What is Donagh Murphy's strike rate?

Donagh Murphy has won 24 of 266 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 9% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Donagh Murphy do best at?

Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 4 wins from 36 rides (11.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Donagh Murphy ride most for?

Richard Hughes, with 58 rides since 2008 — 22% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (6.9%).

Is Donagh Murphy in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 6 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Donagh Murphy's Fair A/E?

0.87, from 265 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Donagh Murphy

266 rides in the lifetime window · 155 individual horses

As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 5 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2024→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

24–266

Wins / Runs

Strike rate

n=266

75 (28%)

Placed

0.87

Fair A/E

n=265 · 0.73 incl. margin

−117.34

£1 level stake

n=266 at SP · −44.1%

£228k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

9.7%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 10 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 9% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.87). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 23% (30 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 266 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 12 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Richard Hughes: 6.9% from 58 LTO winners: 23.3%

The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 23.3% (n=30, Fair A/E 1.34), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 0% (n=34, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 9% strike, Fair A/E 0.84 and −97.00 to a £1 stake over 155 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Richard Hughes supplies 22% of the rides and sits below the rider's average (6.9% vs 9%, A/E 0.61). The rider also reads well off a 8-14-day break (14%, n=57). The record reads poorly off a 15-30-day break — 6% over 116 rides, 3pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

9%+0.0

n=155 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −97.00

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

23.3%+14.3

n=30 · A/E 1.34 · £1 −7.30

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

4.3%−4.7

n=23 · A/E 0.43 · £1 −18.67

When favourite

33.3%

n=18 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −1.96

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

8.8%−0.2

n=251 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −109.55

Big fields · 14+ runners

0%−9.0

n=34 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −34.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 23.3% vs 9% · n=30

With Jim Boyle 15.9% vs 9% · n=44

Off a 8-14-day break 14% vs 9% · n=57

Off a 15-30-day break 6% vs 9% · n=116

With C&D winners 6.3% vs 9% · n=63

In Class 6 11% vs 9% · n=109

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 133 13 9.8% −61.80

Good to Firm 55 4 7.3% −27.25

Good 42 4 9.5% −7.17

Good to Soft 24 1 4.2% −21.12

Soft 8 1 12.5% −0.50

Heavy 4 1 25% +0.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 40 4 10% −6.00

Lingfield (AW) 36 4 11.1% −24.46

Kempton (AW) 19 2 10.5% −12.84

Southwell (AW) 18 3 16.7% +1.50

Brighton 16 4 25% +11.50

Epsom 12 2 16.7% +15.00

Windsor 11 0 0% −11.00

Dundalk (AW) 11 0 0% −11.00

Doncaster 9 0 0% −9.00

Chepstow 9 1 11.1% −5.25

Lingfield 8 0 0% −8.00

Chelmsford City (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00

Bath 6 1 16.7% −1.50

Chester 6 0 0% −6.00

Newbury 6 0 0% −6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 109 12 11% −32.96

Class 5 80 8 10% −22.37

Class 4 48 4 8.3% −33.01

Class 3 8 0 0% −8.00

Class 2 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 23 7 30.4% 1.05 −4.08

2nd–3rd fav 52 8 15.4% 0.85 −16.26

4th–6th fav 91 7 7.7% 0.86 −29.00

7th+ in betting 100 2 2% 0.57 −68.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Play Me (GB) 20 3 9 30 Oct 26

Havana Club (GB) 6 1 3 13 Oct 26

Barnsnape Boy (GB) 6 1 1 6 Aug 26

Lazzar (IRE) 5 1 1 28 Oct 26

Voix De Bocelli (GB) 5 0 3 20 May 26

Bint Havana Gold (GB) 5 1 1 26 Mar 26

Roman Emperor (GB) 5 0 1 24 Jan 26

Doctor Grace (IRE) 5 0 0 18 Dec 24

Daisy Roots (GB) 4 0 2 28 Oct 26

Spirit Lead Me (IRE) 4 1 1 15 May 26

Amused (IRE) 3 1 1 30 Oct 26

Knebworth (GB) 3 0 0 19 Oct 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 155 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 6

Only 6 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

73071067010129018

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardRichard Hughes

22% of all rides
6.9% SR · A/E 0.61

TrainerRWSR£1

Richard Hughes 58 4 6.9% −31.34

Jim Boyle 44 7 15.9% +17.83

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2024→

Archived wins

£228k

Prize money

2026

Best season · 17 wins

Marcellinus (GB) — Harry Bloom Memorial "Brighton Bullet" Handicap Stakes Brighton · Aug 2026 · Class 4

£10,468

Russian Rumour (IRE) — Safer Gambling With Betano Apprentice Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Nottingham · May 2026 · Class 4

£7,328

Lazzar (IRE) — Bet 20 Get 20 With Unibet Handicap (Div 1) Kempton (AW) · Mar 2026 · Class 4

£6,281

Notable horses

Play Me (GB) Tommy's Promise (GB) Havana Club (GB) Barnsnape Boy (GB) Bint Havana Gold (GB) Lazzar (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Too Darn Hot (GB) 15% · 3–20

Progeny have won 13.9% of 2,375 runs since 2023 (326 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.4% from 117.

