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Trainer profile

Paul Power

281 runners in the lifetime window · 37 individual horses
As at 7 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 3 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2015→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
19–281
Wins / Runs
6.8%
Strike rate
n=281
71 (25%)
Placed
1.05
Fair A/E
n=281 · 0.84 incl. margin
−114.17
£1 level stake
n=281 at SP · −40.6%
£238k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, winning with 7% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.05).

Deterministic profile computed from 281 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 7 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Mr P Power: 9.4% from 85
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 2.4% (n=41, Fair A/E 0.67). Mr P Power rides 30% of the entries and edges the yard's average (9.4% vs 6.8%, A/E 1.44) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 31-60-day break (14.5%, n=55) and in Chase races (11.5%, n=61). The record reads poorly in Flat races — 0% over 36 runners, 6.8pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.4%−4.4
n=41 · A/E 0.67 · £1 −20.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−6.8
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−6.8
n=29 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −29.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
11.8%+5.0
n=17 · A/E 2.81 · £1 −0.50
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−6.8
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
When favourite
9.1%
n=11 · A/E 0.48 · £1 −6.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
5.6%−1.2
n=213 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −108.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.8
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 31-60-day break 14.5% vs 6.8% · n=55
With horses switching code 0% vs 6.8% · n=58
In Flat races 0% vs 6.8% · n=36
On Heavy going 0% vs 6.8% · n=33
In Chase races 11.5% vs 6.8% · n=61
On Good going 10.5% vs 6.8% · n=114
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 176 12 6.8% −80.17
Chase 61 7 11.5% +10.00
Flat 36 0 0% −36.00
NH Flat 8 0 0% −8.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 114 12 10.5% −19.17
Soft 81 3 3.7% −38.50
Good to Soft 43 4 9.3% −13.50
Heavy 33 0 0% −33.00
Standard (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00
Good to Firm 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Tramore 48 4 8.3% −22.50
Wexford 27 2 7.4% +5.00
Clonmel 22 0 0% −22.00
Cork 19 0 0% −19.00
Tipperary 19 1 5.3% −11.50
Gowran Park 19 0 0% −19.00
Limerick 19 1 5.3% −10.00
Thurles 16 2 12.5% +21.00
Punchestown 14 0 0% −14.00
Killarney 12 1 8.3% −7.67
Kilbeggan 8 2 25% +5.50
Listowel 8 2 25% +5.50
Naas 8 0 0% −8.00
Bellewstown 7 2 28.6% +6.50
Dundalk (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 15 2 13.3% 0.72 −5.67
2nd–3rd fav 49 8 16.3% 1.26 −4.50
4th–6th fav 68 6 8.8% 1.13 −13.00
7th+ in betting 149 3 2% 0.83 −91.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
93.2% completed · 237 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 61 85.2% 0 1 8 0 0
Hurdle 176 96% 1 1 5 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Tiantu (IRE)from Vincent Laurence Halley 31 3 5 18 Aug 23
Game Puppeteer (IRE) 24 2 9 20 Aug 17
Game Phoenix (IRE) 23 0 8 25 Sep 26
Drakaina (IRE) 22 2 8 29 Jan 19
Bakers Street (GB) 21 1 5 22 Nov 18
Morepowertoya (FR) 17 2 4 3 Nov 24
Game Catch (IRE) 13 2 5 29 Oct 21
Charlies Pride (IRE) 12 2 5 23 Jul 25
Shannon Glory (IRE) 11 2 5 15 Sep 23
Flotus Radiance (IRE) 9 0 0 29 Sep 23
Memory Tree (IRE)then Henry De Bromhead 9 1 3 25 Sep 20
Pakie's Dream (IRE)then Jennie Candlish 8 0 1 15 Aug 19
All 37 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 37 horses listed, 8 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Henry De Bromhead (2); 29 had their first archived run for this yard.

16 have since run for another yard, most often for Henry De Bromhead (4) and Dr Richard Newland (3); 21 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
010048451015770
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderMr P Power
30% of all rides
9.4% SR · A/E 1.44
RiderRWSR£1
Mr P Power 85 8 9.4% −14.00
Miss J M Cook 46 2 4.3% −28.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2015→
19
Archived wins
£238k
Prize money
2022
Best season · 3 wins
Drakaina (IRE) — Iwp Home Improvement Centre Mares Handicap Hurdle Limerick · Oct 2017
£10,164
Tiantu (IRE) — Follow BetVictorRacing On Twitter Beginners Chase Tramore · May 2019
£7,700
Memory Tree (IRE) — Listowel Beginners Chase Listowel · Sep 2020
£7,375
Notable horses
Tiantu (IRE) Game Puppeteer (IRE) Drakaina (IRE) Morepowertoya (FR) Game Catch (IRE) Charlies Pride (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Getaway (GER) 9.7% · 3–31
Progeny have won 11.3% of 11,001 runs since 2016 (1,031 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.
Gamut (IRE) 8.3% · 2–24
Progeny have won 8.6% of 1,839 runs since 2010 (172 horses).
Phoenix Of Spain (IRE) 0% · 0–23
Progeny have won 13.2% of 1,348 runs since 2023 (140 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 9.7% from 134. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19.6% from 102.
Oscar (IRE) 9.1% · 2–22
Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.
Central Park (IRE) 4.8% · 1–21
Progeny have won 9.5% of 1,061 runs since 2008 (82 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.4% from 142. Weakest on Good to Soft going: 4.5% from 154.
Rajsaman (FR) 11.8% · 2–17
Progeny have won 6.9% of 2,839 runs since 2016 (311 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 7 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 281 · newest first

