Horse profile
Convince (USA)
10yo gelding (at last run, Jun 2011) · Last trainer Kevin M Prendergast · Last owner M Matthews Mid Glamorgan
by Mt Livermore (USA) out of Conical (GB) (Zafonic)
64 runs · 23 courses · from Apr 2005
As at 27 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
No run recorded since 4 Jun 2011 — 5,624 days ago. Our archive can't say whether the horse is still in training.
Last run Jun 2011 · 5th of 7
6 wins · 5 courses
Last raced off OR 55
KTB Profile
Convince (USA) is 6 from 64. Hasn't won since Dec 2009. Last raced off 55, 19lb below the career-high mark.
Based on 64 archived runs · updated 27 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance
OR ↓ 19lb off peak
- 6–64Wins / Runs
- 9.4%Strike rate
- 18 (28.1%)Placed
- −7.00£1 level staken=64 at SP
- 1.13Fair A/E n=64 · 0.95 incl. margin
- 74Highest OR
- 35dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating55↓ 19lb off peak
55
44–74
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
No KTB Speed figures for this horse. The engine scores GB and Irish racing from Oct 2016; runs elsewhere, or earlier, have no figure.
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 0 figures from 0 runs · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Mt Livermore (USA)
Progeny in our archive have won 9% of 156 runs since Jan 2008 (9 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −9 | 0 from 2 |
| Good to Firm | 36 | 3 | 8.3% | −0.7 | 1 from 19 |
| Good | 45 | 3 | 6.7% | −2.3 | 1 from 15 |
| Good to Soft | 19 | 2 | 10.5% | +1.5 | 1 from 8 |
| Soft | 16 | 1 | 6.3% | −2.7 | 0 from 2 |
| Heavy | 4 | 0 | 0% | −9 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 35 | 5 | 14.3% | +5.3 | 3 from 18 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 8 | 0 | 0% | −9 | 1 from 16 |
| 6f – 7f | 47 | 4 | 8.5% | −0.5 | 5 from 41 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | +9.2 | 0 from 7 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 32 | 2 | 6.3% | −2.7 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | +2.1 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 19 | 1 | 5.3% | −3.7 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 7 | 0 | 0% | −9 | — |
| Over 3m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −9 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 27 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
Conical (GB) (Zafonic)
3 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Evolve (USA) (1 win).
The wins came over 1m3f; the highest grade won is Class 6 (Evolve (USA)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evolve (USA) | 4 | 1 | 1m3f | Class 6 |
| Amicale (FR) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
| La Zumba (FR) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 19 | 1 | 5% | −11.50 |
| Standard (AW) | 18 | 3 | 17% | +5.50 |
| Good | 15 | 1 | 7% | +0.00 |
| Good to Soft | 8 | 1 | 13% | +3.00 |
| Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Firm | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 6 | 31 | 4 | 13% | +4.50 |
| Class 5 | 27 | 1 | 4% | −12.00 |
| Class 4 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Class 7 | 2 | 1 | 50% | +4.50 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW) | 8 | 2 | 25% | +9.00 |
| Kempton (AW) | 7 | 1 | 14% | −0.50 |
| Chepstow | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| Brighton | 5 | 1 | 20% | +6.00 |
| Bath | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Warwick | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Haydock | 4 | 1 | 25% | +11.00 |
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Newcastle | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Leicester | 2 | 1 | 50% | +5.50 |
