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Trainer profile

Charlie Keegan

119 runners in the lifetime window · 31 individual horses
As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 20 days ago 97% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2010→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
1–119
Wins / Runs
0.8%
Strike rate
n=119
3 (3%)
Placed
0.67
Fair A/E
n=119 · 0.52 incl. margin
−98.00
£1 level stake
n=119 at SP · −82.4%
£11,350
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 1% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.67).

Deterministic profile computed from 119 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 14 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 1%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 0.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−0.8
n=40 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −40.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−0.8
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−0.8
n=24 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −24.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−0.8
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−0.8
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
1%+0.2
n=105 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −84.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 0.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 1m5f – 2m 1.5% vs 0.8% · n=67 · A/E 1.19
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 86 1 1.2% −65.00
NH Flat 28 0 0% −28.00
Flat 3 0 0% −3.00
Chase 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 48 1 2.1% −27.00
Soft 35 0 0% −35.00
Heavy 19 0 0% −19.00
Good to Soft 17 0 0% −17.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Thurles 13 0 0% −13.00
Punchestown 12 0 0% −12.00
Ballinrobe 11 0 0% −11.00
Cork 11 0 0% −11.00
Naas 8 0 0% −8.00
Wexford 8 0 0% −8.00
Roscommon 8 1 12.5% +13.00
Limerick 8 0 0% −8.00
Fairyhouse 8 0 0% −8.00
Tipperary 7 0 0% −7.00
Gowran Park 6 0 0% −6.00
Galway 4 0 0% −4.00
Listowel 3 0 0% −3.00
Navan 3 0 0% −3.00
Clonmel 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
4th–6th fav 6 0 0% 0.00 −6.00
7th+ in betting 113 1 0.9% 0.78 −92.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
68.2% completed · 88 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 2 0% 0 0 2 0 0
Hurdle 86 69.8% 2 1 23 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Mama Tried (IRE) 16 1 1 27 Sep 21
Teagarden Jazz (GB)from Gordon Elliott 11 0 2 11 Oct 26
Autumn Philtre (IRE)then Paddy Butler 8 0 0 3 Jun 24
Bader (GB)from Richard Hannon 8 0 0 24 Sep 21
Way Down We Go (IRE) 7 0 0 4 Aug 25
Free A Minute (IRE) 5 0 0 13 Oct 26
Bradley's Row (IRE) 5 0 0 30 Oct 25
Hurricane Joey (IRE)from David Harry Kelly 5 0 0 27 Oct 24
Jay Jay Zee (IRE)from Gordon Elliott 4 0 0 25 Oct 26
Master Of None (IRE) 4 0 0 5 Dec 19
No Show Jones (IRE) 4 0 0 29 Nov 18
Doorstep (IRE) 4 0 0 15 Mar 15
All 31 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 31 horses listed, 7 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Gordon Elliott (2); 24 had their first archived run for this yard.

1 has since run for another yard; 30 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0000013000000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Aidan Kelly 13 0 0% −13.00
Brian Barry 6 0 0% −6.00
Mr D Crean 6 0 0% −6.00
Patrick Corbett 6 0 0% −6.00
Shane Fitzgerald 5 0 0% −5.00
Conor Smithers 5 0 0% −5.00
Philip Donovan 5 0 0% −5.00
Shane Mulcahy 4 1 25% +17.00
Ryan Treacy 4 0 0% −4.00
Niall Prendergast 3 0 0% −3.00
Michael Kenneally 3 0 0% −3.00
Cian Quirke 3 0 0% −3.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2010→
1
Archived wins
£11,350
Prize money
2021
Best season · 1 win
Mama Tried (IRE) — Roscommon Racecourse Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 1) Roscommon · Jun 2021
£5,900
Notable horses
Mama Tried (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Definite Article (GB) 4% · 1–25
Progeny have won 10.5% of 5,617 runs since 2008 (527 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 5.1% from 138. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.3% from 211.
Golden Horn (GB) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 13.8% of 3,766 runs since 2019 (348 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 9.1% from 164. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.2% from 233.
Elusive City (USA) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 9.7% of 8,431 runs since 2008 (635 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.4% from 1,123.
Gleneagles (IRE) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 11.4% of 4,582 runs since 2019 (447 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 17.2% from 285.
Kalanisi (IRE) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 10.5% of 6,753 runs since 2008 (648 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.1% from 355.
Where Or When (IRE) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 9.2% of 1,578 runs since 2008 (124 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.1% from 217. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 4.6% from 151.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 119 · newest first

