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Trainer profile

P M Rogers

103 runners in the lifetime window · 11 individual horses
As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Sep 2023
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
7–103
Wins / Runs
6.8%
Strike rate
n=103
16 (16%)
Placed
1.19
Fair A/E
n=103 · 0.93 incl. margin
−44.50
£1 level stake
n=103 at SP · −43.2%
£64,538
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, winning with 7% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.19).

Deterministic profile computed from 103 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 8 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 7.1%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
8%+1.2
n=25 · A/E 1.52 · £1 −12.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
16.7%+9.9
n=6 · A/E 2.36 · £1 −2.50
Debutants · first career start
0%−6.8
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−6.8
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−6.8
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
When favourite
0%
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
7.1%+0.3
n=56 · A/E 1.40 · £1 −15.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 1m – 1m1f 12.1% vs 6.8% · n=33
In Flat races 8% vs 6.8% · n=88 · A/E 1.28
With claiming riders up 7.1% vs 6.8% · n=56 · A/E 1.40
This filter uses derived form angles computed for 12.5% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 88 7 8% −29.50
Hurdle 11 0 0% −11.00
NH Flat 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 26 1 3.8% −18.00
Soft 23 1 4.3% −14.00
Standard (AW) 21 1 4.8% −16.00
Good to Firm 16 2 12.5% −1.50
Good to Soft 7 0 0% −7.00
Heavy 6 1 16.7% +3.00
Firm 4 1 25% +9.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 20 1 5% −15.00
Gowran Park 12 2 16.7% +5.00
Navan 12 1 8.3% −1.00
Down Royal 11 1 9.1% −7.50
Bellewstown 6 1 16.7% +3.00
Curragh 6 0 0% −6.00
Leopardstown 6 0 0% −6.00
Downpatrick 4 0 0% −4.00
Fairyhouse 4 0 0% −4.00
Roscommon 4 0 0% −4.00
Tipperary 4 0 0% −4.00
Naas 3 0 0% −3.00
Ballinrobe 3 0 0% −3.00
Galway 2 0 0% −2.00
Sligo 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 2 0 0% 0.00 −2.00
2nd–3rd fav 13 4 30.8% 2.61 +12.50
4th–6th fav 27 2 7.4% 1.10 −7.00
7th+ in betting 61 1 1.6% 0.46 −48.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Romantic (IRE)from Sir Henry Cecil · then Matthew J Smith 26 3 8 23 Sep 16
The Lady's Bid (IRE) 25 2 5 25 Apr 22
Nice Dream (GB)from Clive Brittain 15 1 1 9 Mar 12
Lady Brown (IRE) 14 0 1 6 Jul 14
In My Place (GB)from Richard Fahey · then F Costello 5 0 0 12 Jun 17
Calamint (IRE)from Joseph G Murphy · then Adrian Murray 4 0 0 29 Sep 23
Barberton (USA)from Jeremy Noseda 4 0 0 12 Jul 13
Global Wings (IRE)from Ms Joanna Morgan 4 1 1 7 Jun 08
Lady Gayle (IRE) 3 0 0 9 Jul 08
Shafrons Canyon (IRE)from G M Lyons · then P J Lally 2 0 0 7 Jun 08
Reedville Lady (IRE) 1 0 0 6 Aug 15
All 11 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 11 horses listed, 7 arrived from another yard in our archive; 4 had their first archived run for this yard.

4 have since run for another yard; 7 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
000108135810000
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Chris Hayes 19 2 10.5% −6.50
Ben Curtis 10 1 10% −5.00
Tim Carroll 8 0 0% −8.00
Mikey Sheehy 7 2 28.6% +13.00
D C Byrne 6 0 0% −6.00
Martin Harley 6 1 16.7% +7.00
Killian Leonard 4 1 25% +4.00
Sean Bird 4 0 0% −4.00
Rory Cleary 4 0 0% −4.00
Wesley Joyce 3 0 0% −3.00
P B Beggy 3 0 0% −3.00
Gary Carroll 3 0 0% −3.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
8
Archived wins
£72,336
Prize money
2016
Best season · 2 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Global Wings (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap (60-90) Limerick · May 2008
£16,275
Jamie's Prince (IRE) — Sologhead Handicap (0-70) Tipperary · May 2005
£6,910
Romantic (IRE) — Golf Membership At Gowran Park For 2017 Apprentice Handicap (45-65) Gowran Park · Aug 2016
£6,458
Notable horses
Romantic (IRE) The Lady's Bid (IRE) Nice Dream (GB) Global Wings (IRE) Jamie's Prince (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Holy Roman Emperor (IRE) 11.5% · 3–26
Progeny have won 10.3% of 11,886 runs since 2010 (949 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 305.
Famous Name (GB) 8% · 2–25
Progeny have won 9.2% of 1,512 runs since 2016 (102 horses).
Oasis Dream (GB) 6.7% · 1–15
Progeny have won 11.8% of 18,047 runs since 2008 (1,511 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 485. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 792.
Court Cave (IRE) 0% · 0–14
Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,961 runs since 2008 (553 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 937.
Compton Place (GB) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 8.5% of 8,347 runs since 2008 (515 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 11.5% from 165.
Camacho (GB) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 8.1% of 9,326 runs since 2009 (596 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 118 · newest first

