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Trainer profile

S G Carey

216 runners in the lifetime window · 43 individual horses
As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 4 days ago 91% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2020→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
25–216
Wins / Runs
11.6%
Strike rate
n=216
72 (33%)
Placed
1.13
Fair A/E
n=216 · 0.91 incl. margin
−74.86
£1 level stake
n=216 at SP · −34.7%
£328k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
10.7%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.13).

Deterministic profile computed from 216 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 12 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 12.1%
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 7.3% (n=55, Fair A/E 0.79). The yard also reads well off a 15-30-day break (21.9%, n=64) and in NH Flat races (17.1%, n=41). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 0% over 31 runners, 11.6pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
7.3%−4.3
n=55 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −32.12
New recruits · first run for the yard
5.3%−6.3
n=19 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −14.50
Debutants · first career start
4.2%−7.4
n=24 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −20.50
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−11.6
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−11.6
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
When favourite
24%
n=25 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −6.24
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
12.1%+0.5
n=91 · A/E 1.23 · £1 −33.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−11.6
n=20 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −20.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 15-30-day break 21.9% vs 11.6% · n=64
Off a 61-180-day break 0% vs 11.6% · n=31
In NH Flat races 17.1% vs 11.6% · n=41
On Heavy going 5.9% vs 11.6% · n=34
With horses switching code 5.9% vs 11.6% · n=34
On Good going 16% vs 11.6% · n=50
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 113 14 12.4% −19.37
Chase 42 4 9.5% −22.12
NH Flat 41 7 17.1% −13.37
Flat 20 0 0% −20.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 82 11 13.4% −17.48
Good 50 8 16% −12.00
Good to Soft 47 4 8.5% −28.88
Heavy 34 2 5.9% −13.50
Standard (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Punchestown 25 5 20% −3.00
Fairyhouse 19 2 10.5% −12.12
Ballinrobe 15 2 13.3% −10.50
Downpatrick 15 7 46.7% +25.13
Naas 15 0 0% −15.00
Gowran Park 11 0 0% −11.00
Navan 10 1 10% −5.00
Wexford 9 0 0% −9.00
Tramore 9 1 11.1% +6.00
Clonmel 9 0 0% −9.00
Tipperary 9 0 0% −9.00
Leopardstown 9 1 11.1% −3.50
Galway 7 1 14.3% +5.00
Listowel 7 1 14.3% +4.00
Down Royal 6 0 0% −6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 20 0 0% −20.00
Class 5 1 1 100% +2.25

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 29 7 24.1% 0.91 −6.49
2nd–3rd fav 50 13 26% 1.67 +10.63
4th–6th fav 63 2 3.2% 0.45 −44.00
7th+ in betting 74 3 4.1% 1.36 −35.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
88.4% completed · 155 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 42 83.3% 2 0 4 1 0
Hurdle 113 90.3% 0 3 8 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Banntown Girl (IRE)from A L T Moore 20 3 13 28 Jan 24
The Nagger Reidy (GB) 15 2 7 8 Nov 26
Better Times (IRE) 14 1 2 1 Nov 26
Brosna Queen (IRE) 11 2 2 8 Nov 26
Sittingonthefence (IRE) 11 1 3 23 Aug 23
Lilannbee (GB) 10 1 3 1 Nov 26
An Droichead Eile (IRE)from J P Dempsey · then Peter Maher 10 1 4 15 Jun 22
Brosna Rocco (IRE)from A L T Moore 10 2 5 27 Jan 22
Asphalt Cowboy (IRE) 9 3 4 1 Jun 26
High Notions (IRE) 8 1 3 14 Jun 26
Mill House Creek (GB) 8 1 2 6 Jul 24
Hutchie (IRE)from Ms Debbie Hartnett 8 1 2 18 Feb 24
All 43 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 43 horses listed, 19 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from A L T Moore (4) and J P Dempsey (3); 24 had their first archived run for this yard.

