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Trainer profile

Terry Caldwell

42 runners in the lifetime window · 13 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Nov 2010
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
1–42
Wins / Runs
2.4%
Strike rate
n=42
1 (2%)
Placed
1.27
n=42 · 1.07 incl. margin
−36.00
£1 level stake
n=42 at SP · −85.7%
£2,602
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−2.4
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.4
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.4
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.4
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.2%+1.8
n=24 · A/E 1.94 · £1 −18.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 20 1 5% −14.00
Flat 16 0 0% −16.00
NH Flat 6 0 0% −6.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 15 0 0% −15.00
Soft 10 1 10% −4.00
Good to Firm 6 0 0% −6.00
Good to Soft 5 0 0% −5.00
Standard (AW) 5 0 0% −5.00
Heavy 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 4 0 0% −4.00
Doncaster 4 0 0% −4.00
Bangor-on-Dee 3 0 0% −3.00
Leicester 3 0 0% −3.00
Uttoxeter 3 0 0% −3.00
Catterick 3 0 0% −3.00
Haydock 3 0 0% −3.00
Carlisle 2 0 0% −2.00
Warwick 2 0 0% −2.00
Wetherby 2 0 0% −2.00
Chepstow 2 0 0% −2.00
Cartmel 1 0 0% −1.00
Market Rasen 1 0 0% −1.00
Ludlow 1 0 0% −1.00
Lingfield 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 23 1 4.3% −17.00
Class 6 10 0 0% −10.00
Class 4 8 0 0% −8.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 1 1 100% 6.82 +5.00
4th–6th fav 7 0 0% 0.00 −7.00
7th+ in betting 34 0 0% 0.00 −34.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Cleopatras Therapy (IRE) 8 0 0 12 May 09
Bravo Blue (IRE) 6 0 0 4 Jun 10
Inchmarlow (IRE) 4 0 0 14 Jul 10
Master Cospector (GB)then Ken Wingrove 3 0 0 23 Nov 09
Master Marmalade (GB)from Dave Morris 3 0 0 11 Feb 08
Bravo Belle (IRE)then Paddy Butler 2 0 0 15 Nov 10
Sostenuto (GB) 2 0 0 4 Jun 10
Carrimion (GB) 2 0 0 22 Nov 08
Escapee (GB) 1 0 0 31 Oct 10
No Brakes (GB) 1 0 0 11 Apr 09
All 13 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 13 horses listed, 3 arrived from another yard in our archive; 10 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard; 10 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0017000000000
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Bernie Wharfe 15 1 6.7% −9.00
Ross Atkinson 3 0 0% −3.00
Charlie Poste 3 0 0% −3.00
Duran Fentiman 3 0 0% −3.00
David England 2 0 0% −2.00
Frankie McDonald 2 0 0% −2.00
Oliver Dayman 2 0 0% −2.00
Fergus Sweeney 1 0 0% −1.00
William Kennedy 1 0 0% −1.00
Warren Marston 1 0 0% −1.00
Greg Fairley 1 0 0% −1.00
Mr O Greenall 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
2
Archived wins
£8,533
Prize money
2008
Best season · 1 win
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Cleopatras Therapy (IRE) — lingfieldpark.co.uk Handicap Hurdle Lingfield · Mar 2007 · Class 5
£3,083
Dancing Partner (USA) — Shakespeare Service Centre Conditionals' Handicap Hurdle Stratford · Mar 2008 · Class 5
£2,602

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Gone Fishin (IRE) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 0% of 24 runs since 2008 (6 horses). A small sample.
Distant View (USA) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 5.2% of 249 runs since 2008 (23 horses).
Mark of Esteem (IRE) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 8.5% of 2,657 runs since 2008 (199 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 11.7% from 128.
Cape Cross (IRE) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 13.3% of 12,754 runs since 2008 (988 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 8.4% from 477. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.8% from 230.
Aristocracy (IRE) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 8.2% of 73 runs since 2008 (11 horses).
Helissio (FR) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 9.2% of 1,145 runs since 2008 (106 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 5.8% from 207.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 126 · newest first

The latest 50 of 126 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 17 January 2005 to 15 November 2010.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
19 Jun 10 Haydock Inchmarlow (IRE)J: Ross Atkinson Bullock Construction Ltd Maiden StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 12th 125/1
21 May 10 Catterick Bravo Blue (IRE)J: Greg Fairley Ellery Hill Rating Related Maiden StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 11th 250/1
25 Sep 09 Haydock Bravo Blue (IRE)J: Liam Keniry Vale Uk Maiden Fillies' StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 9th 50/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Terry Caldwell's strike rate?
Terry Caldwell has won 1 of 42 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 2.4% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Terry Caldwell's Fair A/E?
1.27, from 42 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).