Skip to content
Trainer profile

Cian Hughes

145 runners in the lifetime window · 22 individual horses
As at 11 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner yesterday
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
10–145
Wins / Runs
6.9%
Strike rate
n=145
35 (24%)
Placed
0.85
n=145 · 0.67 incl. margin
−85.07
£1 level stake
n=145 at SP · −58.7%
£112k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
14.8%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.85).

Deterministic profile computed from 145 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 11 Nov 2026
The read

Runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 3.4% (n=58, Fair A/E 0.68). The yard also reads well off a 31-60-day break (13.3%, n=30). The record reads poorly on Soft going — 0% over 36 runners, 6.9pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 1m – 1m1f: Fair A/E 0.29 across 50 runners (2% strike, −41.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4.3%−2.6
n=23 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −14.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−6.9
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−6.9
n=19 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −19.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
12.5%+5.6
n=8 · A/E 2.23 · £1 +1.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
14.3%+7.4
n=7 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −4.00
When favourite
17.6%
n=17 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −8.07
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.4%−3.5
n=58 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −48.30

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Soft going 0% vs 6.9% · n=36
Off a 31-60-day break 13.3% vs 6.9% · n=30
Over 1m – 1m1f 2% vs 6.9% · n=50
With claiming riders up 3.4% vs 6.9% · n=58
On Good going 9.6% vs 6.9% · n=52
At Dundalk (AW) 9.7% vs 6.9% · n=31
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 106 6 5.7% −74.30
Hurdle 37 3 8.1% −10.50
NH Flat 2 1 50% −0.27

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 52 5 9.6% −19.27
Soft 36 0 0% −36.00
Standard (AW) 34 3 8.8% −18.80
Heavy 12 1 8.3% −9.00
Good to Soft 10 1 10% −1.00
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 31 3 9.7% −15.80
Navan 11 0 0% −11.00
Curragh 10 0 0% −10.00
Naas 10 0 0% −10.00
Leopardstown 10 2 20% +3.50
Down Royal 9 1 11.1% +0.00
Fairyhouse 8 0 0% −8.00
Cork 7 0 0% −7.00
Gowran Park 6 0 0% −6.00
Limerick 6 1 16.7% +6.00
Ballinrobe 5 0 0% −5.00
Punchestown 5 0 0% −5.00
Galway 4 0 0% −4.00
Sligo 3 0 0% −3.00
Wexford 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 2 1 50% +1.00
Class 4 1 1 100% +0.73

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 22 4 18.2% 0.86 −7.57
2nd–3rd fav 25 4 16% 1.06 −0.50
4th–6th fav 20 2 10% 1.22 +1.00
7th+ in betting 78 0 0% 0.00 −78.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Thompson Gunner (IRE)then John McConnell 22 1 5 10 Sep 26
Launch Time (GB) 18 3 9 4 Nov 26
Knocknagoran Lady (IRE) 17 3 5 10 Nov 26
Without Love (GB) 15 1 5 18 Sep 26
Deed Pole (GB)from Anthony Carson · then Terence O'Brien 11 1 4 21 Mar 25
Sundance Sioux (IRE) 9 0 2 5 Sep 25
Any Chance (IRE) 6 0 1 19 Sep 26
Blathnaid (IRE) 5 0 0 14 Nov 25
Armarone's Girl (IRE) 4 0 0 17 Sep 26
A Man's Horse (IRE) 4 0 0 8 Sep 26
Dame Rapide (IRE)from James M Barrett 4 0 1 13 Jul 25
Kalash (IRE) 4 0 0 6 Nov 24
All 22 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 22 horses listed, 3 arrived from another yard in our archive; 19 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard; 19 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 3
Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
25140250013114400
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Colin Keane 15 2 13.3% −5.00
Daniel King 13 2 15.4% +4.50
Wesley Joyce 13 1 7.7% −7.50
Robbie Colgan 12 1 8.3% −3.00
Eryka Snioch 11 0 0% −11.00
Rory Mulligan 9 0 0% −9.00
Ben Harvey 9 0 0% −9.00
Seamie Heffernan 8 0 0% −8.00
Patrick McGettigan 5 1 20% −0.80
Luke McAteer 5 0 0% −5.00
James Ryan 5 0 0% −5.00
Conor Stone-Walsh 4 1 25% +5.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2024→
10
Archived wins
£112k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 9 wins
Launch Time (GB) — Carnival de Leop Handicap Leopardstown (IRE) · Aug 2026
£7,200
Launch Time (GB) — Sunday 10th May Leopardstown Family Day Handicap (0-60) Leopardstown · Apr 2026
£7,068
Knocknagoran Lady (IRE) — New Forest Estate & Golf Club Handicap Hurdle (0-100) Kilbeggan · Jul 2026
£6,000

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Highland Reel (IRE) 4.5% · 1–22
Progeny have won 7.2% of 1,522 runs since 2021 (162 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 10.4% from 144.
Lauro (GER) 15.8% · 3–19
Progeny have won 9.5% of 550 runs since 2014 (88 horses). Strongest on Good going: 16% from 150. Weakest on Soft going: 5.6% from 196. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 14.5% from 172. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5% from 221.
Time Test (GB) 16.7% · 3–18
Progeny have won 11% of 3,165 runs since 2021 (337 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.8% from 336. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 14.9% from 323.
Without Parole (GB) 6.7% · 1–15
Progeny have won 9.9% of 684 runs since 2024 (87 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 19.4% from 139. Weakest on Good going: 6.6% from 167.
Poet's Word (IRE) 9.1% · 1–11
Progeny have won 10.2% of 763 runs since 2022 (151 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 13.9% from 108.
Harzand (IRE) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 13.3% of 1,109 runs since 2020 (141 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.8% from 101. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.1% from 126. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 16.8% from 250. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 9% from 122.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 11 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 145 · newest first

The latest 50 of 145 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 14 June 2024 to 10 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
04 Nov 26 Nottingham Launch Time (GB)J: Rossa Ryan racingtv.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8.5f · Soft · 15 ran 10th 6/1
08 Oct 26 Ayr Launch Time (GB)J: Hector Crouch Heverlee Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Heavy · 10 ran 1st 2/1F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 18 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · to 18 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Cian Hughes's strike rate?
Cian Hughes has won 10 of 145 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.9% (as at 11 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Cian Hughes do best at?
Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 3 wins from 31 runners (9.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Cian Hughes in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Cian Hughes's Fair A/E?
0.85, from 145 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 11 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).