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Trainer profile

W M Roper

282 runners in the lifetime window · 44 individual horses
As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 23 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
6–282
Wins / Runs
2.1%
Strike rate
n=282
36 (13%)
Placed
0.64
Fair A/E
n=282 · 0.48 incl. margin
−215.42
£1 level stake
n=282 at SP · −76.4%
£92,691
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
5.6%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 2% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.64).

Deterministic profile computed from 282 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 5 Nov 2026
The read

The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 1.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.65 and −80.00 to a £1 stake over 105 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. The yard also reads well off a 8-14-day break (8.1%, n=37). The market has consistently overbet the yard on Soft going: Fair A/E 0.00 across 74 runners (0% strike, −74.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Unicorn Homes Handicap at Curragh (Mar 2006, £22,785).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−2.1
n=80 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −80.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.1
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.1
n=31 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −31.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.1
n=22 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −22.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.1
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
When favourite
100%
n=1 · A/E 5.54 · £1 +3.33
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
1.9%−0.2
n=105 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −80.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−2.1
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 8-14-day break 8.1% vs 2.1% · n=37
On Good going 4.5% vs 2.1% · n=88
On Soft going 0% vs 2.1% · n=74
On Heavy going 4.3% vs 2.1% · n=46
With horses switching code 0% vs 2.1% · n=43
Off a 61-180-day break 0% vs 2.1% · n=41
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 120 4 3.3% −82.42
Flat 112 1 0.9% −104.00
NH Flat 38 1 2.6% −17.00
Chase 12 0 0% −12.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 88 4 4.5% −50.67
Soft 74 0 0% −74.00
Heavy 46 2 4.3% −16.75
Standard (AW) 29 0 0% −29.00
Good to Soft 23 0 0% −23.00
Good to Firm 19 0 0% −19.00
Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 28 0 0% −28.00
Punchestown 26 0 0% −26.00
Cork 24 0 0% −24.00
Gowran Park 23 0 0% −23.00
Curragh 19 0 0% −19.00
Fairyhouse 19 1 5.3% −11.00
Tipperary 17 0 0% −17.00
Down Royal 13 0 0% −13.00
Naas 13 0 0% −13.00
Navan 13 0 0% −13.00
Wexford 12 3 25% +17.33
Limerick 11 1 9.1% −7.75
Listowel 9 0 0% −9.00
Bellewstown 8 0 0% −8.00
Killarney 8 0 0% −8.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 2 2 100% 5.06 +5.58
2nd–3rd fav 11 1 9.1% 0.65 −7.00
4th–6th fav 56 2 3.6% 0.61 −27.00
7th+ in betting 213 1 0.5% 0.24 −187.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Play The Part (IRE) 32 2 9 9 May 21
Larsen Bee (IRE) 16 0 0 6 Jun 13
Idyllic Acrylic (GB) 14 1 4 24 Sep 18
Sekakarma (IRE) 13 1 3 9 Oct 26
Sammyjade (IRE) 13 0 6 4 Jun 18
Money Shuffler (IRE) 12 0 0 10 Oct 26
Kingsdale Pacific (IRE)from Ms Florence Mills 12 1 2 3 Apr 10
Courtly Conduct (IRE)then Desmond McDonogh 11 1 5 15 Dec 13
Sonny Fella (GB)then Adrian Sexton 10 0 0 13 Mar 25
Michael Hennery (GB) 9 0 0 13 Oct 21
Rooney O'mara (GB) 9 0 1 15 Feb 19
Six Books (IRE) 8 0 1 11 Oct 14
All 44 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 44 horses listed, 8 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Ms Florence Mills (2); 36 had their first archived run for this yard.

