7:00 Dundalk (AW)

The KTB Fit ranking

1. 1Wearing Stars KTB Selection55/100

   Form 492427 · Henry de Bromhead · G. F. Carroll

   Wearing Stars arrives with an official rating of 85 and recent form figures of 492427. A fair performer, he has been placed twice from three starts over this trip and twice from three runs on standard ground, though he remains winless from ten career starts. Henry de Bromhead's 9% strike rate at Dundalk is below their overall figure while jockey G. F. Carroll operates at 8% here which matches his record elsewhere. The three-year-old has shown placed form on his three previous visits to the track and is competitive without winning on standard going. Usually racing handily on or close to the lead with high confidence in that run-style, he should be well positioned in this tactical contest.

2. 2Lookingforarainbow54/100

   Form 347-56 · Donnacha Aidan O'Brien · Paddy Harnett(3)

   Family: half-sister to Requinto, a Group 2 winner (4 wins from 8 runs). The dam has had 10 other runners, 7 of them winners.

   Lookingforarainbow is a fair performer who has shown steady placed form without winning, with recent form figures of 347-56. Dropping back to 1m today after a couple of runs over further raises a fresh question while the single run at this track produced a modest 7th. The yard maintains an 18% strike rate at Dundalk which is above their record elsewhere though the 3 lb claimer Paddy Harnett sits on a standard 7% strike rate here. Half-sister to Group 2 winner Requinto, the dam has had ten other runners with seven of them winners. Usually racing handily on or close to the lead with high confidence, he should be to the fore in a race that favours those close to the pace.

3. 3Little Miss Rock50/100

   William Durkan · Jamie Orr(7)

   Little Miss Rock is a debutant with no racecourse experience. The yard's 5% strike rate at Dundalk matches their record elsewhere while the 7 lb claimer Jamie Orr has a 13% strike rate here from a small sample of 15 rides. By Rock Of Gibraltar, who has a 10% overall win rate, she remains hard to weigh up with pedigree and sales background the only pointers. With no course win on record and no previous runs on standard ground, this four-year-old is very much an unknown quantity in a competitive maiden.

4. 4Jenny Spider48/100

   Form 8 · G. M. Lyons

   Family: half-sister to Banddar (1 win from 4 runs). The dam has had 4 other runners, 2 of them winners.

   Jenny Spider showed little on her 7f debut and now steps up in trip for a yard with a 17% strike rate at Dundalk from 1,593 runs, above their 13% elsewhere. The half-sister to modest winner Banddar comes from a family that has produced two winners from the dam's other four runners. With only one run on the clock and low data confidence this remains very much an unknown. Run-style is held up with limited evidence and low confidence, while she is unproven on standard ground and has no course form on record.

5. 5Positive Thinking46/100

   Miss Natalia Lupini · Killian Leonard

   Family: the dam has had 4 other runners, none of them a winner.

   Positive Thinking has only one run behind him and that came over 1m2f so today's drop to an untested 1m is a fresh question. The dam has produced four previous runners without a winner between them and the small sample means the going and overall ability remain unknown. Trainer and jockey both record strike rates at Dundalk that sit in line with their figures at other tracks. Settling typically in midfield with limited evidence and low confidence, this three-year-old is another whose ability is difficult to gauge at this stage.

6. 6Palace Fever45/100

   Form 8 · W. McCreery · Donagh O'Connor

   Family: the dam has had 1 other runner, not a winner.

   Palace Fever has only one run to go on after finishing eighth on debut over 7f. The trip is stepped up to 1m today which asks a fresh question while the dam has had just one other runner that failed to win. Trainer at Dundalk has a 7% strike rate from 671 runs which is below their 10% at other courses while jockey Donagh O'Connor records a 9% strike rate here which is above his 6% elsewhere.

7. 7Subtle Shade45/100

   Joseph Patrick O'Brien · J M Sheridan

   Family: half-sister to Northern Express (8 wins from 52 runs). The dam has had 4 other runners, 2 of them winners.

