What is Rebecca Curtis's strike rate?

Rebecca Curtis has won 420 of 2,591 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 16.2% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Rebecca Curtis do best at?

Worcester by strike rate: 33 wins from 121 runners (27.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Rebecca Curtis?

A P McCoy, with 353 runners since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 96 (27.2%).

Is Rebecca Curtis in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 6 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Rebecca Curtis's Fair A/E?

1.06, from 2,587 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Rebecca Curtis

2,591 runners in the lifetime window · 326 individual horses

As at 13 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 5 days ago 98% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

420–2,591

Wins / Runs

16.2%

Strike rate

n=2,591

928 (36%)

Placed

1.06

Fair A/E

n=2,587 · 0.92 incl. margin

−361.38

£1 level stake

n=2,591 at SP · −13.9%

£5.03m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

20.2%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 140 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 16% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.06). Horses in first-time headgear strike at 20% (159 runs, true-first definition).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,591 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 13 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Mar–Sep 42.5% when favourite A P McCoy: 27.2% from 353 Sends off the favourite in 17% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Worcester (27.3%, n=121), clear of the yard's 16.2% baseline. A horse in first-time headgear has been a positive signal at 19.5% (n=159, Fair A/E 1.42), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 7% (n=258, Fair A/E 0.90). The market has consistently overbet debutants: 14.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.80 and −94.77 to a £1 stake over 227 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. A P McCoy rides 14% of the entries and beats the yard's average (27.2% vs 16.2%, A/E 1.00) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well on Good to Firm going (30.6%, n=111) and off a 0-7-day break (31.3%, n=32). The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 7.2% over 306 runners, 9pts below the baseline. 18 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the BoyleSports Irish Grand National Chase at Fairyhouse (Apr 2025, £270,000). The stable star of the record: Geordie Des Champs (IRE) — 10 wins from 33 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Mar–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 16.2% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

15.8%−0.4

n=632 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −38.02

New recruits · first run for the yard

14.9%−1.3

n=101 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −4.39

Debutants · first career start

14.1%−2.1

n=227 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −94.77

First-time headgear · true-first definition

19.5%+3.3

n=159 · A/E 1.42 · £1 +66.47

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

8.5%−7.7

n=82 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −45.87

When favourite

42.5%

n=428 · A/E 1.16 · £1 +12.06

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

15.5%−0.7

n=692 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −117.15

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

7%−9.2

n=258 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −14.67

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 16.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On Good to Firm going 30.6% vs 16.2% · n=111

With A P McCoy 27.2% vs 16.2% · n=353

At Worcester 27.3% vs 16.2% · n=121

Off a 0-7-day break 31.3% vs 16.2% · n=32

In Class 1 7.2% vs 16.2% · n=306

In Group / Graded races 7% vs 16.2% · n=258

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,261 195 15.5% −206.18

Chase 928 159 17.1% −77.76

NH Flat 347 62 17.9% −80.82

Flat 55 4 7.3% +3.38

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 750 130 17.3% −71.95

Soft 697 106 15.2% −146.07

Good to Soft 654 81 12.4% −184.60

Heavy 358 66 18.4% +14.75

Good to Firm 111 34 30.6% +8.58

Firm 16 2 12.5% −11.09

Standard (AW) 5 1 20% +29.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Ffos Las 512 107 20.9% −33.70

Chepstow 314 46 14.6% −60.67

Cheltenham 192 17 8.9% +2.05

Bangor-on-Dee 187 43 23% −6.25

Newbury 152 15 9.9% −53.09

Aintree 122 15 12.3% −56.67

Worcester 121 33 27.3% +52.68

Ludlow 120 21 17.5% −30.93

Uttoxeter 107 21 19.6% +5.89

Hereford 106 24 22.6% +0.15

Stratford 96 21 21.9% +7.22

Ascot 66 5 7.6% −25.00

Exeter 55 7 12.7% −21.37

Taunton 51 6 11.8% −18.83

Warwick 50 3 6% −42.24

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 971 187 19.3% −75.61

Class 3 501 80 16% −59.23

Class 5 382 67 17.5% −66.47

Class 1 306 22 7.2% −44.41

Class 2 230 20 8.7% −85.92

Class 6 175 43 24.6% −6.74

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 481 196 40.7% 1.16 +12.69

2nd–3rd fav 781 142 18.2% 1.01 −110.57

4th–6th fav 796 64 8% 0.95 −97.50

7th+ in betting 533 18 3.4% 0.90 −166.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m5f – 3m 951 154 16.2% −27.53

