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Trainer profile

William J Fitzpatrick

377 runners in the lifetime window · 37 individual horses
As at 7 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 31 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
14–377
Wins / Runs
3.7%
Strike rate
n=377
71 (19%)
Placed
0.73
Fair A/E
n=377 · 0.56 incl. margin
−221.00
£1 level stake
n=377 at SP · −58.6%
£198k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.73). With a claiming rider up the record reads 6% (177 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 377 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 7 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 5.6%
The read

The record reads poorly in Hurdle races — 0% over 59 runners, 3.7pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard on Soft going: Fair A/E 0.36 across 71 runners (1.4% strike, −65.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Crossing (GB) — 6 wins from 33 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.7%−1.0
n=73 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −41.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
10%+6.3
n=10 · A/E 3.84 · £1 +1.00
Debutants · first career start
3.8%+0.1
n=26 · A/E 1.66 · £1 +8.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−3.7
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−3.7
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
When favourite
16.7%
n=6 · A/E 0.66 · £1 −3.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
5.6%+1.9
n=177 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −67.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−3.7
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Dylan Hogan 9.7% vs 3.7% · n=31
In Hurdle races 0% vs 3.7% · n=59
With Roger Loughran 0% vs 3.7% · n=35
On Soft going 1.4% vs 3.7% · n=71
At Dundalk 5.8% vs 3.7% · n=103
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 294 11 3.7% −184.50
Hurdle 59 0 0% −59.00
NH Flat 23 3 13% +23.50
Chase 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 103 6 5.8% −41.50
Good 82 3 3.7% −35.00
Soft 71 1 1.4% −65.50
Good to Firm 68 3 4.4% −33.00
Heavy 27 0 0% −27.00
Good to Soft 16 1 6.3% −9.00
Firm 10 0 0% −10.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk 103 6 5.8% −41.50
Gowran Park 26 2 7.7% +15.00
Naas 22 0 0% −22.00
Tramore 21 1 4.8% −10.00
Navan 21 0 0% −21.00
Leopardstown 19 0 0% −19.00
Curragh 18 0 0% −18.00
Fairyhouse 13 0 0% −13.00
Galway 12 1 8.3% +9.00
Ballinrobe 12 0 0% −12.00
Limerick 11 1 9.1% −8.00
Down Royal 10 0 0% −10.00
Clonmel 9 0 0% −9.00
Wexford 9 0 0% −9.00
Bellewstown 8 0 0% −8.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 6 0 0% −6.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 13 3 23.1% 1.06 +1.50
2nd–3rd fav 31 4 12.9% 1.11 −2.50
4th–6th fav 79 3 3.8% 0.53 −52.00
7th+ in betting 254 4 1.6% 0.56 −168.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Whitehead Lad (IRE) 36 0 8 14 Jul 14
Dandys Gold (IRE)then Roger Fell 34 5 15 11 Oct 19
Sinntani (IRE)from John M Oxx 28 0 2 14 Jun 18
Alajan (IRE)from John M Oxx 28 2 6 26 Oct 13
Luckiest Owners (IRE) 28 0 5 4 Jan 13
Crossingoz (IRE) 24 2 6 5 Apr 19
Primalova (IRE)from M Halford 22 0 4 4 May 12
Gwens Spirit (IRE) 20 3 11 20 Nov 09
Amhrann Ellen (IRE) 16 0 1 27 Sep 13
Lady Crossing (IRE) 12 0 0 7 Oct 26
Grass Valley (IRE)from Emmanuel Hughes 12 0 1 31 Dec 11
Notawordaboutit (IRE) 11 0 1 11 Nov 11
All 37 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 37 horses listed, 9 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from John M Oxx (2) and Kevin Prendergast (2); 28 had their first archived run for this yard.

10 have since run for another yard, most often for Oliver McKiernan (2) and P Meany (2); 27 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
1088734043085
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderRoger Loughran
9% of all rides
0% SR · A/E 0.00
RiderRWSR£1
Roger Loughran 35 0 0% −35.00
Dylan Hogan 31 3 9.7% −15.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
20
Archived wins
£304k
Prize money
2019
Best season · 3 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Crossing (GB) — Zyder Handicap (60-100) Leopardstown · Jun 2007
£18,228
Crossing (GB) — Mooney's Of Monasterevin Handicap Curragh (IRE) · Aug 2006
£17,903
Gwens Spirit (IRE) — Crown Plaza Hotel Dundalk Handicap Dundalk (AW) · Dec 2008
£16,926
Notable horses
Crossing (GB) Dandys Gold (IRE) Gwens Spirit (IRE) Alajan (IRE) Crossingoz (IRE) Littletown Lass (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Leporello (IRE) 0% · 0–36
Progeny have won 5% of 238 runs since 2009 (19 horses).
Dandy Man (IRE) 14.3% · 5–35
Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,983 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.
Alhaarth (IRE) 7.1% · 2–28
Progeny have won 9.7% of 4,158 runs since 2008 (308 horses).
Dalakhani (IRE) 0% · 0–28
Progeny have won 11.6% of 5,037 runs since 2008 (497 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 8.6% from 278. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.5% from 153.
Lucky Owners (NZ) 0% · 0–28
Progeny have won 5.3% of 283 runs since 2008 (25 horses).
Aussie Rules (USA) 8.3% · 2–24
Progeny have won 9.8% of 4,515 runs since 2010 (297 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5.6% from 177.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 7 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 453 · newest first

