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Trainer profile

W J O'Doherty

213 runners in the lifetime window · 31 individual horses
As at 2 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner yesterday 92% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2009→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
8–213
Wins / Runs
3.8%
Strike rate
n=213
30 (14%)
Placed
0.99
Fair A/E
n=213 · 0.75 incl. margin
−132.17
£1 level stake
n=213 at SP · −62.1%
£88,144
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 4% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.99).

Deterministic profile computed from 213 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 2 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 4.3%
The read

The yard also reads well on Good going (7.7%, n=65). The market has consistently overbet the yard on Soft going: Fair A/E 0.50 across 69 runners (1.4% strike, −54.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4.3%+0.5
n=47 · A/E 1.34 · £1 −25.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
8.3%+4.5
n=12 · A/E 2.89 · £1 −5.50
Debutants · first career start
0%−3.8
n=19 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −19.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−3.8
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−3.8
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
When favourite
0%
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.7%−0.1
n=134 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −76.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Good going 7.7% vs 3.8% · n=65
On Soft going 1.4% vs 3.8% · n=69
Off a 61-180-day break 5.9% vs 3.8% · n=34
With a new jockey booking 2.5% vs 3.8% · n=120 · A/E 0.74
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 2.5% vs 3.8% · n=80 · A/E 0.77
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 170 6 3.5% −99.17
Flat 18 2 11.1% −8.00
NH Flat 18 0 0% −18.00
Chase 7 0 0% −7.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 69 1 1.4% −54.00
Good 65 5 7.7% −14.17
Heavy 39 1 2.6% −30.50
Good to Soft 27 0 0% −27.00
Good to Firm 10 0 0% −10.00
Standard (AW) 3 1 33.3% +3.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Limerick 29 1 3.4% −20.50
Cork 28 2 7.1% +2.00
Kilbeggan 18 1 5.6% −13.67
Killarney 16 2 12.5% +12.00
Listowel 15 0 0% −15.00
Gowran Park 13 0 0% −13.00
Ballinrobe 11 0 0% −11.00
Navan 10 1 10% −6.50
Tramore 8 0 0% −8.00
Thurles 8 0 0% −8.00
Punchestown 7 0 0% −7.00
Clonmel 6 0 0% −6.00
Galway 5 0 0% −5.00
Wexford 5 0 0% −5.00
Fairyhouse 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 3 0 0% 0.00 −3.00
2nd–3rd fav 15 3 20% 1.55 −0.67
4th–6th fav 31 3 9.7% 1.50 −0.50
7th+ in betting 164 2 1.2% 0.55 −128.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
85.3% completed · 177 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 7 71.4% 1 0 1 0 0
Hurdle 170 85.9% 4 1 18 0 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Swelltime (IRE)from Joseph G Murphy 41 4 9 16 Jul 26
Dalmatic (IRE)from John Butler 20 1 7 17 Oct 26
Orange Touch (GER)from E McNamara 19 1 6 31 May 12
Milfordfourthree (IRE) 16 0 0 11 Nov 23
Jump For Dough (IRE)then Lucinda Russell 10 1 3 4 Jun 17
Athdara Steeler (IRE)then James M Barcoe 10 0 0 20 Sep 16
Certosa (IRE)from Laura Hourigan 8 0 1 24 Sep 26
Clonguile Way (IRE)then Gavin Cromwell 8 0 0 6 Feb 20
Street Wizard (IRE) 8 0 0 30 Dec 10
See What Happens (IRE) 7 0 0 12 Jun 21
Bridge View Star (IRE) 6 0 0 1 Nov 26
Kansas Joe (IRE) 6 0 0 5 Sep 22
All 31 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 31 horses listed, 12 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from C Byrnes (3) and E McNamara (2); 19 had their first archived run for this yard.

