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Trainer profile

Patrick Tallis

164 runners in the lifetime window · 30 individual horses
As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Oct 2022 95% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
7–164
Wins / Runs
4.3%
Strike rate
n=164
19 (12%)
Placed
1.15
Fair A/E
n=164 · 0.87 incl. margin
−86.75
£1 level stake
n=164 at SP · −52.9%
£57,272
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 4% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.15). With a claiming rider up the record reads 6% (49 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 164 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 29 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 4.5% Claiming riders: 6.1%
The read

The yard also reads well over 1m2f – 1m4f (7.8%, n=51). The record reads poorly off a 15-30-day break — 0% over 35 runners, 4.3pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 1m – 1m1f: Fair A/E 0.57 across 56 runners (1.8% strike, −30.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4.5%+0.2
n=44 · A/E 1.23 · £1 −7.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.3
n=26 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −26.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.3
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
When favourite
100%
n=1 · A/E 5.03 · £1 +2.75
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6.1%+1.8
n=49 · A/E 1.75 · £1 −6.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−4.3
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 15-30-day break 0% vs 4.3% · n=35
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 7.8% vs 4.3% · n=51
Over 1m – 1m1f 1.8% vs 4.3% · n=56
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 155 7 4.5% −77.75
Hurdle 5 0 0% −5.00
NH Flat 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 54 2 3.7% −35.25
Good 28 0 0% −28.00
Good to Firm 23 1 4.3% −12.00
Good to Soft 22 1 4.5% +4.00
Heavy 18 1 5.6% −12.50
Standard (AW) 17 2 11.8% −1.00
Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Gowran Park 25 0 0% −25.00
Curragh 18 0 0% −18.00
Dundalk (AW) 17 2 11.8% −1.00
Naas 16 0 0% −16.00
Tipperary 14 1 7.1% −10.25
Cork 14 0 0% −14.00
Fairyhouse 11 0 0% −11.00
Limerick 10 1 10% −4.50
Killarney 8 2 25% +33.00
Roscommon 5 1 20% +6.00
Wexford 5 0 0% −5.00
Leopardstown 4 0 0% −4.00
Listowel 4 0 0% −4.00
Navan 4 0 0% −4.00
Sligo 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 5 2 40% 2.85 +3.75
2nd–3rd fav 9 1 11.1% 0.91 −3.50
4th–6th fav 17 1 5.9% 0.87 −6.00
7th+ in betting 133 3 2.3% 0.96 −81.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Cannot Give (USA) 25 2 3 5 Sep 12
Acushladear (IRE) 17 3 7 22 Apr 12
Strategic Alliance (IRE)then John C Shearman 13 0 1 11 Oct 10
Port Moody (IRE) 12 1 2 24 Oct 17
Odd Venture (IRE)then R K Watson 11 0 0 27 Nov 20
Manavic (IRE) 9 1 2 17 Aug 10
Harrison Green (IRE) 7 0 1 10 Oct 22
Realtog (IRE) 7 0 0 17 Jul 19
Baunaniska (IRE) 6 0 0 3 Aug 15
Fainleog (IRE)then Mrs A M O'Shea 6 0 0 20 Apr 15
Bmyhero (IRE) 6 0 1 29 Sep 10
Dewpoint (IRE) 5 0 1 14 May 17
All 30 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 30 horses listed, none arrived from another yard in our archive — all 30 had their first archived run here.

5 have since run for another yard; 25 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
··0005570150·
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderSeamie Heffernan
24% of all rides
2.5% SR · A/E 0.60
RiderRWSR£1
Seamie Heffernan 40 1 2.5% −25.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
11
Archived wins
£118k
Prize money
2005
Best season · 4 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Homegrown (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap (50-80) Roscommon · Jul 2005
£14,648
Homegrown (IRE) — Mcdonogh Property Handicap (50-80) Galway · Jul 2005
£10,711
Homegrown (IRE) — Galway Fairgreen Hotel Handicap (50-70) Galway · Jul 2005
£10,365
Notable horses
Homegrown (IRE) Acushladear (IRE) Cannot Give (USA) Manavic (IRE) Port Moody (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Proud Citizen (USA) 8% · 2–25
Progeny have won 8.3% of 723 runs since 2008 (61 horses).
Epaulette (AUS) 0% · 0–18
Progeny have won 9.1% of 3,066 runs since 2008 (221 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4% from 173. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5% from 222.
Tagula (IRE) 17.6% · 3–17
Progeny have won 9.1% of 5,559 runs since 2008 (382 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.1% from 909.
Trans Island (GB) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 9% of 4,741 runs since 2008 (295 horses).
Bushranger (IRE) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 7.7% of 4,449 runs since 2008 (300 horses).
Clodovil (IRE) 11.1% · 1–9
Progeny have won 9.7% of 6,513 runs since 2008 (415 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 13.5% from 155.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 219 · newest first