The latest 50 of 118 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 10 April 2005 to 29 September 2023.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
29 Sep 23 Dundalk (AW) Calamint (IRE)J: Sean Bird Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (47-65)8f · Standard · 14 ran 8th 80/1
18 Sep 23 Fairyhouse Calamint (IRE)J: Sean Bird Treo Eile Apprentice Handicap (47-75)7f · Yielding · 9 ran 5th 80/1
31 Aug 23 Navan Calamint (IRE)J: Sean Bird Simonstown Maiden5.5f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 6th 80/1
29 Aug 23 Bellewstown Calamint (IRE)J: Sean Bird Tynan's Bridge House Bar Irish EBF Median Auction Maiden8f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 5th 150/1
25 Apr 22 Naas The Lady's Bid (IRE)J: Mikey Sheehy Naas Welcomes Racing TV Members Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)8f · Good · 17 ran 16th 16/1
07 Apr 22 Gowran Park The Lady's Bid (IRE)J: Wesley Joyce Thanks To All Our Sponsors Handicap (47-65)9.5f · Good · 13 ran 9th 9/2
18 Oct 21 Gowran Park The Lady's Bid (IRE)J: Wesley Joyce BetVictor Casino Handicap (45-65) (Div 1)9.5f · Soft · 16 ran 2nd 12/1
04 Sep 21 Navan The Lady's Bid (IRE)J: Wesley Joyce Gormanlough Apprentice Handicap (45-65)10f · Good · 20 ran 14th 25/1
07 Jun 21 Gowran Park The Lady's Bid (IRE)J: Sam Ewing Good Enuf To Eat Caterers At Gowran Park Apprentice Handicap (45-65) (Div 2)8f · Good · 14 ran 8th 7/1
04 Nov 20 Dundalk (AW) The Lady's Bid (IRE)J: Chris Hayes DundalkStadium.com Handicap (45-65) (Div 1)8f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 9/1
21 Oct 20 Gowran Park The Lady's Bid (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Racing Again November 20th Handicap (45-70)8f · Heavy · 10 ran 2nd 14/1
07 Oct 20 Navan The Lady's Bid (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Yellow Furze Handicap (45-65) (Div 1)10f · Soft · 16 ran 9th 12/1
10 Sep 20 Navan The Lady's Bid (IRE)J: Mikey Sheehy Abbey Road Handicap (45-65) (Div 1)8f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 7th 17/2
28 Jul 20 Galway The Lady's Bid (IRE)J: W J Lee Caulfield Industrial Handicap (50-70) (Div 1)8.5f · Yielding · 15 ran 13th 10/1
23 Jul 20 Leopardstown The Lady's Bid (IRE)J: W J Lee TRI Equestrian Superstore & Cafe Handicap (45-65) (Div 2)8f · Good · 16 ran 10th 7/1
16 Jul 20 Leopardstown The Lady's Bid (IRE)J: W J Lee Holden Plant Rentals Handicap (45-65)7f · Good · 16 ran 8th 8/1
03 Jul 20 Navan The Lady's Bid (IRE)J: Mikey Sheehy Stackallen Apprentice Handicap (45-65) (Div 1)10f · Yielding · 16 ran 6th 10/3F
19 Jun 20 Gowran Park The Lady's Bid (IRE)J: Mikey Sheehy MansionBet's Get Paid As A Winner If Your Horse Finishes 2nd In The First Race At Royal Ascot Handicap (45-65) (Div 2)9.5f · Yielding · 13 ran 1st 8/1
06 Nov 19 Dundalk (AW) The Lady's Bid (IRE)J: Killian Leonard Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (45-65) (Div 1)10.5f · Standard · 13 ran 5th 14/1
09 Oct 19 Navan The Lady's Bid (IRE)J: Mikey Sheehy Yellow Furze Handicap (45-65)10f · Soft · 23 ran 9th 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is P M Rogers's strike rate?
P M Rogers has won 7 of 103 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.8% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is P M Rogers's Fair A/E?
1.19, from 103 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 8 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).