6:00 Wolverhampton (AW)
This Class 6 nursery handicap over 6f 20y at Wolverhampton on Standard ground brings together a field of thirteen two-year-olds, several of whom have shown just modest ability to date. The KTB Fit Scores are tightly bunched at the top, with Holliesthedollie and Cydney Sweenie both rated 57, followed closely by Last Dandelion on 56 and Maximus Meridius and Stoney Wood on 55. Overall the numbers point to a race where proven course form, the ability to handle a strong pace, and yard records at the track will carry particular weight.
How the race shapes up
A strong pace is anticipated with high confidence, driven by two or more habitual front-runners. Ard As A Rock and Mystic Unicorn both tend to make the running or race prominently, while Stoney Wood, Falah Glory and Time And Effort like to race handily. This setup suggests the leaders could go hard early and the pace may collapse late, posing the key question of which hold-up performers can time their run to best effect from off the speed.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Holliesthedollie KTB Selection57/100
Holliesthedollie is a modest performer who has already won once at this trip from three starts. Her recent form of 748010 includes a clear success at this level but also several poor efforts, and the official rating of 65 looks about right. She is held up, usually producing her effort late, which could prove well suited to the expected strong pace. The trainer records a 10% strike rate at Wolverhampton from 404 runs, in line with the 8% achieved elsewhere, while jockey Harry Davies has a 13% strike rate at the track from 232 rides. As a half-sister to Jojo Rabbit who won ten times from 72 runs, she comes from a family where the dam has produced one winner from five other runners. This is her first run at the course and she has had just one start on standard ground without placing.
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2Cydney Sweenie57/100
Cydney Sweenie is a modest performer who has shown some ability on this track, finishing third here on her only visit. She has been placed once at today's trip from two attempts and is a half-sister to Vince Le Prince who has won six times from 52 runs, while the dam has produced two winners from three other runners. Her recent form of 43854 suggests she remains vulnerable in this company despite the placed effort on standard ground. She typically settles in midfield, which should keep her out of the expected early battle. The trainer has a 16% strike rate at Wolverhampton from 43 runs, and although this is Callum Rodriguez's first ride at the track his overall record here stands at 15% from 281 rides.
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3Last Dandelion56/100
Last Dandelion is a modest performer with a solid recent record that includes a win and two placed efforts from his last four starts. He steps up to 6f for the first time having been placed without winning at the trip once before, and his going form shows him competitive on standard ground from two starts. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he should be well placed if the strong pace materialises as expected. The trainer records a 15% strike rate at Wolverhampton from 935 runs, above the 11% achieved at other tracks, although this is the colt's first run here. Marco Ghiani takes the ride with the pair combining at a 13% strike rate at the venue from 492 rides.
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4Maximus Meridius55/100
Maximus Meridius is a modest performer who has been placed once in four runs at this trip but is yet to win in six starts. First-time headgear is now fitted after a string of ordinary efforts in a form line of 234348. He is held up, usually producing his effort late, which aligns with the shape that could favour those coming from off the pace. Dropping in class, the trainer records a 10% strike rate at Wolverhampton from 886 runs, in line with the yard's overall figure. Rowan Scott is in the saddle with the combination showing a 9% strike rate at the track from 53 runs together, though the colt remains unproven on standard ground.
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5Stoney Wood55/100
Stoney Wood is a modest two-year-old who has shown some ability at this trip, placing once in five starts. His recent form of 085652 suggests he is competitive at this level without looking progressive, though the family background as half-brother to Group 2 winner Azure Blue, who has eight wins from 21 runs, offers some hope he can step up. The dam has produced four winners from five other runners. Usually racing prominently on or close to the lead, he could find himself in the firing line early given the strong pace expected. The trainer has an 18% strike rate at Wolverhampton from 736 runs, above the yard's record elsewhere, while Billy Loughnane boasts a 20% strike rate at the venue from 838 rides and the pair combine at 13% from 30 runs.
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6From Me To You51/100
From Me To You is a modest performer who has shown some ability on this track, finishing third here on his only visit. He drops back to 6f today having failed to win in three previous attempts at the trip and his recent form of 040636 suggests he is vulnerable in this field, though he is held up and should benefit if the pace collapses late.
