What is Jack Kearney's strike rate?

Jack Kearney has won 98 of 1,292 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.6% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Jack Kearney do best at?

Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 56 wins from 507 rides (11%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Jack Kearney ride most for?

Stephen Thorne, with 190 rides since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 31 (16.3%).

Is Jack Kearney in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 14 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Jack Kearney's Fair A/E?

0.94, from 1,291 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Jack Kearney

1,292 rides in the lifetime window · 651 individual horses

As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride yesterday 93% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2021→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

98–1,292

Wins / Runs

7.6%

Strike rate

n=1,292

291 (23%)

Placed

0.94

Fair A/E

n=1,291 · 0.76 incl. margin

−269.72

£1 level stake

n=1,292 at SP · −20.9%

£1.41m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 70 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.94). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 17% (106 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,292 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 14 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Mar 23.5% when favourite Stephen Thorne: 16.3% from 190 LTO winners: 17% Rides the favourite in 8% of races

The read

It is weakest at Leopardstown (0% over 63 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 17% (n=106, Fair A/E 1.18). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 7.3% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.25 and +105.13 to a £1 stake over 192 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Stephen Thorne supplies 15% of the rides and beats the rider's average (16.3% vs 7.6%, A/E 1.16) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly over 2m1f – 2m4f — 0% over 42 rides, 7.6pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Irish Stallion Farms EBF Vincent O'Brien Ruby Stakes at Killarney (IRE) (Aug 2026, £30,000). Seasonally, the rider fires Jan–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.6% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

6.9%−0.7

n=651 · A/E 0.99 · £1 +26.30

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

17%+9.4

n=106 · A/E 1.18 · £1 −19.52

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

7.3%−0.3

n=192 · A/E 1.25 · £1 +105.13

When favourite

23.5%

n=98 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −40.55

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

7.5%−0.1

n=1,153 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −217.22

Big fields · 14+ runners

5.3%−2.3

n=678 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −119.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

4.5%−3.1

n=22 · A/E 0.57 · £1 −17.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Stephen Thorne 16.3% vs 7.6% · n=190

On last-time-out winners 17% vs 7.6% · n=106

At Leopardstown 0% vs 7.6% · n=63

Over 2m1f – 2m4f 0% vs 7.6% · n=42

At Fairyhouse 0% vs 7.6% · n=40

With C&D winners 12.8% vs 7.6% · n=203

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,206 96 8% −200.47

Hurdle 81 2 2.5% −64.25

Chase 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 511 57 11.2% −5.18

Good 317 17 5.4% −70.97

Soft 286 16 5.6% −65.00

Good to Soft 86 4 4.7% −57.67

Heavy 73 3 4.1% −55.40

Good to Firm 19 1 5.3% −15.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Dundalk (AW) 507 56 11% −7.18

Curragh 104 7 6.7% +21.00

Gowran Park 82 7 8.5% −43.90

Navan 73 6 8.2% +8.00

Naas 64 4 6.3% −35.97

Leopardstown 63 0 0% −63.00

Galway 49 2 4.1% −4.25

Down Royal 45 1 2.2% −38.00

Fairyhouse 40 0 0% −40.00

Cork 36 2 5.6% −28.75

Roscommon 32 1 3.1% −21.00

Bellewstown 26 3 11.5% −4.00

Limerick 25 0 0% −25.00

Killarney 23 2 8.7% −12.00

Tipperary 21 1 4.8% +80.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 22 1 4.5% −17.50

Class 2 6 0 0% −6.00

Class 4 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 116 29 25% 0.94 −33.55

2nd–3rd fav 195 26 13.3% 0.92 −56.17

4th–6th fav 338 25 7.4% 0.97 −96.50

7th+ in betting 643 18 2.8% 0.94 −83.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Pink Oxalis (IRE) 19 3 7 6 Nov 26

Patrick Street (GB) 15 1 4 7 Oct 26

Bruce Lightning (IRE) 12 1 3 4 Dec 24

Goldrush Kid (IRE) 10 2 3 10 Sep 26

Gobi Star (IRE) 10 2 4 1 Mar 24

Indiana Grey (IRE) 10 1 6 15 Dec 23

Ellabella (IRE) 10 3 5 19 May 23

Sir Les Patterson (GB) 9 2 3 13 Nov 26

Inishfallen (IRE) 9 0 2 7 Aug 26

Ragmans Corner (IRE) 9 2 4 24 May 26

Satono Chevalier (IRE) 9 2 6 6 Feb 26

Independent Expert (IRE) 9 2 3 12 Nov 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 651 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 14

Only 14 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

101697844558117

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardStephen Thorne

15% of all rides
16.3% SR · A/E 1.16

TrainerRWSR£1

Stephen Thorne 190 31 16.3% −25.61

G M Lyons 92 9 9.8% −36.04

Patrick Martin 90 5 5.6% −35.50

Gerard Keane 79 5 6.3% −42.75

Gavin Cromwell 68 3 4.4% −6.00

Andrew McNamara 61 5 8.2% −24.00

Patrick Magee 57 3 5.3% −33.00

Richard John O'Brien 41 4 9.8% +6.13

Luke Comer 34 2 5.9% +54.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2021→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.41m