The latest 50 of 281 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 22 June 2015 to 4 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
04 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Miss Glenville (IRE)J: Adam Grant Now Racing Every Wednesday At Dundalk Handicap10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 7th 40/1
08 Oct 26 Thurles (IRE) Miss Glenville (IRE)J: G. F. Carroll BOYLE Sports Handicap (Div II)8.5f · Yielding · 14 ran 9th 22/1
25 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Game Phoenix (IRE)J: Mr B T Stone Trant Goodwill Stakes Handicap Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 11th 25/1
16 Sep 26 Clonmel (IRE) Miss Glenville (IRE)J: G. F. Carroll Camida Winning Solution Handicap10f · Yielding · 14 ran 5th 50/1
07 Aug 26 Wexford (IRE) Game Phoenix (IRE)J: Mr B T Stone Treo Eile Mares Handicap Hurdle17f · Good · 14 ran 2nd 25/1
29 May 26 Tramore Game Shadow (IRE)J: Ms J I Stokes August Festival Early Bird Tickets At tramoreraces.ie (Ladies Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good · 11 ran 4th 12/1
29 May 26 Tramore Game Phoenix (IRE)J: Dylan Whelan Tramore Derby July 7th Beginners Chase15.5f · Good · 8 ran 7th 50/1
14 May 26 Clonmel Game Phoenix (IRE)J: Dylan Whelan Watch Danny's Diary At ToteRacing Mares Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 9th 11/1
13 May 26 Punchestown Orlando Spirit (FR)J: Michael Kenneally Ladbrokes Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2)24f · Good · 18 ran 4th 15/2
18 Apr 26 Bellewstown Alzurs Thunder (IRE)J: Mr B T Stone Irish Stallion Farms EBF Auction (Pro/Am) Flat Race17f · Yielding · 15 ran 13th 12/1
16 Apr 26 Limerick Orlando Spirit (FR)J: Michael Kenneally Professor Maria Hinfelaar Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2)19.5f · Soft To Heavy · 14 ran 8th 5/1
19 Mar 26 Cork Orlando Spirit (FR)J: Jack Kennedy William Hill Each Way Extra Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (0-100)17f · Yielding · 22 ran 3rd 15/2
12 Mar 26 Limerick Alzurs Thunder (IRE)J: Mr E Mahon Irish Stallion Farms EBF (Pro/Am) Auction Flat Race17f · Heavy · 7 ran 4th 12/1
19 Feb 26 Thurles Orlando Spirit (FR)J: Ms J I Stokes Connolly's RED MILLS Ladies Handicap Hurdle16.5f · Soft To Heavy · 17 ran 2nd 28/1
10 Feb 26 Limerick Alzurs Thunder (IRE)J: Mr B T Stone Irish Stallion Farms EBF Auction (Pro/Am) Flat Race15.5f · Heavy · 7 ran PU 22/1
09 Jan 26 Naas Orlando Spirit (FR)J: Sean O'Keeffe Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding · 25 ran 17th 200/1
30 Oct 25 Thurles Game Phoenix (IRE)J: Sean O'Keeffe Racing Again November 20th Beginners Chase18.5f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 10th 11/1
09 Oct 25 Tramore Kingston Fire (IRE)J: Mr J D Coffey www.tramoreraces.ie Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding · 8 ran 8th 40/1
08 Oct 25 Navan Game Phoenix (IRE)J: Ben Coen Racing Again 22nd October Handicap (0-60) (Div 2)10f · Yielding · 17 ran 13th 13/2
27 Sep 25 Listowel Kingston Fire (IRE)J: Mike O'Connor John Lynch Memorial Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 17 ran 15th 200/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 8 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · to 8 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Paul Power's strike rate?
Paul Power has won 19 of 281 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.8% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Paul Power do best at?
Tramore by strike rate: 4 wins from 48 runners (8.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Paul Power?
Mr P Power, with 85 runners since 2008 — 30% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (9.4%).
Is Paul Power in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Paul Power's Fair A/E?
1.05, from 281 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 7 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).