5:45 Cork
This 7f Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden at Cork on good ground brings together an 18-strong field of mostly unexposed two-year-olds. The KTB Fit ratings are tightly bunched at the top, headed by Alpine Wedding on 55, with several debutants from powerful yards sitting just behind and ensuring competitive depth. With no obvious front-runner in a steadily-run, tactical race, positioning and the ability to quicken off a steady gallop are likely to prove decisive.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape lacks a clear leader and points to a steadily-run, tactical affair in which being handy should pay. Most of the principals are expected to settle in mid-division or be held up, meaning the race could be decided by which horse finds the clearest run when the tempo lifts inside the final two furlongs. The key question is whether any of the more experienced fillies can use their race-fitness to steal an advantage before the newcomers find their stride.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Alpine Wedding KTB Selection55/100
Alpine Wedding arrives with the strongest KTB Fit rating of 55 and is the clear selection. A fair performer who has shown consistent form in four starts, she has finished no worse than fourth and has already placed twice at this trip. She ran respectably when fifth on her only previous visit to Cork. The trainer holds a strong 32% strike rate at the track from 105 runs while the jockey is a reliable 15% operator from 641 rides here. She typically settles in midfield, which should suit the anticipated tactical pace shape. With the yard in solid form and the jockey's 15% strike rate at Cork from a huge sample, she holds every chance of breaking her maiden.
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2Flambe Fleur53/100
Flambe Fleur is the second highest rated on KTB Fit at 53 and represents Henry De Bromhead. She is a newcomer with no racecourse form, so the assessment rests entirely on her sales and pedigree background. The yard has a solid 14% strike rate at Cork from 525 runs while Ronan Whelan has a 9% strike rate at the track from 373 rides. With no going or course data available the picture remains one of potential rather than proven ability. In a steadily-run race her ability to quicken from mid-division or off the pace will be the main unknown.
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3Golden Ring52/100
Golden Ring is rated 52 on KTB Fit and comes from the powerful Aidan O'Brien stable. Lightly raced, he showed little on his 6f debut but the yard's strong 22% strike rate at Cork from 663 runs and the 5 lb claimer Jack Cleary's 19% strike rate at the track from 31 rides both offer encouragement. Usually held up, he will be produced late, which could be effective in a tactical affair if the pace lifts at the right time. The step up to 7f is an unknown at this stage and with only one run on the board the overall picture remains tentative.
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4Torvella51/100
Torvella is rated 51 on KTB Fit but showed little on her debut when finishing ninth of 14. The lightly raced filly has only one run on her record so any assessment carries plenty of risk. Trainer and jockey both operate at a modest 8% strike rate at Cork from large samples. Usually held up, she will need to improve markedly if she is to feature in a steadily-run race. With no course form and unproven on good ground the negatives currently outweigh the positives.
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5Castilian Queen49/100
Castilian Queen is rated 49 on KTB Fit and is a newcomer from the G M Lyons yard. With no racecourse experience the assessment rests on pedigree and sales background. The yard has a solid 17% strike rate at Cork from 361 runs while Colin Keane is equally at home here with a 15% record from 477 rides. By Frankel, she has plenty of potential on paper. How she settles and whether she can quicken in a tactical 7f maiden will determine her immediate prospects.
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6Native Dawn49/100
Native Dawn is a newcomer rated 49 on KTB Fit from a yard with a solid 12% strike rate at Cork. The booking of Paddy Harnett, who has a 5% record here from 62 rides, adds some uncertainty. With low data confidence the assessment rests entirely on pedigree and sales background.
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7Emana48/100
Emana is a newcomer rated 48 on KTB Fit from the powerful D K Weld yard which has a solid 17% strike rate at Cork from a huge sample. Chris Hayes has a 7% strike rate at the track from over 600 rides which is below average. With no racecourse form the assessment relies on sales and pedigree background.
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8Autumn Gray48/100
Autumn Gray has shown ordinary form in two starts over this trip, finishing sixth then fourth, and is rated 48 on KTB Fit. The trainer's poor 0% strike rate at Cork from 35 runs is a clear negative although the jockey has a solid 10% record here from 67 rides. She is usually held up and remains very much an unknown quantity.
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9Atlantic Rose46/100
Atlantic Rose is a newcomer rated 46 on KTB Fit from a yard with a solid 12% strike rate at Cork. The jockey has a modest 3% record at the track from a decent sample. With no racecourse form the pedigree and sales background will decide how much interest she attracts.