Prize money

2025

Best season · 29 wins

Jagged Edge (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Vincent O'Brien Ruby Stakes (Listed) Killarney (IRE) · Aug 2026 · Listed

£30,000

Jack The Bachelor (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Rated Race Cork · Jul 2025

£17,700

Invincible Will (IRE) — NorthStandard Handicap Curragh · May 2026

£17,670

Notable horses

Hightimeyouwon (GB) Pink Oxalis (IRE) Ellabella (IRE) Gobi Star (IRE) Goldrush Kid (IRE) Shoot To Kill (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dandy Man (IRE) 8.9% · 5–56

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,991 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 171.

Mehmas (IRE) 6.5% · 2–31

Progeny have won 11.5% of 8,245 runs since 2020 (755 horses).

Footstepsinthesand (GB) 0% · 0–28

Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,819 runs since 2009 (938 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 321.

Bungle Inthejungle (GB) 0% · 0–27

Progeny have won 8.8% of 4,250 runs since 2018 (352 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 2.4% from 123. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 2.4% from 125.

Inns Of Court (IRE) 17.4% · 4–23

Progeny have won 9.3% of 2,261 runs since 2023 (233 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 12.6% from 151.

Dark Angel (IRE) 9.1% · 2–22

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,957 runs since 2011 (1,596 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,292 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,292 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 27 August 2021 to 13 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

13 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Sir Les Patterson (GB)T: Stephen Thorne Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Handicap6f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 11/4F

13 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Crayons In The Sky (GB)T: Stephen Thorne Irish Stallion Farms EBF Race6f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 7/4F

11 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Go Out (FR)T: Daniel James Murphy Celebrate Your Special Occasion At Dundalk Stadium Handicap7f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 100/30F

11 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Marcescence (IRE)T: Gavin Cromwell View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Median Auction Maiden7f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 4/1

11 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Ferreshana (IRE)T: Daniel James Murphy Bet On The Best Night Out At Dundalk Stadium Maiden8f · Standard · 13 ran 10th 50/1

06 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Jolly Roger (IRE)T: Stephen Thorne BAR 1 Betting '2Up Early Payout' Handicap8f · Standard · 8 ran 2nd 11/2

06 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Pink Oxalis (IRE)T: Stephen Thorne Irish Stallion Farms EBF Cooley Fillies Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 11th 33/1

06 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Canta Castela (IRE)T: Ciaran Murphy Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden7f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 200/1

06 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Trovao Dourado (IRE)T: Ciaran Murphy BAR 1 Betting 'Your First For Football' Maiden5f · Standard · 5 ran 5th 100/1

04 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Justiciar (IRE)T: G. M. Lyons Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Maiden7f · Standard · 8 ran 1st 9/4J

01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Ragstoriches (IRE)T: Gerard Keane Velo Coffee At The Curragh Maiden12f · Yielding · 19 ran 11th 300/1

01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Diego El Queso (IRE)T: G. M. Lyons Keadeen Hotel Premier Handicap8f · Yielding To Soft · 21 ran 9th 11/1

01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Givehertilxmas (IRE)T: Gerard Keane Isuzu Ireland Handicap7f · Yielding To Soft · 25 ran 15th 14/1

01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Excellent Believe (GB)T: Stephen Thorne Ryans Cleaning Race7f · Yielding To Soft · 9 ran 7th 6/4F

30 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Alissam (IRE)T: Stephen Thorne Happy Halloween Handicap8f · Standard · 14 ran 7th 8/1

30 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Jenny Spider (IRE)T: G. M. Lyons Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Maiden8f · Standard · 14 ran 7th 50/1

30 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Thunderbear (IRE)T: Stephen Thorne BAR 1 Betting 'Bet 10 Get 50' Handicap6f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 12/1

30 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Monologue (IRE)T: Stephen Thorne Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden5f · Standard · 13 ran 5th 5/1

29 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Earls (IRE)T: Gavin Cromwell Punchestown Premiere Weekend Sat 21 & Sun 22 November Handicap8f · Yielding · 14 ran 12th 22/1

29 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Duquesne Bay (IRE)T: Gavin Cromwell Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden8f · Yielding · 8 ran 4th 28/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 9 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 6 runs (won 1) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 3 runs (won 1) · fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 1) · to 13 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Jack Kearney's strike rate?: Jack Kearney has won 98 of 1,292 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.6% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Jack Kearney do best at?: Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 56 wins from 507 rides (11%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Jack Kearney ride most for?: Stephen Thorne, with 190 rides since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 31 (16.3%).
Is Jack Kearney in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 14 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Jack Kearney's Fair A/E?: 0.94, from 1,291 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.