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Trainer profile

Mario Hofer

1,192 runners in the lifetime window · 313 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 363 days ago 98% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
113–1,192
Wins / Runs
9.5%
Strike rate
n=1,192
301 (25%)
Placed
1.06
n=1,109 · 0.93 incl. margin
−12.10
£1 level stake
n=1,135 at SP · −1.1%
£3.22m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 60 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.06).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,192 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Jul–Sep 23.1% when favourite Maxime Guyon: 9.2% from 98 Sends off the favourite in 5% of races
The read

Debutants are the standout value angle: 10.5% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.30 and +11.30 to a £1 stake over 275 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Maxime Guyon rides 8% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (9.2%, A/E 0.84). 16 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix Ganay at Longchamp (FR) (Apr 2013, £139,366). The stable star of the record: Gamgoom (GB) — 9 wins from 51 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jul–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
9.2%−0.3
n=336 · A/E 1.13 · £1 +62.30
New recruits · first run for the yard
7.9%−1.6
n=38 · A/E 0.66 · £1 −8.30
Debutants · first career start
10.5%+1.0
n=275 · A/E 1.30 · £1 +11.30
First-time headgear · true-first definition
7.4%−2.1
n=122 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −8.20
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−9.5
n=19 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −19.00
When favourite
23.1%
n=65 · A/E 0.59 · £1 −3.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
7.3%−2.2
n=150 · A/E 1.07 · £1 +12.40
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
7.3%−2.2
n=177 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −3.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners 17.2% vs 9.5% · n=87
With Frau Stefanie Koyuncu 1.9% vs 9.5% · n=53
With Eddy Hardouin 14.8% vs 9.5% · n=81
With Dominique Boeuf 3.1% vs 9.5% · n=32
With C&D winners 13.9% vs 9.5% · n=101
With Olivier Peslier 14% vs 9.5% · n=43
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 1,171 111 9.5% −0.30
Hurdle 18 1 5.6% −12.80
NH Flat 2 1 50% +2.00
Chase 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 441 47 10.7% +69.50
Soft 253 20 7.9% −6.70
Good 229 23 10% −26.90
Good to Soft 171 14 8.2% −38.10
Heavy 93 9 9.7% −5.90
Good to Firm 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Deauville (FR) 353 40 11.3% +50.10
Chantilly (FR) 301 23 7.6% −24.10
Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 152 13 8.6% −18.40
Longchamp (FR) 147 12 8.2% +15.80
Saint-Cloud (FR) 116 9 7.8% −56.00
Clairefontaine 16 0 0% −15.00
Cagnes-Sur-Mer 16 3 18.8% −6.20
Auteuil (FR) 16 1 6.3% −10.80
Fontainebleau 14 1 7.1% −0.60
Compiegne 7 1 14.3% +28.00
Lingfield (AW) 5 0 0% −5.00
Le Croise-Laroche (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00
La Teste De Buch (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Chelmsford City (AW) 3 1 33.3% +20.00
Dieppe 3 1 33.3% +5.60

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 178 13 7.3% −4.50
Class 2 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 4 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 3 1 1 100% +22.00
Class 5 1 1 100% +3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 67 15 22.4% 0.57 −5.00
2nd–3rd fav 203 32 15.8% 1.07 −27.10
4th–6th fav 340 28 8.2% 1.05 −25.20
7th+ in betting 525 25 4.8% 1.42 +45.20
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Gamgoom (GB)from Harry Dunlop 51 9 22 4 Oct 23
Theo Danon (GER)from P Schiergen 32 5 15 15 Jan 18
Hout Bay (FR) 31 4 9 16 Aug 20
Diamantfee (FR) 19 0 6 30 Jan 20
Eskimo Point (IRE)then Ivan Furtado 19 3 8 30 Oct 18
Smooth Operator (GER) 18 3 4 15 Aug 14
Mood Music (GB)from E J O'Neill · then Y Marie-Nelly 18 1 5 2 Sep 11
Cloud Dancer (FR)then A Floryn 16 0 5 9 Jan 21
Shut Down (FR)then Henk Grewe 15 0 2 20 Jun 21
Bay Of Biscaine (FR)then J Reynier 15 2 5 30 Oct 18
Hyapaxa (FR) 13 0 3 7 May 21
Al Malek (FR)then C Schleppi 13 1 3 6 Aug 13
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 313 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 10 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from P Schiergen (2); 50 had their first archived run for this yard.

27 have since run for another yard, most often for C Boutin (4) and F-X De Chevigny (2); 33 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
1012289513121110811
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderMaxime Guyon
8% of all rides
9.2% SR · A/E 0.84
RiderRWSR£1
Maxime Guyon 98 9 9.2% −14.90
Stefanie Hofer 82 8 9.8% +34.50
Eddy Hardouin 81 12 14.8% +96.30
Theo Bachelot 68 7 10.3% +18.00
Ioritz Mendizabal 54 4 7.4% −1.80
Frau Stefanie Koyuncu 53 1 1.9% −32.40
Christophe Soumillon 46 5 10.9% −14.50
Mickael Barzalona 43 5 11.6% +7.10
Olivier Peslier 43 6 14% +8.60
Umberto Rispoli 37 3 8.1% +14.40
Gerald Mosse 36 4 11.1% −19.60
Delphine Santiago 35 3 8.6% −11.10
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
129
Archived wins
16
Pattern / graded wins
£3.58m
Prize money
2013
Best season · 18 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Pastorius (GER) — Prix Ganay (4yo+) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Apr 2013 · Group 1
£139,366
Smooth Operator (GER) — Criterium de Maisons-Laffitte Maisons-Laffitte (FR) · Nov 2008 · Group 2
£79,632
Flashing Numbers (USA) — Prix Eugene Adam (Straight Course) Maisons-Laffitte (FR) · Jul 2006 · Group 2
£78,621

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Linngari (IRE) 4% · 3–75
Progeny have won 9.2% of 822 runs since 2012 (94 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 14% from 100. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.7% from 295. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 12.6% from 223.
Exceed And Excel (AUS) 17.3% · 9–52
Progeny have won 11.9% of 16,036 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.
Lord Of England (GER) 11.6% · 5–43
Progeny have won 10.4% of 1,096 runs since 2010 (151 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 17.4% from 109. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.3% from 284. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7% from 142.
Vespone (IRE) 12.5% · 5–40
Progeny have won 8% of 591 runs since 2009 (82 horses). Weakest on Good going: 4.5% from 112. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 11.2% from 179.
Big Shuffle (USA) 10.5% · 4–38
Progeny have won 9.1% of 1,088 runs since 2008 (134 horses).
Whipper (USA) 12.5% · 4–32
Progeny have won 9.8% of 4,602 runs since 2009 (397 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.6% from 516. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.6% from 1,128.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,273 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,273 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 13 January 2005 to 8 November 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mario Hofer's strike rate?
Mario Hofer has won 113 of 1,192 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.5% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mario Hofer do best at?
Deauville (FR) by strike rate: 40 wins from 353 runners (11.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Mario Hofer?
Maxime Guyon, with 98 runners since 2008 — 8% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (9.2%).
What is Mario Hofer's Fair A/E?
1.06, from 1,109 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).