What is Ben Pauling's strike rate?

Ben Pauling has won 594 of 3,907 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 15.2% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Ben Pauling do best at?

Ludlow by strike rate: 22 wins from 116 runners (19%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Ben Pauling?

Ben Jones, with 724 runners since 2008 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 143 (19.8%).

Is Ben Pauling in form?

In the last 14 days: 36 runners, 3 winners, a strike rate of 8.3%. That is below the baseline of 15.2% since 2008.

What is Ben Pauling's Fair A/E?

1.04, from 3,900 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Ben Pauling

3,907 runners in the lifetime window · 470 individual horses

As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 4.7% of 506 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 4 Nov 2026.

Won yesterday Last runner yesterday 99% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

594–3,907

Wins / Runs

15.2%

Strike rate

n=3,907

1,332 (34%)

Placed

1.04

Fair A/E

n=3,900 · 0.89 incl. margin

−453.50

£1 level stake

n=3,907 at SP · −11.6%

£7.71m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

17%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 210 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 15% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.04). The yard is quiet just now — 3 winners in the last fortnight, below its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 3,907 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 4 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Nov–Dec 38.2% when favourite Ben Jones: 19.8% from 724 New recruits: 15.3% Claiming riders: 16.1% Sends off the favourite in 16% of races

The read

It is weakest at Cheltenham (5.8% over 243 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a poor signal at 9.8% (n=133, Fair A/E 0.79). In Group and Graded company the record are the standout value angle: 14.1% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.43 and +7.87 to a £1 stake over 270 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Right now the yard is in a quiet spell: 3 from 36 runners in the last 14 days (8.3%, 6.9pts below the 15.2% baseline). Ben Jones rides 19% of the entries and edges the yard's average (19.8% vs 15.2%, A/E 1.04) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (34.9%, n=43). The record reads poorly in Flat races — 0% over 49 runners, 15.2pts below the baseline. 38 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Ladbrokes King George VI Chase at Kempton (Dec 2025, £142,375). The stable star of the record: Northern Bound (IRE) — 11 wins from 46 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Nov–Dec.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 15.2% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

13.8%−1.4

n=1,047 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −131.28

New recruits · first run for the yard

15.3%+0.1

n=144 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −25.10

Debutants · first career start

15.2%+0.0

n=329 · A/E 0.99 · £1 +5.06

First-time headgear · true-first definition

12.6%−2.6

n=230 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −25.24

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

9.8%−5.4

n=133 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −42.67

When favourite

38.2%

n=607 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −38.69

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

16.1%+0.9

n=909 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −107.42

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

14.1%−1.1

n=270 · A/E 1.43 · £1 +7.87

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 15.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 0-7-day break 34.9% vs 15.2% · n=43

In Flat races 0% vs 15.2% · n=49

On last-time-out winners 23.7% vs 15.2% · n=590

At Chepstow 2.8% vs 15.2% · n=71

At Cheltenham 5.8% vs 15.2% · n=243

With C&D winners 24.5% vs 15.2% · n=229

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 2,313 312 13.5% −415.32

Chase 1,121 220 19.6% +24.85

NH Flat 424 62 14.6% −14.03

Flat 49 0 0% −49.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 1,476 241 16.3% −220.30

Good to Soft 1,105 152 13.8% −144.98

Soft 977 156 16% −54.10

Heavy 233 37 15.9% +29.13

Good to Firm 83 7 8.4% −59.25

Standard (AW) 33 1 3% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Cheltenham 243 14 5.8% −103.75

