What is E Bolger's strike rate?

E Bolger has won 208 of 1,624 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 12.8% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does E Bolger do best at?

Killarney by strike rate: 31 wins from 120 runners (25.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for E Bolger?

Mark Walsh, with 241 runners since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 39 (16.2%).

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is E Bolger's Fair A/E?

1.11, from 1,623 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

E Bolger

1,624 runners in the lifetime window · 198 individual horses

As at 1 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Runners today 100% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

208–1,624

Wins / Runs

12.8%

Strike rate

n=1,624

489 (30%)

Placed

1.11

Fair A/E

n=1,623 · 0.89 incl. margin

−497.60

£1 level stake

n=1,624 at SP · −30.6%

£3.66m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

13.3%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 90 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 13% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.11). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 18% (94 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,624 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 1 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires May–Jun 38.4% when favourite Mark Walsh: 16.2% from 241 Headgear returns: 18.1% Sends off the favourite in 16% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Killarney (25.8%, n=120), clear of the yard's 12.8% baseline. It is weakest at Naas (2% over 50 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a positive signal at 18.1% (n=94, Fair A/E 1.56), but new recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 4.6% (n=65, Fair A/E 0.66). The market has consistently overbet debutants: 5.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.85 and −87.59 to a £1 stake over 126 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Mark Walsh rides 15% of the entries and edges the yard's average (16.2% vs 12.8%, A/E 1.09) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 16 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Paddy Power Chase at Leopardstown (Dec 2018, £110,000). The stable star of the record: On The Fringe (IRE) — 14 wins from 34 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires May–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.8% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

10%−2.8

n=408 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −215.90

New recruits · first run for the yard

4.6%−8.2

n=65 · A/E 0.66 · £1 −50.75

Debutants · first career start

5.6%−7.2

n=126 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −87.59

First-time headgear · true-first definition

5.1%−7.7

n=59 · A/E 0.50 · £1 −33.80

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

18.1%+5.3

n=94 · A/E 1.56 · £1 +14.83

When favourite

38.4%

n=263 · A/E 1.22 · £1 −3.34

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.6%−5.2

n=513 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −137.69

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

11%−1.8

n=146 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −33.63

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Ms N Carberry 35.5% vs 12.8% · n=121

At Killarney 25.8% vs 12.8% · n=120

With C&D winners 23.6% vs 12.8% · n=178

With Barry Geraghty 25.8% vs 12.8% · n=31

At Naas 2% vs 12.8% · n=50

On last-time-out winners 20.6% vs 12.8% · n=204

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Chase 1,006 150 14.9% −277.34

Hurdle 592 55 9.3% −203.14

NH Flat 20 3 15% −11.12

Flat 6 0 0% −6.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 617 72 11.7% −263.12

Good 368 56 15.2% +1.99

Heavy 352 40 11.4% −136.63

Good to Soft 206 24 11.7% −101.83

Good to Firm 69 14 20.3% +1.99

Firm 12 2 16.7% +0.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Punchestown 341 53 15.5% −111.84

Cork 127 7 5.5% +1.67

Killarney 120 31 25.8% +0.70

Cheltenham 101 13 12.9% −51.21

Fairyhouse 90 10 11.1% −32.97

Listowel 77 11 14.3% −15.65

Thurles 77 5 6.5% −61.30

Kilbeggan 69 4 5.8% −46.17

Limerick 65 12 18.5% +8.55

Galway 62 5 8.1% −37.38

Navan 50 6 12% −10.96

Naas 50 1 2% −45.67

Ballinrobe 49 4 8.2% −23.50

Roscommon 47 7 14.9% −6.92

Downpatrick 43 10 23.3% +16.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 148 16 10.8% −35.63

Class 2 106 15 14.2% −49.83

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 304 109 35.9% 1.21 −12.84

2nd–3rd fav 353 68 19.3% 1.29 +4.24

4th–6th fav 417 25 6% 0.89 −134.00

7th+ in betting 550 6 1.1% 0.37 −355.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m5f – 3m 515 96 18.6% +37.45

