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Trainer profile

Ms M Dowdall Blake

123 runners in the lifetime window · 13 individual horses
As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 179 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
11–123
Wins / Runs
8.9%
Strike rate
n=123
32 (26%)
Placed
1.45
Fair A/E
n=123 · 1.14 incl. margin
−0.75
£1 level stake
n=123 at SP · −0.6%
£157k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.45). With a claiming rider up the record reads 16% (63 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 123 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 8 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 15.9%
The read

Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 15.9% (n=63, Fair A/E 2.42). The yard also reads well on Soft going (14.7%, n=34). The record reads poorly off a 15-30-day break — 5.3% over 38 runners, 3.6pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Shu Lewis (IRE) — 5 wins from 26 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
6.9%−2.0
n=29 · A/E 1.39 · £1 −19.50
Debutants · first career start
10%+1.1
n=10 · A/E 3.68 · £1 +24.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−8.9
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
25%+16.1
n=4 · A/E 4.92 · £1 +13.00
When favourite
75%
n=4 · A/E 3.91 · £1 +9.25
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
15.9%+7.0
n=63 · A/E 2.42 · £1 +54.75
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−8.9
n=22 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −22.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With claiming riders up 15.9% vs 8.9% · n=63
On Soft going 14.7% vs 8.9% · n=34
Off a 15-30-day break 5.3% vs 8.9% · n=38
In Flat races 6.7% vs 8.9% · n=90
Over 1m5f – 2m 9.6% vs 8.9% · n=52 · A/E 1.50
This filter uses derived form angles computed for 19% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 90 6 6.7% −20.00
NH Flat 19 5 26.3% +33.25
Hurdle 14 0 0% −14.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 34 5 14.7% +8.75
Good to Firm 25 1 4% −20.00
Good 21 2 9.5% +18.00
Standard (AW) 18 0 0% −18.00
Heavy 14 1 7.1% −7.00
Good to Soft 11 2 18.2% +17.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Curragh 26 3 11.5% +11.00
Dundalk (AW) 17 0 0% −17.00
Leopardstown 10 0 0% −10.00
Punchestown 9 1 11.1% +25.00
Naas 9 0 0% −9.00
Gowran Park 8 1 12.5% −5.50
Fairyhouse 7 1 14.3% +19.00
Down Royal 5 2 40% +3.75
Wexford 4 1 25% +1.00
Tipperary 4 1 25% +0.50
Navan 4 0 0% −4.00
Kilbeggan 3 0 0% −3.00
Tramore 3 0 0% −3.00
Roscommon 3 0 0% −3.00
Limerick 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 22 0 0% −22.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 5 3 60% 3.06 +8.25
2nd–3rd fav 16 4 25% 1.51 +3.00
4th–6th fav 34 0 0% 0.00 −34.00
7th+ in betting 68 4 5.9% 2.12 +22.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Good Time Sue (IRE) 34 4 10 11 Sep 11
Shu Lewis (IRE) 26 5 13 18 Oct 15
Snegurochka (IRE) 17 2 4 25 Feb 24
Teagan Angel (IRE) 13 0 3 3 Oct 17
Bunty Lawless (IRE) 9 0 1 15 Nov 13
Abs Akula (IRE) 5 0 0 3 Jan 20
Trooper Lewis (IRE) 4 0 1 7 Jun 25
The Riastrad (IRE)then Donal Kinsella 4 0 0 24 Apr 21
The Borrower (IRE) 4 0 0 6 Jul 10
Sky Lewis (IRE) 3 0 0 13 May 26
Phoenix Manhar (IRE) 2 0 0 23 May 08
Baba Sue (IRE) 1 0 0 20 Oct 24
All 13 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 13 horses listed, none arrived from another yard in our archive — all 13 had their first archived run here.

1 has since run for another yard; 12 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0000152101971300
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Gary Carroll 25 2 8% +8.00
Seamie Heffernan 7 1 14.3% −2.50
Miss L Dowdall 7 3 42.9% +36.50
Danny Sheehy 6 0 0% −6.00
Shane Gorey 6 2 33.3% +9.50
Tim Carroll 5 0 0% −5.00
Mark Gallagher 5 0 0% −5.00
Pat Smullen 5 0 0% −5.00
Ben Curtis 4 1 25% +13.00
Wayne Lordan 3 0 0% −3.00
Mr T Hamilton 3 1 33.3% +0.75
Ricky Doyle 3 0 0% −3.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
11
Archived wins
£158k
Prize money
2011
Best season · 4 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Good Time Sue (IRE) — Anglesey Lodge Equine Hospital Handicap (60-100) Curragh · Sep 2011
£13,650
Good Time Sue (IRE) — Bet On-Line At betchronicle.com Handicap (50-70) Fairyhouse · Jun 2008
£7,601
Shu Lewis (IRE) — Tipperary Co-Op Hardware & Super Valu (Pro/Am) Flat Race Tipperary · Oct 2011
£7,418
Notable horses
Shu Lewis (IRE) Good Time Sue (IRE) Snegurochka (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Pyrus (USA) 14.3% · 5–35
Progeny have won 9.1% of 1,446 runs since 2008 (89 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.2% from 119. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.8% from 208.
Commander Collins (IRE) 11.8% · 4–34
Progeny have won 6.2% of 274 runs since 2008 (28 horses).
Elusive Pimpernel (USA) 11.8% · 2–17
Progeny have won 7.7% of 3,150 runs since 2015 (317 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 10.7% from 383.
Dark Angel (IRE) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,953 runs since 2011 (1,596 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.
Dream Ahead (USA) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 9.1% of 5,713 runs since 2015 (529 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6% from 184.
Battle Of Marengo (IRE) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 7.4% of 962 runs since 2018 (91 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 12.5% from 200.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 137 · newest first