7 have since run for another yard, most often for Peter Maher (2); 36 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 7
Only 7 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0020011198132114026
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
J J Slevin 18 3 16.7% +13.00
Mr M N Sharpe 17 2 11.8% −7.00
Danny Mullins 15 0 0% −15.00
Peter Carberry 14 1 7.1% +1.00
Ricky Doyle 13 2 15.4% −6.37
Michael Kenneally 13 3 23.1% +9.50
Mr P W Mullins 9 3 33.3% +1.38
Mr P A King 8 1 12.5% −3.50
Sean Flanagan 6 0 0% −6.00
Miss A B O'Connor 6 1 16.7% −1.50
Mr P J Cawley 6 1 16.7% −0.50
Simon Torrens 5 1 20% +0.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2020→
25
Archived wins
£328k
Prize money
2025
Best season · 7 wins
Better Times (IRE) — Kevin Ross Bloodstock 110 Series Final Handicap Hurdle Downpatrick · Mar 2026
£14,725
The Nagger Reidy (GB) — Mercedes Benz South Dublin Handicap Hurdle Leopardstown · Dec 2025
£10,915
Asphalt Cowboy (IRE) — Dennison Commercials, Volvo Truck Hunters Chase Downpatrick · May 2025
£10,325
Notable horses
Banntown Girl (IRE) Asphalt Cowboy (IRE) The Nagger Reidy (GB) Brosna Queen (IRE) Brosna Rocco (IRE) Better Times (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Getaway (GER) 19.4% · 6–31
Progeny have won 11.3% of 11,028 runs since 2016 (1,034 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.
Stowaway (GB) 15% · 3–20
Progeny have won 11.3% of 7,190 runs since 2008 (561 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.1% from 124.
Kayf Tara (GB) 13.3% · 2–15
Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,769 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.
Shirocco (GER) 13.3% · 2–15
Progeny have won 11.1% of 9,203 runs since 2010 (927 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.
Hillstar (GB) 7.1% · 1–14
Progeny have won 7.3% of 756 runs since 2021 (89 horses).
Robin Des Pres (FR) 7.7% · 1–13
Progeny have won 9.2% of 2,800 runs since 2008 (229 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 216 · newest first

The latest 50 of 216 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 13 November 2020 to 8 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
08 Nov 26 Naas (IRE) Kells House (IRE)J: Mr Finian Maguire Bet With Tote On Racing & Sports Irish EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good To Yielding · 17 ran 17th 7/1
08 Nov 26 Naas (IRE) Brosna Queen (IRE)J: Conor Stone-Walsh Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Brown Lad Handicap Hurdle (Listed)Class 1 · 20f · Good To Yielding · 20 ran 12th 20/1
08 Nov 26 Naas (IRE) The Nagger Reidy (GB)J: Ms Aine Connolly Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Brown Lad Handicap Hurdle (Listed)Class 1 · 20f · Good To Yielding · 20 ran 10th 16/1
01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Lilannbee (GB)J: Siobhan Rutledge Velo Coffee At The Curragh Maiden12f · Yielding · 19 ran 5th 33/1
01 Nov 26 Cork (IRE) Better Times (IRE)J: Ms Aine Connolly Paddy Power 'I Still Call It Twitter' Handicap Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 3rd 16/1
30 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Ifuknowuknow (IRE)J: Miss A B O'Connor WTW Willis Flat Race17f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 2nd 7/1
30 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Brosna Queen (IRE)J: Ricky Doyle Irish Stallion Farms EBF Feathard Lady Mares Novice Hurdle (Grade 3)Class 1 · 17f · Good To Yielding · 7 ran 5th 40/1
13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Eastern Whisper (GB)J: Mr P W Mullins Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Flat Race16f · Good · 14 ran 1st 5/2F
05 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Lilannbee (GB)J: Danny Gilligan Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction & Median Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 15/8
03 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Better Times (IRE)J: Conor Smithers Jack Duggan Memorial Handicap Hurdle24f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 9th 9/1
20 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Brosna Queen (IRE)J: Ricky Doyle Kinisla Bloom Feeds Irish EBF Mares Handicap Hurdle18f · Good · 18 ran 8th 16/1
18 Sep 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Ifuknowuknow (IRE)J: Miss A B O'Connor Dunleath Flat Race18f · Good · 12 ran 1st 7/2
11 Sep 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Better Times (IRE)J: Ricky Doyle Michael Cawe Suspended Ceilings Handicap Hurdle22f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 8th 25/1
04 Sep 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Gunner Girl (IRE)J: Michael Kenneally Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle19.5f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran 6th 20/1
24 Aug 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Gunner Girl (IRE)J: Conor Stone-Walsh Paddy Smyth Memorial Mares Maiden Hurdle22.5f · Good · 12 ran 8th 80/1
09 Aug 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Lilannbee (GB)J: Michael Kenneally WTW Willis Mares Maiden Hurdle18f · Good · 7 ran 4th 3/1
01 Aug 26 Galway (IRE) Gunner Girl (IRE)J: Mr Derek O'Connor Electric Galway Irish EBF Mares Flat Race17f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 13th 33/1
23 Jul 26 Wexford (IRE) Lilannbee (GB)J: Michael Kenneally Curragh To Curragh Charity Cycle On August 29th Mares Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 11 ran 4th 3/1
14 Jun 26 Downpatrick High Notions (IRE)J: Alan O'Sullivan Cab Plant Handicap Hurdle (0-100)18f · Good · 14 ran 7th 5/1
13 Jun 26 Downpatrick Brosna Queen (IRE)J: Ricky Doyle Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle19f · Good · 10 ran 1st 11/4J

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is S G Carey's strike rate?
S G Carey has won 25 of 216 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 11.6% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is S G Carey in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 7 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is S G Carey's Fair A/E?
1.13, from 216 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 12 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).