2m1f – 2m4f 447 42 9.4% −225.79

1m5f – 2m 368 30 8.2% −203.23

Over 3m 294 40 13.6% −106.03

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 58 7 12.1% −26.75

2009 54 12 22.2% −19.05

2010 66 10 15.2% −11.70

2011 56 6 10.7% −27.75

2012 65 8 12.3% +9.75

2013 74 12 16.2% +16.44

2014 76 11 14.5% −39.45

2015 75 13 17.3% −16.05

2016 135 21 15.6% −60.68

2017 132 10 7.6% −77.75

2018 91 16 17.6% −11.91

2019 75 11 14.7% −27.17

2020 89 7 7.9% −35.31

2021 142 14 9.9% +10.54

2022 94 10 10.6% −32.77

2023 80 12 15% −29.54

2024 80 5 6.3% −52.50

2025 92 11 12% −43.70

2026 90 12 13.3% −22.25

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 653 79 12.1% −125.00

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

14-16 runners 508 62 12.2% −84.06

11-13 runners 361 45 12.5% −176.32

17+ runners 339 26 7.7% −175.43

8-10 runners 284 46 16.2% −47.71

5-7 runners 116 26 22.4% −2.99

2-4 runners 16 3 18.8% −11.09

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

86.1% completed · 1,598 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 1,006 80.7% 39 36 108 6 5

Hurdle 592 95.3% 7 4 16 0 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Stealthy Tom (IRE) 37 7 15 11 May 25

Josies Orders (IRE)from Jonjo O'Neill 36 8 16 12 Feb 22

Love Rory (IRE) 35 5 13 30 May 17

On The Fringe (IRE) 34 14 24 3 Jun 19

Federici (GB)then Donald McCain 31 5 12 6 Nov 16

Arabella Boy (IRE) 31 5 15 25 Apr 13

Blue Templar (IRE) 29 2 6 1 May 21

William Du Berlais (FR) 29 5 13 9 Oct 18

Solitary Man (IRE) 28 7 14 22 Aug 26

My Hometown (IRE) 28 2 4 12 Jun 21

Auvergnat (FR)from Jonjo O'Neill 27 5 10 25 May 21

Stand Up And Fight (IRE) 26 5 10 6 Jun 22

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 198 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 8 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 20 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Nicky Henderson (4) and Jonjo O'Neill (3); 40 had their first archived run for this yard.

13 have since run for another yard, most often for Donald McCain (3) and Ben Haslam (2); 47 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 4

Only 4 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

7147121815131410131414

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderMark Walsh

15% of all rides
16.2% SR · A/E 1.09

RiderRWSR£1

Mark Walsh 241 39 16.2% −52.58

Ms N Carberry 121 43 35.5% +26.15

Darragh O'Keeffe 121 18 14.9% −50.92

Donal McInerney 99 11 11.1% −5.00

Simon Torrens 77 7 9.1% −39.38

Niall P Madden 75 5 6.7% −38.50

Mr J T McNamara 71 12 16.9% +4.28

A P Heskin 61 10 16.4% −7.47

Mr Derek O'Connor 55 6 10.9% −38.08

Tom Kelly 54 2 3.7% −27.50

Jody McGarvey 48 3 6.3% −36.40

Charlie O'Dwyer 33 4 12.1% −7.75

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

229

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£4.07m

Prize money

2016

Best season · 21 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Auvergnat (FR) — Paddy Power Chase (0-150) (Grade B) Leopardstown · Dec 2018 · Grade B

£110,000

Birchdale (IRE) — Bulmers Secret Orchard Leopardstown Handicap Chase (Grade A) Leopardstown · Feb 2022 · Grade A

£73,750

Solitary Man (IRE) — Kilmurray Group Midlands National Handicap Chase (Listed) Kilbeggan · Jul 2026 · Listed

£60,000

Notable horses

On The Fringe (IRE) Ballyoisin (IRE) Garde Champetre (FR) Gilgamboa (IRE) Josies Orders (IRE) Stealthy Tom (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Presenting (GB) 14.8% · 17–115

Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Flemensfirth (USA) 11.8% · 12–102

Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,284 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).

Milan (GB) 12.5% · 11–88

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,866 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).

Getaway (GER) 7.8% · 6–77

Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,962 runs since 2016 (1,029 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.