The latest 50 of 119 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 28 February 2010 to 25 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
25 Oct 26 Wexford (IRE) Jay Jay Zee (IRE)J: Kevin Healy Download The Tote App Handicap Hurdle17f · Soft · 13 ran 8th 28/1
13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Free A Minute (IRE)J: Conor Smithers William Hill Challenge Series Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 13 ran 7th 200/1
11 Oct 26 Cork (IRE) Teagarden Jazz (GB)J: Eoghan Finegan Kendellen Construction Handicap Hurdle18.5f · Good · 14 ran 2nd 16/1
06 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Jay Jay Zee (IRE)J: Conor Smithers SIS Supporting Irish Racing Handicap Hurdle16.5f · Yielding To Soft · 11 ran 10th 100/1
05 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Teagarden Jazz (GB)J: Michael Kenneally Racing Again October 10th Mares Handicap Hurdle16f · Good · 16 ran 7th 12/1
07 Sep 26 Galway (IRE) Jay Jay Zee (IRE)J: Conor Smithers Anglo Printers Handicap Hurdle16.5f · Yielding · 20 ran 20th 150/1
28 Aug 26 Wexford (IRE) Teagarden Jazz (GB)J: Danny Gilligan Visitwexford.ie Handicap Hurdle17f · Good · 12 ran 6th 12/1
24 Aug 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Free A Minute (IRE)J: Conor Smithers Paddy Smyth Memorial Mares Maiden Hurdle22.5f · Good · 12 ran 7th 250/1
24 Aug 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Elusive Truce (IRE)J: Conor Smithers Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle18.5f · Good · 15 ran 12th 150/1
07 Aug 26 Wexford (IRE) Teagarden Jazz (GB)J: Michael Kenneally Treo Eile Mares Handicap Hurdle17f · Good · 14 ran 3rd 50/1
03 Aug 26 Cork (IRE) Free A Minute (IRE)J: Mr J P Sampson Curragh To Curragh Charity Cycle On Saturday August 29th Flat Race18f · Good · 17 ran 13th 200/1
07 Jun 26 Punchestown Free A Minute (IRE)J: Ethan O'Sullivan Lily & Wild Mares Maiden Hurdle21.5f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 12th 200/1
16 May 26 Wexford Teagarden Jazz (GB)J: Michael Kenneally Slaney River Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2)17f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 11th 66/1
16 Apr 26 Limerick Jay Jay Zee (IRE)J: Brian Barry D & J Glazing Handicap Hurdle21.5f · Soft · 8 ran F 100/1
06 Apr 26 Cork Free A Minute (IRE)J: Mr J C Barry Cork & Waterford Mares Point-To-Point Flat Race16f · Yielding · 8 ran 7th 50/1
29 Jan 26 Thurles Teagarden Jazz (GB)J: Philip Donovan Killinan Handicap Hurdle (0-100)20f · Heavy · 16 ran PU 80/1
30 Oct 25 Thurles Bradley's Row (IRE)J: Mr B Barry Irish Stallion Farms EBF Auction Flat Race15.5f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 9th 125/1
16 Oct 25 Thurles Bradley's Row (IRE)J: Mr B Barry Munster Flat Race16f · Good To Yielding · 5 ran 5th 25/1
05 Aug 25 Roscommon Bradley's Row (IRE)J: Mr B Barry Brian Keenan On-Course Bookmaker Flat Race15.5f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 7th 125/1
04 Aug 25 Cork Way Down We Go (IRE)J: Patrick M O'Brien Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle18.5f · Good · 14 ran 13th 66/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 5 Oct 2026: fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 5 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Charlie Keegan's strike rate?
Charlie Keegan has won 1 of 119 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 0.8% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Charlie Keegan's Fair A/E?
0.67, from 119 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 14 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).