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Trainer profile

Arthur Goulding

135 runners in the lifetime window · 22 individual horses
As at 9 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 310 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2010→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
3–135
Wins / Runs
2.2%
Strike rate
n=135
18 (13%)
Placed
0.46
Fair A/E
n=135 · 0.35 incl. margin
−124.05
£1 level stake
n=135 at SP · −91.9%
£37,323
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, winning with 2% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.46).

Deterministic profile computed from 135 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 9 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 3.3%
The read

The yard also reads well off a 15-30-day break (5.4%, n=37). The market has consistently overbet the yard in Hurdle races: Fair A/E 0.54 across 69 runners (2.9% strike, −60.67 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
3.3%+1.1
n=30 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −27.38
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.2
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.2
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.2
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.2
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
When favourite
33.3%
n=6 · A/E 1.86 · £1 +0.95
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
1%−1.2
n=97 · A/E 0.22 · £1 −93.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−2.2
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 15-30-day break 5.4% vs 2.2% · n=37
With a new jockey booking 0% vs 2.2% · n=74
On Good going 4.4% vs 2.2% · n=45
With claiming riders up 1% vs 2.2% · n=97 · A/E 0.22
In Hurdle races 2.9% vs 2.2% · n=69 · A/E 0.54
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 2.9% vs 2.2% · n=68 · A/E 0.56
This filter uses derived form angles computed for 80.6% of the archive so far (as at 9 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 69 2 2.9% −60.67
Chase 29 1 3.4% −26.38
NH Flat 21 0 0% −21.00
Flat 16 0 0% −16.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 45 2 4.4% −38.38
Soft 36 1 2.8% −31.67
Heavy 20 0 0% −20.00
Good to Firm 17 0 0% −17.00
Good to Soft 14 0 0% −14.00
Standard (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Cork 28 0 0% −28.00
Limerick 17 0 0% −17.00
Punchestown 9 0 0% −9.00
Killarney 8 0 0% −8.00
Gowran Park 7 0 0% −7.00
Tipperary 6 1 16.7% −3.38
Listowel 6 0 0% −6.00
Kilbeggan 5 0 0% −5.00
Thurles 5 1 20% −0.67
Wexford 5 0 0% −5.00
Fairyhouse 4 0 0% −4.00
Leopardstown 4 0 0% −4.00
Clonmel 4 0 0% −4.00
Naas 4 0 0% −4.00
Roscommon 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 6 2 33.3% 1.86 +0.95
2nd–3rd fav 10 1 10% 0.77 −6.00
4th–6th fav 28 0 0% 0.00 −28.00
7th+ in betting 91 0 0% 0.00 −91.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
85.7% completed · 98 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 29 69% 2 1 6 0 0
Hurdle 69 92.8% 1 0 4 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Sox's Girl (IRE)from P P Goulding 22 1 10 20 Oct 13
Is That Marmalade (IRE) 19 0 0 28 Jul 17
The Boys Dont Know (IRE) 17 1 3 12 Jul 13
Abel Mabel (IRE) 12 1 1 2 Oct 25
Charming Blue (FR)from P P Goulding 9 0 2 26 Dec 13
Lilly The Lioness (IRE)then S J Treacy 7 0 0 15 Aug 11
Heartansoul (IRE)from P P Goulding 7 0 1 12 Dec 10
Dixies Girl (IRE) 6 0 0 3 Jan 26
Churchill Rose (IRE)from Charlie Fellowes 6 0 0 8 Aug 25
Come Follow Me (IRE) 6 0 0 21 Sep 13
Floradive (IRE) 3 0 0 5 Jan 14
Inverawe (IRE) 3 0 0 28 Jul 12
All 22 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 22 horses listed, 10 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from P P Goulding (6); 12 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard; 19 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0000000506130
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
L McNiff 12 0 0% −12.00
B J Cooper 12 2 16.7% −5.05
David Splaine 10 0 0% −10.00
Brian Hayes 10 0 0% −10.00
Mark Enright 10 0 0% −10.00
Kevin Sexton 7 0 0% −7.00
Niall Moore 5 1 20% −1.00
Mr C Motherway 4 0 0% −4.00
Mr D M Spillane 4 0 0% −4.00
Mr R W Barron 3 0 0% −3.00
J M Sheridan 3 0 0% −3.00
J B Kane 3 0 0% −3.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2010→
3
Archived wins
£37,323
Prize money
2025
Best season · 1 win
Abel Mabel (IRE) — Wexford Fillies Maiden Hurdle Wexford · Aug 2025
£5,900
Sox's Girl (IRE) — Schooling At Tipperary Beginners Chase Tipperary · Oct 2013
£5,520
The Boys Dont Know (IRE) — Templemore Mares Maiden Hurdle Thurles · Nov 2012
£5,175
Notable horses
Sox's Girl (IRE) The Boys Dont Know (IRE) Abel Mabel (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Dr Massini (IRE) 4.5% · 1–22
Progeny have won 10.6% of 4,942 runs since 2008 (406 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14% from 421.
Flemensfirth (USA) 5.3% · 1–19
Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,292 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).
Marienbard (IRE) 0% · 0–19
Progeny have won 6.7% of 549 runs since 2013 (54 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3% from 100.
Elusive Pimpernel (USA) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 7.6% of 3,155 runs since 2015 (317 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 10.7% from 383.
Charming Groom (FR) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 11.4% of 220 runs since 2008 (47 horses).
Broken Hearted (GB) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 7.5% of 655 runs since 2008 (78 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 9 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 135 · newest first