   Subtle Shade is a newcomer whose half-sister Northern Express won eight times on the Flat. The dam has produced two winners from four runners to race so far. Trainer Joseph Patrick O'Brien operates at a 15% strike rate here while jockey J M Sheridan is on 7%.

8. 8Mothel Abbey44/100

   Form 809 · Patrick J Flynn · Leigh Roche

   Family: the dam has had 1 other runner, not a winner.

   Mothel Abbey has shown little in three starts to date and now drops back sharply in trip from 2m to 1m having failed to make the frame at this distance on his only previous attempt. The yard records an 11% strike rate at Dundalk which sits in line with their overall figure while Leigh Roche is operating at a 5% strike rate here which is below his rate at other tracks.

9. 9Caption This44/100

   Form 0099 · J A Nash · Orla Tynan(7)

   Family: the dam has had 1 other runner, not a winner.

   Caption This has shown little so far with four runs yielding a string of 0099 figures and no placed efforts. The trip is a fresh question as the horse steps back up to 1m having been unsuccessful in three previous attempts at the distance while the dam has produced just one other non-winning runner. Trainer at Dundalk holds a 6% strike rate from 270 runs in line with their record elsewhere and jockey Orla Tynan records a 16% strike rate from 19 rides here.

10. 10Riyazanka44/100

    Form 7 · J. P. Murtagh · Seamie Heffernan

    Family: half-sister to Rizal (3 wins from 12 runs). The dam has had 1 other runner, a winner.

    Riyazanka showed little on debut when finishing seventh and is lightly raced with only one run to go on. The trip looks no better than fair for him on that evidence. Trainer and jockey both operate at their usual level around here while the wide draw adds another unknown.

11. 11Toristar43/100

    Chris Timmons · Robbie Colgan

    Family: half-brother to Toriangel (2 wins from 22 runs). The dam has had 3 other runners, 3 of them winners.

    Toristar has only one run to his name so he remains very lightly raced and the small sample means his ability is hard to pin down. He drops back in trip to 1m today which is a fresh question while first-time headgear is also applied. The yard's 7% strike rate at Dundalk is in line with their record elsewhere and the same applies to the jockey's 5% here.

12. 12Boptothetop41/100

    Form 9 · Kieran P Cotter · R. P. Cleary

    Family: half-brother to Edmond Halley (2 wins from 15 runs). The dam has had 1 other runner, a winner.

    Boptothetop has only one run behind him and that was a modest effort over further than today's trip. The drop back to 1m poses a fresh question while the yard's 9 percent strike rate at Dundalk is in line with their record elsewhere. Jockey has a 5 percent strike rate here which matches his overall figure.

13. 13Cape Blue Point40/100

    Form 8 · Denis Gerard Hogan · Chris Hayes

    Family: the dam has had 2 other runners, none of them a winner.

    Cape Blue Point showed little on debut over 6f here and now steps up markedly in trip for a first try at a mile. The dam has produced no winners from two other runners to race. Both trainer and jockey record 7-8% strike rates at Dundalk that sit in line with their figures at other tracks.

14. 14Black Chicken36/100

    Form 80 · Ross O'Sullivan · Siobhan Rutledge

    Family: the dam has had 1 other runner, not a winner.

    Black Chicken has shown very little in two starts to date, finishing eighth then last. The trip rise to 1m is an unknown at this stage. Trainer and jockey both record strike rates at Dundalk that sit in line with or above their overall figures.

15. 15Anaverna34/100

    Form 00 · M M Rice · Robert Whearty

    Family: half-sister to Bear Profit (5 wins from 36 runs). The dam has had 3 other runners, 2 of them winners.

    Lightly raced maiden with two poor efforts behind her and low data confidence overall. Stepping up from 6f to an untried 1m poses a fresh question while she was well held on her only previous run here. Trainer and jockey both operate at their expected modest level around this track.