What is Mr J P McKeown's strike rate?

Mr J P McKeown has won 29 of 399 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.3% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Mr J P McKeown do best at?

Down Royal by strike rate: 5 wins from 49 rides (10.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

What is Mr J P McKeown's Fair A/E?

1.11, from 388 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Mr J P McKeown

399 rides in the lifetime window · 311 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride May 2017

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

29–399

Wins / Runs

7.3%

Strike rate

n=399

89 (22%)

Placed

1.11

Fair A/E

n=388 · 0.83 incl. margin

−193.70

£1 level stake

n=390 at SP · −49.7%

£425k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 40 times a season, winning on 7% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.11).

Deterministic profile computed from 399 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fired May–Jun Claiming: 8.4%

The read

It is weakest at Downpatrick (3% over 33 rides) — the widest gap in the record. The rider also read well in Chase races (12.9%, n=85) and off a 15-30-day break (11.2%, n=89). The record read poorly off a 61-180-day break — 2.4% over 42 rides, 4.9pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider off a 31-60-day break: Fair A/E 0.76 across 53 rides (3.8% strike, −43.25 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Goffs Land Rover Bumper at Punchestown (May 2011, £59,000). Seasonally, the rider fired May–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.3% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

6%−1.3

n=298 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −162.20

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

22.2%+14.9

n=18 · A/E 1.94 · £1 +5.50

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

5.2%−2.1

n=96 · A/E 0.48 · £1 −67.00

When favourite

13.3%

n=15 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −7.25

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

8.4%+1.1

n=250 · A/E 1.36 · £1 −90.00

Big fields · 14+ runners

6.3%−1.0

n=239 · A/E 1.19 · £1 −117.75

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−7.3

n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

In Chase races 12.9% vs 7.3% · n=85

With horses switching code 2.8% vs 7.3% · n=71

Off a 61-180-day break 2.4% vs 7.3% · n=42

Off a 15-30-day break 11.2% vs 7.3% · n=89

At Downpatrick 3% vs 7.3% · n=33

Off a 31-60-day break 3.8% vs 7.3% · n=53

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

NH Flat 194 10 5.2% −124.25

Chase 85 11 12.9% −18.95

Hurdle 74 6 8.1% −27.50

Flat 46 2 4.3% −23.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 131 7 5.3% −85.25

Good 101 8 7.9% −46.00

Heavy 69 6 8.7% −37.70

Good to Firm 40 4 10% −16.75

Good to Soft 40 3 7.5% −3.00

Standard (AW) 10 0 0% −10.00

Firm 8 1 12.5% +5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Punchestown 52 3 5.8% −18.00

Down Royal 49 5 10.2% −12.50

Downpatrick 33 1 3% −24.00

Fairyhouse 30 1 3.3% −21.00

Cork 18 0 0% −18.00

Leopardstown 16 1 6.3% −12.25

Wexford 15 2 13.3% +2.00

Ballinrobe 14 3 21.4% +13.50

Navan 14 2 14.3% +0.50

Auteuil (FR) 14 5 35.7% +4.30

Galway 12 0 0% −12.00

Kilbeggan 11 0 0% −11.00

Limerick 11 0 0% −11.00

Naas 10 1 10% −5.50

Gowran Park 10 0 0% −10.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 10 0 0% −10.00

Class 2 8 1 12.5% +0.50

Class 4 6 1 16.7% −1.00

Class 3 3 0 0% −3.00

Class 6 3 0 0% −3.00

Class 5 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 17 3 17.6% 0.96 −3.75

2nd–3rd fav 51 13 25.5% 1.95 +35.25

4th–6th fav 107 7 6.5% 1.02 −38.20

7th+ in betting 215 2 0.9% 0.34 −187.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

81.1% completed · 159 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 85 74.1% 6 5 9 2 0

Hurdle 74 89.2% 2 0 4 1 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Tear Drops (IRE) 10 3 4 27 Dec 11

Agus A Vic (IRE) 9 2 4 30 May 12

Aupcharlie (IRE) 6 1 5 4 May 11

Rising Euro (IRE) 4 1 1 13 Sep 12

Clonsilla Fath (IRE) 4 1 2 22 Jun 12

Toccata Blue (IRE) 3 0 0 19 May 17

First To Boogie (IRE) 3 0 1 29 Dec 15

A Twist Of Fate (IRE) 3 0 0 18 Jun 15

I'll Be Your Clown (IRE) 3 0 1 8 Feb 15

Fergiethelegend (IRE) 3 0 0 13 Dec 13

Xolani (IRE) 3 0 1 13 Jul 13

Kanesh (IRE) 3 0 3 6 May 13

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 311 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

081149931507145

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

TrainerRWSR£1

Patrick Martin 28 6 21.4% +10.50

P E Collins 24 4 16.7% +5.50

Noel Meade 22 2 9.1% −1.50

F-M Cottin 11 5 45.5% +5.30

Aidan Anthony Howard 10 0 0% −10.00

John G Carr 10 1 10% +5.00

Andrew Lynch 9 0 0% −9.00

D M Christie 8 0 0% −8.00

Sabrina J Harty 8 1 12.5% −1.00

Garry Caldwell 8 1 12.5% −1.00

A Oliver 6 0 0% −6.00

J Larkin 6 0 0% −6.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£713k

Prize money

2006

Best season · 14 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Texas Jack (IRE) — Goffs Land Rover Bumper Punchestown · May 2011

£59,000

Agus A Vic (IRE) — Cox's Cash & Carry Champion Hunters Chase Punchestown · Apr 2008

£26,040

Back To Bid (IRE) — B.M.Durkan & Co.Ltd. (Pro-Am) INH Flat Race Navan · Dec 2005 · Grade 2

£22,785

Notable horses

Agus A Vic (IRE) Tear Drops (IRE) Clonsilla Affairs (IRE) Tango Jim (FR) Back To Bid (IRE) Big Daddy's Girl (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Beneficial (GB) 15% · 3–20

Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,046 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).

