Mme J Hendriks
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.83).
It is weakest at Saint-Cloud (FR) (0% over 38 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 0% (n=57, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 1.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.49 and −140.20 to a £1 stake over 187 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Marc Nobili rides 36% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (5.4%, A/E 1.05) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly on Good to Soft going — 0% over 44 runners, 3.5pts below the baseline. Seasonally, the yard fires Nov–Dec.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 3.5% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2009→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 405 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 405 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 11 October 2009 to 4 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Mme J Hendriks's strike rate?
- Mme J Hendriks has won 14 of 405 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 3.5% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Mme J Hendriks do best at?
- Chantilly (FR) by strike rate: 11 wins from 189 runners (5.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Mme J Hendriks?
- Marc Nobili, with 147 runners since 2008 — 36% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (5.4%).
- Is Mme J Hendriks in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Mme J Hendriks's Fair A/E?
- 0.83, from 402 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.