What is Chris Wall's strike rate?

Chris Wall has won 386 of 2,818 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 13.7% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Chris Wall do best at?

Yarmouth by strike rate: 77 wins from 380 runners (20.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Chris Wall?

Ted Durcan, with 500 runners since 2008 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 65 (13%).

What is Chris Wall's Fair A/E?

1.15, from 2,807 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Chris Wall

2,818 runners in the lifetime window · 295 individual horses

As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Nov 2022 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

386–2,818

Wins / Runs

13.7%

Strike rate

n=2,818

912 (32%)

Placed

1.15

Fair A/E

n=2,807 · 0.98 incl. margin

−328.07

£1 level stake

n=2,818 at SP · −11.6%

£3.84m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

15.5%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 150 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 14% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.15).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,818 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 29 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Aug–Sep 34% when favourite Ted Durcan: 13% from 500 Claiming riders: 15% Sends off the favourite in 14% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Yarmouth (20.3%, n=380), clear of the yard's 13.7% baseline. It is weakest at Nottingham (4.6% over 109 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 1.8% (n=217, Fair A/E 0.49). In Group and Graded company the record are the standout value angle: 14.1% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.55 and +87.56 to a £1 stake over 163 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Ted Durcan rides 18% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (13%, A/E 1.11) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 30 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Tattersalls Ireland Sale Stakes at Curragh (Aug 2005, £147,000). The stable star of the record: Premio Loco (USA) — 13 wins from 44 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Aug–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 13.7% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

12.5%−1.2

n=527 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −50.48

New recruits · first run for the yard

5.7%−8.0

n=53 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −37.75

Debutants · first career start

1.8%−11.9

n=217 · A/E 0.49 · £1 −139.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

6.7%−7.0

n=60 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −26.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

5%−8.7

n=20 · A/E 0.53 · £1 −14.50

When favourite

34%

n=400 · A/E 1.19 · £1 +16.22

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

15%+1.3

n=419 · A/E 1.28 · £1 +66.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

14.1%+0.4

n=163 · A/E 1.55 · £1 +87.56

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With debutants 1.8% vs 13.7% · n=217

With William Buick 25.6% vs 13.7% · n=43

At Nottingham 4.6% vs 13.7% · n=109

With James Doyle 25% vs 13.7% · n=40

With George Wood 6.1% vs 13.7% · n=180

At Yarmouth 20.3% vs 13.7% · n=380

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 2,813 386 13.7% −323.07

Hurdle 3 0 0% −3.00

NH Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 843 117 13.9% −55.27

Good to Firm 767 110 14.3% −100.01

Good 568 82 14.4% −36.59

Good to Soft 339 47 13.9% −11.12

Soft 250 25 10% −97.95

Heavy 37 4 10.8% −22.13

Firm 14 1 7.1% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Yarmouth 380 77 20.3% +24.06

Kempton (AW) 356 50 14% +16.33

Wolverhampton (AW) 217 35 16.1% −15.50

Newmarket 177 29 16.4% +10.71

Windsor 172 15 8.7% −97.71

Newmarket 165 14 8.5% −53.00

Lingfield (AW) 146 20 13.7% −19.93

Doncaster 142 17 12% −43.88

Nottingham 109 5 4.6% −53.17

Leicester 98 14 14.3% +5.11

Ascot 82 7 8.5% −13.50

Chelmsford (AW) 79 7 8.9% −27.17

Newbury 70 7 10% −22.62

Sandown 66 10 15.2% −21.88

Haydock 65 12 18.5% +7.12

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 1,063 134 12.6% −198.04

Class 4 642 83 12.9% −141.21

Class 6 551 93 16.9% −13.82

Class 3 233 34 14.6% −16.56

Class 1 163 23 14.1% +87.56

Class 2 160 18 11.3% −50.00

Class 7 5 1 20% +5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 478 152 31.8% 1.17 +5.47

2nd–3rd fav 729 133 18.2% 1.15 −17.34

4th–6th fav 789 73 9.3% 1.14 −43.20

7th+ in betting 822 28 3.4% 1.02 −273.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Han Solo Berger (IRE)from Keith Dalgleish · then Robert Cowell 41 5 15 14 Sep 21

Syrian Pearl (GB) 41 7 11 26 Oct 18

Oh So Sassy (GB) 39 5 14 8 Oct 18

Premio Loco (USA) 39 11 17 19 Nov 14

Royal Rock (GB) 37 7 13 4 Oct 14

Hi Ho Silver (GB) 35 4 10 21 Aug 22

Oh It's Saucepot (GB) 34 6 13 15 Sep 22

Midnight Rider (IRE)then Rod Millman 30 2 16 13 Oct 14

Fever Few (GB)from Jane Chapple-Hyam 27 3 6 26 Sep 17

Pearl Blue (IRE)then Jamie Osborne 27 5 11 8 Nov 14

Citrus Star (USA) 27 4 8 20 Oct 12

First Sitting (GB)from David O'Meara 26 5 8 12 Oct 19

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 295 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 14 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 10 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Clive Cox (2); 50 had their first archived run for this yard.

