What is Brian Harding's strike rate?

Brian Harding has won 286 of 2,806 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 10.2% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Brian Harding do best at?

Ayr by strike rate: 48 wins from 265 rides (18.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Brian Harding ride most for?

Nicky Richards, with 699 rides since 2008 — 25% of the total. That pairing has won 129 (18.5%).

What is Brian Harding's Fair A/E?

0.97, from 2,802 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Brian Harding

2,806 rides in the lifetime window · 1,237 individual horses

As at 13 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Sep 2024 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

286–2,806

Wins / Runs

10.2%

Strike rate

n=2,806

719 (26%)

Placed

0.97

Fair A/E

n=2,802 · 0.85 incl. margin

−874.01

£1 level stake

n=2,806 at SP · −31.1%

£2.35m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 150 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 10% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.97). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 23% (284 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,806 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 13 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Nov–Jan 33.7% when favourite Nicky Richards: 18.5% from 699 LTO winners: 23.2% Rides the favourite in 9% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Ayr (18.1%, n=265), clear of the rider's 10.2% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 23.2% (n=284, Fair A/E 1.18), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 4.2% (n=472, Fair A/E 0.80). Nicky Richards supplies 25% of the rides and beats the rider's average (18.5% vs 10.2%, A/E 1.15) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well on Heavy going (16.5%, n=376). 8 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Pagebet Rehearsal Handicap Chase at Newcastle (Nov 2005, £33,804). The standout partner of the record: Gold Futures (IRE) — 8 wins from 21 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Nov–Jan.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.2% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

7.3%−2.9

n=1,149 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −366.76

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

23.2%+13.0

n=284 · A/E 1.18 · £1 −22.71

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

9.1%−1.1

n=756 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −203.87

When favourite

33.7%

n=258 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −38.68

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.2%−6.0

n=472 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −253.46

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

5.9%−4.3

n=85 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −29.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Keith Dalgleish 37.5% vs 10.2% · n=32

On last-time-out winners 23.2% vs 10.2% · n=284

With Nicky Richards 18.5% vs 10.2% · n=699

At Ayr 18.1% vs 10.2% · n=265

With Martin Todhunter 2.1% vs 10.2% · n=142

On Heavy going 16.5% vs 10.2% · n=376

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,534 145 9.5% −577.07

Chase 1,057 117 11.1% −222.81

NH Flat 206 23 11.2% −71.13

Flat 9 1 11.1% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 901 80 8.9% −308.61

Soft 712 76 10.7% −197.05

Good to Soft 643 58 9% −248.77

Heavy 376 62 16.5% −17.66

Good to Firm 170 10 5.9% −97.92

Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Standard (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kelso 327 40 12.2% −112.53

Ayr 265 48 18.1% +41.64

Sedgefield 257 27 10.5% −75.82

Newcastle 247 31 12.6% −61.48

Carlisle 243 35 14.4% −11.40

Hexham 227 21 9.3% −127.62

Perth 197 16 8.1% −94.95

Wetherby 166 12 7.2% −63.25

Musselburgh 153 9 5.9% −106.00

Market Rasen 115 12 10.4% −48.70

Catterick 112 4 3.6% −24.67

Cartmel 94 10 10.6% +2.23

Doncaster 91 5 5.5% −53.50

Aintree 60 1 1.7% −9.00

Haydock 56 4 7.1% −3.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 1,341 141 10.5% −486.98

Class 5 583 48 8.2% −188.62

Class 3 474 51 10.8% −96.48

Class 2 151 18 11.9% −30.05

Class 6 151 22 14.6% −24.63

Class 1 105 6 5.7% −46.25

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 300 99 33% 1.01 −35.30

2nd–3rd fav 567 99 17.5% 1.04 −73.71

4th–6th fav 922 66 7.2% 0.94 −242.00

7th+ in betting 1,017 22 2.2% 0.71 −523.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

77.2% completed · 2,591 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 1,057 71.6% 57 27 213 2 1

Hurdle 1,534 81% 32 9 248 0 2

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

One For Harry (IRE) 24 5 8 11 Dec 16

Simply Ned (IRE) 23 4 11 22 Apr 17

Royal Mackintosh (GB) 22 5 10 10 Nov 14

Gold Futures (IRE) 21 8 11 5 Jun 16

Tutchec (FR) 20 4 8 29 Feb 16

Winter Alchemy (IRE) 20 2 8 26 Jun 15

One For Hocky (IRE) 18 3 8 11 Mar 16

Sammy Spiderman (GB) 17 3 7 24 Feb 11

Isaacstown Lad (IRE) 16 4 8 25 Mar 17

St Gregory (IRE) 16 5 9 11 Nov 16

Willie Hall (GB) 16 2 7 26 May 15

Premier Sagas (FR) 16 2 10 9 Jun 13

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,237 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 7 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

1281468510111391212

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardNicky Richards

25% of all rides
18.5% SR · A/E 1.15

TrainerRWSR£1

Nicky Richards 699 129 18.5% −56.63

Martin Todhunter 142 3 2.1% −89.00

Donald McCain 124 10 8.1% −58.70

Barry Murtagh 121 5 4.1% −76.00

William Amos 102 9 8.8% −36.67

Tim Easterby 101 15 14.9% −17.05

Jedd O'Keeffe 87 9 10.3% −42.79

James Moffatt 79 7 8.9% −38.84

Alistair Whillans 73 12 16.4% +11.54

N W Alexander 62 5 8.1% −32.55

Pauline Robson 53 6 11.3% −11.00

Lisa Harrison 41 1 2.4% −35.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