The latest 50 of 219 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 14 May 2005 to 10 October 2022.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
10 Oct 22 Killarney Harrison Green (IRE)J: Andrew Slattery Kenmare Handicap (47-65) (Div 2)11.5f · Soft · 13 ran 8th 50/1
27 Sep 22 Cork Harrison Green (IRE)J: Andrew Slattery Follow Us On Twitter Handicap (47-65) (Div 2)8f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 16th 33/1
25 Sep 22 Curragh Twilight Chorus (IRE)J: Cian Horgan William Hill Play Responsibly Maiden10f · Yielding · 24 ran 23rd 200/1
21 Apr 22 Tipperary Harrison Green (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Follow TipperaryRaces On Twitter Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)9f · Soft To Heavy · 16 ran 14th 16/1
26 Oct 21 Curragh Harrison Green (IRE)J: Andrew Slattery Paddy Power 'From The Horse's Mouth Podcast' Maiden9f · Yielding To Soft · 23 ran 3rd 125/1
14 Oct 21 Curragh Harrison Green (IRE)J: Ben Coen Hollywoodbets Now Streaming All Irish Racing Maiden12f · Yielding · 18 ran 13th 200/1
02 Oct 21 Killarney Harrison Green (IRE)J: Andrew Slattery KWD Median Auction Maiden8f · Soft · 10 ran 8th 66/1
23 Sep 21 Listowel Harrison Green (IRE)J: Andrew Slattery MAC Fuels & General Supplies Maiden8f · Yielding · 15 ran 8th 50/1
27 Nov 20 Dundalk (AW) Odd Venture (IRE)J: Siobhan Rutledge Dundalk Stadium Gift Vouchers Available Online Apprentice Handicap (45-65)12f · Standard · 14 ran 6th 25/1
13 Nov 20 Dundalk (AW) Odd Venture (IRE)J: Leigh Roche BetVictor Run For Your Money Handicap (45-65) (Div 1)10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 6th 33/1
28 Oct 20 Dundalk (AW) Odd Venture (IRE)J: Andrew Slattery Crowne Plaza Hotel Dundalk Handicap (45-65) (Div 1)12f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 12/1
18 Oct 20 Naas Sir Angelo (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Tifrums Irish EBF (C & G) Maiden (Plus 10)6f · Soft · 16 ran 15th 50/1
25 Sep 20 Dundalk (AW) Sweethill (IRE)J: Leigh Roche Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden (Plus 10)7f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 200/1
16 Sep 20 Cork Odd Venture (IRE)J: Andrew Slattery Racing Again September 29th Handicap (45-65) (Div 2)12f · Good · 14 ran 6th 50/1
14 Sep 20 Tipperary Sweethill (IRE)J: N G McCullagh Camas Park Stud Irish EBF Maiden (Plus 10)7.5f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 14th 200/1
03 Sep 20 Punchestown Odd Venture (IRE)J: N G McCullagh Irish Racing Working Together Handicap (45-65) (Div 2)9f · Soft · 13 ran 11th 33/1
21 Aug 20 Killarney Odd Venture (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Diarmuid Cronin Electrical Handicap (45-65) (Div 1)8f · Heavy · 12 ran 10th 33/1
17 Jul 20 Limerick Odd Venture (IRE)J: Ben Coen Askeaton Handicap (45-65)8f · Good · 16 ran 11th 66/1
29 Jun 20 Limerick Odd Venture (IRE)J: Ben Coen It's Good To Be Back At Limerick Handicap (45-65) (Div 2)8f · Good · 12 ran 10th 66/1
19 Jun 20 Gowran Park Odd Venture (IRE)J: Ben Coen Irish Stallion Farms EBF (C & G) Maiden (Div 1)8f · Yielding · 14 ran 11th 250/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Patrick Tallis's strike rate?
Patrick Tallis has won 7 of 164 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.3% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Patrick Tallis's Fair A/E?
1.15, from 164 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 29 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).