What is Ronald O'Neill's strike rate?

Ronald O'Neill has won 12 of 268 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.5% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Ronald O'Neill do best at?

Clonmel by strike rate: 1 wins from 37 runners (2.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Ronald O'Neill?

Mr J W O'Neill, with 185 runners since 2008 — 69% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (4.9%).

What is Ronald O'Neill's Fair A/E?

0.71, from 268 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Ronald O'Neill

268 runners in the lifetime window · 35 individual horses

As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Oct 2022 90% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

12–268

Wins / Runs

4.5%

Strike rate

n=268

55 (21%)

Placed

0.71

Fair A/E

n=268 · 0.57 incl. margin

−145.59

£1 level stake

n=268 at SP · −54.3%

£177k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.71). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 6% off breaks of two months or more (66 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 268 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 4 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 6.1% Mr J W O'Neill: 4.9% from 185 Claiming riders: 4.9%

The read

The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 4.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.81 and −106.34 to a £1 stake over 225 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Mr J W O'Neill rides 69% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (4.9%, A/E 0.76). The yard also reads well off a break of 180+ days (8.3%, n=48). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Ticket Sales Online Handicap Hurdle at Cork (Nov 2014, £19,500). The stable star of the record: Rory O'moore (IRE) — 5 wins from 46 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.5% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

6.1%+1.6

n=66 · A/E 1.19 · £1 −13.50

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−4.5

n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

Debutants · first career start

0%−4.5

n=29 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −29.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

11.1%+6.6

n=9 · A/E 1.21 · £1 −4.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

50%+45.5

n=2 · A/E 5.66 · £1 +11.00

When favourite

16.7%

n=6 · A/E 0.61 · £1 −4.17

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

4.9%+0.4

n=225 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −106.34

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

7.7%+3.2

n=13 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a break of 180+ days 8.3% vs 4.5% · n=48

With a new jockey booking 1.4% vs 4.5% · n=71

Off a 8-14-day break 7.3% vs 4.5% · n=41

At Thurles 1.9% vs 4.5% · n=54

In NH Flat races 6.5% vs 4.5% · n=108

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 124 5 4% −58.25

NH Flat 108 7 6.5% −51.34

Flat 28 0 0% −28.00

Chase 8 0 0% −8.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Heavy 111 6 5.4% −59.25

Soft 111 4 3.6% −46.67

Good 28 1 3.6% −26.17

Good to Soft 10 0 0% −10.00

Good to Firm 5 1 20% −0.50

Standard (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Thurles 54 1 1.9% −41.00

Clonmel 37 1 2.7% −11.00

Gowran Park 27 2 7.4% −1.50

Cork 26 2 7.7% −3.00

Limerick 21 1 4.8% −4.00

Wexford 19 1 5.3% −17.17

Fairyhouse 13 0 0% −13.00

Punchestown 12 0 0% −12.00

Naas 12 2 16.7% −3.92

Tramore 11 0 0% −11.00

Tipperary 6 1 16.7% −2.50

Galway 5 1 20% −0.50

Listowel 5 0 0% −5.00

Kilbeggan 4 0 0% −4.00

Dundalk (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 13 1 7.7% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 9 2 22.2% 0.93 −2.67

2nd–3rd fav 35 4 11.4% 0.79 −18.92

4th–6th fav 92 3 3.3% 0.48 −42.00

7th+ in betting 132 3 2.3% 0.84 −82.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

88.6% completed · 132 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 8 62.5% 1 0 2 0 0

Hurdle 124 90.3% 3 2 6 0 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Rory O'moore (IRE) 46 5 15 2 Nov 17

Lets High Five It (IRE) 28 1 6 29 Dec 18

Fort Carson (IRE)then Neil King 20 0 5 18 Feb 16

Kymin's Way (IRE) 20 1 8 20 Jan 16

Henrietta's Way (IRE) 16 2 2 27 Feb 14

Sydney Thompson (IRE) 15 1 6 17 Feb 16

Bay Sly (IRE)then Seamus Durack 11 1 3 27 Oct 14

Loch Garbh (IRE) 11 0 0 8 Dec 13

Behana (IRE) 10 1 6 18 Sep 14

Lady Warrior (IRE) 8 0 0 12 Feb 15

Dimona (IRE)from John M Oxx 8 0 0 4 Oct 13

Now Mcginty (IRE)then Stuart Edmunds 7 0 2 9 Feb 17

All 35 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 35 horses listed, 4 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from John M Oxx (2); 31 had their first archived run for this yard.