Warwick 239 37 15.5% −21.57

Huntingdon 236 43 18.2% +9.19

Southwell 207 38 18.4% −9.12

Newbury 199 28 14.1% −58.61

Worcester 198 37 18.7% +61.93

Doncaster 197 31 15.7% +0.13

Uttoxeter 188 23 12.2% −77.68

Fontwell 158 28 17.7% −41.97

Kempton 150 27 18% +25.23

Market Rasen 136 22 16.2% −53.55

Ascot 123 21 17.1% +50.12

Sandown 117 13 11.1% −49.30

Ludlow 116 22 19% −10.06

Aintree 105 9 8.6% −31.12

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 1,674 271 16.2% −156.22

Class 5 836 124 14.8% −143.60

Class 3 683 114 16.7% −36.49

Class 1 353 44 12.5% −11.63

Class 2 276 25 9.1% −131.76

Class 6 79 16 20.3% +32.20

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 706 253 35.8% 1.07 −56.31

2nd–3rd fav 1,170 212 18.1% 1.00 −170.69

4th–6th fav 1,190 90 7.6% 0.93 −351.00

7th+ in betting 841 39 4.6% 1.32 +124.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

83% completed · 3,434 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 1,121 77% 46 30 181 1 0

Hurdle 2,313 85.9% 48 23 249 2 5

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Raven's Tower (USA)from Mark Johnston 59 6 19 18 Oct 21

Northern Bound (IRE)then Myles Osborne 46 11 18 1 Oct 25

Whatsupwithyou (IRE) 40 5 18 2 May 26

Hardy Boy (FR) 36 4 15 9 May 25

Le Breuil (FR) 35 8 14 2 Dec 22

Chess Player (IRE) 33 4 12 2 Jul 24

Fine Casting (IRE) 32 5 16 22 May 26

Anightinlambourn (IRE) 31 5 13 1 Aug 23

Samuel Spade (GER)from David O'Meara 29 6 10 1 Nov 26

Nestor Park (FR) 29 4 13 26 Jan 24

The Macon Lugnatic (GB)then Mrs K B Mactaggart 29 4 8 22 May 23

Shanroe Tic Tec (IRE)from Jennifer Mason · then Grace Harris 29 3 9 31 Oct 21

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 470 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 15 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 16 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Oliver Sherwood (2); 44 had their first archived run for this yard.

13 have since run for another yard; 47 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Quiet spell

3 from 36 8.3% · −6.9pts vs baseline

Last 14 days8.3%

Lifetime base15.2%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

16171491320152316121717

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderBen Jones

19% of all rides
19.8% SR · A/E 1.04

RiderRWSR£1

Ben Jones 724 143 19.8% −68.13

Kielan Woods 563 91 16.2% −57.60

David Bass 402 52 12.9% +21.34

Luca Morgan 400 68 17% −21.69

Nico de Boinville 370 64 17.3% +69.48

Daryl Jacob 304 41 13.5% −30.17

Beau Morgan 159 23 14.5% −29.46

Callum Pritchard 144 22 15.3% −51.53

Tom Bellamy 64 5 7.8% −20.00

Kevin Brogan 59 7 11.9% −32.24

Mr Alex Ferguson 44 5 11.4% −31.67

Elliott England 41 7 17.1% +8.37

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→

594

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£7.71m

Prize money

2025

Best season · 85 wins

The Jukebox Man (IRE) — Ladbrokes King George VI Chase (Grade 1) (GBB Race) Kempton · Dec 2025 · Grade 1

£142,375

Twig (GB) — William Hill Half A Mill Becher Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) (National Course) Aintree · Dec 2025 · Class 1

£84,195

Le Breuil (FR) — National Hunt Challenge Cup Amateur Riders' Novices' Chase (Grade 2) Cheltenham · Mar 2019 · Grade 2

£75,491

Notable horses

Northern Bound (IRE) Le Breuil (FR) Twig (GB) Your Darling (IRE) Henry's Friend (IRE) The Jukebox Man (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Stowaway (GB) 7.8% · 10–128

Progeny have won 11.3% of 7,190 runs since 2008 (561 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.1% from 124.

Califet (GB) 12.5% · 15–120

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,871 runs since 2014 (786 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.

Shirocco (GER) 19.7% · 23–117

Progeny have won 11.2% of 9,182 runs since 2010 (921 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.

Shantou (USA) 16.1% · 18–112

Progeny have won 13.6% of 7,830 runs since 2008 (539 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 20.3% from 158.

Court Cave (IRE) 20% · 21–105

Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,953 runs since 2008 (553 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 937.

