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Trainer profile

Mrs N Smith

68 runners in the lifetime window · 10 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Sep 2010
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
1–68
Wins / Runs
1.5%
Strike rate
n=68
15 (22%)
Placed
0.20
Fair A/E
n=68 · 0.17 incl. margin
−59.00
£1 level stake
n=68 at SP · −86.8%
£16,052
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
12.5%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 1.5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−1.5
n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−1.5
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−1.5
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−1.5
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−1.5
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
When favourite
0%
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−1.5
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 1.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Flat races 1.7% vs 1.5% · n=60 · A/E 0.21
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 60 1 1.7% −51.00
Hurdle 5 0 0% −5.00
Chase 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good to Firm 23 1 4.3% −14.00
Standard (AW) 20 0 0% −20.00
Good 17 0 0% −17.00
Good to Soft 5 0 0% −5.00
Soft 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Lingfield (AW) 12 0 0% −12.00
Goodwood 8 0 0% −8.00
Brighton 7 1 14.3% +2.00
Salisbury 6 0 0% −6.00
Folkestone 6 0 0% −6.00
Kempton (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00
Bath 5 0 0% −5.00
Plumpton 3 0 0% −3.00
Newmarket 2 0 0% −2.00
Lingfield 2 0 0% −2.00
Chelmsford (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00
Sandown 2 0 0% −2.00
Windsor 1 0 0% −1.00
Warwick 1 0 0% −1.00
Fontwell 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 37 0 0% −37.00
Class 4 18 0 0% −18.00
Class 6 9 1 11.1% +0.00
Class 3 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 3 0 0% 0.00 −3.00
2nd–3rd fav 14 1 7.1% 0.50 −5.00
4th–6th fav 17 0 0% 0.00 −17.00
7th+ in betting 34 0 0% 0.00 −34.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Forest Dane (GB) 27 1 9 13 Jul 10
Tiger Trail (GER) 17 0 4 22 Sep 10
Papeete (GER)from Miss B Sanders 7 0 2 20 Oct 08
Running Supreme (GB) 5 0 0 27 Apr 08
Legend Of Greece (IRE)from D K Weld 4 0 0 15 Oct 09
Supreme Glimpse (GB) 2 0 0 8 May 09
Whist Drive (GB) 2 0 0 27 Feb 08
Irish Cape (GB) 2 0 0 16 Jan 08
Spear Thistle (GB)from John Gosden · then Charlie Mann 1 0 0 7 Aug 08
Altenburg (FR)from Saeed bin Suroor 1 0 0 9 Apr 08
All 10 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 10 horses listed, 4 arrived from another yard in our archive; 6 had their first archived run for this yard.

1 has since run for another yard; 9 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
00·0011000000
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Luke Morris 7 0 0% −7.00
George Baker 7 0 0% −7.00
John Fahy 7 0 0% −7.00
Sophie Doyle 5 0 0% −5.00
Royston Ffrench 4 0 0% −4.00
James Doyle 4 0 0% −4.00
Hayley Turner 4 0 0% −4.00
Jim Crowley 3 0 0% −3.00
Tony Culhane 3 0 0% −3.00
Tom Queally 3 1 33.3% +6.00
Gemma Gracey-Davison 2 0 0% −2.00
Kirsty Milczarek 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
11
Archived wins
£86,187
Prize money
2006
Best season · 7 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Forest Dane (GB) — Daikin Air Conditioning (Engineers Choice) Handicap Sandown · Aug 2006 · Class 4
£5,505
Forest Dane (GB) — London Stock Exchange Handicap Sandown · Sep 2006 · Class 4
£5,505
Forest Dane (GB) — coralpoker.com Handicap Folkestone · Apr 2007 · Class 4
£4,858

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Danetime (IRE) 3.2% · 1–31
Progeny have won 11.1% of 2,846 runs since 2008 (149 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7.3% from 218.
Tagula (IRE) 0% · 0–17
Progeny have won 9.1% of 5,557 runs since 2008 (382 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.1% from 909.
Alzao (USA) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 10.2% of 381 runs since 2008 (42 horses).
Josr Algarhoud (IRE) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,548 runs since 2008 (146 horses).
Cape Cross (IRE) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 13.3% of 12,754 runs since 2008 (988 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 8.4% from 477. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.8% from 230.
First Trump (GB) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 7.9% of 611 runs since 2008 (53 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 200 · newest first

The latest 50 of 200 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 22 September 2010.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
29 Apr 10 Brighton Tiger Trail (GER)J: Luke Morris Tarpan Vodka HandicapClass 5 · 5.5f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 2nd 9/1
01 Nov 09 Lingfield (AW) Forest Dane (GB)J: Luke Morris Stick Hill HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 7/1
23 Sep 09 Goodwood Forest Dane (GB)J: Sophie Doyle Aggora Kitchen HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Good · 10 ran 6th 9/1
22 Sep 09 Folkestone Legend Of Greece (IRE)J: David Probert toteexacta Maiden StakesClass 5 · 9.5f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 4th 40/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mrs N Smith's strike rate?
Mrs N Smith has won 1 of 68 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 1.5% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Mrs N Smith's Fair A/E?
0.20, from 68 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).