1m5f – 2m 683 128 18.7% −104.39

2m1f – 2m4f 638 103 16.1% −193.93

Over 3m 280 33 11.8% −49.53

1m2f – 1m4f 24 2 8.3% +29.00

6f – 7f 7 0 0% −7.00

1m – 1m1f 4 0 0% −4.00

Under 6f 4 0 0% −4.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 44 3 6.8% −26.50

2009 96 17 17.7% −14.55

2010 134 36 26.9% −16.88

2011 201 33 16.4% −78.50

2012 203 47 23.2% −31.95

2013 235 38 16.2% −71.23

2014 222 38 17.1% −65.08

2015 191 36 18.8% +40.21

2016 257 40 15.6% +3.65

2017 146 11 7.5% −45.00

2018 75 11 14.7% +22.58

2019 77 19 24.7% +8.64

2020 75 10 13.3% +53.32

2021 128 14 10.9% −38.79

2022 111 11 9.9% −48.57

2023 84 4 4.8% −61.25

2024 106 18 17% +30.21

2025 117 16 13.7% −25.30

2026 89 18 20.2% +3.61

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,273 175 13.7% −238.31

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 810 140 17.3% −6.38

5-7 runners 643 149 23.2% −29.52

11-13 runners 535 64 12% −114.59

14-16 runners 286 21 7.3% −115.67

17+ runners 193 13 6.7% −77.00

2-4 runners 124 33 26.6% −18.22

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

81.6% completed · 2,189 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 928 69.9% 43 34 198 3 1

Hurdle 1,261 90.2% 12 7 102 0 3

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Relentless Dreamer (IRE) 40 6 18 1 May 21

Geordie Des Champs (IRE) 33 10 15 3 Nov 22

The Romford Pele (IRE)then Tom George 33 7 14 15 Mar 17

Gus Macrae (IRE)from Anthony Mullins 33 5 9 11 Nov 15

One Term (IRE) 32 10 16 24 Aug 17

Boston Joe (IRE) 30 6 12 5 May 26

Irish Cavalier (IRE) 30 8 12 16 Jun 17

Ruthless Article (IRE)from Sarah Dawson 29 5 10 22 Aug 23

Bob Ford (IRE)then Alastair Ralph 29 6 8 19 Mar 17

Wayfinder (IRE) 26 6 10 11 Oct 24

The Boola Boss (IRE) 25 7 12 14 Oct 26

Lisnagar Oscar (IRE) 25 3 10 12 Nov 22

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 326 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 14 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 15 arrived from another yard in our archive; 45 had their first archived run for this yard.

13 have since run for another yard, most often for Sophie Leech (2); 47 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

3 from 6

Only 6 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

141217182228192123161412

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderA P McCoy

14% of all rides
27.2% SR · A/E 1.00

RiderRWSR£1

A P McCoy 353 96 27.2% −73.51

Sean Bowen 231 39 16.9% −1.40

Ben Jones 168 25 14.9% −5.68

Jonathan Moore 157 26 16.6% +14.85

Patrick Corbett 138 25 18.1% −20.20

Adam Wedge 113 12 10.6% +43.63

Tom Scudamore 109 17 15.6% −34.27

Aodhagan Conlon 102 14 13.7% −36.75

Nick Scholfield 84 5 6% −63.10

Barry Geraghty 68 12 17.6% −0.54

Paul Townend 67 13 19.4% +19.33

Aidan Coleman 65 14 21.5% +5.84

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2008→

420

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£5.03m

Prize money

2012

Best season · 47 wins

Haiti Couleurs (FR) — BoyleSports Irish Grand National Chase (Extended Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Fairyhouse · Apr 2025 · Grade 3

£270,000

Lisnagar Oscar (IRE) — Paddy Power Stayers' Hurdle (Grade 1) Cheltenham · Mar 2020 · Grade 1

£182,878

Joe Farrell (IRE) — Coral Scottish Grand National Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Ayr · Apr 2018 · Grade 3

£122,443

Notable horses

Geordie Des Champs (IRE) One Term (IRE) Haiti Couleurs (FR) Irish Cavalier (IRE) The Jigsaw Man (IRE) Black Jack Blues (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Oscar (IRE) 15.6% · 38–244

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

Old Vic (GB) 14.8% · 20–135

Progeny have won 11.7% of 6,916 runs since 2008 (630 horses).

Beneficial (GB) 23.7% · 31–131

Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,047 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).

Flemensfirth (USA) 12.3% · 15–122

Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,297 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).

