What is Andrew Heffernan's strike rate?

Andrew Heffernan has won 95 of 1,219 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.8% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Andrew Heffernan do best at?

Brighton by strike rate: 6 wins from 32 rides (18.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Andrew Heffernan ride most for?

David Evans, with 225 rides since 2008 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 26 (11.6%).

What is Andrew Heffernan's Fair A/E?

0.98, from 1,209 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Andrew Heffernan

1,219 rides in the lifetime window · 602 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Aug 2011 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

95–1,219

Wins / Runs

7.8%

Strike rate

n=1,219

288 (24%)

Placed

0.98

Fair A/E

n=1,209 · 0.84 incl. margin

−439.12

£1 level stake

n=1,219 at SP · −36.0%

£460k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

6.5%

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 300 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 8% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.98). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 12% (98 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,219 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Feb–Apr 32.9% when favourite David Evans: 11.6% from 225 LTO winners: 12.2% Claiming: 8.4% Rode the favourite in 6% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Brighton (18.8%, n=32), clear of the rider's 7.8% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 12.2% (n=98, Fair A/E 0.76). David Evans supplied 18% of the rides and edges the rider's average (11.6% vs 7.8%, A/E 1.01) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also read well off a 0-7-day break (13.3%, n=195). The standout partner of the record was Kinigi (IRE) — 5 wins from 18 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired Feb–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.8% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

7%−0.8

n=598 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −180.42

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

12.2%+4.4

n=98 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −28.46

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

6.5%−1.3

n=123 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −60.71

When favourite

32.9%

n=73 · A/E 1.22 · £1 +3.13

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

8.4%+0.6

n=1,089 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −327.37

Big fields · 14+ runners

5.4%−2.4

n=168 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −49.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−7.8

n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Brighton 18.8% vs 7.8% · n=32

With Peter Grayson 0% vs 7.8% · n=74

With Ronald Harris 15.4% vs 7.8% · n=52

Off a 0-7-day break 13.3% vs 7.8% · n=195

With debutants 0% vs 7.8% · n=39

With Richard Guest 14.3% vs 7.8% · n=70

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,218 95 7.8% −438.12

Chase 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 592 49 8.3% −242.87

Good to Firm 271 17 6.3% −120.75

Good 213 18 8.5% −33.00

Good to Soft 66 5 7.6% −35.00

Soft 40 4 10% +11.50

Firm 27 1 3.7% −22.00

Heavy 10 1 10% +3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 212 18 8.5% −119.97

Southwell (AW) 193 18 9.3% −54.88

Lingfield (AW) 98 5 5.1% −51.27

Kempton (AW) 83 7 8.4% −13.75

Bath 43 2 4.7% −35.00

Musselburgh 41 5 12.2% +3.25

Thirsk 41 4 9.8% −5.00

Hamilton 35 5 14.3% +33.00

Chepstow 35 3 8.6% −12.00

Ayr 32 1 3.1% −24.00

Brighton 32 6 18.8% +5.00

Beverley 31 0 0% −31.00

Redcar 29 3 10.3% +9.00

Warwick 28 0 0% −28.00

Windsor 20 3 15% +7.75

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 537 45 8.4% −186.70

Class 5 438 32 7.3% −191.42

Class 4 139 13 9.4% +12.50

Class 3 40 3 7.5% −26.00

Class 2 33 2 6.1% −15.50

Class 7 28 0 0% −28.00

Class 1 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 88 26 29.5% 1.16 −3.12

2nd–3rd fav 199 32 16.1% 1.03 −27.50

4th–6th fav 343 20 5.8% 0.79 −152.50

7th+ in betting 589 17 2.9% 0.93 −256.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Goodbye Cash (IRE) 19 3 6 18 Feb 11

Kinigi (IRE) 18 5 10 11 Nov 10

Wanchai Whisper (GB) 16 2 9 23 Feb 11

Valdan (IRE) 13 1 2 20 Apr 11

Oddsmaker (IRE) 13 4 8 8 Oct 10

Aflaam (IRE) 12 2 5 31 Oct 10

Bere Davis (FR) 12 1 3 22 Jun 10

Stand Guard (GB) 11 2 4 11 Oct 10

Tiger Hawk (USA) 10 1 1 6 Apr 11

Kheskianto (IRE) 10 0 3 12 Nov 09

Bestowed (GB) 8 2 3 16 Jan 11

Kingaroo (IRE) 8 1 4 30 Nov 10

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 602 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

7910117626171358

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardDavid Evans

18% of all rides
11.6% SR · A/E 1.01

TrainerRWSR£1

David Evans 225 26 11.6% −94.57

Peter Grayson 74 0 0% −74.00

Richard Guest 70 10 14.3% +42.75

Ronald Harris 52 8 15.4% +51.50

Michael Chapman 47 1 2.1% −36.00

Paul Green 38 2 5.3% −4.00

Richard Price 36 2 5.6% −10.00

Alan McCabe 35 3 8.6% −8.00

Kevin M Prendergast 30 4 13.3% +5.25

Garry Moss 30 1 3.3% −13.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→

Archived wins

£466k

Prize money

2010

Best season · 48 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Barnet Fair (GB) — Totesport 0800 221221 Saltire Sprint Handicap Musselburgh · Jun 2011 · Class 2

£18,693

Stand Guard (GB) — Betdaqextra.com Handicap Wolverhampton (AW) · Nov 2009 · Class 2

£11,216

Jack My Boy (IRE) — totescoop6 Handicap Ripon · Apr 2010 · Class 3

£7,789

Notable horses

Kinigi (IRE) Oddsmaker (IRE) Goodbye Cash (IRE) Blue Noodles (GB) Boundless Prospect (USA) Orpenindeed (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Verglas (IRE) 18.2% · 6–33

Progeny have won 10.2% of 6,977 runs since 2008 (499 horses).