7 have since run for another yard; 24 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
007030980506
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderPhilip Byrnes
17% of all rides
2.8% SR · A/E 0.74
RiderRWSR£1
Philip Byrnes 36 1 2.8% −29.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2009→
8
Archived wins
£88,144
Prize money
2025
Best season · 2 wins
Swelltime (IRE) — Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle Killarney · Jul 2025
£7,965
Swelltime (IRE) — Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-102) (Div 1) Killarney · Aug 2024
£7,375
Jump For Dough (IRE) — Buy Online At Corkracecourse.ie Handicap Hurdle (80-102) (Div 1) Cork · May 2017
£7,084
Notable horses
Swelltime (IRE) Dalmatic (IRE) Orange Touch (GER) Jump For Dough (IRE) Thosedaysaregone (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Born To Sea (IRE) 9.8% · 4–41
Progeny have won 9.1% of 4,287 runs since 2016 (311 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 12.1% from 970. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.4% from 867. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 5.8% from 725.
Australia (GB) 4.2% · 1–24
Progeny have won 11.1% of 5,669 runs since 2018 (566 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.5% from 108.
Lando (GER) 5.3% · 1–19
Progeny have won 10.6% of 1,772 runs since 2008 (190 horses). Strongest on Good going: 14.2% from 431. Weakest on Heavy going: 4.8% from 168.
Milan (GB) 5.6% · 1–18
Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,867 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).
Barely A Moment (AUS) 0% · 0–16
Progeny have won 3.1% of 129 runs since 2019 (19 horses).
Craigsteel (GB) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 10.1% of 3,393 runs since 2008 (262 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.5% from 291. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.9% from 763.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 2 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 213 · newest first

The latest 50 of 213 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 11 September 2009 to 1 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
01 Nov 26 Cork (IRE) Bridge View Star (IRE)J: Philip Byrnes Ballymaloe Foods Handicap Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 21 ran 12th 28/1
17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Dalmatic (IRE)J: Philip Byrnes Greenpark Limerick Handicap Hurdle (Div I)21.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 4th 12/1
17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Without Deception (IRE)J: Philip Byrnes #Thisisracing Maiden Hurdle19f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 11th 125/1
28 Sep 26 Roscommon (IRE) Dalmatic (IRE)J: Philip Byrnes Gary's Gardening Services Handicap Hurdle15.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 10th 20/1
26 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Without Deception (IRE)J: Miss S E Leahy Listowel Printing Works Slan Abhaile (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good · 6 ran 5th 80/1
24 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Certosa (IRE)J: Philip Byrnes Buckley Agri New Holland Irish EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 17 ran 10th 50/1
23 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Prometteuse (IRE)J: Mr L M Kelleher Paul Moynihan (Ex VFI President) Memorial Flat Race20f · Good · 11 ran 11th 200/1
11 Sep 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Certosa (IRE)J: Tom Kelly Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle18f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 5th 16/1
07 Sep 26 Galway (IRE) Prometteuse (IRE)J: Mr L P Shanahan Kenny Developments Irish EBF Mares Flat Race16.5f · Soft · 18 ran 12th 80/1
07 Sep 26 Galway (IRE) Bridge View Star (IRE)J: Philip Byrnes Kenny Developments Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Yielding · 20 ran UR 20/1
22 Aug 26 Killarney (IRE) Certosa (IRE)J: Josh Williamson ML Lynch Civil Engineering Ltd. Maiden Hurdle (Div II)16.5f · Good · 16 ran 2nd 80/1
10 Aug 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Certosa (IRE)J: Philip Byrnes Bank Of Ireland Brendan Maloney Memorial Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good · 15 ran F 12/1
16 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) Without Deception (IRE)J: Miss S E Leahy Kate Kearney's Cottage (Ladies Pro/Am) Flat Race17f · Good · 15 ran 13th 40/1
16 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) Swelltime (IRE)J: Josh Williamson Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (Div II)20.5f · Good · 14 ran F 7/1
02 Jul 26 Bellewstown Swelltime (IRE)J: Miss S E Leahy Seamus Mulvaney Bookmaker, Crockafotha (Q.R.) Race12.5f · Good · 7 ran 6th 300/1
28 May 26 Limerick Swelltime (IRE)J: G B Noonan Easyfix Handicap Hurdle20f · Soft · 9 ran 8th 22/1
28 May 26 Limerick Certosa (IRE)J: Tom Kelly Great National South Court Hotel And Dial A Bus Mares Maiden Hurdle20f · Yielding · 15 ran 5th 40/1
24 Apr 26 Kilbeggan Dalmatic (IRE)J: Philip Byrnes William Hill Each Way Extra Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (0-100)24.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 4th 16/1
19 Mar 26 Cork Certosa (IRE)J: Miss S E Leahy William Hill Each Way Extra Challenge Series Mares (Ladies Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Yielding · 13 ran 10th 18/1
12 Mar 26 Limerick Dalmatic (IRE)J: G B Noonan William Hill Each Way Extra Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (0-100)23f · Heavy · 15 ran 2nd 22/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is W J O'Doherty's strike rate?
W J O'Doherty has won 8 of 213 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 3.8% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is W J O'Doherty in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is W J O'Doherty's Fair A/E?
0.99, from 213 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 2 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).