| Windsor | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| York | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Doncaster | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Newmarket | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Salisbury | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Carlisle | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Beverley | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Folkestone | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Nottingham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Yarmouth | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newbury | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sandown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Lingfield | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 41 | 5 | 12% | +1.00 |
| Under 6f | 16 | 1 | 6% | −1.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Kingscote | 6 | 1 | 17% | +9.00 |
| Andrew Heffernan | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Barry McHugh | 5 | 1 | 20% | +1.50 |
| Kevin Ghunowa | 5 | 1 | 20% | +2.50 |
| Barry Savage | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Andrea Atzeni | 4 | 1 | 25% | +7.00 |
| Ryan Moore | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Ross Atkinson | 3 | 1 | 33% | +7.00 |
| Stevie Donohoe | 3 | 1 | 33% | +4.00 |
| Steve Drowne | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Matt Cosham | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| David Probert | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Russ Kennemore | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| William Carson | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Paul Hanagan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Billy Cray | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chris Catlin | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jack Dean | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Travis Block | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Graham Gibbons | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jim Crowley | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tolley Dean | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Greg Fairley | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Robert Havlin | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Liam Keniry | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kevin Darley | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Shane Kelly | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Adam Kirby | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ashley Hamblett | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Richard Mullen | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 37 | 4 | 11% | +2.50 |
| Cheekpieces | 22 | 2 | 9% | −4.50 |
| Blinkers | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Visor | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| 2010 | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| 2009 | 15 | 4 | 27% | +19.50 |
| 2008 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| 2007 | 11 | 1 | 9% | −3.50 |
| 2006 | 12 | 0 | 0% | −12.00 |
| 2005 | 8 | 1 | 13% | +7.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 · 6 runs | |||||||||
| 04 Jun 11+12d | Newcastle | Dalkia Green Energy Challenge Handicap | 5/7 | ½ | 7-13 | 55 | 46A | Andrew Heffernan | 14/1 |
| 23 May 11+20d | Carlisle | Watch Racing UK On Sky 432 Handicap (Div 2) | 5/9 | nk | 8-10 | 56 | 65A | Andrew Heffernan | 8/1 |
| 03 May 11+68d | Newcastle | La Taxis Handicap | 2/14 | 4½ | 9-0 | 56 | 76A | Andrew Heffernan | 10/1 |
| 24 Feb 11+9d | Southwell (AW) | Call 01636 814481 To Sponsor A Race Handicap | 2/13 | 1 | 8-9 | 55 | 86A | Andrew Heffernan | 7/1 |
| 15 Feb 11+21d | Southwell (AW) | Enhanced Sp's At Bluesq.com Handicap | 4/13 | shd | 9-2 | 55 | 77A | David Probert | 15/2 |
| 25 Jan 11+127d | Southwell (AW) | Today's Jockey Specials At bluesq.com Handicap | 5/12 | ¾ | 9-0 | 56 | 73A | Andrew Heffernan | 12/1 |
| 2010 · 7 runs | |||||||||
| 20 Sep 10+11d | Leicester | Racing Excellence 'Hands And Heels' Apprentice Series Handicap | 7/16 | nk | 8-6 | 58 | 62A | Matt Cosham | 22/1 |
| 09 Sep 10+10d | Bath | Brains Black Handicap | 5/14 | 1½ | 8-10 | 57 | 75A | Russ Kennemore | 8/1 |
