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Trainer profile

Robert Murphy

302 runners in the lifetime window · 37 individual horses
As at 23 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 166 days ago 92% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
19–302
Wins / Runs
6.3%
Strike rate
n=302
59 (20%)
Placed
1.16
Fair A/E
n=302 · 0.92 incl. margin
−117.34
£1 level stake
n=302 at SP · −38.9%
£264k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 6% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.16). In Group and Graded company the record reads 10% (30 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 302 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 23 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Group/Graded: 10%
The read

In Group and Graded company the record reads well at 10% (n=30, Fair A/E 1.14), but runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 2.7% (n=147, Fair A/E 0.73). The yard also reads well in Class 1 (9.7%, n=31). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 3% over 33 runners, 3.3pts below the baseline. 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Liam & Valerie Brennan Florida Pearl Novice Chase at Punchestown (Nov 2022, £21,535). The stable star of the record: Darrens Hope (IRE) — 7 wins from 40 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
3.2%−3.1
n=63 · A/E 0.67 · £1 −16.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−6.3
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Debutants · first career start
3.2%−3.1
n=31 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −25.50
First-time headgear · true-first definition
8.3%+2.0
n=12 · A/E 2.00 · £1 +29.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−6.3
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
When favourite
60%
n=5 · A/E 2.00 · £1 +7.91
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
2.7%−3.6
n=147 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −108.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
10%+3.7
n=30 · A/E 1.14 · £1 +2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With claiming riders up 2.7% vs 6.3% · n=147
In Group / Graded races 10% vs 6.3% · n=30
Over 2m5f – 3m 9.2% vs 6.3% · n=65
In Class 1 9.7% vs 6.3% · n=31
Off a 61-180-day break 3% vs 6.3% · n=33
With debutants 3.2% vs 6.3% · n=31
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 140 11 7.9% −61.25
NH Flat 86 4 4.7% −13.00
Chase 52 3 5.8% −24.59
Flat 24 1 4.2% −18.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 110 7 6.4% −36.50
Good 72 4 5.6% −41.50
Heavy 56 4 7.1% −29.75
Good to Soft 36 2 5.6% −28.59
Good to Firm 20 2 10% +27.00
Standard (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00
Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Cork 34 2 5.9% −25.00
Tramore 26 1 3.8% −21.50
Clonmel 25 2 8% +1.00
Limerick 25 2 8% −11.50
Punchestown 22 3 13.6% +7.75
Wexford 21 2 9.5% −9.00
Listowel 15 0 0% −15.00
Navan 13 0 0% −13.00
Tipperary 13 2 15.4% +29.91
Fairyhouse 12 0 0% −12.00
Gowran Park 11 0 0% −11.00
Thurles 11 1 9.1% +6.00
Wexford 10 1 10% −3.00
Ballinrobe 9 1 11.1% −6.00
Leopardstown 8 0 0% −8.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 31 3 9.7% +1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 7 4 57.1% 2.16 +8.91
2nd–3rd fav 34 7 20.6% 1.49 +3.25
4th–6th fav 81 4 4.9% 0.73 −37.50
7th+ in betting 180 4 2.2% 0.93 −92.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
80.2% completed · 192 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 52 63.5% 2 4 13 0 0
Hurdle 140 86.4% 0 2 15 0 2
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Darrens Hope (IRE) 40 7 18 29 Apr 23
Silverpockets (IRE) 34 3 11 12 Oct 16
Mrs Mac Veale (IRE)then Gavin Dower 28 6 10 18 Nov 14
Flamingos Gold (IRE) 25 1 7 19 Apr 13
Stylos Ace (IRE) 21 0 2 18 Sep 12
Darrens Diamond (IRE) 19 0 1 7 Jun 21
Mountrivers Lass (IRE) 14 0 0 6 Oct 25
Broomfield Gale (IRE)then Daisy Hitchins 11 0 0 20 Oct 24
Isdistheone (IRE)then Declan Queally 10 0 1 10 May 26
Fiord Cottage (IRE) 9 0 1 31 Aug 14
Witness Express (IRE) 9 0 2 12 Oct 11
On The Motorway (IRE) 8 0 1 24 Jul 15
All 37 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 37 horses listed, 5 arrived from another yard in our archive; 32 had their first archived run for this yard.

