L Gadbin
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 50 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.91).
New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 4.8% (n=63, Fair A/E 0.65). The market has consistently overbet debutants: 5.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.60 and −83.62 to a £1 stake over 219 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Damien Boche rides 18% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (4.1% vs 8.3%, A/E 0.49). The yard also reads well off a 8-14-day break (16.3%, n=49) and over 1m5f – 2m (12.7%, n=55). The record reads poorly on Standard (AW) going — 5.3% over 304 runners, 3pts below the baseline. 6 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Grand Handicap de Lamorlaye Longines at Chantilly (FR) (Jun 2024, £32,609). The stable star of the record: Bevan (FR) — 7 wins from 39 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Apr–May.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 8.3% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2017→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 928 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 928 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 20 April 2017 to 3 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is L Gadbin's strike rate?
- L Gadbin has won 77 of 928 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.3% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does L Gadbin do best at?
- Chantilly by strike rate: 14 wins from 180 runners (7.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for L Gadbin?
- Damien Boche, with 171 runners since 2008 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (4.1%).
- Is L Gadbin in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 14 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is L Gadbin's Fair A/E?
- 0.91, from 912 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.