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Trainer profile

John F O'Neill

313 runners in the lifetime window · 45 individual horses
As at 10 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 16 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
4–313
Wins / Runs
1.3%
Strike rate
n=313
29 (9%)
Placed
0.43
Fair A/E
n=313 · 0.34 incl. margin
−264.80
£1 level stake
n=313 at SP · −84.6%
£86,284
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
3.6%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, winning with 1% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.43).

Deterministic profile computed from 313 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 10 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Mr P J O'Neill: 0.7% from 137
The read

The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 0.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.17 and −164.00 to a £1 stake over 177 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Mr P J O'Neill rides 44% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (0.7%, A/E 0.22). The market has consistently overbet the yard over 1m5f – 2m: Fair A/E 0.00 across 103 runners (0% strike, −103.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 1.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−1.3
n=47 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −47.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−1.3
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−1.3
n=34 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −34.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−1.3
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−1.3
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
When favourite
16.7%
n=6 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −1.80
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0.6%−0.7
n=177 · A/E 0.17 · £1 −164.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−1.3
n=21 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −21.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 1.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 15-30-day break 3.7% vs 1.3% · n=109
Over 2m5f – 3m 3.5% vs 1.3% · n=57
Over 1m5f – 2m 0% vs 1.3% · n=103 · A/E 0.00
On Soft going 0% vs 1.3% · n=96 · A/E 0.00
In Flat races 0% vs 1.3% · n=66 · A/E 0.00
Off a 31-60-day break 0% vs 1.3% · n=56 · A/E 0.00
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 178 3 1.7% −134.00
Flat 66 0 0% −66.00
Chase 43 1 2.3% −38.80
NH Flat 26 0 0% −26.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 128 3 2.3% −84.00
Soft 96 0 0% −96.00
Good to Soft 49 1 2% −44.80
Heavy 29 0 0% −29.00
Good to Firm 8 0 0% −8.00
Firm 2 0 0% −2.00
Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Limerick 35 0 0% −35.00
Ballinrobe 26 0 0% −26.00
Killarney 24 0 0% −24.00
Galway 21 1 4.8% −13.00
Kilbeggan 20 0 0% −20.00
Tipperary 20 1 5% −15.80
Roscommon 17 0 0% −17.00
Punchestown 16 0 0% −16.00
Listowel 16 1 6.3% −3.00
Cork 15 0 0% −15.00
Sligo 15 1 6.7% +8.00
Navan 11 0 0% −11.00
Gowran Park 11 0 0% −11.00
Thurles 10 0 0% −10.00
Leopardstown 9 0 0% −9.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 22 0 0% −22.00
Class 4 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 5 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 6 1 16.7% 1.07 −1.80
2nd–3rd fav 13 1 7.7% 0.70 −5.00
4th–6th fav 55 0 0% 0.00 −55.00
7th+ in betting 239 2 0.8% 0.48 −203.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
86.4% completed · 221 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 43 79.1% 2 3 4 0 0
Hurdle 178 88.2% 4 3 13 1 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Tullyhogue Fort (IRE) 62 3 14 8 Sep 25
Ittimetogo (IRE) 20 0 3 20 Jul 15
Pink Fire Lilly (IRE) 15 0 0 20 Apr 23
Faire La Nouba (IRE) 14 0 2 16 Nov 25
Cocoroco (IRE) 14 0 0 22 Feb 21
Move It On Over (IRE) 12 1 1 6 Oct 26
Phoenix Arizona (IRE)then John J Cullen 10 0 1 12 Jul 26
Balkito (FR)from G Ahern 10 0 0 20 Aug 25
Dreamings Free (IRE)then Maurice Barnes 10 0 0 19 Oct 24
Sports Line (IRE)from Paul W Flynn · then Turlough O'Connor 10 0 2 30 Sep 14
Royale Knight (GB)then Dr Richard Newland 10 0 0 27 Apr 11
Getback In Paris (IRE)from Richard Hughes 9 0 1 11 Aug 21
All 45 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 45 horses listed, 11 arrived from another yard in our archive; 34 had their first archived run for this yard.