Kyllachy (GB) 13.3% · 4–30

Progeny have won 9.9% of 13,847 runs since 2008 (800 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.8% from 468.

Danetime (IRE) 10.3% · 3–29

Progeny have won 11.1% of 2,846 runs since 2008 (149 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7.3% from 218.

Dubai Destination (USA) 12% · 3–25

Progeny have won 11% of 6,950 runs since 2008 (521 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.9% from 136.

Noverre (USA) 14.3% · 3–21

Progeny have won 10.7% of 3,831 runs since 2008 (235 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.7% from 803. Weakest on Soft going: 6.9% from 407.

Trans Island (GB) 0% · 0–21

Progeny have won 9% of 4,741 runs since 2008 (295 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,255 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,255 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 20 November 2006 to 15 August 2011.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

15 Aug 11 Yarmouth El Maachi (GB)T: Jim Best Pkf (uk) Llp Maiden HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 5th 11/4

13 Aug 11 Doncaster Rubi Dia (GB)T: Kevin M Prendergast Universal Recycling Company HandicapClass 4 · 14.5f · Good · 13 ran 13th 25/1

13 Aug 11 Doncaster Dream Dream Dream (IRE)T: Kevin M Prendergast PC Excavations Ltd Handicap (Div 1)Class 5 · 7f · Good · 10 ran 10th 28/1

08 Aug 11 Thirsk They All Laughed (GB)T: Marjorie Fife Racing Again Next Monday - 15th August HandicapClass 6 · 16f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 9th 33/1

03 Aug 11 Newcastle Flurry Of Hands (IRE)T: Ann Duffield Ignition Festival NurseryClass 4 · 7f · Good · 4 ran 1st 7/1

02 Aug 11 Catterick Piste (GB)T: Tina Jackson Book Now For Saturday 17th September HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good · 9 ran 4th 20/1

30 Jul 11 Thirsk Fazza (GB)T: Edwin Tuer Ekosgen HandicapClass 3 · 8f · Good · 17 ran 4th 20/1

30 Jul 11 Thirsk Dream Dream Dream (IRE)T: Kevin M Prendergast Buck Inn Maunby Maiden Fillies' StakesClass 5 · 7f · Good · 9 ran 5th 20/1

30 Jul 11 Thirsk Beechey's Beauty (GB)T: Ann Duffield Constant Security NurseryClass 3 · 5f · Good · 9 ran 7th 11/1

29 Jul 11 Thirsk Lindoro (GB)T: Kevin M Prendergast Northallerton Shooting & Country Wear Handicap (Div 2)Class 5 · 7f · Good · 10 ran 5th 5/1

27 Jul 11 Redcar Moon Lightning (IRE)T: Tina Jackson Win A VIP Day Out At redcarracing.co.uk HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 15 ran 9th 33/1

26 Jul 11 Beverley Lady Hello (IRE)T: Mick Channon Ron Bray Memorial Maiden Auction Fillies' StakesClass 5 · 5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 9th 8/1

26 Jul 11 Beverley Commander Veejay (GB)T: Brian Rothwell Peppa Pig Is Here Today Selling HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 5th 5/1

24 Jul 11 Pontefract Ay Tay Tate (IRE)T: David C Griffiths Graham Rock Memorial HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good · 15 ran 3rd 8/1

23 Jul 11 Newcastle Piste (GB)T: Tina Jackson La Taxis HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 7th 20/1

23 Jul 11 Newcastle Bedloe's Island (IRE)T: Neville Bycroft UTS Connor Sadler HandicapClass 4 · 5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 5th 8/1

23 Jul 11 Newcastle Leaving Alone (USA)T: Edwin Tuer Miss Newcastle 2012 HandicapClass 5 · 16f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 9th 14/1

23 Jul 11 Newcastle Shotley Music (GB)T: Neville Bycroft Tyne Tees Models Maiden Auction StakesClass 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 3rd 28/1

22 Jul 11 Thirsk Dream Dream Dream (IRE)T: Kevin M Prendergast Welcome To Yorkshire Events & Festivals Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good · 15 ran 15th 25/1

22 Jul 11 Thirsk May Burnett (IRE)T: Brian Rothwell Habton Selling HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good · 13 ran 6th 50/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Andrew Heffernan's strike rate?: Andrew Heffernan has won 95 of 1,219 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.8% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Andrew Heffernan do best at?: Brighton by strike rate: 6 wins from 32 rides (18.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Andrew Heffernan ride most for?: David Evans, with 225 rides since 2008 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 26 (11.6%).
What is Andrew Heffernan's Fair A/E?: 0.98, from 1,209 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.