The latest 50 of 135 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 9 July 2010 to 3 January 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
03 Jan 26 Cork Dixies Girl (IRE)J: Michael Kenneally ITM Irish Stallion Trail 16th - 17th January Maiden Hurdle24f · Yielding To Soft · 7 ran F 40/1
27 Dec 25 Limerick Dixies Girl (IRE)J: Tiernan Power Roche Earl Of Harrington Mares Maiden Hurdle20f · Heavy · 18 ran 10th 80/1
02 Oct 25 Clonmel Abel Mabel (IRE)J: Niall Moore Derrinlaur Mares Handicap Hurdle20f · Yielding · 11 ran PU 50/1
25 Aug 25 Ballinrobe Abel Mabel (IRE)J: Niall Moore Hollymount Nursing Home Handicap Hurdle18.5f · Good · 6 ran 6th 18/1
08 Aug 25 Wexford Churchill Rose (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Irish Injured Jockeys Fund Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1)24f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran PU 28/1
06 Aug 25 Wexford Abel Mabel (IRE)J: Niall Moore Wexford Fillies Maiden Hurdle17f · Good · 13 ran 1st 3/1
24 Jul 25 Leopardstown Churchill Rose (IRE)J: Julian Pietropaolo Turkish Jockey Club Handicap15f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran 7th 33/1
14 Jul 25 Downpatrick Abel Mabel (IRE)J: Niall Moore ITBA Mares Maiden Hurdle18f · Good · 12 ran 4th 11/1
11 Jul 25 Cork Churchill Rose (IRE)J: Peter Smithers Buy Tickets On www.corkracecourse.ie Maiden Hurdle17f · Good · 18 ran 12th 150/1
08 Jul 25 Tramore Abel Mabel (IRE)J: Luke McAteer Tote Tramore Derby Handicap (0-60)12f · Good · 12 ran 8th 11/1
08 Jun 25 Punchestown Churchill Rose (IRE)J: Liam McKenna Lily & Wild Mares Maiden Hurdle21.5f · Good To Yielding · 17 ran 9th 100/1
06 Jun 25 Clonmel Abel Mabel (IRE)J: Niall Moore Bulmers Light Maiden Hurdle17f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 4th 100/1
02 Jun 25 Listowel Churchill Rose (IRE)J: Donagh Meyler Nora Canty Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 18 ran 15th 66/1
06 Dec 24 Dundalk (AW) Churchill Rose (IRE)J: Sam Coen Now Racing Every Wednesday At Dundalk Apprentice Handicap (47-65)12f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 33/1
12 Jun 24 Limerick Abel Mabel (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan racingtv.com/freetrial Handicap (47-70)11.5f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 9th 100/1
12 May 24 Killarney Botanic Ridge (IRE)J: Mike O'Connor Mongey Communications Maiden Hurdle17f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran PU 200/1
10 May 24 Cork Abel Mabel (IRE)J: J M Sheridan Sign Up To Our Newsletter Handicap (47-70)10f · Good · 10 ran 10th 25/1
16 Oct 23 Gowran Park Abel Mabel (IRE)J: J M Sheridan Kilkenny Nursery Handicap8.5f · Heavy · 9 ran 7th 40/1
05 Oct 23 Thurles Abel Mabel (IRE)J: Donagh O'Connor Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden8f · Soft · 8 ran 7th 150/1
24 Sep 23 Curragh Abel Mabel (IRE)J: Alan Persse Irish Ebf Median Sires Series Maiden8f · Yielding To Soft · 19 ran 11th 150/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Arthur Goulding's strike rate?
Arthur Goulding has won 3 of 135 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 2.2% (as at 9 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Arthur Goulding's Fair A/E?
0.46, from 135 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 9 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).