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7Mubehir47/100
Mubehir is a modest performer who has shown little since a placed effort on debut. He steps up to 6f today after six runs over shorter and has twice failed to land a blow at this trip already, with recent form of 072859. The trainer's 5% strike rate at Wolverhampton is below the yard's overall figure and he remains unproven on standard ground.
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8Ard As A Rock47/100
Ard As A Rock is a modest performer who has shown little in five runs to date and was well held when eighth on his only visit to this track. He steps up from 5f to 6f today having failed to place in two previous attempts at the trip, tends to make the running, and drops in class.
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9Falah Glory44/100
Falah Glory is a modest two-year-old who has shown ordinary form in three runs at this track, finishing no better than fourth. He steps up from 5f to 6f today while wearing first-time headgear and drops in class. Half-brother to Listed winner Fanaar, the yard has a 16% strike rate here from 141 runs.
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10Mistral Madness39/100
Mistral Madness is a limited horse who has shown only modest form in three runs at this trip. Half-sister to Listed winner Panama Red, the yard's 11% strike rate at Wolverhampton is in line with their record elsewhere and he drops in class while remaining unproven on standard ground.
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11West To Rest38/100
West To Rest is a limited performer who has shown just modest ability in four starts. He finished third over this course and distance on his penultimate run but was well held last time when stepped up to 7f. The trainer has a 14% strike rate at Wolverhampton from 848 runs, above the yard's record at other courses.
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12Time And Effort37/100
Time And Effort is a limited performer who has shown bits of ability but remains winless after six runs. He has twice run respectably over this course without placing, has been placed once at today's trip, and steps back up from 5f while tending to race prominently.
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13Mystic Unicorn31/100
Mystic Unicorn has shown only modest form in four starts and looks limited at this level on an official rating of 57. He drops back to 6f having failed to make an impact at that trip on his only previous try, tends to make the running, and drops in class.
KTB verdict
Holliesthedollie is the KTB Selection. She has already shown she can win at this trip and level, her hold-up style looks ideal if the strong pace materialises, and the trainer and jockey both have solid if unspectacular records at Wolverhampton. The main dangers are likely to come from those who can also handle a stiff pace, notably Last Dandelion whose recent win and placed efforts give him solid claims, and Cydney Sweenie who has already shown some ability on this track. Maximus Meridius in first-time headgear and Stoney Wood from his prominent position are others who can feature if the race falls their way.
KTB Selection Holliesthedollie
Early prices
The best price per runner across the bookmakers we track, each as first seen (UK time). Every runner had a price by 1:32am, 23 Oct. Prices move — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Early price | Bookmaker, time |
|---|---|---|
| Holliesthedollie | 16/1 | William Hill, 1:10am |
| Cydney Sweenie | 16/1 | William Hill, 1:10am |
| Last Dandelion | 5/1 | William Hill, 1:10am |
| Maximus Meridius | 12/1 | Bet365, 1:10am |
| Stoney Wood | 7/4 | Bet365, 1:10am |
| From Me To You | 15/2 | Bet365, 1:10am |
| Mubehir | 16/1 | 7Bet, 1:10am |
| Ard As A Rock | 17/2 | Bet365, 1:10am |
| Falah Glory | 12/1 | William Hill, 1:10am |
| Mistral Madness | 14/1 | Bet365, 1:10am |
| West To Rest | 25/1 | William Hill, 1:10am |
| Time And Effort | 14/1 | William Hill, 1:10am |
| Mystic Unicorn | 80/1 | BoyleSports, 1:10am |
This is the narrative read of the 6:00 Wolverhampton (AW). For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Wolverhampton (AW) racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Wolverhampton (AW) results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Wolverhampton (AW) racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horses are likely to set the strong pace?
Ard As A Rock and Mystic Unicorn both tend to make the running or race on the pace, while Stoney Wood, Falah Glory and Time And Effort like to race handily.
How many wins has Holliesthedollie achieved at this trip?
One win from three starts at this trip.
What is the trainer's strike rate at Wolverhampton with Last Dandelion's yard?
15% strike rate at Wolverhampton from 935 runs.
Which runners are wearing first-time headgear?
Maximus Meridius and Falah Glory.
Which horse has the strongest family connection mentioned?
Stoney Wood as half-brother to Group 2 winner Azure Blue who has eight wins from 21 runs.
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