No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB at a glanceClaiming riders: 3%
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 1.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−1.7
n=18 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −18.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−1.7
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
Debutants · first career start
16.7%+15.0
n=6 · A/E 3.74 · £1 −2.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−1.7
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−1.7
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
When favourite
50%
n=2 · A/E 2.80 · £1 +2.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3%+1.3
n=33 · A/E 0.55 · £1 −29.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−1.7
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 1.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Flat4100%−41.00
Hurdle1000%−10.00
NH Flat5120%−1.00
Chase400%−4.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW)2000%−20.00
Soft1500%−15.00
Heavy1000%−10.00
Good to Firm500%−5.00
Good5120%−1.00
Good to Soft300%−3.00
Firm200%−2.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW)1900%−19.00
Down Royal6116.7%−2.00
Punchestown400%−4.00
Navan400%−4.00
Fairyhouse300%−3.00
Leopardstown300%−3.00
Naas300%−3.00
Cork200%−2.00
Clonmel200%−2.00
Curragh200%−2.00
Gowran Park200%−2.00
Leicester100%−1.00
Bath100%−1.00
Tipperary100%−1.00
Tramore100%−1.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 6300%−3.00
Class 1100%−1.00
Class 7100%−1.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite2150%2.80+2.00
2nd–3rd fav300%0.00−3.00
4th–6th fav1300%0.00−13.00
7th+ in betting4200%0.00−42.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
6f – 7f2000%−20.00
1m2f – 1m4f1200%−12.00
1m5f – 2m10110%−6.00
2m1f – 2m4f800%−8.00
1m – 1m1f600%−6.00
2m5f – 3m200%−2.00
Under 6f200%−2.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
2008200%−2.00
2009300%−3.00
20104125%+0.00
20112000%−20.00
20122400%−24.00
2013700%−7.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps3500%−35.00
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
14-16 runners2514%−21.00
17+ runners1300%−13.00
11-13 runners1200%−12.00
8-10 runners600%−6.00
5-7 runners400%−4.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 15 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 15 horses listed, 9 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Desmond McDonogh (3) and A J Martin (2); 6 had their first archived run for this yard.
3 have since run for another yard; 12 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0025000000000
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Progeny have won 11% of 20,049 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.
Helissio (FR)0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 9.2% of 1,145 runs since 2008 (106 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 5.8% from 207.
Halling (USA)0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 11% of 6,095 runs since 2008 (409 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 4.8% from 187.
Invincible Spirit (IRE)0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,818 runs since 2008 (1,573 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 843.
Woods of Windsor (USA)0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 7.9% of 277 runs since 2008 (32 horses).
One Cool Cat (USA)0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 9.4% of 3,592 runs since 2008 (254 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.4% from 605.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 60 · newest first
The latest 50 of 60 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 23 May 2008 to 31 May 2013.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Thomas McGivern's strike rate?
Thomas McGivern has won 1 of 60 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 1.7% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Thomas McGivern's Fair A/E?
0.33, from 60 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Thomas McGivern·SR 1.7%·A/E 0.33
KTB
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