6:45 Cork
A 21-runner maiden over a mile at Cork on good ground, this race features a host of lightly raced three-year-olds together with several debutants and a few with limited prior form. The KTB Fit scores are tightly bunched at the top, with five principals rated between 47 and 52, underlining how open the contest appears on paper. The overall numbers suggest a race where experience is thin and many runners are open to improvement, though the modest strike rates of several yards at the track add a note of caution.
How the race shapes up
With a lone leader likely to enjoy an uncontested lead according to the pace shape, the race is set up for one horse to bowl along in front with minimal pressure. Most of the field, including all five principals, are held-up types who will be produced late, meaning the key question is whether the clear leader can maintain the advantage or if the pack of closers can reel it in on this good ground. The shape favours the prominent runner if it is able to dictate, while those coming from further back will need the pace to collapse or a strong finishing kick to prevail.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Nottooshabby KTB Selection52/100
Nottooshabby is the KTB Selection. This lightly raced three-year-old has three modest runs to his name, with a career best of only sixth, yet the mile trip looks about right having already tried it twice. Trainer Patrick J Flynn operates at a 7% strike rate at Cork with an A/E of 0.77 from 610 runs, a modest record, though the 7lb claimer Robyn Donaghue-Leahy brings an 18% strike rate at the track from a small sample of 11 rides. He has two runs on good ground without winning or placing and has no course form on record. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he will be coming from off the pace in a race where the leader may get an easy time out front.
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2River Trieux51/100
River Trieux showed little on debut over 7.5f and now steps up to a mile with first-time headgear applied. The yard of P Twomey has a strong 32% strike rate at Cork from 105 runs, which is a notable positive, while W J Lee brings a 15% strike rate at the track from 641 rides. He has one run on good ground without winning or placing and has no course form on record. This remains a lightly raced colt who must be treated with caution given the small sample and lack of any standout positives in his form. Usually held up and producing his effort late on limited evidence, he will need to improve markedly from that initial effort.
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3Inform51/100
Inform is lightly raced with only one run to go on, that effort resulting in tenth place over 6f at this track. He steps up to a mile today which asks a fresh question, while he remains unproven on good ground. Trainer G M Lyons has a solid 17% strike rate at Cork from 361 runs, though the jockey's course record is unavailable. He has one run at the course without winning or placing. Usually held up and producing his effort late on limited evidence, he will be aiming to improve on that initial showing from a wide draw.
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4Almeiyda51/100
Almeiyda is a fair performer who has shown consistent placed form this year, though she was well held when tried over this trip last time out. She has already run once at Cork without showing much and steps up in distance again today which asks a fresh question. The yard of D K Weld has a solid 17% strike rate at the track from 828 runs, while jockey Chris Hayes sits on a 7% record here from 604 rides. She has been placed once from two runs on good ground without winning. Usually held up and producing her effort late, she brings the most placed form in the field but needs to bounce back from that last run.
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5Hurleys Hill47/100
Hurleys Hill has shown very little in two runs so far, finishing well beaten on both starts including 16th on his only visit to Cork. The yard of Patrick J Flynn records a modest 7% strike rate from 610 runs at this track. He has no runs on good ground and is unproven on the surface, while stepping up from 6f to a mile asks a fresh question. He has one run at the course without winning or placing. Usually held up and producing his effort late on limited evidence, his ability remains hard to gauge with any confidence from such a thin base.
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6Red Cuillin47/100
Red Cuillin is a debutant with no racecourse experience. The yard has a modest 7% strike-rate at Cork from 43 runs while the 7lb claimer has ridden here 15 times for a similar 7% record. Pedigree and sales information is the main guide here but with low data confidence any strong view would be premature.
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7Mr Mercury47/100
Mr Mercury has shown very little in two starts to date, finishing well beaten on both occasions. He steps up to 1m for the first time today having been tried over 7f last time, while first-time headgear is now applied. The trainer has a modest 7% strike rate at Cork from 60 runs.
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8Faithful Ardad46/100
Faithful Ardad has only one run on the board and finished a remote 12th on this track over 6f. The yard's modest 7% strike-rate at Cork from a big sample offers little encouragement, while jockey Ronan Whelan has a fair 9% record here from plenty of rides. Stepping up to an untested 1m is a fresh question for this lightly-raced colt and the overall picture remains too thin to read with any confidence.
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9Upper West Side46/100
Upper West Side is a debutant with no racecourse form to go on so the assessment rests entirely on pedigree and sales background. Connections have a modest record at Cork and the first-time headgear suggests they are trying to sharpen him up straight away. Data confidence remains low given the complete lack of public performance.
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10My First Rose46/100
My First Rose has shown only modest form in two starts so far, finishing seventh then sixth, and remains lightly raced with limited data overall. The trainer has a solid 17% strike rate at Cork from a large sample, but the jockey is operating at just 4% from 52 rides here. Dropping back to an untried 1m trip poses a fresh question while the good ground remains an unknown.
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11Storm Ready45/100
Storm Ready makes his debut for a yard that operates at a 10% strike rate at Cork from a large sample. The colt is by Too Darn Hot out of a useful middle-distance winner and was bought for 95,000 euros as a yearling. Connections give him a chance but with no racecourse evidence this is very much an unknown quantity.