Havana Gold (IRE) 13.3% · 2–15

Progeny have won 9.5% of 5,064 runs since 2017 (402 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.2% from 118. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13% from 523. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.2% from 177.

Iffraaj (GB) 11.1% · 1–9

Progeny have won 10.5% of 13,998 runs since 2010 (1,093 horses).

Havana Grey (GB) 0% · 0–8

Progeny have won 13.2% of 4,612 runs since 2022 (420 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 16.2% from 105. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 9.9% from 424.

Kodi Bear (IRE) 12.5% · 1–8

Progeny have won 10.3% of 3,998 runs since 2020 (392 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.2% from 263.

Calyx (GB) 14.3% · 1–7

Progeny have won 13.5% of 1,524 runs since 2023 (175 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 9.3% from 172. Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.9% from 111.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 266 · newest first

The latest 50 of 266 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 12 April 2024 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

07 Nov 26 Doncaster Duraji (IRE)T: Richard Hughes Virgin Bet November Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 2 · 12f · Good To Soft · 23 ran 17th 66/1

07 Nov 26 Doncaster Intrusively (GB)T: Michael Appleby Virgin Bet Training Series Final Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Part Of The Racing Excellence Series) (Div II)Class 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 5th 12/1

07 Nov 26 Doncaster Feel The Need (GB)T: Michael Herrington Virgin Bet Training Series Final Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Part Of The Racing Excellence Series) (Div I)Class 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 9th 4/1

04 Nov 26 Nottingham Condotti (IRE)T: Hugo Palmer racingtv.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8.5f · Soft · 15 ran 2nd 11/1

30 Oct 26 Newmarket Amused (IRE)T: Jim Boyle German G1 Racecourses Thank World Pool Handicap StakesClass 5 · 9f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 8th 4/1

30 Oct 26 Newmarket Play Me (GB)T: Jim Boyle Munich's Grosser Dallmayr-preis Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 15th 25/1

28 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Daisy Roots (GB)T: Jim Boyle Set Your Limits With Unibet Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 9 ran 3rd 22/1

28 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Lazzar (IRE)T: Charlie Wallis Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 5th 7/2

26 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Auradue (GB)T: Roy Bowring All-weather Championship Is Back Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 1st 9/1

26 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Fancy Dancer (GB)T: Hayley Burton All-Weather Championship Is Back Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 12/1

22 Oct 26 Newmarket Amused (IRE)T: Jim Boyle CopyBet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Soft · 13 ran 1st 13/2

19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Knebworth (GB)T: Richard Hughes Cavani Best Dressed Handicap StakesClass 3 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 6/1

15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Yes Waliim (IRE)T: Richard Hughes Follow @AtTheRaces On X Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 6th 7/2

15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Forever My Girl (IRE)T: Katy Price Free Bets On Attheraces.com Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 150/1

13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Havana Club (GB)T: Adrian Wintle Download The Raceday Ready App Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 11/1

12 Oct 26 Yarmouth Darkest Red (GB)T: Jim Boyle Pro Shop At Caister Golf Club Handicap StakesClass 5 · 14f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 5th 3/1F

11 Oct 26 Goodwood Sudden Flight (GB)T: Richard Hughes Virgin Bet Daily Extra Places Handicap StakesClass 3 · 6f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 7th 18/1

09 Oct 26 York Feel The Need (GB)T: Michael Herrington Pj Staffing Group Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 20 ran 6th 12/1

08 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Rubellite (IRE)T: Stephen Hanlon Get Raceday Ready Handicap StakesClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 12/1

07 Oct 26 Nottingham Russian Rumour (IRE)T: Jonathan Portman Racedays For £9 At Nottingham Racecourse Fillies' Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 4 · 14f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 7th 28/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 7 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 4 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 7 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Donagh Murphy's strike rate?: Donagh Murphy has won 24 of 266 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 9% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Donagh Murphy do best at?: Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 4 wins from 36 rides (11.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Donagh Murphy ride most for?: Richard Hughes, with 58 rides since 2008 — 22% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (6.9%).
Is Donagh Murphy in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 6 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Donagh Murphy's Fair A/E?: 0.87, from 265 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.