| 30 Aug 10+7d | Bath | Lancer Scott Construction Apprentice Handicap | 2/9 | ½ | 9-1 | 58 | 68A | Matt Cosham | 8/1 |
| 23 Aug 10+197d | Windsor | Metric Office Furniture Handicap | 5/12 | 2 | 8-13 | 58 | 62A | William Carson | 16/1 |
| 07 Feb 10+9d | Southwell (AW) | Come Jump Racing Tomorrow Handicap | 7/10 | 1¼ | 8-7 | 59 | 55A | Paul Hanagan | 22/1 |
| 29 Jan 10+3d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Hotel & Conferencing At Wolverhampton Classified Claiming Stakes | 8/8 | ½ | 8-0 | 59 | 51A | Billy Cray | 20/1 |
| 26 Jan 10+45d | Southwell (AW) | Back And Lay At Betdaq Selling Stakes | 3/10 | nk | 9-0 | 59 | 77A | Ross Atkinson | 11/4F |
| 2009 · 15 runs | |||||||||
| 12 Dec 09+25d | Southwell (AW) | Dine In The Pantry Restaurant Handicap (Div 1) | 1/11 | 8-11 | 55 | 78A | Ross Atkinson | 9/1 | |
| 17 Nov 09+17d | Southwell (AW) | Play At pokerinvenice.com Handicap (Div 2) | 5/12 | 2¼ | 9-0 | 58 | 66A | Andrea Atzeni | 13/2 |
| 31 Oct 09+44d | Kempton (AW) | Timeform Betfair Racing Club Handicap (Div 1) | 8/12 | 1 | 8-11 | 59 | 60A | Andrea Atzeni | 15/2 |
| 17 Sep 09+13d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Williamhill.com/bonus25 - Live Casino Dealers Handicap | 6/13 | 1½ | 8-10 | 60 | 64A | Chris Catlin | 6/1 |
| 04 Sep 09+41d | Chepstow | Lindley Catering 1st Choice For Hospitality Handicap (Div 1) | 2/13 | ½ | 9-1 | 59 | 83A | Barry McHugh | 7/2F |
| 25 Jul 09+2d | York | Skybingo.com Handicap | 5/16 | 4 | 8-4 | 59 | 63A | Barry McHugh | 20/1 |
| 23 Jul 09+26d | Doncaster | Doncaster Minster Handicap | 13/19 | 2½ | 8-7 | 59 | 49A | Andrea Atzeni | 11/2F |
| 27 Jun 09+15d | Newmarket | Agora Apprentice Handicap | 2/11 | ¾ | 8-7 | 55 | 78A | Jack Dean | 7/1 |
| 12 Jun 09+16d | Chepstow | Bet Totepool At Totesport.com Handicap | 5/15 | ½ | 8-1 | 55 | 67A | Ross Atkinson | 10/1 |
| 27 May 09+72d | Brighton | Bet In-Play At totesport.com Handicap | 1/10 | 7-13 | 51 | 68A | Andrea Atzeni | 10/1 | |
| 16 Mar 09+13d | Kempton (AW) | freebets.co.uk Free Sports Bets Handicap (Div 1) | 4/10 | ¾ | 8-5 | 51 | 62A | Barry McHugh | 4/1 |
| 03 Mar 09+20d | Southwell (AW) | Southwell Racecourse For Conferences Handicap | 1/13 | 8-10 | 48 | 85A | Stevie Donohoe | 6/1 | |
| 11 Feb 09+14d | Kempton (AW) | Digibet Casino Handicap | 3/10 | nk | 8-10 | 48 | 67A | Stevie Donohoe | 7/1 |
| 28 Jan 09+19d | Kempton (AW) | Panoramic Bar & Restaurant Classified Stakes | 1/12 | 9-1 | 48 | 63A | Barry McHugh | 11/2C | |
| 09 Jan 09+176d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Book Tickets Online Apprentice Classified Stakes | 3/12 | 4 | 9-0 | 51 | 55A | Barry McHugh | 12/1 |
| 2008 · 5 runs | |||||||||
| 17 Jul 08+13d | Bath | Coca Cola Classic Claiming Stakes | 6/11 | 6 | 8-9 | 48 | 41A | Travis Block | 33/1 |
| 04 Jul 08+24d | Beverley | Hall Construction Selling Stakes | 12/14 | 14 | 9-3 | 51 | 32C | Graham Gibbons | 40/1 |
| 10 Jun 08+28d | Salisbury | Gerry Mccann 'Lifetime In Racing' Claiming Stakes | 8/15 | 1 | 9-2 | 51 | 61A | Steve Drowne | 80/1 |
| 13 May 08+16d | Brighton | Premier Food Court Selling Stakes | 9/11 | nk | 9-1 | 51 | 46C | Jim Crowley | 25/1 |
| 27 Apr 08+197d | Brighton | transmancheferries.co.uk Selling Stakes | 11/12 | ½ | 9-3 | 45 | 27A | Tolley Dean | 14/1 |
| 2007 · 11 runs | |||||||||
| 13 Oct 07+10d | Kempton (AW) | Hallowe'En Party Here October 31st Handicap | 12/13 | 2 | 8-10 | 49 | 38C | Greg Fairley | 40/1 |
| 03 Oct 07+2d | Kempton (AW) | Barrettstown Stud Handicap | 6/14 | hd | 8-13 | 52 | 52C | Robert Havlin | 8/1 |
| 01 Oct 07+24d | Brighton | Jean's 90th Birthday Claiming Stakes | 6/13 | 2½ | 8-9 | 52 | 51C | Liam Keniry | 10/1 |
| 07 Sep 07+5d | Chepstow | betdirect.com Get Involved Handicap | 10/15 | 1½ | 8-13 | 56 | 47C | Kevin Ghunowa | 66/1 |
| 02 Sep 07+82d | Folkestone | Hythe Bay Supporting Demelza Selling Stakes | 9/14 | 2½ | 9-9 | 56 | 46C | Steve Drowne | 16/1 |
| 12 Jun 07+14d | Salisbury | Peter West 'Lifetime In Racing' Claiming Stakes | 7/17 | 2 | 9-5 | 58 | 36C | Ryan Moore | 3/1 |
