What is Christopher Head's strike rate?

Christopher Head has won 132 of 605 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 21.8% (as at 24 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Christopher Head do best at?

Saint-Cloud by strike rate: 30 wins from 102 runners (29.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Christopher Head?

Aurelien Lemaitre, with 314 runners since 2008 — 52% of the total. That pairing has won 64 (20.4%).

Is Christopher Head in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 7 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Christopher Head's Fair A/E?

1.23, from 605 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Christopher Head

605 runners in the lifetime window · 178 individual horses

As at 24 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 2 days ago 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2018→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

132–605

Wins / Runs

21.8%

Strike rate

n=605

272 (45%)

Placed

1.23

Fair A/E

n=605 · 1.02 incl. margin

−28.43

£1 level stake

n=605 at SP · −4.7%

£7.82m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

22.5%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 22% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.23). Horses in first-time headgear strike at 29% (35 runs, true-first definition).

Deterministic profile computed from 605 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 24 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires May–Jul 42.5% when favourite Aurelien Lemaitre: 20.4% from 314 Sends off the favourite in 26% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Saint-Cloud (29.4%, n=102), clear of the yard's 21.8% baseline. A horse in first-time headgear has been a positive signal at 28.6% (n=35, Fair A/E 1.97), but runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 15.4% (n=39, Fair A/E 1.32). Debutants are the standout value angle: 21.5% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.28 and +21.12 to a £1 stake over 158 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Aurelien Lemaitre rides 52% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (20.4%, A/E 1.21) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well on Good to Soft going (28.3%, n=152) and over 6f – 7f (28%, n=189). The market has also underrated the yard off a 15-30-day break: Fair A/E 1.38 across 186 runners (27.4% strike, +1.63 to a £1 stake). The record reads poorly on Standard (AW) going — 15.5% over 174 runners, 6.3pts below the baseline. 50 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes at Ascot (Oct 2023, £655,709). The stable star of the record: Blue Rose Cen (IRE) — 7 wins from 11 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires May–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 21.8% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

19.2%−2.6

n=104 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −24.72

New recruits · first run for the yard

10%−11.8

n=20 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −13.70

Debutants · first career start

21.5%−0.3

n=158 · A/E 1.28 · £1 +21.12

First-time headgear · true-first definition

28.6%+6.8

n=35 · A/E 1.97 · £1 +34.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−21.8

n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

When favourite

42.5%

n=160 · A/E 1.18 · £1 −1.03

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

15.4%−6.4

n=39 · A/E 1.32 · £1 −4.60

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

23.7%+1.9

n=211 · A/E 1.31 · £1 −18.94

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 21.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 30.9% vs 21.8% · n=110

At Saint-Cloud 29.4% vs 21.8% · n=102

On Good to Soft going 28.3% vs 21.8% · n=152

On Standard (AW) going 15.5% vs 21.8% · n=174

Over 6f – 7f 28% vs 21.8% · n=189

Off a 15-30-day break 27.4% vs 21.8% · n=186

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 174 27 15.5% −44.87

Soft 168 43 25.6% +17.27

Good to Soft 152 43 28.3% +25.84

Good 58 11 19% −10.07

Heavy 46 8 17.4% −9.60

Good to Firm 7 0 0% −7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Chantilly 207 34 16.4% −53.40

Deauville 134 23 17.2% −29.94

Saint-Cloud 102 30 29.4% +28.97

Longchamp (FR) 97 26 26.8% +14.55

Lyon Parilly (FR) 9 1 11.1% −4.90

Vichy (FR) 8 3 37.5% +0.70

Clairefontaine (FR) 8 3 37.5% +3.64

Compiegne (FR) 7 5 71.4% +12.28

La Teste De Buch (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00

Ascot 5 1 20% +1.00

Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) 3 2 66.7% +5.40

Newmarket 2 1 50% +2.00

Mont-De-Marsan (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Fontainebleau (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Amiens (FR) 1 1 100% +0.17

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 215 50 23.3% −22.94

Class 2 8 5 62.5% +3.18

Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 161 69 42.9% 1.19 +1.27

2nd–3rd fav 198 46 23.2% 1.42 +41.90

4th–6th fav 174 13 7.5% 0.89 −52.00

7th+ in betting 72 4 5.6% 1.44 −19.60

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Ceramic (IRE) 11 0 4 18 Oct 26

Nighttime (FR) 11 4 9 4 Oct 26

Blue Rose Cen (IRE)then Maurizio Guarnieri 11 7 8 1 Oct 23

Maranoa Charlie (FR) 10 6 8 5 Oct 25

Madero (FR) 10 2 3 29 Aug 25

Ramadan (FR) 10 5 5 5 Oct 24

No Tune (GB) 9 3 7 2 Oct 26

Green Spirit (USA) 9 4 6 2 Aug 26

Naked Memories (FR)then Xavier Blanchet 9 1 4 2 Nov 25

Dos Mukasan (FR)then Gerard O'Leary 9 3 3 2 Nov 25

Topgear (FR)from F Chappet 9 3 5 5 Oct 25

Ramatuelle (USA) 9 4 9 6 Oct 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 178 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 8 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from F Head (2); 52 had their first archived run for this yard.

