR)then M Drean 33 3 14 28 Oct 25

Futbolisto (FR)then P & C Peltier 28 3 6 28 Nov 21

Royal Piper (FR) 28 2 8 12 Apr 16

Rock And Roll (FR)from Simone Brogi 27 3 12 17 Oct 26

Jour Polaire (FR)from F-H Graffard 27 4 8 26 Aug 26

Jost (FR) 26 3 10 28 Oct 26

Dandy Du Seuil (FR) 25 4 10 16 Oct 23

Hextrawel Du Porto (FR)from Daniela Mele 23 5 10 23 Sep 23

Champenoise (FR) 22 4 7 13 Jan 19

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 688 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 11 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 19 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from C Boutin (2) and F-H Graffard (2); 41 had their first archived run for this yard.

15 have since run for another yard, most often for J-L Bertin (2) and P & C Peltier (2); 45 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

In form

6 from 40 15% · +6.3pts vs baseline

Last 14 days15%

Lifetime base8.7%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

77710109116101068

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderL Philipperon

9% of all rides
11.8% SR · A/E 1.31

RiderRWSR£1

L Philipperon 279 33 11.8% +90.18

Kevin Nabet 200 24 12% −55.80

A Madamet 167 18 10.8% −6.50

D Ubeda 155 8 5.2% −84.40

Felix De Giles 147 15 10.2% −9.80

Baptiste Le Clerc 145 12 8.3% −0.50

J Phelippe 135 17 12.6% +22.23

Nathan Howie 122 11 9% −3.40

Jonathan Plouganou 107 7 6.5% −4.10

Bryony Frost 104 12 11.5% +50.80

A Zuliani 100 5 5% −41.70

Pierre-Charles Boudot 84 14 16.7% +34.18

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2010→

264

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£13.0m

Prize money

2026

Best season · 61 wins

Keyreine Du Seuil (FR) — Prix du President de la Republique (Chase) Handicap) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Apr 2026 · Grade 3

£91,957

Altura (FR) — Prix Jean Stern (Chase) (4yo) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Apr 2025 · Grade 2

£87,397

Kalibre (FR) — Prix Montgomery (Groupe Iii) Auteuil (FR) · Oct 2026 · Class 1

£68,400

Notable horses

Le Roi David (FR) Golden Park (FR) Hextrawel Du Porto (FR) Jour Polaire (FR) Dandy Du Seuil (FR) Champenoise (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

American Devil (FR) 10.9% · 7–64

Progeny have won 7.9% of 546 runs since 2018 (78 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 4.9% from 144.

Doctor Dino (FR) 13.6% · 8–59

Progeny have won 16% of 3,224 runs since 2013 (497 horses). Strongest on Good going: 19.8% from 562. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.5% from 211. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19.7% from 694. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.7% from 138.

Galiway (GB) 12.5% · 7–56

Progeny have won 11.6% of 1,741 runs since 2019 (287 horses). Strongest on Good going: 15.4% from 266. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.1% from 394. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19.7% from 234. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 5.6% from 485.

Bathyrhon (GER) 15.4% · 8–52

Progeny have won 12.4% of 1,190 runs since 2019 (188 horses).

Jeu St Eloi (FR) 10.4% · 5–48

Progeny have won 13.9% of 805 runs since 2020 (157 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 20.2% from 124.

Goliath Du Berlais (FR) 18.2% · 8–44

Progeny have won 15.9% of 439 runs since 2024 (120 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 18.9% from 169. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 23.5% from 115.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,042 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,042 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 9 May 2010 to 4 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

04 Nov 26 Auteuil (FR) Lewis Du Seuil (FR)J: Baptiste Le Clerc Prix Thuya22f · Heavy · 7 ran 7th 10/1

04 Nov 26 Auteuil (FR) Lestru (FR)J: Arthur Duvacher Prix Thuya22f · Heavy · 7 ran 2nd 7/1

04 Nov 26 Auteuil (FR) Scilla (FR)J: Giany Pinard Prix Leopold Bara18f · Heavy · 13 ran PU 20/1

04 Nov 26 Auteuil (FR) Valserine (FR)J: Giany Pinard Prix Pre Catelan17.5f · Heavy · 13 ran 6th 33/1

04 Nov 26 Auteuil (FR) Ninette Du Seuil (FR)J: Ludovic Philipperon Prix Pre Catelan17.5f · Heavy · 13 ran 2nd 9/4F

04 Nov 26 Auteuil (FR) Lord Raffles (FR)J: Baptiste Le Clerc Prix Galop Marin19.5f · Heavy · 7 ran 6th 13/2

04 Nov 26 Auteuil (FR) Neverland Du Clos (FR)J: Joel Phelippe Prix Robert De Lipowski17.5f · Heavy · 7 ran F 5/1

04 Nov 26 Auteuil (FR) Nelson Du Seuil (FR)J: Ludovic Philipperon Prix Robert De Lipowski17.5f · Heavy · 7 ran 5th 4/1

01 Nov 26 Nancy (FR) Shalom (FR)J: Dorian Provost Prix Monastir10f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 6th 100/30

01 Nov 26 Nancy (FR) Djin's (FR)J: Dorian Provost Prix Saturne (asso Avenir)15f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 2nd 11/8F

31 Oct 26 Angers (FR) Victorstrung (FR)J: Jerome Moutard Prix Tello10f · Soft · 9 ran 3rd 6/4F

30 Oct 26 Lyon Parilly (FR) Steady Success (FR)J: Ludovic Philipperon Prix Du Mont BlancClass 3 · 19f · Very Soft · 10 ran 2nd 4/1

30 Oct 26 Lyon Parilly (FR) Fierte (FR)J: Ludovic Philipperon Prix Des Monts Du LyonnaisClass 4 · 17f · Very Soft · 13 ran 2nd 6/4F

30 Oct 26 Lyon Parilly (FR) Scarletts Star (FR)J: Ludovic Philipperon Prix Jocelyn Monnier - Prix D'acheresClass 3 · 17f · Very Soft · 13 ran 9th 5/1

30 Oct 26 Lyon Parilly (FR) Golden Thread (FR)J: Ludovic Philipperon Prix Du Mont VentouxClass 3 · 17f · Very Soft · 10 ran 2nd 9/4F

30 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Gelden Grey (FR)J: Pierre-Charles Boudot Prix De L'epinay9.5f · Standard · 8 ran 2nd 7/2

30 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Roulette (FR)J: Pierre-Charles Boudot Prix Du Buste De Francois-AndreClass 3 · 12.5f · Standard · 9 ran 1st 15/8F

30 Oct 26 Lyon Parilly (FR) Niagara Du Seuil (FR)J: Dorian Provost Prix Du TremblayClass 1 · 12f · Very Soft · 9 ran 1st 11/10F

29 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Tajmaly (FR)J: Ludovic Philipperon Prix Du Theatre Imperial Du Chateau De FontainebleauClass 3 · 18f · Soft · 7 ran 5th 5/2

29 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Chez Castel (IRE)J: Ludovic Philipperon Prix Patrice QuenedeyClass 4 · 17.5f · Soft · 16 ran 13th 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is M Seror's strike rate?: M Seror has won 264 of 3,042 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.7% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does M Seror do best at?: Fontainebleau by strike rate: 8 wins from 64 runners (12.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for M Seror?: L Philipperon, with 279 runners since 2008 — 9% of the total. That pairing has won 33 (11.8%).
Is M Seror in form?: In the last 14 days: 40 runners, 6 winners, a strike rate of 15%. That is above the baseline of 8.7% since 2008.
What is M Seror's Fair A/E?: 0.99, from 2,996 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.