Flemensfirth (USA) 16.3% · 17–104

Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,287 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,907 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,907 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 22 September 2013 to 3 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

03 Nov 26 Lingfield Vivre Le Reve (GB)J: Ben Jones Follow @attheraces On Instagram Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 8 ran 5th 7/2J

03 Nov 26 Lingfield The Perfect Poet (GB)J: Ben Jones John Marshall 80th Birthday Celebration Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 11 ran 1st 4/5F

03 Nov 26 Warwick Old Clayesmorian (GB)J: Kielan Woods Alder Demain & Akers Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19f · Good · 6 ran UR 7/1

02 Nov 26 Southwell Ruling Planet (IRE)J: Callum Pritchard Winter Ladies Night Saturday 27th November 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 14 ran 6th 6/1

02 Nov 26 Southwell Rices Pool (IRE)J: Ben Jones Winter Ladies Night Saturday 27th November 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 14 ran 2nd 1/1F

02 Nov 26 Southwell Somniare (IRE)J: Ben Jones Southwell Racecourse Conference And Events Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 2 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 12 ran 6th 8/1

01 Nov 26 Huntingdon Jimbo Sport (FR)J: Callum Pritchard CopyBet Pay First Past The Post Macer Gifford Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 8 ran 8th 11/4F

01 Nov 26 Huntingdon Samuel Spade (GER)J: Ben Jones CopyBet Proudly Backs UK Horse Racing Novices' Limited Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 23.5f · Good · 4 ran 2nd 15/8

01 Nov 26 Huntingdon North Gale (IRE)J: Ben Jones CopyBet For Football Profit Boosts Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 3/1

01 Nov 26 Worcester Onewaywest (IRE)J: Elliott England Copybet Support Safer Gambling Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 20f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 1st 12/1

31 Oct 26 Ascot Messerschmitt (IRE)J: Kielan Woods Lavazza Handicap Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 2 · 15.5f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 9th 10/1

31 Oct 26 Wetherby Handstands (IRE)J: Ben Jones Bet365 Charlie Hall Steeple Chase (Grade 2) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 24f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 9/2

31 Oct 26 Ascot Henry's Friend (IRE)J: Kielan Woods Sodexo Live! Regal Encore Handicap Steeple Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 24f · Good · 10 ran 7th 7/1

31 Oct 26 Ascot Your Darling (IRE)J: Callum Pritchard Sodexo Live! Regal Encore Handicap Steeple Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 24f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 16/1

31 Oct 26 Ascot Vanderpoel (IRE)J: Callum Pritchard Sodexo Live! Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 2 · 17f · Good · 11 ran 1st 4/1J

30 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Moves Like Mason (IRE)J: Ben Jones Quinnbet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 13/2

30 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Magika Bella (FR)J: Ben Jones Support The Royal British Legion Poppy Appeal Mares' Maiden Hurdle Race (Herring Queen Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 13 ran 4th 14/1

29 Oct 26 Ffos Las Leader In The Park (IRE)J: Ben Jones Dai Walters Trophy Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 19.5f · Good · 6 ran 4th 4/1

29 Oct 26 Stratford Dernier Set (FR)J: Kielan Woods EBF And Charlie Longsdon Racing 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle Race (Qualifier) (Div II) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 4th 28/1

29 Oct 26 Stratford Smile John Boy (IRE)J: Kielan Woods EBF And Charlie Longsdon Racing 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle Race (Qualifier) (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 3rd 2/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 12 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 9 runs (won 1) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 4 runs (won 1) · fastest on KTB Speed in 4 runs (won 1) · to 1 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Ben Pauling's strike rate?: Ben Pauling has won 594 of 3,907 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 15.2% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ben Pauling do best at?: Ludlow by strike rate: 22 wins from 116 runners (19%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Ben Pauling?: Ben Jones, with 724 runners since 2008 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 143 (19.8%).
Is Ben Pauling in form?: In the last 14 days: 36 runners, 3 winners, a strike rate of 8.3%. That is below the baseline of 15.2% since 2008.
What is Ben Pauling's Fair A/E?: 1.04, from 3,900 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.