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10Sarah's Choice45/100
Sarah's Choice has shown fair early promise with placed efforts on both starts and is rated 45 on KTB Fit. Dropping back from 1m to 7f asks a fresh question of her stamina. The trainer holds a 10% strike rate at Cork while the jockey is operating at 9%. She is usually held up.
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11Admired Beauty45/100
Admired Beauty has shown enough at this trip to be competitive, placing second on debut before finishing eighth last time, and is rated 45 on KTB Fit. The wide draw in stall 15 is a clear negative. Trainer and jockey both have solid records at Cork although her ability remains hard to pin down. She is usually held up and is unproven on good ground.
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12Sonic Sabiha44/100
Sonic Sabiha finished seventh on debut over this trip at Cork and is rated 44 on KTB Fit. The yard has a modest 7% strike rate here while the jockey is operating at a similar 8% level. With just one run to go on the form is best treated with caution.
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13Youveonlyonemother44/100
Youveonlyonemother showed little on her sole start over a mile and now drops back to 7f. Rated 44 on KTB Fit, she has too few runs to judge properly and the trainer's modest 6% strike rate at Cork adds little encouragement. The jockey's 9% record at the track is also below average.
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14Maple Leaves44/100
Maple Leaves is a newcomer rated 44 on KTB Fit from the Aidan O'Brien yard. A 95,000 euro yearling purchase, connections have a modest record at Cork and this looks a watching brief on debut.
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15Haven44/100
Haven showed little on debut when finishing eighth over this trip and is rated 44 on KTB Fit. The yard has a solid 22% strike rate at Cork from a huge sample. Both the going and any further progress remain unknown given the small amount of evidence so far. She typically settles in midfield.
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16Abalone42/100
Abalone is a newcomer rated 42 on KTB Fit. The trainer has a solid 10% strike rate from 222 runs at Cork. The jockey has only three rides at the track so the sample is too small to judge.
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17Hanawa42/100
Hanawa is a newcomer rated 42 on KTB Fit from the J P Murtagh yard. The trainer has a modest 9% strike rate at Cork while jockey Ben Coen is operating at 6%. With no racecourse form the pedigree and sales background will decide how much interest there is.
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18Mary Celeste41/100
Mary Celeste is a newcomer rated 41 on KTB Fit. The yard has a modest 5% strike rate at Cork from a big sample while Gary Carroll sits on a 7% record here. Pedigree and sales background will have to carry the assessment given the low data confidence.
KTB verdict
Alpine Wedding stands out as the KTB Selection. She has shown consistent form in four starts, finishing no worse than fourth with two placings at this trip, and ran respectably when fifth on her only previous visit to Cork. The trainer's 32% strike rate at the track and the jockey's reliable record here add further layers of confidence. She should be well placed in midfield in a steadily-run race. The main dangers are the promising newcomers Flambe Fleur from the De Bromhead yard and Castilian Queen from the Lyons stable, along with Golden Ring who represents the powerful O'Brien team and could improve for the step up to 7f.
KTB Selection Alpine Wedding
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:01 UTC, 9 Sep. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Alpine Wedding | 11/2 | Bet365 |
| Flambe Fleur | 17/2 | Bet365 |
| Golden Ring | 18/1 | Bet365 |
| Torvella | 66/1 | BetTom |
| Castilian Queen | 6/1 | BetTom |
| Native Dawn | 33/1 | BetTom |
| Emana | 12/1 | BetTom |
| Autumn Gray | 20/1 | BetTom |
| Atlantic Rose | 22/1 | Bet365 |
| Sarah's Choice | 3/1 | BetTom |
| Admired Beauty | 14/1 | BoyleSports |
| Sonic Sabiha | 50/1 | BetTom |
| Youveonlyonemother | 150/1 | BoyleSports |
| Maple Leaves | 16/1 | BetTom |
| Haven | 4/1 | BetTom |
| Abalone | 66/1 | BetTom |
| Hanawa | 16/1 | BetTom |
| Mary Celeste | 33/1 | BetTom |
This is the narrative read of the 5:45 Cork. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Cork racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Cork results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has placed twice at this trip?
Alpine Wedding has already placed twice at this trip.
What is the trainer's strike rate at Cork with Alpine Wedding?
P Twomey has a 32% strike rate at Cork from 105 runs.
How many times has Alpine Wedding visited Cork before?
Alpine Wedding has visited Cork once before, finishing fifth.
Which jockey has a 19% strike rate at Cork in this race?
Jack Cleary has a 19% strike rate at Cork from 31 rides.
What is the yard strike rate at Cork for the trainer of Flambe Fleur?
Henry De Bromhead has a 14% strike rate at Cork from 525 runs.
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