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Trainer profile

J T Gorman

1,483 runners in the lifetime window · 128 individual horses
As at 10 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jul 2023 90% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
70–1,483
Wins / Runs
4.7%
Strike rate
n=1,483
237 (16%)
Placed
0.90
n=1,482 · 0.69 incl. margin
−693.60
£1 level stake
n=1,483 at SP · −46.8%
£852k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
33.3%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 80 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.90).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,483 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 10 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Chris Hayes: 5.8% from 328
The read

The record is strongest at Down Royal (12%, n=50), Ballinrobe (9.8%, n=41) and Bellewstown (9.1%, n=55) — all clear of the yard's 4.7% baseline. It is weakest at Tipperary (0% over 44 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 0% (n=98, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 2.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.67 and −238.75 to a £1 stake over 347 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Chris Hayes rides 22% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (5.8%, A/E 1.18) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The stable star of the record: Liberty To Rock (IRE) — 5 wins from 53 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.6%−2.1
n=347 · A/E 0.67 · £1 −238.75
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.7
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.7
n=98 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −98.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
1.5%−3.2
n=67 · A/E 0.41 · £1 −55.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
4.5%−0.2
n=88 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −50.50
When favourite
29.6%
n=27 · A/E 1.22 · £1 −2.68
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3%−1.7
n=334 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −204.75
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−4.7
n=27 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −27.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Down Royal 12% vs 4.7% · n=50
With Declan McDonogh 10.9% vs 4.7% · n=46
With debutants 0% vs 4.7% · n=98
At Ballinrobe 9.8% vs 4.7% · n=41
At Tipperary 0% vs 4.7% · n=44
At Bellewstown 9.1% vs 4.7% · n=55
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 1,330 63 4.7% −654.92
Hurdle 122 6 4.9% −48.68
NH Flat 23 0 0% −23.00
Chase 8 1 12.5% +33.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 440 18 4.1% −229.88
Good 271 11 4.1% −123.50
Standard (AW) 265 13 4.9% −129.25
Heavy 196 13 6.6% −41.43
Good to Firm 190 11 5.8% −83.79
Good to Soft 113 3 2.7% −83.25
Firm 8 1 12.5% −2.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk 261 13 5% −125.25
Curragh 187 6 3.2% −69.75
Leopardstown 132 4 3% −89.00
Gowran Park 131 6 4.6% −57.75
Naas 91 2 2.2% −58.00
Galway 68 5 7.4% −6.00
Navan 65 3 4.6% +0.00
Fairyhouse 61 5 8.2% −2.43
Bellewstown 55 5 9.1% −10.67
Down Royal 50 6 12% +0.63
Cork 44 2 4.5% −29.00
Tipperary 44 0 0% −44.00
Ballinrobe 41 4 9.8% −16.00
Limerick 41 3 7.3% −20.00
Roscommon 41 0 0% −41.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 24 0 0% −24.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 46 10 21.7% 1.06 −12.43
2nd–3rd fav 127 17 13.4% 1.07 −27.67
4th–6th fav 313 23 7.3% 1.06 −102.50
7th+ in betting 997 20 2% 0.65 −551.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Liberty To Rock (IRE) 53 5 11 27 Aug 14
Rigid Rock (IRE)then Adrian McGuinness 52 5 12 18 May 14
Golden Shoe (IRE)then Kieran P Cotter 48 4 14 7 Aug 15
All About Timing (IRE) 45 4 8 12 Jun 13
Busy Bush (IRE) 39 1 6 25 Oct 18
Snap Click (IRE) 38 2 10 22 Sep 18
Athenry Boy (IRE) 35 1 9 28 Oct 19
Pierre D'or (IRE)then Gavin Cromwell 34 1 8 28 Oct 15
Money Trader (IRE) 33 3 9 16 Dec 11
Wrekin Rock (IRE)then Patrick J Flynn 31 4 9 14 Jul 13
Rockin N Reelin (USA) 29 1 1 28 Aug 14
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 128 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 7 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 5 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from P A Blockley (2); 55 had their first archived run for this yard.

10 have since run for another yard; 50 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
953517555474
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderChris Hayes
22% of all rides
5.8% SR · A/E 1.18
RiderRWSR£1
Chris Hayes 328 19 5.8% −111.67
Kevin Manning 260 17 6.5% −97.12
Rory Cleary 76 2 2.6% −51.00
Michael Hussey 70 2 2.9% −47.00
Wayne Lordan 64 1 1.6% −43.00
Ronan Whelan 53 3 5.7% −30.00
Derek McCormack 52 2 3.8% −5.00
Declan McDonogh 46 5 10.9% +8.00
Gearoid Brouder 40 2 5% −28.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
79
Archived wins
£977k
Prize money
2008
Best season · 14 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Cest Notre Gris (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Premier Nursery Handicap Listowel · Sep 2012
£19,500
Hassanali (IRE) — G.P.T. Sligo Novice Hurdle Galway · Jul 2008
£17,577
Count John (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F Race Limerick · Apr 2009
£14,648

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Statue Of Liberty (USA) 7.5% · 13–174
Progeny have won 8.5% of 2,513 runs since 2008 (210 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.6% from 119.
Elusive City (USA) 2.8% · 2–71
Progeny have won 9.7% of 8,431 runs since 2008 (636 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.4% from 1,123.
Bushranger (IRE) 4.3% · 3–69
Progeny have won 7.7% of 4,449 runs since 2013 (300 horses).
Refuse To Bend (IRE) 7.8% · 5–64
Progeny have won 9.8% of 4,868 runs since 2008 (320 horses).
Footstepsinthesand (GB) 6.6% · 4–61
Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,813 runs since 2009 (938 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 320.
Kodiac (GB) 3.3% · 2–61
Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,604 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 10 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,821 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,821 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 9 January 2005 to 6 July 2023.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
13 Aug 21 Curragh Wilmer Mcclean (IRE)J: Rory Cleary DMG Media Maiden10f · Yielding · 22 ran 19th 400/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is J T Gorman's strike rate?
J T Gorman has won 70 of 1,483 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.7% (as at 10 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does J T Gorman do best at?
Down Royal by strike rate: 6 wins from 50 runners (12%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for J T Gorman?
Chris Hayes, with 328 runners since 2008 — 22% of the total. That pairing has won 19 (5.8%).
What is J T Gorman's Fair A/E?
0.90, from 1,482 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 10 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).