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Trainer profile

Dave Morris

313 runners in the lifetime window · 35 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Feb 2016 96% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
24–313
Wins / Runs
7.7%
Strike rate
n=313
77 (25%)
Placed
0.95
Fair A/E
n=313 · 0.81 incl. margin
−98.90
£1 level stake
n=313 at SP · −31.6%
£97,550
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 30 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.95). With a claiming rider up the record reads 10% (73 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 313 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 9.6%
The read

The record is strongest at Southwell (AW) (12.3%, n=57) and Kempton (AW) (12%, n=50) — all clear of the yard's 7.7% baseline. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 2% (n=49, Fair A/E 0.38). The yard also read well off a 15-30-day break (11.6%, n=112) and over 6f – 7f (11.7%, n=94). The record read poorly off a 61-180-day break — 2.6% over 38 runners, 5.1pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record was Wodhill Gold (GB) — 5 wins from 36 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2%−5.7
n=49 · A/E 0.38 · £1 −39.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−7.7
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−7.7
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
9.1%+1.4
n=11 · A/E 1.44 · £1 −2.50
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
4.3%−3.4
n=23 · A/E 0.63 · £1 −17.50
When favourite
37.5%
n=16 · A/E 1.38 · £1 +2.35
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
9.6%+1.9
n=73 · A/E 1.21 · £1 +2.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−7.7
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Mr B M Morris 13.3% vs 7.7% · n=30
At Southwell (AW) 12.3% vs 7.7% · n=57
Off a 61-180-day break 2.6% vs 7.7% · n=38
Off a 15-30-day break 11.6% vs 7.7% · n=112
Over 6f – 7f 11.7% vs 7.7% · n=94
At Kempton (AW) 12% vs 7.7% · n=50
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 301 24 8% −86.90
NH Flat 10 0 0% −10.00
Chase 1 0 0% −1.00
Hurdle 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 167 15 9% −38.90
Good to Firm 57 4 7% −9.00
Good 51 2 3.9% −35.50
Good to Soft 16 1 6.3% −11.50
Soft 11 1 9.1% −2.00
Heavy 7 1 14.3% +2.00
Firm 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Southwell (AW) 57 7 12.3% −28.65
Kempton (AW) 50 6 12% +43.25
Yarmouth 47 2 4.3% −12.50
Lingfield (AW) 24 0 0% −24.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 24 2 8.3% −17.50
Lingfield 13 3 23.1% +11.00
Newmarket 13 1 7.7% −4.00
Chelmsford (AW) 12 0 0% −12.00
Newmarket 9 0 0% −9.00
Newbury 9 1 11.1% −2.00
Doncaster 8 0 0% −8.00
Nottingham 6 0 0% −6.00
Leicester 5 0 0% −5.00
Brighton 5 0 0% −5.00
Epsom Downs 4 2 50% +7.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 166 14 8.4% −57.65
Class 5 95 8 8.4% −33.50
Class 4 25 0 0% −25.00
Class 7 14 2 14.3% +30.25
Class 1 9 0 0% −9.00
Class 2 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 20 7 35% 1.38 +2.35
2nd–3rd fav 59 7 11.9% 0.75 −22.75
4th–6th fav 84 7 8.3% 1.17 −3.50
7th+ in betting 150 3 2% 0.62 −75.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Zaheeb (GB)from Mick Channon 38 3 7 9 Oct 13
Cragganmore Creek (GB) 36 2 7 25 May 12
Chez Vrony (GB) 35 0 11 19 Feb 15
Iceman George (GB)then Giles Bravery 19 2 6 15 Aug 09
Water For Life (GB)then Martin Smith 14 0 1 4 Nov 14
Wodhill Schnaps (GB) 14 2 7 29 Aug 08
Jamaica Grande (GB)from Terry Clement · then Charlie Wallis 11 3 8 22 Jan 14
Sleep Over (GB) 10 0 0 26 Aug 10
Amber Sunset (GB)from J Jay 9 2 3 12 Nov 10
Classy Affair (GB) 9 0 0 9 Nov 08
Groovejet (GB)from Peter Chapple-Hyam · then Richard Spencer 8 0 0 2 Jan 16
Sir Theodore (IRE)then Richard Spencer 8 1 2 14 Nov 15
All 35 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 35 horses listed, 13 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Peter Chapple-Hyam (4) and J Jay (2); 22 had their first archived run for this yard.

