What is Ben Case's strike rate?

Ben Case has won 197 of 2,221 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.9% (as at 23 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Ben Case do best at?

Fakenham by strike rate: 16 wins from 111 runners (14.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Ben Case?

Daryl Jacob, with 326 runners since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 35 (10.7%).

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Ben Case's Fair A/E?

0.92, from 2,218 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Ben Case

2,221 runners in the lifetime window · 188 individual horses

As at 23 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 4 days ago 93% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

197–2,221

Wins / Runs

8.9%

Strike rate

n=2,221

606 (27%)

Placed

0.92

Fair A/E

n=2,218 · 0.80 incl. margin

−608.08

£1 level stake

n=2,221 at SP · −27.4%

£2.12m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

11.2%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 120 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 9% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.92). New recruits from other yards win at 14% first time out (42 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,221 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 23 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Aug–Sep 27.6% when favourite Daryl Jacob: 10.7% from 326 New recruits: 14.3% Claiming riders: 10.2% Sends off the favourite in 6% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Plumpton (25%, n=36) and Fakenham (14.4%, n=111) — all clear of the yard's 8.9% baseline. New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 14.3% (n=42, Fair A/E 1.65), but debutants struggle at 4.5% (n=134, Fair A/E 0.95). Daryl Jacob rides 15% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (10.7%, A/E 0.96). The record reads poorly over 1m – 1m1f — 0% over 35 runners, 8.9pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard on Standard (AW) going: Fair A/E 0.62 across 93 runners (3.2% strike, −20.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 5 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Challenge Cup Handicap Chase at Cheltenham (Mar 2019, £61,897). The stable star of the record: Graceful Legend (GB) — 7 wins from 29 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Aug–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.9% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

8.5%−0.4

n=457 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −25.58

New recruits · first run for the yard

14.3%+5.4

n=42 · A/E 1.65 · £1 +40.04

Debutants · first career start

4.5%−4.4

n=134 · A/E 0.95 · £1 +7.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

5.9%−3.0

n=119 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −36.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

9.1%+0.2

n=44 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −26.59

When favourite

27.6%

n=134 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −24.10

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

10.2%+1.3

n=616 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −30.19

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

6%−2.9

n=84 · A/E 0.85 · £1 +40.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Plumpton 25% vs 8.9% · n=36

Over 1m – 1m1f 0% vs 8.9% · n=35

With Harry Bannister 14.9% vs 8.9% · n=175

With Killian Moore 15.7% vs 8.9% · n=51

At Fakenham 14.4% vs 8.9% · n=111

On Standard (AW) going 3.2% vs 8.9% · n=93

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,185 106 8.9% −372.35

Chase 660 74 11.2% −116.67

NH Flat 227 11 4.8% −48.56

Flat 149 6 4% −70.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 785 69 8.8% −211.23

Good to Soft 568 56 9.9% −54.05

Soft 486 44 9.1% −170.80

Heavy 155 12 7.7% −84.17

Good to Firm 133 13 9.8% −66.83

Standard (AW) 93 3 3.2% −20.00

Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Uttoxeter 169 15 8.9% −69.72

Huntingdon 159 17 10.7% −25.42

Market Rasen 140 9 6.4% −84.25

Warwick 136 14 10.3% +52.13

Worcester 116 9 7.8% −65.77

Southwell 115 9 7.8% −37.38

Fakenham 111 16 14.4% −49.52

Doncaster 96 13 13.5% +16.71

Towcester 86 8 9.3% −32.25

Stratford 81 5 6.2% −21.00

Chepstow 70 6 8.6% −30.00

Cheltenham 63 2 3.2% +13.00

Fontwell 62 8 12.9% −22.36

Hereford 57 8 14% +5.76

Kempton 55 4 7.3% −22.17

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 887 91 10.3% −331.21

Class 5 679 52 7.7% −248.22

Class 3 282 33 11.7% +9.41

Class 6 168 11 6.5% −6.06

Class 2 104 4 3.8% −60.00

Class 1 96 5 5.2% +28.00

Class 7 2 1 50% +3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 165 46 27.9% 1.01 −17.10

