What is M Boutin's strike rate?

M Boutin has won 288 of 4,940 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.8% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does M Boutin do best at?

Vichy by strike rate: 7 wins from 39 runners (17.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for M Boutin?

H Boutin, with 571 runners since 2008 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 40 (7%).

In the last 14 days: 29 runners, 0 winners, a strike rate of 0%. That is below the baseline of 5.8% since 2008.

What is M Boutin's Fair A/E?

0.76, from 4,781 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

M Boutin

4,940 runners in the lifetime window · 554 individual horses

As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 1.0% of 399 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 5 Nov 2026.

Runners today 99% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

288–4,940

Wins / Runs

5.8%

Strike rate

n=4,940

1,084 (22%)

Placed

0.76

Fair A/E

n=4,781 · 0.64 incl. margin

−2,058.65

£1 level stake

n=4,804 at SP · −42.9%

£7.35m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

7.2%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 260 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.76). The yard is quiet just now — 0 winners in the last fortnight, below its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 4,940 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 5 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Mar 22.6% when favourite H Boutin: 7% from 571 Sends off the favourite in 4% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Vichy (17.9%, n=39), clear of the yard's 5.8% baseline. In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 1.4% (n=73, Fair A/E 0.31). The market has consistently overbet new recruits from other stables on their first run: 5.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.58 and −174.60 to a £1 stake over 327 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Right now the yard is in a quiet spell: 0 from 29 runners in the last 14 days (0%, 5.8pts below the 5.8% baseline). H Boutin rides 12% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (7%, A/E 0.85). The yard also reads well in Class 4 (14.3%, n=42) and off a 0-7-day break (10.4%, n=376). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix De La Fete Nationale at Longchamp (FR) (Jul 2010, £24,124). The stable star of the record: Tudo Bem (FR) — 9 wins from 77 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.8% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

5.6%−0.2

n=947 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −438.80

New recruits · first run for the yard

5.8%+0.0

n=327 · A/E 0.58 · £1 −174.60

Debutants · first career start

5.2%−0.6

n=251 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −164.80

First-time headgear · true-first definition

3.6%−2.2

n=193 · A/E 0.59 · £1 −97.90

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

6.5%+0.7

n=139 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −56.60

When favourite

22.6%

n=208 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −37.55

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

5.7%−0.1

n=1,781 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −680.70

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

1.4%−4.4

n=73 · A/E 0.31 · £1 −59.10

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Christophe Soumillon 19.4% vs 5.8% · n=36

At Vichy 17.9% vs 5.8% · n=39

On last-time-out winners 12.9% vs 5.8% · n=303

In Class 4 14.3% vs 5.8% · n=42

Off a 0-7-day break 10.4% vs 5.8% · n=376

In Class 3 12% vs 5.8% · n=50

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 4,904 287 5.9% −2,029.75

Hurdle 21 1 4.8% −13.90

Chase 15 0 0% −15.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 1,681 102 6.1% −664.30

Soft 1,162 89 7.7% −290.03

Good 892 38 4.3% −504.62

Good to Soft 712 27 3.8% −396.10

Heavy 489 32 6.5% −199.60

Good to Firm 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Deauville (AW) 1,340 79 5.9% −516.60

Chantilly 1,193 78 6.5% −434.10

Saint-Cloud (FR) 774 50 6.5% −307.80

Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 737 23 3.1% −527.00

Longchamp (FR) 494 27 5.5% −102.50

Dieppe (FR) 72 3 4.2% −29.33

Cagnes-Sur-Mer 45 5 11.1% +4.10

Fontainebleau 43 1 2.3% −28.70

Vichy 39 7 17.9% −9.00

Compiegne 33 0 0% −32.00

Le Croise-Laroche 28 2 7.1% +0.40

Clairefontaine (FR) 26 1 3.8% −18.00

Auteuil (FR) 23 0 0% −23.00

Amiens (FR) 10 0 0% −10.00

Lyon Parilly 10 1 10% −9.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 73 1 1.4% −59.10

Class 3 50 6 12% −16.62

Class 4 42 6 14.3% −12.00

Class 2 8 0 0% −8.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 225 50 22.2% 0.98 −42.95