4 have since run for another yard; 40 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
000004370206
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
N G McCullagh 18 0 0% −18.00
Seamie Heffernan 18 1 5.6% −10.00
Cathal Landers 15 1 6.7% −11.00
Tommy Treacy 12 1 8.3% +14.00
Michael Darcy 11 1 9.1% −7.75
Mark Gallagher 11 0 0% −11.00
Harry Sexton 11 0 0% −11.00
Roger Loughran 9 0 0% −9.00
Mr M Fahey 8 0 0% −8.00
Jody McGarvey 7 0 0% −7.00
G Cotter 7 0 0% −7.00
D J Moran 6 0 0% −6.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
11
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£189k
Prize money
2007
Best season · 3 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Kingsdale Ocean (IRE) — Unicorn Homes Handicap Curragh · Mar 2006
£22,785
Lady Nova (IRE) — Corrib Oil Sean Cleary Memorial Auction Race Galway · Oct 2007
£13,671
Kingsdale Ocean (IRE) — Masterchefs EBF Maiden Curragh · Sep 2005
£13,020
Notable horses
Play The Part (IRE) Kingsdale Ocean (IRE) Idyllic Acrylic (GB) Sekakarma (IRE) Kingsdale Pacific (IRE) Courtly Conduct (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Kutub (IRE) 5% · 2–40
Progeny have won 9.2% of 1,003 runs since 2008 (86 horses).
Red Jazz (USA) 0% · 0–22
Progeny have won 7.7% of 1,870 runs since 2017 (130 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 11.1% from 171.
Dragon Pulse (IRE) 0% · 0–17
Progeny have won 8.9% of 4,272 runs since 2016 (320 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.3% from 572. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5% from 363.
Frenchmans Bay (FR) 0% · 0–16
Progeny have won 2.6% of 117 runs since 2008 (11 horses).
Art Connoisseur (IRE) 7.1% · 1–14
Progeny have won 7% of 1,171 runs since 2013 (75 horses). Weakest on Good going: 3.3% from 212. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.2% from 169.
Hillstar (GB) 7.7% · 1–13
Progeny have won 7.3% of 752 runs since 2021 (89 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 384 · newest first

The latest 50 of 384 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 26 March 2005 to 13 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Imboundtosay (IRE)J: Sean Flanagan William Hill Challenge Series Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 13 ran 8th 150/1
10 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Money Shuffler (IRE)J: Conor Lamon Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 12 ran 5th 300/1
09 Oct 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Sekakarma (IRE)J: Donagh Meyler Tennent's NI Handicap Hurdle22f · Good · 14 ran 12th 7/1
01 Oct 26 Bellewstown (IRE) Money Shuffler (IRE)J: Wesley Joyce BOYLE Sports Handicap (Div I)12.5f · Soft To Heavy · 11 ran 7th 28/1
26 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Imboundtosay (IRE)J: Mr H C Swan Listowel Printing Works Slan Abhaile (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good · 6 ran 4th 25/1
19 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Sekakarma (IRE)J: Donagh Meyler Millbrook Food Group 100 Years Celebration Handicap Hurdle (Div I)19f · Good · 15 ran 7th 12/1
18 Sep 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Money Shuffler (IRE)J: Harry Sexton T-Met Maiden Hurdle18f · Good · 15 ran 10th 250/1
07 Sep 26 Galway (IRE) Maxdale Prinxess (IRE)J: Miss J Townend Kenny Developments Irish EBF Mares Flat Race16.5f · Soft · 18 ran 13th 18/1
04 Sep 26 Down Royal (IRE) Money Shuffler (IRE)J: Wesley Joyce Grant Thornton Handicap (Div I)13f · Good · 13 ran 9th 100/1
28 Aug 26 Down Royal (IRE) Maxdale Prinxess (IRE)J: Mr B M Coonan Hovis Ireland Mares Flat Race17.5f · Good · 11 ran 6th 50/1
28 Aug 26 Wexford (IRE) Sekakarma (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Treo Eile Handicap Hurdle (Div II)20.5f · Good · 14 ran 1st 100/30F
19 Aug 26 Sligo (IRE) Sekakarma (IRE)J: Harry Sexton McDermott Farm Machinery Handicap Hurdle20.5f · Good · 16 ran 3rd 6/1
12 Aug 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Money Shuffler (IRE)J: James Ryan 1XBET IRISH SPIRIT Handicap (Div II)9.5f · Good To Firm · 15 ran 14th 80/1
07 Aug 26 Wexford (IRE) Sekakarma (IRE)J: Donagh Meyler Pat Farrell Memorial Handicap Hurdle (Div I)20f · Good · 14 ran 2nd 11/2
14 Jul 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Sekakarma (IRE)J: Harry Sexton Join Racing TV Now With A Free Trial Handicap Hurdle18f · Good · 15 ran 4th 14/1
30 May 26 Listowel Sekakarma (IRE)J: Harry Sexton John Thomas McNamara Handicap Hurdle (0-100)20.5f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 9th 14/1
13 May 26 Punchestown Sekakarma (IRE)J: Harry Sexton Ladbrokes Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2)16f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 5th 40/1
13 May 26 Punchestown Money Shuffler (IRE)J: Harry Sexton Ladbrokes Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 12th 200/1
10 Dec 25 Dundalk (AW) Money Shuffler (IRE)J: Jack Cleary Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Claiming Race12f · Standard · 13 ran 11th 150/1
02 Dec 25 Clonmel Sekakarma (IRE)J: Ricky Doyle William Hill Each Way Extra Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2)19.5f · Heavy · 16 ran PU 50/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 9 Oct 2026: top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · to 9 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is W M Roper's strike rate?
W M Roper has won 6 of 282 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 2.1% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is W M Roper's Fair A/E?
0.64, from 282 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 5 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).