The latest 50 of 453 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 26 March 2005 to 7 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
07 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Lady Crossing (IRE)J: Jack Cleary Racing Again 21st October Handicap (Div I)10f · Yielding · 16 ran 13th 80/1
09 Jul 26 Leopardstown Lady Crossing (IRE)J: Jack Cleary Mervue Equine Handicap (0-60)9f · Good · 22 ran 20th 33/1
19 Jun 26 Limerick Lady Crossing (IRE)J: Jack Cleary Greenmount Suite At Limerick Handicap (0-60)8f · Soft · 13 ran 4th 66/1
30 Jan 26 Dundalk (AW) Lady Crossing (IRE)J: Gary Halpin Follow Us On X At DundalkStadium Handicap (0-60) (Div 2)10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 100/1
09 Jan 26 Dundalk (AW) Lady Crossing (IRE)J: Gary Halpin Racing Next Tuesday 13th January Maiden10.5f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 500/1
12 Dec 25 Dundalk (AW) Lady Crossing (IRE)J: Wayne Hassett New Saddle Bar At Dundalk Stadium Maiden7f · Standard · 13 ran 12th 250/1
19 Jul 25 Curragh Lady Crossing (IRE)J: Luke McAteer Cavalor 'Bronchix Pulmo' Irish European Breeders Fund Fillies Maiden7f · Good · 21 ran 21st 300/1
28 Jun 25 Curragh Lady Crossing (IRE)J: Gavin Ryan Keadeen Hotel Irish European Breeders Fund Maiden6f · Good · 17 ran 16th 250/1
27 Jun 25 Curragh Triumphant Knight (IRE)J: Donagh O'Connor Diageo Luxury Spirits Irish European Breeders Fund Maiden10f · Good · 19 ran 19th 200/1
12 Jun 25 Leopardstown Lady Crossing (IRE)J: J M Sheridan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden7f · Soft · 11 ran 9th 250/1
18 May 25 Naas Lady Crossing (IRE)J: Nathan Crosse Twydil/Clovelly Irish EBF Fillies Maiden8f · Good · 12 ran 12th 400/1
11 May 25 Leopardstown Triumphant Knight (IRE)J: Leigh Roche FITZ AGRIPLANT Maiden7f · Good · 11 ran 11th 200/1
07 May 25 Gowran Park Lady Crossing (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Societies Welcome At Gowran Park Maiden7f · Good · 15 ran 12th 250/1
16 Apr 25 Gowran Park Lady Crossing (IRE)J: Leigh Roche Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden8f · Soft · 14 ran 14th 150/1
14 Aug 24 Gowran Park Gentleman Jimmy (IRE)J: Gavin Ryan BOYLESPORTS Supporting Irish Racing Handicap (47-65)9.5f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 14th 100/1
08 Jun 24 Punchestown Vintage Red (IRE)J: Mr T A Halford Northway Personnel (Pro/Am) Flat Race17f · Good · 20 ran 12th 125/1
04 May 24 Punchestown Vintage Red (IRE)J: Mr J M Halford Lawlor's Of Naas (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Soft · 14 ran 10th 33/1
23 May 23 Gowran Park Gentleman Jimmy (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Membership At Gowran Park Golf Club Handicap (47-65) (Div 2)8f · Good · 16 ran 15th 66/1
05 Apr 23 Leopardstown Gentleman Jimmy (IRE)J: Declan McDonogh Live Music After Racing Handicap (47-65)9f · Heavy · 15 ran 15th 18/1
18 Oct 22 Gowran Park Gentleman Jimmy (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Racing Club Membership Handicap (47-65) (Div 2)8.5f · Soft · 15 ran 10th 50/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is William J Fitzpatrick's strike rate?
William J Fitzpatrick has won 14 of 377 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 3.7% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does William J Fitzpatrick do best at?
Dundalk by strike rate: 6 wins from 103 runners (5.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is William J Fitzpatrick's Fair A/E?
0.73, from 377 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 7 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).