15 have since run for another yard, most often for Richard Spencer (7); 20 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
71911608115105313
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderWilliam Carson
14% of all rides
9.1% SR · A/E 1.17
RiderRWSR£1
William Carson 44 4 9.1% +26.00
William Twiston-Davies 34 4 11.8% −14.75
Mr B M Morris 30 4 13.3% −8.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
40
Archived wins
£158k
Prize money
2007
Best season · 7 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Annambo (GB) — Dodson And Horrell Handicap Newmarket · Jul 2005 · Class 4
£6,097
Amber Sunset (GB) — Richmond Handicap Epsom Downs · Sep 2010 · Class 5
£3,886
Iceman George (GB) — Heath Handicap Newmarket · Jul 2009 · Class 5
£3,886
Notable horses
Wodhill Gold (GB) Cragganmore Creek (GB) Wodhill Schnaps (GB) Wodhill Be (GB) Zaheeb (GB) Iceman George (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Haafhd (GB) 7.9% · 3–38
Progeny have won 11% of 4,748 runs since 2008 (305 horses).
Tipsy Creek (USA) 5.6% · 2–36
Progeny have won 6.8% of 443 runs since 2008 (30 horses).
Cockney Rebel (IRE) 8.6% · 3–35
Progeny have won 8.2% of 1,863 runs since 2008 (179 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 12.1% from 206.
Lujain (USA) 0% · 0–35
Progeny have won 8.3% of 1,688 runs since 2008 (99 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.6% from 108.
Beat Hollow (GB) 10.5% · 2–19
Progeny have won 11.3% of 6,028 runs since 2008 (412 horses).
Danzig Connection (USA) 13.3% · 2–15
Progeny have won 6.7% of 165 runs since 2008 (21 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 582 · newest first

The latest 50 of 582 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 17 January 2005 to 18 February 2016.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
18 Feb 16 Chelmsford City (AW) Napoleon Solo (GB)J: William Twiston-Davies Betfred 1400 Shops Nationwide HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 5th 5/1
13 Feb 16 Wolverhampton (AW) Burning Love (IRE)J: Jack Mitchell 32Red Casino Selling StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 6 ran 4th 16/1
19 Jan 16 Southwell (AW) Burning Love (IRE)J: William Twiston-Davies 32red.com HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 33/1
19 Jan 16 Southwell (AW) Napoleon Solo (GB)J: William Twiston-Davies Ladbrokes HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 9/2
11 Jan 16 Kempton (AW) Napoleon Solo (GB)J: William Twiston-Davies Racing Uk Winter Season Ticket HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 13/2
02 Jan 16 Chelmsford City (AW) Groovejet (GB)J: William Twiston-Davies Scoop6soccer 1 Million Football Bet HandicapClass 2 · 13.5f · Standard · 7 ran 7th 16/1
23 Nov 15 Chelmsford City (AW) Nucky Thompson (GB)J: William Twiston-Davies Bet toteplacepot NurseryClass 4 · 8f · Standard · 7 ran 7th 33/1
20 Nov 15 Wolverhampton (AW) Rebel Lightning (IRE)J: William Twiston-Davies 32Red.com Maiden Auction Stakes (Div 2)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 2/1F
20 Nov 15 Wolverhampton (AW) Napoleon Solo (GB)J: William Twiston-Davies Bet And Watch Every Race At Unibet Maiden StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 9/4
14 Nov 15 Wolverhampton (AW) Sir Theodore (IRE)J: William Twiston-Davies Unibet Offer Daily Jockey/Trainer Specials NurseryClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 20/1
12 Nov 15 Chelmsford City (AW) Napoleon Solo (GB)J: William Twiston-Davies Play Scoop6Soccer At totesport.com HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 7/1
12 Nov 15 Chelmsford City (AW) Rebel State (IRE)J: William Twiston-Davies Play The New Scoop6Soccer Every Week Median Auction Maiden StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 8/1
05 Nov 15 Chelmsford City (AW) Rebel Lightning (IRE)J: William Twiston-Davies Toteexacta Pick The 1st & 2nd Maiden Auction StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 7 ran 3rd 40/1
29 Oct 15 Lingfield (AW) Groovejet (GB)J: Martin Lane 32Red.com / EBF Stallions River Eden Fillies' Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 13f · Standard · 13 ran 12th 25/1
21 Oct 15 Kempton (AW) Vegas Rebel (IRE)J: William Twiston-Davies 10 Free Bet At 32RedSport HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 14 ran 7th 33/1
20 Oct 15 Wolverhampton (AW) Buffalo Soldier (IRE)J: Martin Lane Enjoy Daily Racing Tips At bookies.com Nursery (Div 2)Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 2nd 16/1
20 Oct 15 Windsor Sir Theodore (IRE)J: William Twiston-Davies War Of The Worlds Fireworks NurseryClass 5 · 6f · Good · 14 ran 5th 12/1
17 Oct 15 Wolverhampton (AW) Illya Kuryakin (GB)J: William Twiston-Davies Bet365.com HandicapClass 6 · 16.5f · Standard · 10 ran 1st 5/2F
16 Oct 15 Wolverhampton (AW) Minnie The Moocher (GB)J: William Twiston-Davies Award Winning Fine Dining At Horizons Classified StakesClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 13 ran 8th 28/1
02 Oct 15 Wolverhampton (AW) Illya Kuryakin (GB)J: William Twiston-Davies Meetings & Events At Wolverhampton Racecourse HandicapClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 13 ran 5th 8/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Dave Morris's strike rate?
Dave Morris has won 24 of 313 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.7% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Dave Morris do best at?
Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 7 wins from 57 runners (12.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Dave Morris's Fair A/E?
0.95, from 313 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).