Presenting (GB) 12.5% · 2–16

Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Old Vic (GB) 16.7% · 2–12

Progeny have won 11.7% of 6,916 runs since 2008 (630 horses).

Flemensfirth (USA) 0% · 0–11

Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,288 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).

Definite Article (GB) 0% · 0–8

Progeny have won 10.5% of 5,617 runs since 2008 (527 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 5.1% from 138. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.3% from 211.

Milan (GB) 25% · 2–8

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,876 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 705 · newest first

The latest 50 of 705 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 19 January 2005 to 19 May 2017.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

19 May 17 Downpatrick Toccata Blue (IRE)T: J Larkin Friday Nights Alright Maiden Hurdle19f · Good · 11 ran 9th 25/1

01 May 17 Down Royal Toccata Blue (IRE)T: J Larkin Pat O'hare Bookmakers Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 20 ran 16th 25/1

26 Mar 17 Downpatrick Toccata Blue (IRE)T: J Larkin WKD Maiden Hurdle19f · Good · 11 ran 10th 16/1

17 Mar 17 Down Royal Pendale (IRE)T: George Stewart Bet With The Tote Mares Flat Race16.5f · Yielding To Soft · 16 ran 10th 33/1

02 Apr 16 Navan Elusive Theatre (IRE)T: S R B Crawford Boardsmill Sires E.B.F. Mares Flat Race16f · Soft To Heavy · 6 ran 1st 9/2

27 Mar 16 Fairyhouse Art Of Supremacy (IRE)T: Noel Meade Tattersalls Ireland George Mernagh Memorial Sales Bumper16f · Yielding · 16 ran 6th 20/1

20 Feb 16 Fairyhouse Thebarrowman (IRE)T: Adrian Paul Keatley Ian Smith Memorial (pro/am) Flat Race16f · Heavy · 5 ran 1st 8/1

04 Feb 16 Clonmel Celtic Thunder (IRE)T: R K Watson Micro Dog Id Maiden Hunters Chase20f · Heavy · 11 ran 6th 14/1

14 Jan 16 Thurles Celtic Thunder (IRE)T: R K Watson Arctic Tack Stud Hunters Chase24.5f · Soft · 13 ran UR 40/1

29 Dec 15 Leopardstown First To Boogie (IRE)T: Aidan Anthony Howard Copper Face Jacks Maiden Hurdle20f · Heavy · 9 ran 6th 50/1

27 Dec 15 Leopardstown Behind Bars (IRE)T: Adrian Paul Keatley Paddy Power 'download Our New Iphone App' 3-y-o Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 18 ran PU 100/1

26 Dec 15 Down Royal Ballyoptic (IRE)T: I R Ferguson Bet With The Tote (pro/am) Flat Race16f · Heavy · 16 ran 5th 8/1

26 Dec 15 Down Royal Liberty Jack (IRE)T: Sarah Dawson Dark Horse Wine Bar Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 20 ran 19th 50/1

26 Dec 15 Down Royal Kinley (IRE)T: I R Ferguson Silks At downroyal Hunters Chase22f · Heavy · 14 ran 8th 40/1

11 Dec 15 Cheltenham First To Boogie (IRE)T: Aidan Anthony Howard Glenfarclas Cross Country ChaseClass 2 · 30f · Good To Soft · 14 ran F 50/1

10 Dec 15 Punchestown Davyroy (IRE)T: C A McBratney Racing Again At Punchestown On New Year's Eve Hunters Chase22f · Soft To Heavy · 15 ran PU 8/1

22 Nov 15 Navan Ninety Seconds (IRE)T: T J Taaffe Coolmore N.h. Sires E.B.F. Mares Flat Race (listed)16f · Soft · 15 ran 14th 50/1

14 Nov 15 Punchestown First To Boogie (IRE)T: Aidan Anthony Howard Risk Of Thunder Chase24f · Soft · 16 ran 3rd 66/1

31 Oct 15 Down Royal Mourneseafood Lass (IRE)T: Sarah Dawson Daily Mirror (pro/am) Flat Race16f · Yielding To Soft · 12 ran 10th 33/1

31 Oct 15 Down Royal Liberty Jack (IRE)T: Sarah Dawson Tayto Group Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding To Soft · 11 ran 9th 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mr J P McKeown's strike rate?: Mr J P McKeown has won 29 of 399 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.3% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mr J P McKeown do best at?: Down Royal by strike rate: 5 wins from 49 rides (10.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Mr J P McKeown's Fair A/E?: 1.11, from 388 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.