14 have since run for another yard, most often for Dr Richard Newland (2); 31 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
000000229000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderMr P J O'Neill
44% of all rides
0.7% SR · A/E 0.22
RiderRWSR£1
Mr P J O'Neill 137 1 0.7% −124.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
4
Archived wins
£88,095
Prize money
2026
Best season · 1 win
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Tullyhogue Fort (IRE) — Guinness Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 1) Listowel · Sep 2022
£6,490
Tullyhogue Fort (IRE) — Jim Ryan Racecourse Services Handicap Chase (0-102) (Div 2) Tipperary · Jul 2023
£6,195
Move It On Over (IRE) — McDermott Farm Machinery Handicap Hurdle Sligo (IRE) · Aug 2026
£6,000
Notable horses
Tullyhogue Fort (IRE) Move It On Over (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Sholokhov (IRE) 4.8% · 3–62
Progeny have won 12.5% of 4,279 runs since 2008 (423 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.9% from 157.
Elusive Pimpernel (USA) 0% · 0–26
Progeny have won 7.7% of 3,157 runs since 2015 (317 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 10.7% from 384.
Germany (USA) 0% · 0–20
Progeny have won 10.8% of 835 runs since 2008 (68 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 14% from 121.
French Navy (GB) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 10.3% of 777 runs since 2019 (68 horses).
Portage (IRE) 6.7% · 1–15
Progeny have won 2.9% of 68 runs since 2022 (14 horses).
River Boyne (IRE) 0% · 0–14
Progeny have won 2.2% of 231 runs since 2024 (24 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 10 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 331 · newest first

The latest 50 of 331 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 10 February 2005 to 25 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
25 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Suresuresure (IRE)J: Philip Byrnes Glenlo Abbey Hotel & Estate Maiden Hurdle21.5f · Soft · 12 ran 6th 10/1
23 Oct 26 Sligo (IRE) Look At You (IRE)J: Philip Byrnes Sligo Fillies Maiden Hurdle17.5f · Yielding · 13 ran 2nd 20/1
08 Oct 26 Thurles (IRE) Simpletwistoffaith (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Welcome Back To Thurles Handicap12.5f · Yielding · 14 ran 13th 125/1
06 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Move It On Over (IRE)J: J J Slevin Ryans Cleaning Handicap Steeplechase18f · Yielding To Soft · 10 ran PU 8/1
06 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Suresuresure (IRE)J: J J Slevin Tote Always SP Or Better At Galway Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Yielding · 20 ran 4th 66/1
28 Sep 26 Roscommon (IRE) Move It On Over (IRE)J: J J Slevin Railway Bar Handicap Hurdle20.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 5th 10/1
20 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Suresuresure (IRE)J: Mr K O'Neill Kinisla Farm & Home Store (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good · 13 ran 10th 150/1
19 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Simpletwistoffaith (IRE)J: Danny Mullins Millbrook Food Group 100 Years Celebration Handicap Hurdle (Div II)19f · Good · 16 ran 14th 33/1
21 Aug 26 Killarney (IRE) Simpletwistoffaith (IRE)J: Mr K O'Neill HR Buddy (Q.R.) Race17f · Good · 8 ran 7th 300/1
19 Aug 26 Sligo (IRE) Move It On Over (IRE)J: Philip Byrnes McDermott Farm Machinery Handicap Hurdle20.5f · Good · 16 ran 1st 22/1
21 Jul 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Move It On Over (IRE)J: J J Slevin RBC Brewin Dolphin Rated Novice Hurdle17.5f · Good · 5 ran 4th 200/1
12 Jul 26 Sligo Phoenix Arizona (IRE)J: Thomas O'Connor Foley's Bar & Off Licence Handicap Hurdle17.5f · Good · 12 ran 3rd 5/1
06 Jul 26 Roscommon Move It On Over (IRE)J: Cian Quirke SuperValu Co. Roscommon Ladies Day Novice Hurdle16f · Good · 6 ran UR 100/1
06 Jul 26 Roscommon Suresuresure (IRE)J: Jack G Gilligan SuperValu Co. Roscommon Ladies Day Novice Hurdle16f · Good · 6 ran 5th 50/1
15 Jun 26 Kilbeggan Move It On Over (IRE)J: Gavin Brouder Follow Kilbeggan On Instagram Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1)24.5f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 12th 25/1
14 Jun 26 Cork Little Roy (IRE)J: Donagh O'Connor Follow Cork Racecourse On Social Media Maiden5f · Good · 13 ran 9th 250/1
09 Jun 26 Sligo Phoenix Arizona (IRE)J: Gavin Brouder Yeats Irish Whiskey Claiming Hurdle18f · Good · 10 ran 4th 40/1
03 Jun 26 Curragh Little Roy (IRE)J: G B Noonan TRI Equestrian Maiden6.5f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 13th 200/1
30 May 26 Listowel Move It On Over (IRE)J: Gavin Brouder John Thomas McNamara Handicap Hurdle (0-100)20.5f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 8th 50/1
30 May 26 Listowel Phoenix Arizona (IRE)J: Mr P J O'Neill Join The Listowel Races Supporters Club Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good · 17 ran 11th 200/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 6 Oct 2026: fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 6 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is John F O'Neill's strike rate?
John F O'Neill has won 4 of 313 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 1.3% (as at 10 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does John F O'Neill do best at?
Limerick by strike rate: 0 wins from 35 runners (0%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for John F O'Neill?
Mr P J O'Neill, with 137 runners since 2008 — 44% of the total. That pairing has won 1 (0.7%).
What is John F O'Neill's Fair A/E?
0.43, from 313 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 10 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).