Kayf Tara (GB) 18.3% · 20–109

Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,769 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.

Definite Article (GB) 25.7% · 19–74

Progeny have won 10.5% of 5,617 runs since 2008 (527 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 5.1% from 138. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.3% from 211.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 13 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,591 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,591 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 26 March 2008 to 8 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

08 Nov 26 Ffos Las Slim Marvel (FR)J: Jamie Brace RHN Travel Norton's Coin Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 24f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 7/1

08 Nov 26 Ffos Las Marin Du Large (FR)J: Dylan Johnston Fedwen Tentage Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Soft · 9 ran 5th 8/1

08 Nov 26 Ffos Las River Voyage (IRE)J: Jamie Brace Dandara Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 24f · Soft · 11 ran 1st 15/2

08 Nov 26 Ffos Las Churchstone Rover (IRE)J: Mr B Mulligan Bridge Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Soft · 9 ran PU 33/1

08 Nov 26 Ffos Las Genietoile (FR)J: Jamie Brace Bridge Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Soft · 9 ran 1st 5/1

31 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Haiti Couleurs (FR)J: Paul Townend BetVictor, Remembering Envoi Allen Champion Steeplechase (Grade 1)Class 1 · 24f · Good · 5 ran 1st 8/1

29 Oct 26 Ffos Las Fairye Forth (IRE)J: Sean Bowen Walters Group Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 25.5f · Good · 5 ran 5th 5/4F

29 Oct 26 Ffos Las Berkshire Smudge (IRE)J: Mr James Murray Golwg Gwendraeth Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Heavy · 7 ran 5th 12/1

27 Oct 26 Bangor-on-Dee Soldier For Glory (IRE)J: Sean Bowen Overton Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 24f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 9th 15/2

22 Oct 26 Ffos Las Gustapof (FR)J: Sean Bowen bettingsites.co.uk Quickest Withdrawal Bookies Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 19.5f · Soft · 9 ran 1st 5/2J

22 Oct 26 Ffos Las Boultydoolin (IRE)J: Ben Jones bettingsites.co.uk Fast Paying Bookmakers Novices' Limited Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 24f · Soft · 7 ran 6th 11/4F

22 Oct 26 Ffos Las Inishcorker (IRE)J: Sean Bowen bettingsites.co.uk Fast Paying Bookmakers Novices' Limited Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 24f · Soft · 7 ran 5th 4/1

22 Oct 26 Ffos Las Pointofdifference (GB)J: Sean Bowen bettingsites.co.uk Get Paid By Uk Betting Sites Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 2 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Soft · 6 ran 1st 9/4

22 Oct 26 Ffos Las Idefix De Ciergues (FR)J: Sean Bowen bettingsites.co.uk Same Day Payouts Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 24f · Soft · 8 ran 4th 8/1

22 Oct 26 Ffos Las Common Sense (IRE)J: James Bowen bettingsites.co.uk Instant Withdrawal Novices' Hurdle Race (Div II) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 10 ran 3rd 100/30

14 Oct 26 Ffos Las Ben Solo (IRE)J: Sean Bowen Adept GRP Cabinets Native River Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 2 · 24f · Soft · 6 ran 3rd 11/8F

14 Oct 26 Ffos Las Fanion D'estruval (FR)J: Jamie Brace RWK Goodman Veterans' Handicap Steeple Chase (Leg 6 Of The Stayers' Veterans' Chase Series)Class 2 · 24f · Soft · 8 ran 3rd 11/1

14 Oct 26 Ffos Las The Boola Boss (IRE)J: Sean Bowen RWK Goodman Veterans' Handicap Steeple Chase (Leg 6 Of The Stayers' Veterans' Chase Series)Class 2 · 24f · Soft · 8 ran 1st 5/1

20 May 26 Ffos Las Bridget Mary (IRE)J: Rian Corcoran Adept GRP Cabinets Mares' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 5th 10/11F

08 May 26 Market Rasen Idefix De Ciergues (FR)J: Oscar Palmer Victor Lucas Memorial Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 23f · Good · 8 ran 7th 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 14 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 5 runs (won 2) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 4 runs (won 1, 1 did not run) · to 8 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Rebecca Curtis's strike rate?: Rebecca Curtis has won 420 of 2,591 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 16.2% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Rebecca Curtis do best at?: Worcester by strike rate: 33 wins from 121 runners (27.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Rebecca Curtis?: A P McCoy, with 353 runners since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 96 (27.2%).
Is Rebecca Curtis in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 6 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Rebecca Curtis's Fair A/E?: 1.06, from 2,587 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.