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12Caption This44/100
Caption This has only one run on the board so the form picture remains thin. The trainer posts a 7% strike rate at Cork from 60 runs while the jockey is operating at 4% from 284 rides here, both below average. Trip looks no better than fair on the one attempt and the going remains an unknown on this small sample.
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13San Giulio44/100
San Giulio is a first-time runner with no racecourse form to go on. The yard has a modest 7% strike-rate at Cork from a big sample while the jockey is similarly below average here with an 8% record. Low-confidence debut assessment that rests entirely on pedigree and sales background.
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14Carry The Dream44/100
Carry The Dream is a lightly-raced 3-year-old who has shown little in two starts, finishing ninth on this track last time. Steps up from 6f to 1m for the first time today while wearing first-time headgear, questions remain on both counts. Trainer's modest 4% strike-rate at Cork offers little encouragement either. Tends to make the running or race on the pace and could be the one to take the uncontested lead.
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15Enigma Code43/100
Enigma Code showed fair promise when fourth on debut over 7f. The yard has a modest 3% strike rate from 620 runs at Cork while Gary Carroll sits on a 7% record from 339 rides here. Stepping up to an untried 1m poses a fresh question and with only one run on the board the overall picture remains tentative.
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16Drummond Hill42/100
Drummond Hill is a newcomer with no racecourse experience and low data confidence overall. The pedigree and sales background offer the only real clues here yet both are untested in public. Trainer at Cork has a solid 10% strike rate from a huge sample while the jockey is less proven at the track and first-time headgear adds another unknown.
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17Big Jake41/100
Big Jake is a debutant with no racecourse experience. The yard has a modest 9% strike rate at Cork from a decent-sized sample while Ben Coen is operating at a 6% strike rate here from plenty of rides. Pedigree and sales background will have to carry the assessment given the complete lack of other information.
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18Cuban Lights41/100
Cuban Lights is a newcomer with no racecourse form to go on. The yard's modest 3% strike-rate at Cork from a big sample suggests limited expectations for debut runners here. Heffernan has a better 9% record at the track but this remains a speculative profile.
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19Youlookperfect41/100
Youlookperfect has shown very little in two starts so far, finishing last on both occasions. The yard's modest record at Cork offers no obvious encouragement, while the jockey also strikes at a low rate here. With such a small sample and no standout positives in the data this one is hard to fancy.
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20Zarenakarena40/100
Zarenakarena has shown very little in two starts so far and arrives here with a modest recent form line of 90. The drop back to 1m poses a fresh question after his last run over 1m2f where he failed to make an impact at this trip on his only previous attempt. Trainer Eddie and Patrick Harty have a 0% strike rate from 35 runs at Cork while jockey Declan McDonogh operates at a 9% strike rate from 616 rides here.
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21Saaeq39/100
Saaeq is a newcomer making his debut for a yard that has a modest 4% strike rate from 444 runs at Cork. The jockey is similarly quiet at the track with a 3% strike rate from 170 rides. With no racecourse form and low data confidence the assessment rests entirely on pedigree and sales background that has not been supplied here.
KTB verdict
Nottooshabby is the KTB Selection in a race where many runners bring limited public form and several yards post modest records at Cork. His three runs give him a touch more experience than most, the mile trip appears suitable, and the jockey's strong course record from limited rides is a plus. The main dangers include Almeiyda, who brings the best placed form in the field though she needs to put a poor last run behind her, and River Trieux, who represents a yard in strong form at the track. Inform and Hurleys Hill round out the principals but both have plenty to prove from their thin form lines.
KTB Selection Nottooshabby
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:01 UTC, 9 Sep. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Nottooshabby | 18/1 | BetMGM |
| River Trieux | 11/2 | Betfred |
| Inform | 17/2 | Dragon Bet |
| Almeiyda | 9/4 | Bet365 |
| Hurleys Hill | 150/1 | Bet365 |
| Red Cuillin | 66/1 | Betfred |
| Mr Mercury | 150/1 | Betfred |
| Faithful Ardad | 100/1 | Betfred |
| Upper West Side | 25/1 | Dragon Bet |
| My First Rose | 25/1 | Bet365 |
| Storm Ready | 4/1 | Bet365 |
| Caption This | 100/1 | Betfred |
| San Giulio | 22/1 | Bet365 |
| Carry The Dream | 40/1 | Bet365 |
| Enigma Code | 3/1 | Bet365 |
| Drummond Hill | 16/1 | Betfred |
| Big Jake | 16/1 | BetTom |
| Cuban Lights | 40/1 | BetTom |
| Youlookperfect | 150/1 | Bet365 |
| Zarenakarena | 125/1 | Betfred |
| Saaeq | 33/1 | BetTom |
This is the narrative read of the 6:45 Cork. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Cork racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Cork results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is likely to take the uncontested lead?
Carry The Dream is the only front-runner in the field and tends to make the running or race on the pace.
How many of the principals are held-up types?
All five principals are held up, usually producing their effort late.
Which trainer has the strongest strike rate at Cork among those with runners in the top five?
P Twomey has a 32% strike rate at Cork from 105 runs with River Trieux.
How many runners in the full field are debutants?
There are six debutants: Red Cuillin, Upper West Side, Storm Ready, San Giulio, Drummond Hill and Big Jake, plus Cuban Lights and Saaeq who also have no racecourse form.
Which horse has the most placed form among the principals?
Almeiyda, with recent form figures of 4-4227 showing consistent placed efforts.
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