Yeats (IRE) 13.5% · 10–74

Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,832 runs since 2013 (707 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 204. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.3% from 818.

Overbury (IRE) 11.1% · 6–54

Progeny have won 10.7% of 4,657 runs since 2008 (423 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 1 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,786 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,786 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 27 January 2005 to 1 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

01 Nov 26 Cork (IRE) Take The Free (IRE)J: Harry Cobden Paddy Power 'I Still Call It Twitter' Handicap Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 5th 16/1

01 Nov 26 Cork (IRE) Miss Stargazer (IRE)J: Rian Lane Paddy Power 'Did You Watch The Breeders Cup At All?' Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 19 ran 11th 125/1

26 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Sa Majeste (FR)J: Rian Lane W.b. Gavin & Co. Handicap Hurdle22f · Heavy · 12 ran 11th 50/1

25 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Inthenickoftime (IRE)J: Peter Smithers Medical Technology Ireland Expo Galway Handicap Hurdle16f · Soft · 8 ran 5th 5/2F

18 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Pride Of Place (IRE)J: Charlie O'Dwyer STL Logistics Handicap Steeplechase19.5f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 7th 40/1

14 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Take The Free (IRE)J: Mark Walsh TRM Nutrition - No.1 In Europe, Trusted Worldwide Handicap Hurdle20f · Good · 13 ran REF 12/1

11 Oct 26 Cork (IRE) Centreofattention (IRE)J: Harry Cobden Kendellen Construction Handicap Hurdle18.5f · Good · 14 ran 10th 20/1

06 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Inthenickoftime (IRE)J: Peter Smithers SIS Supporting Irish Racing Handicap Hurdle16.5f · Yielding To Soft · 11 ran 1st 1/1F

28 Sep 26 Roscommon (IRE) Neat As A Pin (IRE)J: Rian Lane Athleague Maiden Hurdle15.5f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 12th 150/1

25 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Pretty Wild (IRE)J: Harry Cobden Guinness Listowel Mares Handicap Hurdle22f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 9th 9/2

11 Sep 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Take The Free (IRE)J: Aidan Kelly Michael Cawe Suspended Ceilings Handicap Hurdle22f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 11th 9/2

07 Sep 26 Galway (IRE) Inthenickoftime (IRE)J: Simon Torrens Anglo Printers Handicap Hurdle16.5f · Yielding · 20 ran 1st 9/2

04 Sep 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Where Are You Now (IRE)J: Charlie O'Dwyer Midland Veterinary Beginners Steeplechase20.5f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran UR 66/1

04 Sep 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Pride Of Place (IRE)J: Charlie O'Dwyer Séan Hughes Memorial 110 Series Final Handicap Hurdle25f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 12th 7/1

04 Sep 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Pretty Wild (IRE)J: Joshua Halford Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle19.5f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran 3rd 5/1

22 Aug 26 Killarney (IRE) Solitary Man (IRE)J: Aidan Kelly Canella Lane Handicap Steeplechase (Listed)Class 1 · 21f · Good · 10 ran 7th 5/1

21 Aug 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Pride Of Place (IRE)J: Charlie O'Dwyer Tom Lynam Memorial Handicap Hurdle19f · Good · 15 ran F 5/1

20 Aug 26 Killarney (IRE) Tippin And Tappin (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Brehon Hotel & Spa Handicap Steeplechase21f · Good · 11 ran 2nd 11/1

10 Aug 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Hurling Academy (IRE)J: Aidan Kelly Bank Of Ireland Brendan Maloney Memorial Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good · 15 ran 4th 40/1

09 Aug 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Samba Train (IRE)J: Mark Walsh Franco Hughes Away Bet Mares Handicap Hurdle22f · Good · 10 ran 9th 3/1F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 6 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 3 runs (won 1, 1 did not run) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 1) · to 25 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is E Bolger's strike rate?: E Bolger has won 208 of 1,624 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 12.8% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does E Bolger do best at?: Killarney by strike rate: 31 wins from 120 runners (25.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for E Bolger?: Mark Walsh, with 241 runners since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 39 (16.2%).
Is E Bolger in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is E Bolger's Fair A/E?: 1.11, from 1,623 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.