15 have since run for another yard; 45 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

1316812121414171611712

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderTed Durcan

18% of all rides
13% SR · A/E 1.11

RiderRWSR£1

Ted Durcan 500 65 13% −126.59

George Baker 397 77 19.4% +20.20

Jack Mitchell 369 57 15.4% −53.90

George Wood 180 11 6.1% −102.92

Alan Munro 138 17 12.3% −40.21

Ashley Morgan 121 18 14.9% +52.50

Seb Sanders 87 9 10.3% −15.90

Tom Queally 56 7 12.5% −16.38

Ian Mongan 45 2 4.4% −34.00

William Buick 43 11 25.6% +20.82

Harry Bentley 42 2 4.8% −31.00

James Doyle 40 10 25% +4.07

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

477

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£5.24m

Prize money

2014

Best season · 37 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Wake Up Maggie (IRE) — Tattersalls Ireland Sale Stakes Curragh · Aug 2005

£147,000

Expensive (GB) — Watership Down Stud Sales Race Newbury · Sep 2005 · Class 2

£142,700

Ace of Hearts (GB) — Totescoop6 Heritage Handicap Sandown · Jul 2005 · Class 2

£58,000

Notable horses

Premio Loco (USA) Royal Rock (GB) Syrian Pearl (GB) Grand Vizier (IRE) Habshan (USA) Oh It's Saucepot (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Exceed and Excel (AUS) 23.3% · 24–103

Progeny have won 11.9% of 16,030 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.

Pastoral Pursuits (GB) 11.1% · 11–99

Progeny have won 9.5% of 7,218 runs since 2008 (437 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.4% from 109. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1.5% from 133.

Bahamian Bounty (GB) 13.9% · 10–72

Progeny have won 9.6% of 9,353 runs since 2008 (598 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1% from 202.

Clodovil (IRE) 15.7% · 11–70

Progeny have won 9.7% of 6,513 runs since 2008 (415 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 13.5% from 155.

Iffraaj (GB) 16.9% · 11–65

Progeny have won 10.5% of 13,971 runs since 2008 (1,091 horses).

Oasis Dream (GB) 13.8% · 9–65

Progeny have won 11.8% of 18,014 runs since 2008 (1,510 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 483. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 790.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,496 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,496 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 January 2005 to 30 November 2022.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

30 Nov 22 Kempton (AW) Free Step (IRE)J: Kaiya Fraser Racing TV Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 12th 11/4F

10 Nov 22 Chelmsford City (AW) Spit Spot (GB)J: Hayley Turner Betsi HandicapClass 2 · 14f · Standard · 7 ran 2nd 33/1

05 Nov 22 Chelmsford City (AW) Castana Dia (IRE)J: Kaiya Fraser 2023 CCR Membership Available HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 13/2

29 Oct 22 Newmarket Kingmania (IRE)J: Kaiya Fraser Christmas Parties at Newmarket HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Soft · 17 ran 5th 18/1

28 Oct 22 Newmarket Turntable (GB)J: Kaiya Fraser Newmarket Beacon Thanks Mark Kirby HandicapClass 3 · 10f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 1st 9/2

21 Oct 22 Doncaster Mustazeed (IRE)J: Kaiya Fraser Think Smart At Vertem HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Heavy · 14 ran 2nd 7/4F

20 Oct 22 Southwell (AW) Spit Spot (GB)J: Kaiya Fraser Fallon's Fancies Expert Tips By BetUK HandicapClass 5 · 14f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 13/2

19 Oct 22 Kempton (AW) Castana Dia (IRE)J: Callum Shepherd Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 11 ran 5th 40/1

18 Oct 22 Yarmouth Commander Hector (GB)J: Kaiya Fraser Cazoo Search Drive Smile HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 2nd 9/2

17 Oct 22 Windsor Chips And Rice (GB)J: Kaiya Fraser Breeders' Cup On Sky Sports Racing HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Soft · 10 ran 2nd 5/1

17 Oct 22 Windsor Glen Esk (GB)J: Kaiya Fraser Ultimate Jumps Guide On attheraces.com/jumps HandicapClass 4 · 10f · Soft · 10 ran 3rd 18/1

15 Oct 22 Ascot Double Or Bubble (IRE)J: Jack Mitchell Qipco British Champions Sprint Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series)Class 1 · 6f · Good To Soft · 18 ran 15th 100/1

14 Oct 22 Redcar Divine Comedy (IRE)J: Kaiya Fraser Sam Hall Memorial HandicapClass 5 · 14f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 1st 6/1

09 Oct 22 Southwell (AW) Free Step (IRE)J: Kaiya Fraser Download The At The Races App HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 11th 11/2

08 Oct 22 York Mustazeed (IRE)J: Dylan Hogan Coral Gets You Closer To The Action Finale HandicapClass 3 · 10.5f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 9th 7/1

08 Oct 22 Newmarket Kingmania (IRE)J: Kaiya Fraser Blue Point British EBF Boadicea Stakes (Fillies' And Mares' Listed)Class 1 · 6f · Good · 14 ran 10th 150/1

05 Oct 22 Kempton (AW) The Thunderer (IRE)J: Kaiya Fraser Unibet Support Safe Gambling HandicapClass 5 · 11f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 1st 15/2

04 Oct 22 Brighton Rodolfo (GB)J: Kaiya Fraser Leigh Armstrong 60th Racing With Pride Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 10f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 4th 5/1

04 Oct 22 Leicester Angel Amadea (GB)J: Ryan Moore Best Ticket Prices Online At leicester-racecourse.co.uk HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good · 15 ran 4th 7/2F

28 Sep 22 Kempton (AW) Flying Standard (IRE)J: Jack Mitchell Racing TV HandicapClass 6 · 16f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 4th 7/2F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Chris Wall's strike rate?: Chris Wall has won 386 of 2,818 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 13.7% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Chris Wall do best at?: Yarmouth by strike rate: 77 wins from 380 runners (20.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Chris Wall?: Ted Durcan, with 500 runners since 2008 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 65 (13%).
What is Chris Wall's Fair A/E?: 1.15, from 2,807 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.