7 have since run for another yard; 30 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
50748036412330
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Ian Power 20 0 0% −20.00
Mr D Kiely 15 0 0% −15.00
Darragh O'Keeffe 15 1 6.7% −13.09
John Cullen 13 0 0% −13.00
Mikey Hamill 11 1 9.1% −4.00
M P Fogarty 10 2 20% +6.75
J J Slevin 9 0 0% −9.00
Andrew J McNamara 8 4 50% +26.50
Brian Hayes 8 0 0% −8.00
Mr J C Barry 7 1 14.3% +10.00
Mr M J O'Connor 7 1 14.3% −1.00
Declan Queally 6 0 0% −6.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
20
Archived wins
3
Pattern / graded wins
£282k
Prize money
2013
Best season · 4 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Darrens Hope (IRE) — Liam & Valerie Brennan Florida Pearl Novice Chase (grade 2) Punchestown · Nov 2022 · Grade 2
£21,535
Darrens Hope (IRE) — Kerry Group Irish EBF Shannon Spray Mares Novice Hurdle (Grade 3) Limerick · Mar 2021 · Grade 3
£17,995
Darrens Hope (IRE) — Paddy's Rewards Club EBF Novice Hurdle (Listed) Cork · Nov 2020 · Listed
£17,700
Notable horses
Darrens Hope (IRE) Mrs Mac Veale (IRE) Silverpockets (IRE) Flamingos Gold (IRE) Do Ya Feel Lucky (GB) Darrens Lass (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Oscar (IRE) 11.7% · 7–60
Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,542 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.
Milan (GB) 7.3% · 3–41
Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,852 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).
Karinga Bay (GB) 21.4% · 6–28
Progeny have won 10.1% of 3,407 runs since 2008 (315 horses).
Flemensfirth (USA) 4% · 1–25
Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,276 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses).
Rock Hopper (GB) 0% · 0–21
Progeny have won 6.6% of 411 runs since 2008 (50 horses).
Walk In The Park (IRE) 0% · 0–18
Progeny have won 13.3% of 6,949 runs since 2008 (691 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 23 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 335 · newest first

The latest 50 of 335 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 22 January 2005 to 10 May 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
10 May 26 Cork Isdistheone (IRE)J: Dylan Whelan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle19f · Good · 15 ran 10th 66/1
14 Apr 26 Clonmel Isdistheone (IRE)J: Mr D Doyle Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Flat Race20f · Yielding · 8 ran 6th 12/1
26 Mar 26 Clonmel Isdistheone (IRE)J: James Smith Adare Manor Opportunity Mares Maiden Hurdle19f · Soft · 12 ran 5th 10/1
19 Mar 26 Cork Isdistheone (IRE)J: Ms A Power William Hill Each Way Extra Challenge Series Mares (Ladies Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Yielding · 13 ran 7th 16/1
29 Jan 26 Thurles Not Leaving Yet (IRE)J: Dylan Whelan Holycross Maiden Hurdle22.5f · Heavy · 10 ran 2nd 33/1
15 Jan 26 Fairyhouse Not Leaving Yet (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Bobbyjo Chase Day February 21st Mares Maiden Hurdle20f · Soft · 12 ran UR 300/1
15 Jan 26 Fairyhouse Isdistheone (IRE)J: John Shinnick Bobbyjo Chase Day February 21st Mares Maiden Hurdle20f · Soft · 12 ran 6th 66/1
03 Jan 26 Cork Not Leaving Yet (IRE)J: Mr D Doyle Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Yielding To Soft · 9 ran 7th 150/1
27 Dec 25 Leopardstown Isdistheone (IRE)J: Mr D Doyle Paddy Power The Flat One Flat Race20f · Yielding · 9 ran 6th 33/1
20 Dec 25 Thurles Not Leaving Yet (IRE)J: Mr Alan O'Sullivan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Flat Race16f · Yielding To Soft · 16 ran 10th 100/1
25 Nov 25 Tramore Not Leaving Yet (IRE)J: Ms A Power Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Ladies Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Soft · 6 ran 6th 125/1
25 Nov 25 Tramore Isdistheone (IRE)J: Miss O M Queally Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Ladies Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Soft · 6 ran 4th 22/1
06 Nov 25 Clonmel Isdistheone (IRE)J: Mr Alan O'Sullivan racingtv.com/freetrial Flat Race16.5f · Soft · 10 ran 3rd 14/1
06 Oct 25 Tipperary Mountrivers Lass (IRE)J: Richard Deegan Tipperary Races On X Handicap Hurdle (0-100)23.5f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 6th 50/1
26 Sep 25 Listowel Isdistheone (IRE)J: Mr D Kiely Shanahan Power Irish EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 11th 66/1
21 Sep 25 Listowel Mountrivers Lass (IRE)J: Richard Deegan Bloom Feeds Irish EBF Mares Handicap Hurdle18f · Yielding To Soft · 18 ran 11th 40/1
08 Sep 25 Galway Isdistheone (IRE)J: Mr D Kiely Kenny Developments Irish EBF Mares Flat Race16.5f · Good To Yielding · 17 ran 4th 80/1
25 Aug 25 Ballinrobe Mountrivers Lass (IRE)J: Richard Deegan Paddy Smyth Memorial Mares Maiden Hurdle22.5f · Good · 8 ran 6th 14/1
05 Jul 25 Bellewstown Not Leaving Yet (IRE)J: Harry Sexton SIS Supporting Irish Racing Mares Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Good · 16 ran 10th 100/1
08 Jun 25 Punchestown Not Leaving Yet (IRE)J: Liam Quinlan Lily & Wild Mares Maiden Hurdle21.5f · Good To Yielding · 17 ran 6th 100/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Robert Murphy's strike rate?
Robert Murphy has won 19 of 302 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.3% (as at 23 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Robert Murphy do best at?
Cork by strike rate: 2 wins from 34 runners (5.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Robert Murphy's Fair A/E?
1.16, from 302 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 23 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).