2nd–3rd fav 593 61 10.3% 0.73 −206.50

4th–6th fav 1,432 85 5.9% 0.75 −544.50

7th+ in betting 2,554 60 2.3% 0.68 −1,264.70

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 2,120 125 5.9% −916.25

1m – 1m1f 1,331 68 5.1% −576.90

1m2f – 1m4f 820 47 5.7% −291.90

Under 6f 544 43 7.9% −176.40

1m5f – 2m 91 5 5.5% −63.20

2m1f – 2m4f 31 0 0% −31.00

2m5f – 3m 3 0 0% −3.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 57 10 17.5% −2.00

2009 62 16 25.8% —

2010 272 18 6.6% +26.00

2011 282 17 6% −62.50

2012 341 18 5.3% −117.00

2013 396 29 7.3% −49.80

2014 373 16 4.3% −233.30

2015 257 6 2.3% −196.30

2016 242 9 3.7% −135.50

2017 313 11 3.5% −191.30

2018 293 10 3.4% −210.00

2019 280 22 7.9% −88.40

2020 253 9 3.6% −174.40

2021 240 16 6.7% −80.30

2022 196 12 6.1% −45.90

2023 200 8 4% −164.30

2024 233 12 5.2% −103.20

2025 303 24 7.9% −106.50

2026 347 25 7.2% −123.95

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 2,634 139 5.3% −1,034.90

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

14-16 runners 1,806 86 4.8% −694.30

11-13 runners 1,113 73 6.6% −328.50

8-10 runners 867 50 5.8% −510.83

17+ runners 677 26 3.8% −363.30

5-7 runners 329 18 5.5% −172.22

2-4 runners 148 35 23.6% +10.50

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Agnes Champ (FR)from P Bary 82 3 27 27 Nov 17

King David (FR)from C Gourdain 79 7 23 9 May 18

Tudo Bem (FR) 77 9 29 2 Nov 26

Divin Leon (FR) 71 8 22 4 Jul 16

King Robbe (FR) 66 8 23 15 Oct 26

Ghor (FR)from D Guillemin · then R Roels 62 1 19 12 Sep 16

Manne (FR)from Cedric Rossi · then L Larrigade 50 4 20 4 Jan 25

Caraziyan (FR)from P Van De Poele 50 3 10 12 Jul 15

Xenophanes (IRE)from P Schiergen 47 1 15 31 Oct 20

Orangefield (FR)from P Monfort 47 2 22 31 Oct 20

Glicourt (FR)from P Bary · then Gijs Snijders 46 2 5 3 Sep 24

Chef Oui Chef (FR)from A Lamotte D'Argy 45 5 14 26 Aug 21

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 554 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 21 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 39 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from M Nigge (2) and P Bary (2); 21 had their first archived run for this yard.

21 have since run for another yard, most often for R Roels (3) and Marc Rosseel (2); 39 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Quiet spell

0 from 29 0% · −5.8pts vs baseline

Last 14 days0%

Lifetime base5.8%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

688644584756

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderH Boutin

12% of all rides
7% SR · A/E 0.85

RiderRWSR£1

H Boutin 571 40 7% −295.10

L Gallo 343 29 8.5% −82.23

Sebastien Maillot 308 17 5.5% −57.80

Christophe-Patrice Lemaire 291 23 7.9% −73.10

Mlle Frida Valle Skar 203 12 5.9% −7.50

Valentin Gambart 202 9 4.5% −107.10

Eddy Hardouin 191 6 3.1% −127.10

Mlle Coralie Pacaut 180 10 5.6% −80.40

Gregory Benoist 158 13 8.2% −19.80

Matthieu Autier 119 7 5.9% +11.10

Theo Bachelot 116 7 6% −52.00

Ioritz Mendizabal 105 11 10.5% −64.70

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

319

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£7.85m

Prize money

2013

Best season · 29 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Wolverine (FR) — Prix De La Fete Nationale (Handicap) (3yo) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Jul 2010

£24,124

Sun Sea Bird (FR) — Prix Du Patis (Prix Du Journal Le Pays D'Auge) (Handicap) (3yo) (Fibresand) Deauville (FR) · Oct 2011

£23,500

Orangefield (FR) — Prix du Haras Royal de Meudon (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Apr 2019

£23,423

Notable horses

Tudo Bem (FR) Divin Leon (FR) King Robbe (FR) Choparlas (FR) King David (FR) Huangdi (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Sommerabend (GB) 8.4% · 15–179

Progeny have won 7.5% of 1,193 runs since 2018 (133 horses).

Soave (GER) 6.1% · 10–165

Progeny have won 7.9% of 910 runs since 2010 (109 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.9% from 203.

Slickly (FR) 9.9% · 14–142

Progeny have won 8% of 3,073 runs since 2008 (318 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 11% from 310. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.9% from 243.