2nd–3rd fav 474 70 14.8% 0.87 −105.98

4th–6th fav 778 63 8.1% 0.98 −153.00

7th+ in betting 804 18 2.2% 0.73 −332.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m5f – 3m 685 63 9.2% −240.27

2m1f – 2m4f 637 66 10.4% −103.57

1m5f – 2m 619 46 7.4% −148.10

Over 3m 177 20 11.3% −39.14

1m2f – 1m4f 38 2 5.3% −12.00

1m – 1m1f 35 0 0% −35.00

6f – 7f 24 0 0% −24.00

Under 6f 6 0 0% −6.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 86 4 4.7% −43.50

2009 92 3 3.3% −66.50

2010 90 5 5.6% −20.25

2011 87 7 8% −38.54

2012 103 9 8.7% −14.00

2013 94 11 11.7% +47.29

2014 147 18 12.2% −9.55

2015 198 11 5.6% −140.37

2016 138 16 11.6% −33.31

2017 151 13 8.6% −47.62

2018 150 10 6.7% −73.42

2019 122 16 13.1% +78.11

2020 96 12 12.5% −23.23

2021 94 9 9.6% −23.54

2022 97 10 10.3% −44.46

2023 119 10 8.4% −50.47

2024 134 9 6.7% −77.00

2025 125 13 10.4% −59.17

2026 98 11 11.2% +31.45

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,459 149 10.2% −309.51

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 722 65 9% −154.23

5-7 runners 553 73 13.2% −149.98

11-13 runners 525 27 5.1% −192.88

14-16 runners 264 15 5.7% −130.87

17+ runners 105 4 3.8% +11.00

2-4 runners 52 13 25% +8.88

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

84.7% completed · 1,845 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 660 78.2% 18 26 98 1 1

Hurdle 1,185 88.4% 19 14 99 5 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Phare Isle (IRE) 80 5 22 26 Mar 18

Felton Bellevue (FR) 50 5 19 19 Apr 26

Ginger Fizz (GB) 49 5 15 2 Sep 18

Crookstown (IRE)from Gordon Elliott 40 6 12 26 Mar 18

Midnightreflection (GB) 38 6 11 27 Jan 25

Wisecracker (GB) 38 2 15 5 Jul 21

Gazette Bourgeoise (FR) 37 4 12 6 Mar 26

Fern Hill (IRE) 36 5 14 16 Oct 26

Regally Blonde (GB)from A Oliver 36 3 6 1 Oct 26

Jack Doyen (IRE) 34 5 10 2 Oct 26

Edgefour (IRE) 34 2 14 20 Jan 12

Dorado Dollar (IRE) 33 0 5 17 Jun 23

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 188 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 13 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 11 arrived from another yard in our archive; 49 had their first archived run for this yard.

8 have since run for another yard; 52 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 4

Only 4 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

10897139312117910

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderDaryl Jacob

15% of all rides
10.7% SR · A/E 0.96

RiderRWSR£1

Daryl Jacob 326 35 10.7% −100.13

Kielan Woods 312 29 9.3% −29.69

Max Kendrick 238 26 10.9% +8.53

Jack Quinlan 194 20 10.3% −90.22

Harry Bannister 175 26 14.9% +14.27

Charlie Poste 96 4 4.2% −28.00

Mr Charlie Case 57 6 10.5% −30.80

Ciaran Gethings 52 2 3.8% −36.50

Killian Moore 51 8 15.7% +64.50

Bryan Carver 46 7 15.2% +9.08

Jonathan Burke 36 2 5.6% −25.62

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

208

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.19m

Prize money

2014

Best season · 18 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Croco Bay (IRE) — Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Challenge Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cheltenham · Mar 2019 · Grade 3

£61,897

Deep Trouble (IRE) — Setanta Sports Handicap Hurdle (Grade B) Punchestown · May 2014 · Grade B

£60,000

Cobblers Dream (IRE) — Coral Lanzarote Handicap Hurdle (Listed) (GBB Race) Kempton · Jan 2022 · Listed

£56,950

Notable horses

Graceful Legend (GB) Crookstown (IRE) Midnightreflection (GB) Kings Temptation (GB) Belles Benefit (IRE) Midnight Jazz (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Midnight Legend (GB) 15.2% · 21–138

Progeny have won 14.2% of 8,309 runs since 2008 (494 horses).