11 have since run for another yard, most often for John Joseph Hanlon (5) and Sandy Forster (2); 24 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

0740000010775

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderMr J W O'Neill

69% of all rides
4.9% SR · A/E 0.76

RiderRWSR£1

Mr J W O'Neill 185 9 4.9% −105.34

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£182k

Prize money

2014

Best season · 4 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Rory O'moore (IRE) — Ticket Sales Online Handicap Hurdle (grade C) Cork · Nov 2014 · Grade C

£19,500

Rory O'moore (IRE) — Paddy Power Mobile (pro/am) Flat Race Naas · Feb 2012

£9,315

Rory O'moore (IRE) — Tipperary Co-op Hardware & Super Valu, Home & Diy (pro/am) Flat Race Tipperary · Oct 2012

£7,418

Notable horses

Rory O'moore (IRE) Henrietta's Way (IRE) Lets High Five It (IRE) Kymin's Way (IRE) Sydney Thompson (IRE) Bay Sly (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Stowaway (GB) 5.1% · 11–216

Progeny have won 11.3% of 7,190 runs since 2008 (561 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.1% from 124.

Halling (USA) 10% · 1–10

Progeny have won 11% of 6,095 runs since 2008 (409 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 4.8% from 187.

Alhaarth (IRE) 0% · 0–8

Progeny have won 9.7% of 4,158 runs since 2008 (308 horses).

Salutino (GER) 0% · 0–8

Progeny have won 9.1% of 341 runs since 2015 (29 horses).

Valirann (FR) 0% · 0–7

Progeny have won 10.2% of 1,446 runs since 2018 (158 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7% from 343.

Aristotle (IRE) 0% · 0–6

Progeny have won 4.2% of 72 runs since 2014 (9 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 298 · newest first

The latest 50 of 298 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 20 January 2005 to 31 October 2022.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

31 Oct 22 Galway Kayleigh Grace (IRE)J: Cian Horgan Galway Races Summer Festival 2023 Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)12f · Heavy · 18 ran 14th 100/1

07 Oct 22 Dundalk (AW) Kayleigh Grace (IRE)J: Cian Horgan Harrison Contracts NI Apprentice Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 100/1

07 Jul 22 Limerick Kayleigh Grace (IRE)J: Alan Persse Tadhg O'Connor Ltd Maiden8f · Good · 16 ran 14th 100/1

28 Jun 22 Roscommon Kayleigh Grace (IRE)J: Cian Horgan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden7.5f · Soft To Heavy · 11 ran 9th 100/1

01 Jun 22 Curragh Kayleigh Grace (IRE)J: Cian Horgan Betting Better With Sky Bet Fillies Maiden12f · Good · 14 ran 14th 200/1

20 Mar 21 Thurles Dalileo (IRE)J: Shane Fenelon Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Yielding · 16 ran F 80/1

26 Dec 20 Leopardstown Dalileo (IRE)J: B J Cooper Thorntons Recycling Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 20 ran 19th 150/1

03 Dec 20 Clonmel Dalileo (IRE)J: Mr J W O'Neill Next Meeting Thursday January 7th (Q.R.) Maiden Hurdle19f · Heavy · 12 ran 9th 40/1

19 Nov 20 Thurles Stowaway John (IRE)J: Mr J W O'Neill Horse & Jockey Flat Race16f · Soft · 8 ran 5th 50/1

12 Nov 20 Clonmel Ballytobin (IRE)J: Mr J W O'Neill Clonmel Oil Slan Abhaile Flat Race16.5f · Heavy · 10 ran 4th 80/1

05 Nov 20 Thurles Western Tino (IRE)J: Mr J W O'Neill Thurles Flat Race16f · Yielding To Soft · 9 ran 9th 18/1

26 Oct 20 Wexford Stowaway John (IRE)J: Mr J W O'Neill Pinnacle (C & G) (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Soft · 11 ran 9th 16/1

12 Oct 20 Kilbeggan Ballytobin (IRE)J: Mr J W O'Neill Kilbeggan Flat Race16f · Soft · 9 ran 6th 16/1

01 Oct 20 Clonmel Stowaway John (IRE)J: Mr J W O'Neill Clonmel Flat Race16.5f · Good · 14 ran 5th 11/2

03 Sep 20 Clonmel Stowaway John (IRE)J: Mr J W O'Neill Tickincor (Pro/Am) Flat Race16.5f · Good · 13 ran 3rd 28/1

06 Feb 20 Thurles Stowaway John (IRE)J: Mr J W O'Neill Munster Flat Race16f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 6th 33/1

14 Jan 20 Fairyhouse Stowaway John (IRE)J: Mr J W O'Neill Racing Again January 25th Flat Race16f · Heavy · 8 ran 6th 20/1

10 Feb 19 Punchestown Teddy's Acre (IRE)J: Mr J W O'Neill Punchestown Festival 30th April To 4th May (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good · 13 ran 5th 33/1

07 Feb 19 Thurles Baurscoob (IRE)J: Mr J W O'Neill Munster Flat Race16f · Good · 16 ran 8th 100/1

05 Jan 19 Cork Baurscoob (IRE)J: Mr J W O'Neill Follow Us On Facebook Flat Race16f · Soft · 12 ran 11th 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ronald O'Neill's strike rate?: Ronald O'Neill has won 12 of 268 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.5% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ronald O'Neill do best at?: Clonmel by strike rate: 1 wins from 37 runners (2.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Ronald O'Neill?: Mr J W O'Neill, with 185 runners since 2008 — 69% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (4.9%).
What is Ronald O'Neill's Fair A/E?: 0.71, from 268 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.