361

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£3.14m

Prize money

2014

Best season · 54 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Direct Access (IRE) — Pagebet Rehearsal Handicap Chase (Lstd) Newcastle · Nov 2005 · Listed

£33,804

Streams Of Whiskey (IRE) — totescoop6 The Millionaire Maker Handicap Chase (Jockey Club Grassroots Chase Series Final) Haydock · Apr 2014 · Class 2

£31,280

Samstown (GB) — Peter Marsh Chase (Grade 2 Limited Handicap) Haydock · Jan 2015 · Grade 2

£28,475

Notable horses

Gold Futures (IRE) One For Harry (IRE) Royal Mackintosh (GB) St Gregory (IRE) Noble Alan (GER) Tiptoeaway (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Presenting (GB) 15.1% · 14–93

Progeny have won 11% of 20,053 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Fruits Of Love (USA) 9.2% · 7–76

Progeny have won 8.7% of 2,777 runs since 2008 (221 horses). Strongest on Good going: 11.8% from 944. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.4% from 182. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 4% from 150.

Gold Well (GB) 26.6% · 17–64

Progeny have won 12.2% of 5,648 runs since 2011 (363 horses).

Generous (IRE) 14.3% · 9–63

Progeny have won 10.7% of 3,332 runs since 2008 (251 horses).

Alflora (IRE) 13.1% · 8–61

Progeny have won 9.8% of 5,312 runs since 2008 (535 horses).

Beneficial (GB) 18% · 11–61

Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,047 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 13 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,827 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,827 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 15 September 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

15 Sep 24 Doncaster Strongbowe (FR)T: Tim Easterby Graham Lee Vickers.Bet Leger Legends Classified Stakes (Str)Class 5 · 8f · Soft · 16 ran 12th 40/1

07 Sep 22 Doncaster Temper Trap (GB)T: Tim Easterby Ubettabelieveit Leger Legends Classified Stakes (Str)Class 5 · 8f · Good · 16 ran 8th 8/1

08 Sep 21 Doncaster First Dance (IRE)T: Tom Tate Mondialiste Leger Legends Classified Stakes (Str)Class 5 · 8f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 10th 11/2

11 Sep 19 Doncaster One To Go (GB)T: Tim Easterby Mondialiste Leger Legends Classified StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 8th 13/2

12 Sep 18 Doncaster Assimile (IRE)T: K R Burke Clipper Logistics Leger Legends Classified Stakes (Str)Class 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 3rd 25/1

13 Sep 17 Doncaster Off Art (GB)T: Tim Easterby Clipper Logistics Leger Legends Classified Stakes (Str)Class 5 · 8f · Soft · 14 ran 1st 5/1

28 Apr 17 Perth Anywaythewindblows (GB)T: Nicky Richards Heineken UK 'Closing Time' Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 4 · 16f · Good · 8 ran 6th 5/1

27 Apr 17 Perth Starplex (GB)T: Keith Dalgleish Mackie's Real Deal Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good · 10 ran 9th 9/2

27 Apr 17 Perth Duke Of Navan (IRE)T: Nicky Richards Heineken UK Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 16f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 5/1

26 Apr 17 Perth Baysbrown (IRE)T: Nicky Richards Bill And Bunny Cadogan Memorial Chase (Novices' Limited Handicap)Class 3 · 24f · Good · 10 ran 6th 14/1

26 Apr 17 Perth King Of Fashion (IRE)T: Ian Duncan EBF Stallions Gold Castle 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle (Listed)Class 1 · 24f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 10/1

26 Apr 17 Perth Caerleon Kate (GB)T: C A McBratney Joseph Perrier 'Party Has Started' Maiden HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good · 10 ran 7th 20/1

23 Apr 17 Wetherby Jane Lamb (GB)T: Jedd O'Keeffe Royal Pigeon Racing Association Mares' Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 15/8F

23 Apr 17 Wetherby Jack Lamb (GB)T: Jedd O'Keeffe Racinguk.com/hd Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good · 11 ran 7th 16/1

22 Apr 17 Ayr Simply Ned (IRE)T: Nicky Richards Scotty Brand Handicap Chase (Listed)Class 1 · 15.5f · Good · 10 ran 7th 12/1

15 Apr 17 Haydock Black Narcissus (IRE)T: Alexandra Dunn Challenger Series Mares' Chase Final Handicap ChaseClass 2 · 22f · Good · 12 ran PU 22/1

15 Apr 17 Haydock Our Thomas (IRE)T: Tim Easterby Challenger Two Mile Hurdle Series Final Handicap HurdleClass 2 · 15.5f · Good · 17 ran 14th 14/1

10 Apr 17 Kelso Witness Time (IRE)T: Rose Dobbin Duncan & Margaret Sinclair Memorial Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 18f · Good · 12 ran 8th 66/1

08 Apr 17 Aintree Takingrisks (IRE)T: Nicky Richards Betway Handicap Chase (Listed)Class 1 · 25f · Good · 16 ran PU 25/1

08 Apr 17 Aintree Reivers Lad (GB)T: Nicky Richards Betway Mersey Novices' Hurdle (Grade 1)Class 1 · 20f · Good · 13 ran PU 40/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Brian Harding's strike rate?: Brian Harding has won 286 of 2,806 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 10.2% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Brian Harding do best at?: Ayr by strike rate: 48 wins from 265 rides (18.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Brian Harding ride most for?: Nicky Richards, with 699 rides since 2008 — 25% of the total. That pairing has won 129 (18.5%).
What is Brian Harding's Fair A/E?: 0.97, from 2,802 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.