The latest 50 of 137 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 28 March 2005 to 13 May 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
13 May 26 Punchestown Sky Lewis (IRE)J: Ricky Doyle Ladbrokes Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 13th 300/1
31 Dec 25 Punchestown Sky Lewis (IRE)J: Harry Sexton Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race18.5f · Yielding · 13 ran 12th 150/1
07 Jun 25 Punchestown Trooper Lewis (IRE)J: Liam McKenna Ladbrokes 'Get Rewarded With Ladbucks' Maiden Hurdle19f · Good To Yielding · 21 ran 15th 100/1
28 Dec 24 Leopardstown Trooper Lewis (IRE)J: Luke Carberry Midland Legal Solicitors Flat Race16f · Yielding · 5 ran 4th 33/1
16 Nov 24 Navan Trooper Lewis (IRE)J: Ms L Dowdall Bar One Racing 'Guaranteed Overnight Prices' (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Yielding · 11 ran 11th 28/1
20 Oct 24 Leopardstown Baba Sue (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Leopardstown Golf And Driving Range Maiden9f · Heavy · 7 ran 7th 125/1
12 Oct 24 Fairyhouse Trooper Lewis (IRE)J: Ms L Dowdall Morgan Fuels Supporting Louth GAA (Ladies Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 9/1
25 Feb 24 Naas Snegurochka (IRE)J: Ricky Doyle Naas Racecourse Business Club Maiden Hurdle15.5f · Soft · 25 ran 19th 250/1
13 Jan 24 Fairyhouse Snegurochka (IRE)J: Ricky Doyle Sbk Mares Maiden Hurdle18f · Soft · 14 ran 7th 100/1
22 Feb 23 Punchestown Snegurochka (IRE)J: Denis O'Regan Racing TV Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding · 16 ran 9th 150/1
19 Feb 23 Punchestown Sky Lewis (IRE)J: Mr D J Brogan Hospitality At Festival 2023 (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Yielding · 13 ran 11th 28/1
20 Sep 21 Fairyhouse Snegurochka (IRE)J: Shane B Kelly Fairyhouse Handicap13.5f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 10th 66/1
24 Apr 21 Limerick The Riastrad (IRE)J: Wayne Lordan Irish Stallion Farms EBF (C & G) Maiden (Plus 10)7f · Good · 16 ran 8th 50/1
11 Apr 21 Leopardstown The Riastrad (IRE)J: Danny Sheehy Leopardstown Maiden8f · Good · 12 ran 9th 33/1
21 Mar 21 Curragh The Riastrad (IRE)J: Danny Sheehy Royal Lytham At Irish Emerald Stud (C & G) Maiden (Plus 10)7f · Soft To Heavy · 20 ran 7th 100/1
12 Feb 21 Dundalk (AW) The Riastrad (IRE)J: Danny Sheehy Join Us On Instagram At dundalk_stadium Race7f · Standard · 7 ran 7th 50/1
16 Dec 20 Dundalk (AW) Snegurochka (IRE)J: Danny Sheehy Find Us On Facebook At dundalkstadium Handicap (45-75)16f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 40/1
27 Nov 20 Dundalk (AW) Snegurochka (IRE)J: Mark Gallagher Test Your Tipping Talents At PUNTERS.HOLLYWOODBETS.COM Every Dundalk Meeting Handicap16f · Standard · 13 ran 12th 50/1
19 Oct 20 Gowran Park Snegurochka (IRE)J: Mark Gallagher Gowran Park Golf Memberships 2021 From 600 Handicap14f · Soft To Heavy · 9 ran 9th 11/1
08 Oct 20 Thurles Snegurochka (IRE)J: Ronan Whelan Horse & Jockey Maiden16f · Soft · 13 ran 3rd 18/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ms M Dowdall Blake's strike rate?
Ms M Dowdall Blake has won 11 of 123 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.9% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Ms M Dowdall Blake's Fair A/E?
1.45, from 123 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 8 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).