Shantou (USA) 10.2% · 11–108

Progeny have won 13.6% of 7,821 runs since 2008 (539 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 20.3% from 158.

Turtle Island (IRE) 6.5% · 7–107

Progeny have won 7.5% of 3,325 runs since 2008 (309 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 10.7% from 215.

Gamut (IRE) 5.7% · 3–53

Progeny have won 8.7% of 1,838 runs since 2008 (171 horses).

King's Theatre (IRE) 15.1% · 8–53

Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.

Kap Rock (FR) 10% · 5–50

Progeny have won 9.7% of 557 runs since 2008 (81 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 23 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,410 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,410 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 January 2005 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

19 Oct 26 Plumpton Nickelforce (IRE)J: Jack Quinlan Nick And Valda Embiricos Memorial Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 20f · Good · 5 ran 4th 9/2

17 Oct 26 Market Rasen Helios Allen (FR)J: Jack Quinlan Pertemps Network Novices' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 19f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 9/2

16 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Fern Hill (IRE)J: Jack Quinlan Insurance Connections Best Bet Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 24f · Good · 8 ran 7th 3/1J

15 Oct 26 Fontwell Painted Wolf (IRE)J: Ciaran Gethings tigerbet.co.uk Lucky Odds Boost Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 21.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 4th 9/1

02 Oct 26 Hexham Jack Doyen (IRE)J: Jack Quinlan Davey Liddle Belated Birthday Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Monet's Garden Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 9/2

01 Oct 26 Nottingham Trafalger (GB)J: Benoit de la Sayette Construction Day 14th Oct Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good · 15 ran 12th 22/1

01 Oct 26 Nottingham Regally Blonde (GB)J: Jonny Peate Watch Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 6 · 18f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 9/1

01 Oct 26 Southwell Helios Allen (FR)J: Harry Bannister Weatherbys Racing Bank Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 7/2

26 Sep 26 Market Rasen Cosmic Spirit (GB)J: Mr Joseph Stevenson £10 County Racedays Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 18.5f · Good · 11 ran 10th 150/1

26 Sep 26 Market Rasen Nickelforce (IRE)J: Harry Bannister Summer Plate Ladies Day 2027 On Sale Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 21.5f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 13/8F

22 Sep 26 Warwick Belles Benefit (IRE)J: Harry Bannister Abi And Brad Divorce Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 26f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 1st 3/1

12 Sep 26 Bath Trafalger (GB)J: Jack Mitchell Andersons Drainage Serving The South West Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5.5f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 9/1

10 Sep 26 Worcester Cosmic Spirit (GB)J: Mr Joseph Stevenson CopyBet BOG Now For Doncaster Tomorrow Handicap Hurdle Race (Div I)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 10 ran 9th 150/1

05 Sep 26 Stratford Jack Doyen (IRE)J: J M Quinlan Envesca Safety Champions Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 22.5f · Good · 10 ran 5th 11/1

01 Sep 26 Ripon Regally Blonde (GB)J: Jack Nicholls Wakeman Stayers Handicap StakesClass 6 · 16f · Soft · 6 ran 4th 4/1

31 Aug 26 Cartmel Belles Benefit (IRE)J: Harry Bannister EWGA Handicap Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 2 · 25.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 5th 4/1

28 Aug 26 Fontwell Helios Allen (FR)J: Harry Bannister Back A Winner - Birchwood Kia Chichester Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21.5f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 11/2

25 Aug 26 Stratford Jack Doyen (IRE)J: J M Quinlan Thank You To Our Hardworking Groundstaff Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Good To Firm · 8 ran UR 9/1

24 Aug 26 Windsor Trafalger (GB)J: Benoit de la Sayette Windsor Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 5th 8/1

23 Aug 26 Worcester Romany Brown (IRE)J: Ciaran Gethings Neu-Servo Best Repairs Hands Down Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 20f · Good · 8 ran 5th 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ben Case's strike rate?: Ben Case has won 197 of 2,221 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.9% (as at 23 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ben Case do best at?: Fakenham by strike rate: 16 wins from 111 runners (14.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Ben Case?: Daryl Jacob, with 326 runners since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 35 (10.7%).
Is Ben Case in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Ben Case's Fair A/E?: 0.92, from 2,218 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.