What is Bob Buckler's strike rate?

Bob Buckler has won 97 of 1,131 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.6% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Bob Buckler do best at?

Towcester by strike rate: 7 wins from 38 runners (18.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Bob Buckler?

Nathan Sweeney, with 160 runners since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 11 (6.9%).

What is Bob Buckler's Fair A/E?

1.04, from 1,131 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Bob Buckler

1,131 runners in the lifetime window · 103 individual horses

As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Apr 2022 100% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

97–1,131

Wins / Runs

8.6%

Strike rate

n=1,131

278 (25%)

Placed

1.04

Fair A/E

n=1,131 · 0.90 incl. margin

−310.31

£1 level stake

n=1,131 at SP · −27.4%

£1.34m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 60 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.04). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 16% (32 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,131 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 4 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Apr–May 37.3% when favourite Nathan Sweeney: 6.9% from 160 Headgear returns: 15.6% Claiming riders: 9.5% Group/Graded: 12.5% Sends off the favourite in 5% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Towcester (18.4%, n=38) and Ffos Las (16.7%, n=30) — all clear of the yard's 8.6% baseline. It is weakest at Exeter (3.7% over 191 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a positive signal at 15.6% (n=32, Fair A/E 1.66), but debutants struggle at 3.7% (n=54, Fair A/E 0.89). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 4.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.83 and −132.25 to a £1 stake over 228 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Nathan Sweeney rides 14% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (6.9%, A/E 0.84). The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (24.3%, n=37). The record reads poorly in Class 6 — 2.8% over 72 runners, 5.8pts below the baseline. 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Powers Whiskey Irish Grand National Chase at Fairyhouse (Apr 2009, £141,000). The stable star of the record: The Sawyer (BEL) — 7 wins from 59 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Apr–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.6% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

4.8%−3.8

n=228 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −132.25

New recruits · first run for the yard

4%−4.6

n=25 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −22.62

Debutants · first career start

3.7%−4.9

n=54 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −34.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

10.7%+2.1

n=28 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −6.75

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

15.6%+7.0

n=32 · A/E 1.66 · £1 +7.38

When favourite

37.3%

n=59 · A/E 1.33 · £1 +7.32

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

9.5%+0.9

n=506 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −75.60

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

12.5%+3.9

n=32 · A/E 2.90 · £1 +58.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 0-7-day break 24.3% vs 8.6% · n=37

On last-time-out winners 20% vs 8.6% · n=95

At Towcester 18.4% vs 8.6% · n=38

At Ffos Las 16.7% vs 8.6% · n=30

At Exeter 3.7% vs 8.6% · n=191

In Class 6 2.8% vs 8.6% · n=72

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Chase 606 67 11.1% −82.31

Hurdle 394 23 5.8% −147.25

NH Flat 131 7 5.3% −80.75

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 342 29 8.5% −60.34

Soft 272 24 8.8% −98.41

Good to Soft 267 20 7.5% −63.25

Heavy 121 13 10.7% −34.77

Good to Firm 115 10 8.7% −41.92

Firm 7 1 14.3% −4.62

Standard (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Exeter 191 7 3.7% −131.75

Taunton 139 15 10.8% −48.62

Wincanton 120 11 9.2% −11.04

Newton Abbot 76 5 6.6% −52.17

Chepstow 72 4 5.6% −36.08

Fontwell 60 6 10% −12.67

Cheltenham 60 3 5% −9.50

Newbury 46 3 6.5% −18.00

Hereford 40 3 7.5% −13.17

Towcester 38 7 18.4% +32.25

Sandown 34 2 5.9% −24.50

Ascot 33 3 9.1% +15.00

Ffos Las 30 5 16.7% +9.98

Worcester 29 4 13.8% −13.17

Plumpton 23 5 21.7% +29.75

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 425 43 10.1% −103.20

Class 3 239 21 8.8% −33.12

Class 5 238 21 8.8% −117.49

Class 2 93 4 4.3% −46.00

Class 6 72 2 2.8% −53.00

Class 1 56 6 10.7% +50.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 75 25 33.3% 1.28 +0.95

2nd–3rd fav 201 31 15.4% 1.00 −20.76

4th–6th fav 349 29 8.3% 1.06 −85.50

7th+ in betting 506 12 2.4% 0.80 −205.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

79.8% completed · 1,000 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 606 79.5% 18 25 78 0 3

Hurdle 394 80.2% 10 9 58 0 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Ballyegan (IRE) 58 7 18 20 Feb 18

Double Dizzy (GB)then Miss Chloe Newman 50 4 14 16 Apr 13

The Sawyer (BEL) 45 5 12 24 Feb 13

Cullahill (IRE) 44 6 18 20 Nov 12

Regal Flow (GB)from Caroline Keevil 36 4 11 3 Apr 21

Ethiopia (GB) 35 7 9 2 Sep 12

Somerset Lias (IRE) 32 1 12 5 Apr 17

Tinker Time (IRE)then Alex Hales 31 4 8 28 Jun 17

Mister Matt (IRE)from C A Murphy · then Tom Symonds 31 6 12 26 Oct 13

The Happy Warrior (GB)then C Price 30 5 11 28 May 15

River Indus (GB) 29 3 13 7 Apr 12

I Hear Thunder (IRE)then Nick Mitchell 26 2 8 11 Mar 10

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 103 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 13 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Paul Nicholls (2); 47 had their first archived run for this yard.