21 have since run for another yard, most often for Maurizio Guarnieri (2); 39 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

2 from 7

Only 7 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

10212319232534182825711

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderAurelien Lemaitre

52% of all rides
20.4% SR · A/E 1.21

RiderRWSR£1

Aurelien Lemaitre 314 64 20.4% +2.30

M Guyon 92 25 27.2% −18.03

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2018→

132

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£7.82m

Prize money

2026

Best season · 31 wins

Big Rock (FR) — Queen Elizabeth II Stakes (Sponsored By Qipco) (Group 1) (British Champions Mile) (Str) Ascot · Oct 2023 · Group 1

£655,709

Blue Rose Cen (IRE) — Prix de Diane Longines (3yo Fillies) (Turf) Chantilly (FR) · Jun 2023 · Group 1

£505,664

Blue Rose Cen (IRE) — Emirates Poule d'Essai des Pouliches (3yo Fillies) (Grande Course) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · May 2023 · Group 1

£278,115

Notable horses

Blue Rose Cen (IRE) Maranoa Charlie (FR) Ramadan (FR) Big Rock (FR) Nighttime (FR) Ramatuelle (USA)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Wootton Bassett (GB) 28% · 21–75

Progeny have won 13.1% of 5,649 runs since 2008 (788 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.1% from 161.

Lope De Vega (IRE) 13.5% · 5–37

Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,169 runs since 2008 (1,102 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 956.

Siyouni (FR) 25.9% · 7–27

Progeny have won 13% of 8,327 runs since 2008 (976 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 9.3% from 454.

No Nay Never (USA) 40% · 8–20

Progeny have won 12.1% of 6,326 runs since 2008 (707 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 9% from 612. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.6% from 185.

Recoletos (FR) 27.8% · 5–18

Progeny have won 9.1% of 799 runs since 2008 (113 horses).

Churchill (IRE) 47.1% · 8–17

Progeny have won 11% of 4,800 runs since 2008 (459 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 24 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 605 · newest first

The latest 50 of 605 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 13 December 2018 to 22 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

22 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Monsieur Charlie (IRE)J: Aurelien Lemaitre Prix De Fierville7.5f · Standard · 9 ran 2nd 5/2F

20 Oct 26 Clairefontaine (FR) Vatican (FR)J: Maxime Guyon Prix #equidayscalvados (Prix De La Couture Bardin)8f · Heavy · 8 ran 2nd 4/1

19 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Alias (FR)J: Maxime Guyon Prix Equidays (Prix Habitat)9.5f · Standard · 7 ran 1st 8/11F

18 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Ceramic (IRE)J: Maxime Guyon Prix De Saint-cyr7f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 11th 11/4

16 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Soutter (FR)J: Lounis Mabrouk Prix Des Bouleaux8f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 4th 8/1

14 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) House Of Tudor (IRE)J: Lounis Mabrouk Prix Maurice Larraun12f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 1st 5/1

13 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Hottot (FR)J: C. Soumillon Prix Du Champ De Mars9.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 7th 17/2

10 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Basha (FR)J: Cristian Demuro Prix Le FabuleuxClass 1 · 9f · Soft · 9 ran 5th 9/2

10 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Champagne Sunset (IRE)J: Maxime Guyon Prix De La Forterelle8f · Soft · 10 ran 4th 25/1

09 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Duskwind (IRE)J: Sebastiano Deriu Prix De Jonquieres9f · Very Soft · 16 ran 11th 11/1

09 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Merci Mille Fois (IRE)J: Pierre-Charles Boudot Prix De Jaux10f · Very Soft · 10 ran 1st 9/2

06 Oct 26 Lyon Parilly (FR) Munch (FR)J: Pierre-Charles Boudot Prix De Cuisery8f · Soft · 7 ran 3rd 3/1

06 Oct 26 Lyon Parilly (FR) Vassy (FR)J: Pierre-Charles Boudot Prix Oumnaz11f · Soft · 5 ran 3rd 5/6F

04 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Nighttime (FR)J: Maxime Guyon Qatar Prix de la Foret (Group 1)Class 1 · 7f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 2nd 9/1

04 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Big Money Man (IRE)J: Maxime Guyon Qatar Prix Jean-Luc Lagardere (Group 1)Class 1 · 7f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 7th 66/1

04 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Avec Toi (USA)J: Pierre-Charles Boudot Qatar Prix Jean-Luc Lagardere (Group 1)Class 1 · 7f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 6th 11/4

04 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Data (GB)J: Pierre-Charles Boudot Qatar Prix Marcel Boussac - Criterium Des PoulichesClass 1 · 8f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 2nd 8/1

02 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Ceramic (IRE)J: Maxime Guyon Prix CoronationClass 1 · 8f · Heavy · 13 ran 9th 11/10F

02 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) No Tune (GB)J: Maxime Guyon Prix MatchemClass 1 · 7f · Heavy · 7 ran 1st 5/2

02 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Tortsanlot (GB)J: Pierre-Charles Boudot Prix De Conde Jockey Club De TurquieClass 1 · 10f · Heavy · 8 ran 3rd 5/4F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Christopher Head's strike rate?: Christopher Head has won 132 of 605 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 21.8% (as at 24 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Christopher Head do best at?: Saint-Cloud by strike rate: 30 wins from 102 runners (29.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Christopher Head?: Aurelien Lemaitre, with 314 runners since 2008 — 52% of the total. That pairing has won 64 (20.4%).
Is Christopher Head in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 7 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Christopher Head's Fair A/E?: 1.23, from 605 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.