Agnes Kamikaze (JPN) 3.5% · 5–141

Progeny have won 4% of 325 runs since 2008 (30 horses).

Rajsaman (FR) 4.5% · 6–133

Progeny have won 6.9% of 2,839 runs since 2016 (311 horses).

Zanzibari (USA) 8.3% · 11–133

Progeny have won 9.2% of 1,311 runs since 2014 (139 horses). Strongest on Good going: 14.2% from 225. Weakest on Heavy going: 5.3% from 171.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 5,091 · newest first

The latest 50 of 5,091 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 12 March 2005 to 5 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

05 Nov 26 Lignieres (FR) Out Of The Blue (FR)J: Mme Lorette Gallo Prix Comte Charles De Bourbon HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 5th 9/2

05 Nov 26 Lignieres (FR) Ciaccino (FR)J: Mme Lorette Gallo Prix Du Dr Veterinaire Pierre Roumet HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 7th 9/2

05 Nov 26 Lignieres (FR) Bawe Island (FR)J: Mme Maelie Pien Prix Du Dr Veterinaire Pierre Roumet HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 4th 4/1

04 Nov 26 Le Croise-Laroche (FR) Abronzal (FR)J: Mme Lorette Gallo Prix Lazzaro12.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 2nd 7/4J

04 Nov 26 Le Croise-Laroche (FR) Orinoco (FR)J: Hugo Boutin Prix De La Rue Fouquet Lelong5.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 13th 11/1

04 Nov 26 Le Croise-Laroche (FR) Chacun Sa Vie (FR)J: Mme Lorette Gallo Prix De La Rue Fouquet Lelong5.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 2nd 22/1

04 Nov 26 Le Croise-Laroche (FR) Splendino (FR)J: Hugo Boutin Prix Miguel Et Christophe Clement12.5f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 7th 15/2

03 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Gamberra (FR)J: Mme Maelie Pien Prix Geoff Lewis (Chmpt Paris Turf Des Apprentis & Jeunes Jockeys)9.5f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 28/1

03 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Nuits Parisiennes (FR)J: Gabin Seigneul Prix Geoff Lewis (Chmpt Paris Turf Des Apprentis & Jeunes Jockeys)9.5f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 28/1

03 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Si Capo Si (FR)J: Mme Lorette Gallo Prix D'occagnes7.5f · Standard · 15 ran 11th 17/2

02 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Gallius (FR)J: Miss Ella Muntwyler Prix Des FrenesClass 3 · 7f · Soft · 16 ran 7th 22/1

02 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Sweet As (FR)J: Mme Maelie Pien Prix Des FrenesClass 3 · 7f · Soft · 16 ran 3rd 20/1

02 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Tudo Bem (FR)J: Hugo Boutin Prix Du Bois Notre-dameClass 3 · 5.5f · Soft · 8 ran 7th 12/1

02 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Quiet Wife (FR)J: Mme Frida Valle Skar Prix Du Bois Notre-dameClass 3 · 5.5f · Soft · 8 ran 5th 12/1

02 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Skaros (FR)J: Mme Maelie Pien Prix Des Alisiers6f · Soft · 11 ran 10th 22/1

02 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Enfant Paradis (FR)J: Mme Frida Valle Skar Prix Des Alisiers6f · Soft · 11 ran 8th 11/1

01 Nov 26 Nancy (FR) Possi (FR)J: Pierre Remoue Prix Leonce De Scitivaux De Greische7f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 6th 10/1

01 Nov 26 Nancy (FR) Tchikita (FR)J: Mme Lorette Gallo Prix Leonce De Scitivaux De Greische7f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 7th 22/1

31 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Charlesquint (IRE)J: Mme Cassi Brechon Prix Lodd By Chloe (Prix Little Manjo)Class 4 · 9.5f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 8/1

30 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Out Of The Blue (FR)J: Mme Lorette Gallo Prix Du Chateau De TocquevilleClass 4 · 7.5f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 3/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is M Boutin's strike rate?: M Boutin has won 288 of 4,940 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.8% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does M Boutin do best at?: Vichy by strike rate: 7 wins from 39 runners (17.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for M Boutin?: H Boutin, with 571 runners since 2008 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 40 (7%).
Is M Boutin in form?: In the last 14 days: 29 runners, 0 winners, a strike rate of 0%. That is below the baseline of 5.8% since 2008.
What is M Boutin's Fair A/E?: 0.76, from 4,781 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.