18 have since run for another yard; 42 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

87911127212105511

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderNathan Sweeney

14% of all rides
6.9% SR · A/E 0.84

RiderRWSR£1

Nathan Sweeney 160 11 6.9% −74.87

Andrew Glassonbury 153 19 12.4% −7.54

Sean Houlihan 135 13 9.6% −43.00

Liam Heard 120 11 9.2% −20.08

Daryl Jacob 97 5 5.2% −48.00

Harry Skelton 94 10 10.6% +28.08

William Kennedy 66 5 7.6% −5.25

James Best 30 2 6.7% −4.67

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

130

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.70m

Prize money

2011

Best season · 17 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Niche Market (IRE) — Powers Whiskey Irish Grand National Chase (Extended Handicap) (Grade A) Fairyhouse · Apr 2009 · Grade A

£141,000

Regal Flow (GB) — Betfred Midlands Grand National (Listed Handicap Chase) Uttoxeter · Mar 2018 · Listed

£70,338

The Sawyer (BEL) — Victorchandler.com Handicap Chase Ascot · Jan 2010 · Class 2

£43,834

Notable horses

The Sawyer (BEL) Ballyegan (IRE) He's The Gaffer (IRE) Ethiopia (GB) Cullahill (IRE) I Hear Thunder (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Fleetwood (IRE) 7.9% · 6–76

Progeny have won 10% of 617 runs since 2008 (72 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 14.5% from 159. Weakest on Good going: 6.7% from 164. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.3% from 159.

Alflora (IRE) 15.6% · 10–64

Progeny have won 9.8% of 5,312 runs since 2008 (535 horses).

Saddlers' Hall (IRE) 10.9% · 7–64

Progeny have won 7.7% of 4,861 runs since 2008 (460 horses).

Yeats (IRE) 8.2% · 5–61

Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,836 runs since 2013 (707 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 204. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.2% from 820.

Double Trigger (IRE) 8% · 4–50

Progeny have won 8.9% of 1,467 runs since 2008 (154 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 16.4% from 195.

Good Thyne (USA) 13.6% · 6–44

Progeny have won 5.6% of 503 runs since 2008 (69 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,602 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,602 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 14 April 2022.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

14 Apr 22 Exeter Mizz Moondance (GB)J: James Davies Henrys Bar Mount Pleasant Exeter Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23f · Good · 18 ran PU 50/1

07 Apr 22 Ffos Las Flowing Cadenza (GB)J: Sean Houlihan Ship Aground - Dinas Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 22f · Good · 7 ran 7th 11/1

21 Mar 22 Wincanton Mizz Moondance (GB)J: Jack Martin Racing TV On Sky 426 Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)Class 5 · 21.5f · Good · 12 ran PU 40/1

10 Mar 22 Wincanton Flowing Cadenza (GB)J: Jack Martin tote Pool School Now On YouTube Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 24.5f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 6th 15/2

19 Feb 22 Wincanton Flowing Cadenza (GB)J: Jack Martin Matchbook Betting Exchange Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 21.5f · Soft · 18 ran 1st 22/1

01 Feb 22 Ffos Las Mizz Moondance (GB)J: Sean Houlihan Dunraven Group Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 8th 66/1

17 Jan 22 Fakenham Flowing Cadenza (GB)J: Sean Houlihan 'Off The Fence' On youtube.com/attheraces Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Good To Soft · 6 ran PU 6/1

08 Jan 22 Wincanton Barbarian (GB)J: Sean Houlihan John Romans Park Homes Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 25f · Soft · 8 ran PU 16/1

04 Jan 22 Hereford Mizz Moondance (GB)J: Sean Houlihan Sky Sports Racing Virgin 535 Mares' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 21.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 6th 125/1

01 Jan 22 Exeter Flowing Cadenza (GB)J: Sean Houlihan Racing Tv Profits Returned To Racing Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 24f · Heavy · 9 ran PU 15/2

16 Dec 21 Exeter Flowing Cadenza (GB)J: Sean Houlihan Join Racing Tv Now Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 19f · Soft · 13 ran 2nd 18/1

16 Dec 21 Exeter Mizz Moondance (GB)J: Sean Houlihan Exeter Racecourse Believes RacingIsEveryonesSport Mares' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 18.5f · Soft · 13 ran 7th 150/1

03 Dec 21 Exeter Flowing Cadenza (GB)J: James Best betting.bet Novices' Chase (GBB Race)Class 2 · 19f · Good To Soft · 6 ran PU 200/1

03 Dec 21 Exeter Barbarian (GB)J: James Best betting.bet Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 21.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran PU 80/1

03 Dec 21 Exeter Mizz Moondance (GB)J: James Best Martin Jones Decorative Specialists EBF 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 18 ran 13th 200/1

19 Nov 21 Chepstow Cushuish (GB)J: Sean Houlihan Viasat Mares' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran PU 14/1

10 Nov 21 Exeter Barbarian (GB)J: Sean Houlihan racingtv.com/freemonth Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 8th 200/1

03 Nov 21 Chepstow Cushuish (GB)J: Sean Houlihan Aspen Waite In Wales Trusted Advisors Conditional Jockeys' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran PU 18/1

12 May 21 Worcester Barbarian (GB)J: James Best Sky Sports Racing HD Virgin 535 Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 23f · Good · 9 ran 8th 66/1

12 May 21 Worcester Cushuish (GB)J: Harry Skelton Free Tips Daily On attheraces.com Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 23f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 9/4F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Bob Buckler's strike rate?: Bob Buckler has won 97 of 1,131 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.6% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Bob Buckler do best at?: Towcester by strike rate: 7 wins from 38 runners (18.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Bob Buckler?: Nathan Sweeney, with 160 runners since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 11 (6.9%).
What is Bob Buckler's Fair A/E?: 1.04, from 1,131 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.