| 29 May 07+7d | Chepstow | Letheby & Christopher At Chepstow Handicap | 11/14 | 1¼ | 8-7 | 58 | 52C | Kevin Ghunowa | 10/1 |
| 22 May 07+14d | Leicester | Hollingshead Selling Stakes | 1/14 | 9-2 | 58 | 73C | Kevin Ghunowa | 13/2 | |
| 08 May 07+29d | Chepstow | freesmsalertsatbetdaqexchangeviews.com Handicap | 5/14 | 1½ | 8-9 | 58 | 56C | Kevin Ghunowa | 7/1 |
| 09 Apr 07+16d | Warwick | cherriesracing.com Handicap | 3/13 | 1 | 7-13 | 44 | 62C | Kevin Ghunowa | 18/1 |
| 24 Mar 07+143d | Kempton (AW) | intercasino.co.uk Handicap (Div 2) | 6/10 | ¾ | 8-11 | 54 | 45C | Kevin Darley | 11/2 |
| 2006 · 12 runs | |||||||||
| 01 Nov 06+37d | Nottingham | Eventmasters Corporate Hospitality Hdcp | 6/15 | ¾ | 8-6 | 55 | 68C | Barry Savage | 20/1 |
| 25 Sep 06+9d | Brighton | Brakes Food Service Claiming Stakes | 2/15 | 1 | 8-10 | 55 | 62C | Stevie Donohoe | 8/1 |
| 16 Sep 06+9d | Warwick | Warwickracecourse.co.uk Handicap | 11/16 | hd | 8-6 | 59 | 49C | Barry Savage | 28/1 |
| 07 Sep 06+11d | Chepstow | WaterAid Welsh Partnership Handicap | 10/14 | ½ | 8-12 | 64 | 44C | Barry Savage | 16/1 |
| 27 Aug 06+9d | Yarmouth | Lowestoft Journal Handicap | 6/11 | 1¼ | 9-1 | 64 | 62C | Barry Savage | 12/1 |
| 18 Aug 06+11d | Newbury | Peter Brett Associates Handicap | 5/15 | ¾ | 8-9 | 65 | 49C | Barry Savage | 25/1 |
| 07 Aug 06+10d | Windsor | Express Colin Birch Memorial Handicap | 11/12 | 3 | 9-8 | 65 | 42C | Ryan Moore | 9/1 |
| 28 Jul 06+12d | Chepstow | 32Red.com Handicap | 3/10 | shd | 9-9 | 65 | 52C | Shane Kelly | 12/1 |
| 16 Jul 06+9d | Haydock | 32Red Online Casino Handicap | 8/10 | 2½ | 8-13 | 65 | 51C | Adam Kirby | 10/1 |
| 07 Jul 06+12d | Haydock | John Carroll Apprentice Handicap | 3/12 | 1½ | 9-8 | 67 | 62C | Ashley Hamblett | 7/1 |
| 25 Jun 06+14d | Warwick | Harold & Peter Clarke Birthday Handicap | 10/11 | 1¾ | 9-13 | 67 | 38C | Ryan Moore | 7/2 |
| 11 Jun 06+247d | Bath | Totesport 0800 221 221 Handicap | 5/12 | 1¼ | 10-0 | 70 | 68C | Ryan Moore | 9/2 |
| 2005 · 8 runs | |||||||||
| 07 Oct 05+28d | York | Parsonage Country House Hotel Handicap | 14/20 | ¾ | 8-10 | 72 | 54C | Richard Kingscote | 20/1 |
| 09 Sep 05+50d | Sandown | Sungard Securities Finance Handicap | 5/13 | nk | 8-6 | 72 | 56C | Richard Kingscote | 20/1 |
| 21 Jul 05+15d | Doncaster | Walkabout Classified Stakes | 6/9 | 6 | 8-10 | 73 | 53C | Richard Kingscote | 12/1 |
| 06 Jul 05+18d | Newmarket | Classic FM Handicap | 13/15 | 2 | 8-13 | 74 | 39C | Steve Drowne | 8/1 |
| 18 Jun 05+16d | Lingfield | 8th Year Of The David Woodhouse Birthday Handicap | 5/9 | hd | 9-1 | 74 | 61C | Richard Kingscote | 7/2J |
| 02 Jun 05+12d | Haydock | Lookers Renault Handicap | 4/15 | 1 | 9-3 | 74 | 71C | Richard Kingscote | 8/1 |
| 21 May 05+25d | Haydock | George Duffield Apprentice Handicap | 1/11 | 9-2 | 71 | 65C | Richard Kingscote | 14/1 | |
| 26 Apr 05 | Warwick | Wolverton Handicap | 6/12 | ½ | 9-8 | 72 | 65C | Richard Mullen | 40/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Convince won?
- Convince (USA) won 6 of 64 archived starts between 2005 and 2011, a strike rate of 9.4%. Placed 18 times in total (28.1% of starts).
- Who trained Convince?
- Convince (USA) was trained by Kevin M Prendergast on the most recent run on record, at Newcastle on 4 June 2011.
- Who is Convince's sire?
- Convince (USA) is by Mt Livermore (USA) out of Conical (GB), whose sire is Zafonic.
- What going does Convince prefer?
- Convince (USA) has the best record on standard (aw) going: 3 wins from 18 starts (16.7%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Convince's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 55, from the run on 4 June 2011. The highest on record is 74.
- What is Convince's sire's record?
- Mt Livermore (USA)'s progeny in our archive have won 9% of 156 runs since Jan 2008 (9 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Convince's siblings?
- Out of Conical (GB), Convince (USA) has 3 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Evolve (USA) (1). Highest grade won: Class 6 (Evolve (USA)). The wins came over 1m3f. As at Oct 2026.